I am a Professor of Macroeconomics at the University of Sydney (click here for my university webpage and here for my vita).
I teach macroeconomics, finance, and econometrics. My research uses statistical analysis to gain insights into a number of empirical issues in economics, including the following:
Are business cycle fluctuations symmetric? What are their sources and economic implications?
What is the nature of structural change in macroeconomic relationships? Is it gradual or abrupt?
What are the sources of persistent changes in the unemployment rate?
How does stock market volatility affect expected returns in the stock market?
Why are exchange rates so volatile and persistent?
Email: james.morley[at]sydney.edu.au
Phone: +612 9351 3368
Office: Room 607, Social Sciences Building
Mailing address:
School of Economics
Level 5, Social Sciences Building
University of Sydney
Sydney NSW 2006
Australia
Bluesky: @macromorley.bsky.social
Latest nowcasts of the U.S. output gap based on Berger, Morley, and Wong (2023) available at outputgapnow.com
New CAMA working paper on “Diminishing Monetary Potency under Fiscal Dominance: A Bayesian Local Projections Analysis”. Code available here.
“How Important Are Sectoral Shocks in Australia?” published Early View in the Australian Economic Review
New CAMA working paper on “Unpacking Global Inflation”
I have been appointed an Associate Editor of the Journal of Business Cycle Research