Working papers

• Overconfident forecasters and the impact of inflation information: Evidence from a randomized survey experiment (w/ S. Sonti) [SUERF column]

• The Macroeconomic Effects of AI Technology Shocks (w/ A. Gazzani) 

• Where Do Technology Shocks Come From? Public Funding and Private Ownership (w/ A. Gazzani, J. Martinez and P. Surico) [previously known as The Public Origins of American Innovation] [FT, VoxEU, NadaEsGratis]

  • Heat, Cold, and the Macroeconomy: Temperature Shocks Are Not All Alike [Available at SSRN]  [SUERF column]

  • Flight to climatic safety: local natural disasters and global portfolio allocation (w/ F. Ferriani and A. Gazzani) [VoxEU column] [VoxDEV]

• Temperatures and search: evidence from the housing market (with M. Cascarano) [VoxEU column] [Italian media: LaRepubblica, Corriere Della Sera, and others]

Work in progress:

• • Temperatures and racial profiling (w/ M. Bernardi e M. Cascarano)

  • Fiscal Credibility and Firm Expectations (w/ C. Bernardi)

Unpublished works:

• • Consumption volatility risk and the inversion of the yield curve (with A. Grasso)

  • Climate change and bank lending: the case of flood risk in Italy (with I. Faiella) 

• A new indicator of inflation expectations anchoring (with L. Sigalotti)

  • The gradual approach and the transmission of monetary policy (with L. Metelli and L. Rossi)

  • Hedging less in bad times (with F. Ferriani, G. Veronese, F. Zeni)