I am a Professor of Macroeconomics at the University of Sydney (click here for my university webpage and here for a pdf of my full CV).
I teach macroeconomics, finance, and econometrics. My research uses statistical analysis to gain insights into a number of empirical issues in economics, including the following:
Are business cycle fluctuations symmetric? What are their sources and economic implications?
What is the nature of structural change in macroeconomic relationships? Is it gradual or abrupt?
What are the sources of persistent changes in the unemployment rate?
How does stock market volatility affect expected returns in the stock market?
Why are exchange rates so volatile and persistent?
Phone: +612 9351 3368
Office: Room 607, Social Sciences Building
School of Economics
Level 5, Social Sciences Building
University of Sydney
Sydney NSW 2006
Latest nowcasts of the U.S. output gap based on Berger, Morley, and Wong (2023) available at outputgapnow.com
24 May 2023
“A Simple Correction for Misspecification in Trend-Cycle Decompositions with an Application to Estimating r*” accepted for publication in the Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
17 May 2023
New CAMA working paper “Does the Survey of Professional Forecasters Help Predict the Shape of Recessions in Real Time?”
16 March 2022
My PhD student Michaela Haderer has accepted a job at the Reserve Bank of Australia. Congratulations, Michaela!
3 February 2023
I have been appointed to the ARC College of Experts