Research Articles


Stone Dan, Jeremy Arkes (2018). March Madness? Underreaction to hot and cold hands in NCAA basketball. Economic Inquiry, 56(3), 1724-1747.

Arkes, Jeremy. 2010. Revisiting the Hot Hand Theory with Free Throw Data in a Multivariate Framework. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports 6(1): Article 2 (online article, 12 pages).

Arkes, Jeremy (2013). Misses in Hot Hand Research. Journal of Sports Economics 14: 401-410.

Arkes, Jeremy. 2011. Do Gamblers Correctly Price Momentum in the NBA Betting Markets? Journal of Prediction Markets 5(1): 31-50.

Arkes, Jeremy (2016). The Hot and Cold Hand in Golf. International Journal of Sports Finance 11(2).

Arkes, Jeremy, Jose Martinez. 2011. Finally, Evidence for a Momentum Effect in the NBA. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports 7(3): Article 13 (online article, 14 pages).


Stone, Daniel, Jeremy Arkes (2016). Reference Points, Prospect Theory and Momentum on the PGA Tour. Journal of Sports Economics 17(5), 453-482.

Stone Daniel, Jeremy Arkes (2018). March Madness? Underreaction to hot and cold hands in NCAA basketball. Economic Inquiry, 56(3), 1724-1747.


Arkes, Jeremy. (2018). Empirical biases and some remedies in estimating the effects of Selective Reenlistment Bonuses on reenlistment rates. Defence and Peace Economics, 28(5), 475-502. Available at SSRN:

Arkes, Jeremy, Jesse Cunha (2015). Workplace goals and output quality: evidence from time-constrained recruiting goals in the US Navy. Defence and Peace Economics, 26(5), 491-515.

Arkes, Jeremy, Steve Mehay. (2014). The Impact of the Unemployment Rate on Attrition of First-Term Enlistees. Defence and Peace Economics, 25, 125-138.

Shen, Yu-Chu, Jeremy Arkes, John Pilgrim. 2009. “The Effects of Deployment Intensity on Post-traumatic Stress Disorder: 2002-2006.” Military Medicine 174(3): 217-223.

Garcia, Federico, Jeremy Arkes, Robert Trost. 2002. "Does Employer-Financed General Training Pay? Evidence From the U.S. Navy." Economics of Education Review 21(1): 19-27.

Shen, Yu-Chu, Jeremy Arkes, Paul Lester. (2017). Association Between Baseline Psychological Attributes and Post-Deployment Mental Health Outcomes in the U.S. Army. BMC Psychology, 5(1), 32.

Cunha, J., Arkes, J., Lester, P., Shen, Y (2015). Employee Retention and Psychological Health: Evidence from Military Recruits. Applied Economics Letters, 22(18), 1505-1510.

Shen, Yu-Chu, Jeremy Arkes, T.V. Williams. 2012. Effects of Iraq/Afghanistan Deployments on Major Depression and Substance Use Disorder: Analysis of Active Duty Personnel in US Military. American Journal of Public Health 102(Supplement 1): S80-S87.

Shen Yu-Chu, Jeremy Arkes, Boon Wah Kwan, Lai Yee Tan, Thomas V. Williams. 2010. “The Effect of OEF/OIF Deployment Intensity on the Rate of Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Among Active Duty Population.” Military Medicine 175(10): 763-768.


Arkes, Jeremy (2015). The Temporal Effects of Divorces and Separations on Student Achievement and Problem Behaviors. Journal of Divorce and Remarriage, 56, 25-42.

Arkes, Jeremy, Yu-Chu Shen. (2014). For Better or for Worse, But How About a Recession. Contemporary Economic Policy 32: 275-287.

Arkes, Jeremy. (2017). Separating the harmful vs. beneficial effects of marital disruptions on children. Journal of Divorce & Remarriage, 58 (7), 526-541.

Arkes, Jeremy. 2013. The Temporal Effects of Parental Divorce on Teenage Substance Abuse. Substance Use & Misuse 48(3): 290-297.

Arkes, Jeremy. 2012. Longitudinal Association Between Marital Disruption and Child BMI and Obesity. Obesity 20(8):1696-1702.


MacDonald, John; Arkes, Jeremy; Nicosia, Nancy; and Pacula, Rosalie Liccardo (2014) "Decomposing Racial Disparities in Prison and Drug Treatment Commitments for Criminal Offenders in California," Journal of Legal Studies: Vol. 43, 155-187.

Nicosia, Nancy, John MacDonald, Jeremy Arkes (2013). “Disparities in criminal court referrals to drug treatment and prison for minority men.” American Journal of Public Health 103(6): e77-e84.


Arkes, Jeremy. 2012. “How Does Youth Cigarette Use Respond to Changes in the Economy? Implications for the Current Economic Crisis.” Substance Use & Misuse 47(4): 375-382.

Boynton, Marcy, Jeremy Arkes, Richard Hoyle. 2011. “A Brief Report of a Test of Differential Alcohol Risk Using Sibling Attributions of Paternal Alcoholism.” Journal of Studies on Alcohol and Drugs 72(6): 1037-1040.

Arkes, Jeremy. 2011. “Recessions and the Participation of Youth in the Selling and Use of Illicit Drugs.” Special Issue for International Journal of Drug Policy: 22(5), 335-40.

Arkes, Jeremy. 2009. “How the Economy Affects Teenage Weight.” Social Science & Medicine 68(11): 1943-1947.

Arkes, Jeremy, Jacob Klerman. 2009. “Understanding the Link Between the Economy and Teenage Sexual Behavior and Fertility Outcomes.” Journal of Population Economics 22(3):517-536.

Arkes, Jeremy, Martin Iguchi. 2008. “How Predictors of Prescription Drug Abuse Vary by Age.” Journal of Drug Issues 38(4): 1027-1044.

Arkes, Jeremy. 2007. “Does the Economy Affect Teenage Drug Use?” Health Economics 16(1): 19-36.

Harder, Valerie, Andrew Morral, Jeremy Arkes. 2006. “Marijuana use and depression among adults: Testing for causal associations.” Addiction 101(10): 1463-1472.


Arkes, Jeremy. 2011. “Is Controlling the Rushing or Passing Game the Key to NFL Victories?” The Sport Journal, Volume 14, (online article, 14 pages).

Arkes, Jeremy. 2010. “Using State Unemployment Rates as Instruments to Estimate the Returns to Schooling.” Southern Economic Journal 76(3): 711-722.;sequence=4

Arkes, Jeremy. 1999. "What Do Educational Credentials Signal and Why Do Employers Value Credentials?" Economics of Education Review 18(1): 133-141.

Yeung, Andrew, Keenan Yoho, Jeremy Arkes. 2013. “Estimates of Unit Cost Reductions of the F-16 fighter as a Result of U.S. Arms Export Production,” Journal of Cost Analysis and Parametrics 6(1): 3-22.

Arkes, Jeremy. 1998. "Trends in Long-run Versus Cross-section Earnings Inequality in the 1970s and 1980s." The Review of Income and Wealth 44(2):199-213.