Research Articles

TEACHING ECONOMETRICS

Jeremy Arkes (2018). Teaching undergraduate econometrics: some sensible shifts to improve efficiency, effectiveness, and usefulness. Working Paper. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3427791.

THE HOT HAND

Stone Dan, Jeremy Arkes (2018). March Madness? Underreaction to hot and cold hands in NCAA basketball. Economic Inquiry, 56(3), 1724-1747. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/ecin.12558

Arkes, Jeremy. 2010. Revisiting the Hot Hand Theory with Free Throw Data in a Multivariate Framework. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports 6(1): Article 2 (online article, 12 pages). https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/43641/Arkes_Hot_hand-JQAS-2010.pdf?sequence=1

Arkes, Jeremy (2013). Misses in Hot Hand Research. Journal of Sports Economics 14: 401-410. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1527002513496013

Arkes, Jeremy. 2011. Do Gamblers Correctly Price Momentum in the NBA Betting Markets? Journal of Prediction Markets 5(1): 31-50. https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/43645/Arkes_SSRN-id1886655_2011-07-15.pdf?sequence=1

Arkes, Jeremy (2016). The Hot and Cold Hand in Golf. International Journal of Sports Finance 11(2).

Arkes, Jeremy, Jose Martinez. 2011. Finally, Evidence for a Momentum Effect in the NBA. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports 7(3): Article 13 (online article, 14 pages). https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/43644/Arkes_Martinez_NBA_momentum-JQAS-2011-FINAL.pdf?sequence=1

BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS

Stone, Daniel, Jeremy Arkes (2016). Reference Points, Prospect Theory and Momentum on the PGA Tour. Journal of Sports Economics 17(5), 453-482. https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/47705/Arkes-reference-points_2015-12.pdf?sequence=1

Stone Daniel, Jeremy Arkes (2018). March Madness? Underreaction to hot and cold hands in NCAA basketball. Economic Inquiry, 56(3), 1724-1747. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/ecin.12558

MILITARY MANPOWER

Arkes, Jeremy. (2018). Empirical biases and some remedies in estimating the effects of Selective Reenlistment Bonuses on reenlistment rates. Defence and Peace Economics, 28(5), 475-502. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2820725.

Arkes, Jeremy, Jesse Cunha (2015). Workplace goals and output quality: evidence from time-constrained recruiting goals in the US Navy. Defence and Peace Economics, 26(5), 491-515. https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/41698/Cunha_end_of_month_2014.pdf?sequence=1

Arkes, Jeremy, Steve Mehay. (2014). The Impact of the Unemployment Rate on Attrition of First-Term Enlistees. Defence and Peace Economics, 25, 125-138. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/10242694.2013.752244

Shen, Yu-Chu, Jeremy Arkes, John Pilgrim. 2009. “The Effects of Deployment Intensity on Post-traumatic Stress Disorder: 2002-2006.” Military Medicine 174(3): 217-223. https://tinyurl.com/ybefmw3w

Garcia, Federico, Jeremy Arkes, Robert Trost. 2002. "Does Employer-Financed General Training Pay? Evidence From the U.S. Navy." Economics of Education Review 21(1): 19-27. https://tinyurl.com/y9x8t3np

Shen, Yu-Chu, Jeremy Arkes, Paul Lester. (2017). Association Between Baseline Psychological Attributes and Post-Deployment Mental Health Outcomes in the U.S. Army. BMC Psychology, 5(1), 32. https://bmcpsychology.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s40359-017-0201-4

Cunha, J., Arkes, J., Lester, P., Shen, Y (2015). Employee Retention and Psychological Health: Evidence from Military Recruits. Applied Economics Letters, 22(18), 1505-1510. https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/45965/Cunha_retention_mental_health_2015.pdf?sequence=1

Shen, Yu-Chu, Jeremy Arkes, T.V. Williams. 2012. Effects of Iraq/Afghanistan Deployments on Major Depression and Substance Use Disorder: Analysis of Active Duty Personnel in US Military. American Journal of Public Health 102(Supplement 1): S80-S87. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3496458/

Shen Yu-Chu, Jeremy Arkes, Boon Wah Kwan, Lai Yee Tan, Thomas V. Williams. 2010. “The Effect of OEF/OIF Deployment Intensity on the Rate of Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Among Active Duty Population.” Military Medicine 175(10): 763-768.

DIVORCE EFFECTS AND CAUSES

Arkes, Jeremy (2015). The Temporal Effects of Divorces and Separations on Student Achievement and Problem Behaviors. Journal of Divorce and Remarriage, 56, 25-42. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4286357/

Arkes, Jeremy, Yu-Chu Shen. (2014). For Better or for Worse, But How About a Recession. Contemporary Economic Policy 32: 275-287. https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/46170/Arkes_For_Better_2014.pdf?sequence=1

Arkes, Jeremy. (2017). Separating the harmful vs. beneficial effects of marital disruptions on children. Journal of Divorce & Remarriage, 58 (7), 526-541. https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/57104/Arkes_Separating%20the%20Harmful_2017.pdf?sequence=1

Arkes, Jeremy. 2013. The Temporal Effects of Parental Divorce on Teenage Substance Abuse. Substance Use & Misuse 48(3): 290-297. https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/45473/Arkes--Divorce-teen-behaviors--SubUseMisuse-Final_2013-01.pdf?sequence=1

Arkes, Jeremy. 2012. Longitudinal Association Between Marital Disruption and Child BMI and Obesity. Obesity 20(8):1696-1702. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1038/oby.2012.84

PUBLIC POLICY

MacDonald, John; Arkes, Jeremy; Nicosia, Nancy; and Pacula, Rosalie Liccardo (2014) "Decomposing Racial Disparities in Prison and Drug Treatment Commitments for Criminal Offenders in California," Journal of Legal Studies: Vol. 43, 155-187. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4219536/

Nicosia, Nancy, John MacDonald, Jeremy Arkes (2013). “Disparities in criminal court referrals to drug treatment and prison for minority men.” American Journal of Public Health 103(6): e77-e84. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3670657/

SUBSTANCE USE AND RISKY BEHAVIORS/OUTCOMES

Arkes, Jeremy. 2012. “How Does Youth Cigarette Use Respond to Changes in the Economy? Implications for the Current Economic Crisis.” Substance Use & Misuse 47(4): 375-382. https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/43642/Arkes_How_Youth_2012_FINAL.pdf?sequence=1

Boynton, Marcy, Jeremy Arkes, Richard Hoyle. 2011. “A Brief Report of a Test of Differential Alcohol Risk Using Sibling Attributions of Paternal Alcoholism.” Journal of Studies on Alcohol and Drugs 72(6): 1037-1040. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3211957/

Arkes, Jeremy. 2011. “Recessions and the Participation of Youth in the Selling and Use of Illicit Drugs.” Special Issue for International Journal of Drug Policy: 22(5), 335-40. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0955395911000272

Arkes, Jeremy. 2009. “How the Economy Affects Teenage Weight.” Social Science & Medicine 68(11): 1943-1947. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0277953609001877

Arkes, Jeremy, Jacob Klerman. 2009. “Understanding the Link Between the Economy and Teenage Sexual Behavior and Fertility Outcomes.” Journal of Population Economics 22(3):517-536. https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/43647/Arkes_Understanding_2006.pdf?sequence=1

Arkes, Jeremy, Martin Iguchi. 2008. “How Predictors of Prescription Drug Abuse Vary by Age.” Journal of Drug Issues 38(4): 1027-1044.https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/002204260803800405

Arkes, Jeremy. 2007. “Does the Economy Affect Teenage Drug Use?” Health Economics 16(1): 19-36. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/hec.1132

Harder, Valerie, Andrew Morral, Jeremy Arkes. 2006. “Marijuana use and depression among adults: Testing for causal associations.” Addiction 101(10): 1463-1472. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2006.01545.x

MISCELLANEOUS

Arkes, Jeremy. 2011. “Is Controlling the Rushing or Passing Game the Key to NFL Victories?” The Sport Journal, Volume 14, (online article, 14 pages). http://thesportjournal.org/article/controlling-rushing-or-passing-game-key-nfl-victories.

Arkes, Jeremy. 2010. “Using State Unemployment Rates as Instruments to Estimate the Returns to Schooling.” Southern Economic Journal 76(3): 711-722. https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/43824/Arkes_Using_Unemployment_2013.pdf;sequence=4

Arkes, Jeremy. 1999. "What Do Educational Credentials Signal and Why Do Employers Value Credentials?" Economics of Education Review 18(1): 133-141. https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/9832/bd03594c80df40fd469ffd25d9cb573a5d6a.pdf

Yeung, Andrew, Keenan Yoho, Jeremy Arkes. 2013. “Estimates of Unit Cost Reductions of the F-16 fighter as a Result of U.S. Arms Export Production,” Journal of Cost Analysis and Parametrics 6(1): 3-22. https://tinyurl.com/y9sv4ytr

Arkes, Jeremy. 1998. "Trends in Long-run Versus Cross-section Earnings Inequality in the 1970s and 1980s." The Review of Income and Wealth 44(2):199-213. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1475-4991.1998.tb00268.x