Poverty & Inequality
“Rapid Economic Growth but Rising Poverty Segregation: Will Vietnam Meet the SDGs for Equitable Development?” (with Shatakshee Dhongde, Minh Do, Cuong Viet Nguyen, and Obert Pimhidzai. Review of Development Economics (in press).
“Using Cross-Survey Imputation to Estimate Poverty for Venezuelan Refugees in Colombia” (with Ibrahima Sarr, Carlos Santiago Guzman Gutierrez, Theresa Beltramo, and Paolo Verme). Social Indicators Research, 177: 207–251, 2025.
"Poverty Imputation in Contexts without Consumption Data: A Revisit with Further Refinements" (with Talip Kilic, Kseniya Abanokova, and Calogero Carletto). Review of Income and Wealth, 71(1), e12714, 2025. (Special issue).
"Poverty Dynamics for Ghana during 2005/06–2016/17: An Investigation Using Synthetic Panels" (with Dhushyanth Raju, Tomomi Tanaka, and Kseniya Abanokova). Scientific African, 25, e02282, 2024.
"Estimating Poverty among Refugee Populations: A Cross-Survey Imputation Exercise for Chad" (with Theresa Beltramo, Ibrahima Sarr, and Paolo Verme). Oxford Development Studies, 52(1), 94–113, 2024.
"Life Satisfaction, Subjective Wealth, and Adaptation to Vulnerability in the Russian Federation during 2002-2019" (with Kseniya Abanokova and Michael Lokshin). Hacienda Pública Española/Review of Public Economics, 247(4), 125-153, 2023.
“Measuring Poverty Dynamics with Synthetic Panels Based on Cross-Sections” (with Peter Lanjouw). Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 85(3), 599-622, 2023.
"Estimating Poverty for Refugee Populations: Can Cross-Survey Imputation Methods Substitute for Data Scarcity?" (with Paolo Verme). Journal of Population Economics, 36(2), 653– 679, 2023.
“Regression-based imputation for poverty measurement in data scarce settings” (with Peter Lanjouw). In Jacques Silber. (Eds). Handbook of Research on Measuring Poverty and Deprivation. Edward Elgar Press, 2023.
“Poverty in Russia: A Bird’s-Eye View of Trends and Dynamics in the past Quarter of Century” (with Kseniya Abanokova). In Jacques Silber. (Eds). Handbook of Research on Measuring Poverty and Deprivation. Edward Elgar Press, 2023.
"Do Adjustments for Equivalence Scales Affect Poverty Dynamics? Evidence from the Russian Federation during 1994–2017" (with Kseniya Abanokova and Michael Lokshin). Review of Income and Wealth, 68 (S1), S167-S192, 2022.
"To Impute or Not to Impute, and How? A Review of Alternative Poverty Estimation Methods in the Context of Unavailable Consumption Data". Development Policy Review, 39(6), 1008-1030, 2021.
"India: Inequality trends and dynamics, the bird’s-eye and the granular perspectives" (with Peter Lanjouw). In Carlos Gradín, Murray Leibbrandt, and Finn Tarp. (Eds). Inequality in the Developing World. Oxford University Press (2021). (working paper) (policy brief)
"Welfare Dynamics and Inequality in the Russian Federation during 1994-2015". (with Michael Lokshin, Kseniya Abanokova, and Maurizio Bussolo). European Journal of Development Research, 32(4): 812-846, 2020 (preprint version) (working paper) (local media coverage: Kommersant, Banki, MSN News, Nevnov, 360tv).
"Can Women’s Self-Help Groups Contribute to Sustainable Development? Evidence of Capability Changes from Northern India" (with Anand, Paul, Swati Saxena, and Rolando Gonzalez). Journal of Human Development and Capabilities, 21(2): 137-160, 2020. (working paper)
"Did the Poor Adapt to Their Circumstances? Evidence from Long-run Russian Panel Data". (with Michael Lokshin and Kseniya Abanokova). Economics Bulletin, 39(4): 2258-2274, 2019. (print version)
"Data Gaps, Data Incomparability, and Data Imputation: A Review of Poverty Measurement Methods for Data-Scarce Environments". (with Dean Jolliffe and Gero Carletto). Journal of Economic Surveys, 33:3, 757-797, 2019. (preprint version) (working paper) (Data Blog: part I, part II)
"Is Poverty in Africa Mostly Chronic or Transient? Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data". (with Andrew Dabalen), Journal of Development Studies, 55:7, 1527-1547, 2019. (preprint version) (working paper) (World Economic Forum blog; a blog by Jeffrey Bloem)
"The Seemingly Underappreciated Role of Panel Data in Measuring Poverty and Economic Transformation". (with Gero Carletto), World Economics, 19(3): 45-59, 2018. (preprint version)
"Welfare Dynamics with Synthetic Panels : The Case of the Arab World in Transition". (with Elena Ianchovichina), Review of Income and Wealth, S1: S114-S144, 2018 (Special Issue).(preprint version) (working paper) (Brookings Institution blog).
“Poverty Dynamics in India between 2004-2012: Insights from Longitudinal Analysis Using Synthetic Panel Data”. (with Peter Lanjouw), Economic Development and Cultural Change, 67(1): 131-170, 2018. (preprint version) (working paper) (India Express)
“Welfare Dynamics Measurement: Two Definitions of a Vulnerability Line and Their Empirical Application". (with Peter Lanjouw), Review of Income and Wealth, 63(4): 633-660, 2017. (working paper) (preprint version; supplementary appendixes)
“Updating Poverty Estimates at Frequent Intervals in the Absence of Consumption Data: Methods and Illustration with Reference to a Middle-Income Country”. (with Peter Lanjouw and Umar Serajuddin), Oxford Economic Papers, 69(4): 939-962, 2017. (working paper) (preprint version) (non-technical summary, Development Impact blog, Let's Talk Development blog; World Economic Forum blog) (Type "ssc install povimp" from within Stata to install our Stata program for poverty imputation).
“Who Remained in Poverty, Who Moved Up, and Who Fell Down? An Investigation of Poverty Dynamics in Senegal in the Late 2000s.” (with Peter Lanjouw and Rob Swinkels). In Machiko Nissanke and Muna Ndulo. (Eds). Poverty Reduction in the Course of African Development, Festschrift for Erick Thorbecke. Oxford University Press, pp.183-217, 2017. (preprint version) (working paper)
“Toward a New Definition of Shared Prosperity: A Dynamic Perspective from Three Countries”. (with Peter Lanjouw). In Kaushik Basu and Joseph Stiglitz. (Eds). Inequality and Growth: Patterns and Policy. Palgrave-Macmillan Press, pp.151-171, 2016. (working paper)
“Filling Gaps When Poverty Data Are Missing: Updating Poverty Estimates Frequently With Different Data Sources in Jordan”. (with Peter F. Lanjouw and Umar Serajuddin). In Tim Besley. (Eds). Contemporary Issues in Development Economics. Palgrave Macmillan Press, pp.90-96, 2016. (preprint version)
“Using Repeated Cross-Sections to Explore Movements in and out of Poverty”. (with Peter Lanjouw, Jill Luoto and David McKenzie), Journal of Development Economics, 107: 112-128, 2014. (working paper) (Stata data & programs posted on David McKenzie's website) (media coverage: Foreign Policy)
“Vietnam: A Widening Poverty Gap for Ethnic Minorities”, in Gillette Hall and Harry Patrinos. (Eds.) “Indigenous Peoples, Poverty and Development”. Cambridge University Press, pp.304-343, 2012. (preprint version) (summary)
“Was Vietnam’s Economic Growth in the 1990’s Pro-Poor? An Analysis of Panel Data from Vietnam”. (with Paul Glewwe), Economic Development and Cultural Change, 59(3): 583-608, 2011. (preprint version)
Education, Health & Labor
"Educational Inequalities during COVID-19: Results from Longitudinal Surveys in Sub-Saharan Africa." (with Gbemisola Oseni and Kseniya Abanokova). International Journal of Educational Development, 112, 103174, 2025.
“Economic inequalities in adolescents’ internalising symptoms: longitudinal evidence from eight countries” (with Thomas Steare, Sara Evans-Lacko, Mesele Araya, Santiago Cueto, Revathi Ellanki, Emily Garman, Gemma Lewis, Kelly Rose-Clarke, and Praveetha Patalay ). Lancet Psychiatry, 11(11), 890-898, 2024.
"Does the COVID-19 Pandemic Disproportionately Affect the Poor? Evidence from a Six-Country Survey" (with Toan Huynh and Manh-Hung Nguyen). Journal of Economics and Development, 26(1), 2-18, 2024.
"Do Refugees with Better Mental Health Better Integrate? Evidence from the Building a New Life in Australia Longitudinal Survey" (with Trong-Anh Trinh and Paolo Verme). Health Economics, 32(12), 2819-2835, 2023.
“Did a Successful Fight against the COVID-19 Pandemic Come at a Cost? Impacts of the Outbreak on Employment Outcomes in Vietnam” (with Cuong Viet Nguyen and Calogero Carletto). World Development, 161, 106129, 2023.
"What Explains Vietnam’s Exceptional Performance in Education Relative to Other Countries? Analysis of the 2012, 2015 and 2018 PISA Data" (with Paul Glewwe, Jongwook Lee and Khoa Vu). Economics of Education Review, 96, 102434, 2023.
“COVID-19 Pandemic and the health and well-being of vulnerable people in Vietnam” (with Minh Do). In Pranee Liamputtong. (Eds). Handbook of Social Sciences and Global Public Health. Springer Nature Press, 2023.
“The Unequal Impact of the COVID Pandemic: Theory and Evidence on Health and Economic Outcomes for Different Income Groups” (with Cécile Aubert and Manh-Hung Nguyen). Revue Francaise d'Economie, XXXVII(2): 43-77, 2022.
"Inequality and Support for Government Responses to COVID-19" (with Edmund Malesky and Cuong Viet Nguyen). PLoS ONE, 17(9): e0272972, 2022.
"The Beneficial Impacts of COVID-19 Lockdowns on Air Pollution: Evidence from Vietnam" (with Trong-Anh Trinh). Journal of Development Studies, 58(10), 1917-1933, 2022.
"Childcare and Maternal Employment: Evidence from Vietnam" (with Masako Hiraga and Cuong Viet Nguyen). World Development, 159, 106022, 2022.
“Decomposing learning inequalities in East Africa: how much does sorting matter?” (with Paul Anand, Jere Behrman, and Sam Jones ). World Bank Economic Review, 36(1), 219–243, 2022.
"Poverty in India in the Face of Covid-19: Diagnosis and Prospects" (with Peter Lanjouw and Elise Vrijburg). Review of Development Economics, 25(4), 1816-1837 2021.
"Building on Vietnam’s Recent COVID-19 Success: A Job-Focused Analysis of Individual Assessments on Their Finance and the Economy " (with Long Giang and Minh Do). Sustainability, 13(19), 10664, 2021. (local media coverage: Tia Sáng).
"The Long-run and Gender-equalizing Impacts of School Access: Evidence from the First Indochina War". (with Trung Hoang and Ha Nguyen). Economic Development and Cultural Change. 70(1), 453-484, 2021 (preprint version) (working paper) 1. (media coverage: Telegraph)
“Gender Inequality during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Income, Expenditure, Savings, and Job Loss” (with Cuong Nguyen). World Development, 105296, 2021 (media coverage: the Hill, Jobs and Development blog, Suffolk Journal).
"Does the COVID-19 Lockdown Improve Global Air Quality? New Cross-National Evidence on Its Unintended Consequences" (with Trong-Anh Trinh). Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 105: 102401, 2021.
"Children left-behind in China: The role of school fees". (with Yang Huang and Harris Selod). IZA Journal of Development and Migration, 11(1), 2020. (preprint version) (working paper)
"Varied Patterns of Catch-up in Child Growth: Evidence from Young Lives" (with Paul Anand, Jere Behrman, and Sam Jones). Social Science and Medicine, 214: 206-213, 2018. (preprint version) (working paper)
"Well begun, but aiming higher: a review of Vietnam's education trends in the past 20 years and emerging challenges". (with Paul Glewwe), Journal of Development Studies, 54(7): 1171-1195, 2018. (preprint version) (working paper) (media coverage: Center for Global Development blog)
“Incentives and Teacher Effort: Further Evidence from a Developing Country”. (with Elizabeth King), Economics of Transition, 24(4): 621-660, 2016. (preprint version) (working paper) (non-technical summary here)
“The Decision to Invest in Child Quality over Quantity: Household Size and Household Investment in Education in Vietnam”. (with Halsey Rogers), World Bank Economic Review, 30(1): 104-142, 2016. (working paper) (preprint version; supplementary tables) (non-technical summary here)
“Private Tutoring in Vietnam: A Review of Current Issues and Its Major Correlates”. In Janice Aurini, Julian Dierkes and Scott Davis. (Eds.) Out of the Shadows: The Global Intensification of Supplementary Education. International Perspectives on Education and Society, Vol. 22: pp. 95-128, 2013. Emerald Press. (working paper) (media coverage: University World News)
“How Much Work Is Too Much? Effects of Child Work Hours on Schooling- The Case of Egypt”. (with Ragui Assaad and Deborah Levinson), Research in Labor Economics, 31: 53- 97, 2010. (working paper)
“The Growing Phenomenon of Private Tutoring: Does It Deepen Human Capital, Widen Inequalities, or Waste Resources?” (with Halsey Rogers), World Bank Research Observer, 23(2): 161-200, 2008. (preprint version) (working paper) (media coverage: Atlantic Monthly)
“Private Tutoring in Vietnam: An Investigation of its Causes and Impacts with Policy Implications”. VDM Verlag Dr. Mueller Publishing House: Saarbrucken, Germany. 2008. (preprint version) (available on Amazon)
“The Determinants and Impact of Private Tutoring Classes in Vietnam”. Economics of Education Review, 26(6): 684-699, 2007 (Special Issue). (preprint version) (sample Stata data & program for joint ordered probit-Tobit model)
Climate change, Statistical capacity and Other topics
“The Impacts of Climate Change and Air Pollution on Children’s Education Outcomes: Evidence from Viet Nam”. (with Minh Do and Cuong Viet Nguyen). Economics of Education Review, forthcoming.
“Does Global Warming Worsen Poverty and Inequality? An Updated Review” (with Stephane Hallegatte and Trong-Anh Trinh ). Journal of Economic Surveys, 38(5), 1873-1905, 2024.
“Country Statistical Capacity: A Recent Assessment Tool and Further Reflections on the Way Forward” (with Dean Jolliffe, Umar Serajuddin, and Brian Stacy). Statistical Journal of the IAOS, 40(2), 211–225, 2024.
"Statistical Performance Indicators and Index: A New Tool to Measure Country Statistical Capacity” (with John Pullinger, Umar Serajuddin, and Brian Stacy). Scientific Data, 10, 146, 2023. (media coverage: Trade for Development blog; Data blog 1, 2, 3; TReND blog; Development Asia blog)
“Is Climate Change Slowing the Urban Escalator out of Poverty? Evidence from Chile, Colombia, and Indonesia” (with Shohei Nakamura, Kseniya Abanokova, Shinya Takamatsu, Chunchen Pei, Dilou Prospere). International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 20, 4865, 2023.
"Measuring the Statistical Capacity of Nations" (with Grant Cameron, Mustafa Dinc, James Foster, and Michael Lokshin). Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 83(4), 870-896, 2021. (preprint version) (working paper) (Data blog) (2016 SPI data)
"Tracking the Sustainable Development Goals: Emerging Measurement Challenges and Further Reflections". (with Umar Serajuddin), World Development, 127(3): 104570, 2020. (preprint version) (working paper). Data blog.
“International Aid and Financial Crises in Donor Countries”. (with Steve Knack and Halsey Rogers), European Journal of Political Economy, 32: 232-250, 2013. (working paper) (media coverage: Oxfarm blog)
“The Impact of Decentralized Data Entry on the Quality of Household Survey Data in Developing Countries: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in Vietnam”. (with Paul Glewwe), World Bank Economic Review, 22(1): 165-185, 2008. (preprint version)