I am a Professor of Macroeconomics at the University of Sydney (click here for my university webpage and here for my vita).
I teach macroeconomics, finance, and econometrics. My research uses statistical analysis to gain insights into a number of empirical issues in economics, including the following:
Are business cycle fluctuations symmetric? What are their sources and economic implications?
What is the nature of structural change in macroeconomic relationships? Is it gradual or abrupt?
What are the sources of persistent changes in the unemployment rate?
How does stock market volatility affect expected returns in the stock market?
Why are exchange rates so volatile and persistent?
Email: james.morley[at]sydney.edu.au
Phone: +612 9351 3368
Office: Room 607, Social Sciences Building
Mailing address:
School of Economics
Level 5, Social Sciences Building
University of Sydney
Sydney NSW 2006
Australia
Bluesky: @macromorley.bsky.social
Latest nowcasts of the U.S. output gap based on Berger, Morley, and Wong (2023) available at outputgapnow.com
New CAMA working paper “How Important Is Global R-Star for Open Economies?”
“Trend-Cycle Decomposition in the Presence of Large Shocks” published in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. See accompanying website bnfiltering.com and EViews add-in
I have been appointed Editor of The Economic Record
Austaxpolicy blog post for recent working paper “How Does Tax and Transfer Progressivity Affect Household Consumption Insurance?”