Publications
Perceived FOMC: The Making of Hawks, Doves and Swingers with Michael Bordo, Journal of Monetary Economics (2023)
Fed Communication on Financial Stability Concerns and Monetary Policy Decisions: Revelations from Speeches with Florens Odendahl and Giulia Sestieri, Journal of Banking and Finance (2023)
Forecasting Sovereign Risk in the Euro Area via Machine Learning with Guillaume Belly, Lukas Boeckelmann, Carlos Mateo Caicedo Graciano, Alberto Di Iorio, Vasileios Siakoulis and Arthur Stalla-Bourdillon, Journal of Forecasting (2023)
Public Opinion on Central Banks when Economic Policy is Uncertain with Anamaria Piloiu, Revue d'Économie Politique (2020)
Comment on: “Enhancing central bank communications using simple and relatable information” by Bholat, Broughton, Ter Meer and Walczak, Journal of Monetary Economics (2019)
Subjective Interest Rate Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy: A Cross-country Analysis with Sarah Mouabbi, Journal of International Money and Finance (2018)
Working Papers
Identification of Systematic Monetary Policy with Lukas Hack and Matthias Meier, CEPR Discussion Paper DP17999
Central Bank Communication of Uncertainty with Rayane Hanifi and Adrian Penalver, CEPR Discussion Paper DP17728
ECB Communication and its Impact on Financial Markets with Florens Odendahl and Giulia Sestieri, Banque de France Working Paper Series no. 859
Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world with K. Assenmacher et al, ECB Occasional Paper No. 2021/274
In Fed Watchers' Eyes: Hawks, Doves and Monetary Policy, Banque de France Working Paper Series no. 725
Economic Policy Uncertainty and Inflation Expectations with Anamaria Piloiu, Banque de France Working Paper N° 511
Delayed Overshooting Puzzle in Structural Vector Autoregression Models with Balazs Vonnak, Banque de France Working Paper N° 576
Work in progress
(Hawks versus Doves) versus (Rules versus Discretion) with Alex Nikolsko‐Rzhevskyy, David H. Papell and Ruxandra Prodan
The Effect of Trust on Investment Decisions in Entrepreneurial Settings with Beatrice Boulu-Reshef, Adrian Calmettes, Sofiia Mun, Romain Pfau and Luise Rohland, May 2017.
Cognitive Reflection, Anchoring Bias and the Uncertainty Effect, June 2018, mimeo
The Uncertainty Effect Revisited, 2017, mimeo
Other Research Projects
A Framework for Model Comparison and Policy Analysis: Macroeconomic Modeling after the Financial Crisis, with Volker Wieland, Meguy Kuete, Sebastian Schmidt, Fabio Verona, Maik Wolters and Jinhyuk Yoo. Link to the MMB project here
"Exchange Rate Pass-through in Albania" with Valentina Semi, Discussion Paper, October 2007, Bank of Albania. [en]
"Consumer Confidence and the Albanian Economy: Building Information Bridges” with Doriana Lama, Discussion Paper 2(22) 2007, Bank of Albania. [al]
“Forecasting the ALL/USD Exchange Rate during 2004” with Marian Gjermeni and Elvira Sojli, Workshop on Monetary Policy Issues and Inflation Forecasting, pp 89-104, January 2005, Bank of Albania. [en]
Other Writings
Several articles on deposit activity in Albania in the Economic Bulletin of Bank of Albania and on exchange rate developments and personal finance at MONITOR, a weekly economic magazine in Albania.