Bayesian Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics

Professor Gary Koop

University of Strathclyde

E-mail: Gary.Koop@strath.ac.uk

with Aubrey Poon of Orebro University

E-mail: aubrey.poon@oru.se

Course Outline and Organization

Textbooks, Monographs and Handouts Used in the Course

My textbook Bayesian Econometrics

Corrections to textbook

My book of solved exercises (co-authored with Joshua Chan, Dale Poirier and Justin Tobias), Bayesian Econometric Methods second edition

Bayesian Models for Macroeconomic Forecasting (with Florian Huber)

A handout on Bayesian Methods for Fat Data

My monograph (co-authored with Dimitris Korobilis) Bayesian Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics

A short paper on Bayesian Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics with Big Data

A Bank of England Technical Handbook written by Andrew Blake and Haroon Mumtaz Applied Bayesian Econometrics for Central Bankers

A working paper which describes a package of computer code for Bayesian VARs The BEAR Toolbox by Alistair Dieppe, Romain Legrand and Bjorn van Roye at the European Central Bank


Lecture Slides

Topic 1: An Overview of Bayesian Econometrics

Topic 2: Bayesian Inference in the Normal Linear Regression Model

Topic 3: An Overview of Recent Advances in Macroeconomic Forecasting

Topic 4: An Introduction to Bayesian Machine Learning Methods

Topic 5: An Introduction to Bayesian Nonparametrics

Topic 6: Bayesian Vector Autoregressions

Topic 7: Bayesian State Space Models

Topic 8: TVP-VARs with Stochastic Volatility

Topic 9: Bayesian Inference in Factor Models

Topic 10: Bayesian Mixed Frequency Methods for Macroeconomics


Computer Practical Sessions

Computer Practical 1

Package of Materials for Computer Practical 1

Computer Practical 2

Package of Materials for Computer Practical 2

Computer Practical 3

Package of Materials for Computer Practical 3

Computer Practical 4

Package of Materials for Computer Practical 4

Computer Practical 5

Package of Materials for Computer Practical 5


Assessment for the Course (for those wishing to be assessed):

Please do one of the following two assessments:

Empirical Project

Journal Article Summary