Publications

In Prep

1. Ng, T., Garner, G.G., Hogarth, P., Palmer, M.D., Weeks, J., Kopp, R.E., Gangadharan, N., Moise, A., Horton, B.P., 2024: Sea-level projections in the 21st and 22nd century for Singapore. In prep.

Under Review

1. Naish, T., Levy, R., Hamling, I., Garner, G.G., Hreinsdottir, S., Kopp, R.E., Golledge, N.R., Bell, R., Paulik, R., Lawrence, J., Denys, P., Gillies, T., Bengtson, S., Clark, K., King, D., Litchfield, N., Newnham, R., Wallace, L., 2024: The significance of vertical land movements at convergent plate boundaries in probabilistic sea-level projections for AR6 scenarios: The New Zealand Case. Earth’s Future. Under Review.

Published

1. Kopp, R.E., Garner, G.G., Hermans, T.H.J., Jha, S., Kumar, P., Reedy, A., Slangen, A.B.A., Turilli, M., Edwards, T.L., Gregory, J.M., Koubbe, G., Levermann, A., Merzky, A., Nowicki, S., Palmer, M.D., Smith, C., 2023: The Framework for Assessing Changes To Sea-Level (FACTS) v1.0: A platform for characterizing parametric and structural uncertainty in future global, relative, and extreme sea-level change. Geoscientific Model Development. doi: 10.5194/gmd-16-7461-2023.

2. Saintilan, N., Horton, B., Tornqvist, T.E., Ashe, E.L., Khan, N.S., Schuerch, M., Perry, C., Kopp, R.E., Garner, G.G., Murray, N., Rogers, K., Albert, S., Kelleway, J., Shaw, T.A., Woodroffe, C.D., Lovelock, C.E., Goddard, M.M., Hutley, L.B., Kovalenko, K., Feher, L., Guntenspergen, G., 2023: Widespread retreat of coastal habit is likely at warming levels above 1.5°C. Nature. doi: 10.1038/s41586-023-06448-z.

3. Kopp, R.E., Oppenheimer, M., O’Reilly, J.L., Drijfhout, S.S., Edwards, T.L., Fox-Kemper, B., Garner, G.G., Golledge, N.R., Hermans, T.H.J., Hewitt, H.T., Horton, B.P., Krinner, G., Notz, D., Nowicki, S., Palmer, M.D., Slangen, A.B.A, Xiao, C., 2023: Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users. Nature Climate Change. doi: 10.1038/s41558-023-01691-8.

4. Shaw, T.A., Li, T., Ng, T., Cahill, N., Chua, S., Majewski, J.M., Nathan, Y., Garner, G.G., Kopp, R.E., Hanebuth, T.J.J., Switzer, A.D., Horton, B.P., 2023: Deglacial perspectives of future sea level for Singapore. Communications Earth & Environment. doi: 10.1038/s43247-023-00868-5.

5. Hermans, T.H.J., Malagon-Santos, V., Katsman, C.A., Jane, R.A., Rasmussen, D.J., Haasnoot, M., Garner, G.G., Kopp, R.E., Oppenheimer, M., Slangen, A.B.A., 2023: The timing of decreasing coastal flood protection due to sea-level rise. Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038/s41558-023-01616-5.

6. Garner, A.J., Sosa, S.E., Tan, F., Tan, C.W.J., Garner, G.G., Horton, B.P., 2023: Evaluating knowledge gaps in sea-level rise assessments from the United States. Earth’s Future, 11 (2), doi: 10.1029/2022EF003187.

7. Slangen, A.B.A., Palmer, M.D., Camargo, C.M.L., Church, J.A., Edwards, T.L., Hermans, T.H.J., Hewitt, H., Garner, G.G., Gregory, J.M., Kopp, R.E., Malagon-Santos, V., van de Wal, R.S.W., 2023: The evolution of 21st century sea-level projections from IPCC AR5 to AR6 and beyond. Coastal Futures. doi: 10.1017/cft.2022.8.

8. Hermans, T.H.J., Katsman, C.A., Camargo, C.M.L., Garner, G.G., Kopp, R.E., Slangen, A.B.A., 2022: The effect of wind stress on seasonal sea-level change on the Northwestern European Shelf. Journal of Climate. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0636.1.

9. Lamontagne, J.R., Reed, P.M., Marangoni, G., Keller, K., Garner, G.G., 2019: Robust pathways to tolerable climate futures require immediate global action. Nature Climate Change. doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0426-8 .

10. Garner, G.G., Keller, K., 2017: Using Direct Policy Search to Identify Robust Strategies in Adapting to Uncertain Sea Level Rise and Storm Surge. Environmental Modelling and Software. 107, 96-104. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.05.006.

11. Oddo, P.M., Lee, B.S., Garner, G.G., Srikrishnan, V., Reed, P.M., Forest, C.E., Keller, K., 2017: Deep uncertainties in sea-level rise and storm surge projections: Implications for coastal flood risk management. Risk Analysis. doi: 10.1111/risa.12888.

12. Adler, M., Anthoff, D., Bosetti, V., Garner, G.G., Keller, K., Treich, N., 2017: Priority for the worse-off and the social cost of carbon. Nature Climate Change. doi: 10.1038/nclimate3298

13. Simpson, M.B., Garner, G.G., Wallgrun, J.O., Keller, K., Oprean, D., Bansal, S., Klippel, A., 2016: Immersive Visual Analytics for Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change. Proceedings of the 2016 ACM Companion on Interactive Surfaces and Spaces, ACM, 99-105. doi: 10.1145/3009939.3009955

14. Garner, G.G., Reed, P.M., Keller, K., 2016: Climate Risk Management Requires Explicit Representation of Societal Trade-offs. Clim. Change. doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1607-3 (Open Access)

15. Garner, G.G., Thompson, A.M., 2013: Ensemble Statistical Post-Processing of the National Air Quality Forecast Capability: Enhancing Ozone Forecasts in Baltimore, Maryland. Atmos. Env. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2013.09.020 (Open Access)

16. Garner, G.G., Thompson, A.M., Lee, P., Martins, D.K., 2013: Evaluation of NAQFC Model Performance in Forecasting Surface Ozone during the 2011 DISCOVER-AQ Campaign. J. Atmos. Chem. doi: 10.1007/s10874-013-9251-z (Open Access)

17. Garner, G.G., Thompson, A.M., 2012: The Value of Air Quality Forecasting in the Mid-Atlantic Region. Wea. Climate Soc., 4, 69-79. doi: 10.1175/WCAS-D-10-05010.1

Datasets and Software

1. Garner, G.G., Hermans, T.H.J., Kopp, R.E., Slangen, A.B.A., Edwards, T.L., Levermann, A., Nowicki, S., Palmer, M.D., Smith, C., Fox-Kemper, B., Hewitt, H.T., Xiao, C., Aoalgeirsdottir, G., Drijfhout, S.S., Golledge, N.R., Hemer, M., Krinner, G., Mix, A., Notz, D., Nurhati, I.S., Ruiz, L., Sallee, J.B., Yu, Y., Hua, L., Palmer, T., Pearson, B., 2021: IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections. Version 20210809. Zenodo. doi: 10.5281/zenodo.5914709.

2. Garner, G.G., Kopp, R.E., 2022: Framework for assessing changes to sea-level (FACTS) modules, scripts, and data for the IPCC AR6 sea level projections. Version 20220406. Zenodo. doi: 10.5281/zenodo.6419953.

3. Kopp, R.E., Garner, G.G., Jha, S., Hermans, T.H.J., Reedy, A., Slangen, A.B.A., Turilli, M., Merzky, A., Koubbe, G., 2023: Framework For Assessing Changes to Sea-Level (FACTS). Zenodo. doi: 10.5281/zenodo.7502824. GitHub. https://github.com/radical-collaboration/facts.

Book chapters, conference abstracts, and other non-peer reviewed

1. Sweet, W.V., Hamlington, B.D, Kopp, R.E., Weaver, C.P., Barnard, P.L., Bekaert, D., Brooks, W., Craghan, M., Dusek, G., Frederikse, T., Garner, G.G., Genz, A.S., Krasting, J.P., Larour, E., Marcy, D., Marra, J.J., Obeysekera, J., Osler, M., Pendleton, M., Roman, D., Schmied, L., Veatch, W., White, K.D., and Zuzak, C., 2022: Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States: Up-dated Mean Projections and Extreme Water Level Probabilities Along U.S. Coastlines. NOAA Technical Report NOS 01. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, MD, 111 pp. https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/hazards/sealevelrise/noaa-nos-techrpt01-global-regional-SLR-scenarios-US.pdf

2. Levy, R., Naish, T., Bell, R., Golledge, N., Clarke, L., Garner, G.G., Hamling, I., Heine, Z., Hreinsdottir, S., Lawrence, J., Lowry, D., Priestley, R., Vargo, L., 2020: Te tai pari o Aotearoa - Future sea level rise around New Zealand’s dynamic coastline. New Zealand Coastal Society, 1, 11-20, https://www.coastalsociety.org.nz/assets/Publications/Special-Issues/SP4-Low-res-version.pdf

3. Applegate, P.J., Sriver, R.L., Garner, G.G., Bakker, A., Alley, R.B., Keller, K., 2015: Risk Analysis in the Earth Sciences: A Lab Manual with Exercises in R. Applegate, P.J. and Keller, K. (eds). LeanPub. https://leanpub.com/raes (Free Download)