Ivan Deseatnicov
Assistant Professor (tenure-track)
Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs
HSE University
Moscow, Russia
Ph.D., Economics, Waseda University, 2013.
M.B.A., Business Administration, University of Nantes, 2004.
B.S., Information Technologies, Technical University of Moldova, 2005.
B.A., International Economic Relations, Technical University of Moldova, 2003.
RESEARCH INTERESTS
International trade and FDI; International Open Macroeconomics
Statement of Research Interest
ONGOING PROJECTS
Technological Decoupling Between the U.S. and China (with Kazunobu Hayakawa, Keiko Ito, Kyoji Fukao, and Konstantin Kucheryavyy) [work in progress]
Hitotsubashi University Institute of Economic Research Discussion Paper Series A No.756
Measuring the Dynamic Impact of U.S. Export Controls: An Industry-Level Index and Evidence from Japanese Multinationals in China (with Kyoji Fukao) [under review]
Also circulated as "U.S. Export Controls and the Restructuring of Global Values Chains: an analysis of Japanese Multinationals Exits from China" RIETI Discussion Paper Series 24-E-082, December 2024. Non-technical summary. In Japanese: Abstract, Non-technical summary
Featured as VOX column at cepr.org, Feb 2025.
Export Controls and Trade Patterns: Evidence from Taiwan (with Fujun Wang and Nikita Kostiuchenko) [submitted]
Also circulated as "Export Controls and the China-US Technology Dispute: Assessing the Impacts on Taiwan’s Trade"
PUBLICATIONS
"Beyond resource intensity: unveiling the determinants of Russian MNEs’ integration into global value chains", Post-Communist Economies, 2025, May, 37(6): 533–553 (with Nikita Kostiuchenko)
"The Impact of the Strengthening of Export Controls on Japanese Exports of Dual-use Goods", International Economics, 2023, August, 174(2023): 160-179 (with Kazunobu Hayakawa, Keiko Ito and Kyoji Fukao)
Also ciculated as "Impact of U.S.-China Conflict and Strengthening Export Control on Japanese Exports": IDE Jetro working paper No. 852, May 2022.
"Currency risk and the dynamics of German investors entry and exit in Russia", Emerging Markets Review, 2023, June, 55: 101023 (with Olga Klochko). [slides]
Also circulated as "Dynamics of foreign firms entry and exit in Russia".
"Technology Level and Global Value Chain", Applied Economics, 2023, April, 55(25): 2928-2943 (with Tran Lam Anh Duong).
Also circulated as:
"Technology Level and Global Value Chain": HSE Working Papers, August 2020. [slides]
"The Impact of Technology Level on Global Value Chain Formation": FIW - Working Paper, March 2019.
"Exports, Trade Costs and FDI Entry: Evidence from Japanese Firms", Transnational Corporations Journal, 2021, December, 28(3): 1-34 (with Konstantin Kucheryavyy and Kyoji Fukao) [Working paper version, February 2021] [slides].
Also circulated as "Exports and FDI Entry Decision: Evidence from Japanese Foreign-Affiliated Firms": RIETI Discussion Paper Series 17-E-036, 2017. In Japanese: Abstract, Non-technical summary.
"Japan’s participation in global value chains: splitting the IO table into production for export and domestic sale", Economic Systems Research, 2020, June, 32(2): 173-191 (with Koji Ito and Kyoji Fukao).
Also circulated as: "Japanese Plants' Heterogeneity in Sales, Factor Inputs, and Participation in Global Value Chains," RIETI Discussion paper series 17-E-117, 2017, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry. In Japanese: Abstract, Non-technical summary.
Featured as VOX column at cepr.org, Jan 2018.
"Exchange rate, political environment and FDI decision", International Economics, 2016, 148: 16-30 (with Hiroya Akiba)
[Working paper version, April 2016]
“Exchange rate and Chinese Outward FDI”, Applied Economics, 2016, 48(51): 4961-4976 (with Haiyue Liu)
“Effects of Exchange Rate and Political Environment on Japanese Outward FDI: a panel data analysis” The International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, 2012, Volume 7: 89-111 (with Hiroya Akiba).
BOOK CHAPTERS
Chapter 6: FDI and Political risk, "FDI, political risk and democracy, again", edited by Melike Bildirci, Cemal Zehir, Fazıl Kayıkçı, Murat Karagöz, Tahsin Bakırtaş, Istanbul as a global financial center, Cambridge Scholars Publishing, pp. 207-226, February 01, 2017. (with Hiroya Akiba).
[Working paper version October 2015]
OLD WORKING PAPERS
Dynamics of Japanese MNEs and the degree of connection with home (with Daisuke Fujii, Konstantin Kucheryavyy and Yukiko Saito). [slides]
Also circulated as "Why Do Japanese MNEs Enter and Exit Foreign Markets? ": RIETI Discussion Paper Series 20-E-055, 2020.