Professor and Director of Undergraduate Studies, School of Business, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.

About me

Ph.D. in Economics, University of Minnesota. 

I am a Macroeconomist with research interest in Climate Economics and Public Finance. I hold a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Minnesota. My research is on the optimal design of climate policies and sits at the intersection of Macroeconomics and Climate Change with applications from Public Finance. 

CESifo Distinguished Affiliate. (Award). Distinguished CESifo Affiliate Award Recipient (2016) in Energy and Climate Economics.

Citizenship:  Argentinean. Italian.

Download my CV: Belfiori_Vita.pdf 

Mail to: elisabelfiori@gmail.com 

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WORKING PAPERS.

Climate Inequality: Carbon Capture for Redistribution, with Manuel Macera @Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. (Paper). We study optimal climate policy in a global economy where regions differ in wealth and climate vulnerability. Carbon emissions from production lead to output losses, and there is technology for emissions absorption. We provide an aggregation result: the model with heterogeneity can be cast into a representative region economy with a different discount factor and damage function. This result offers a simple rule to account for inequality in the design of optimal climate policy. We show that wealthier regions should bear more responsibility for carbon capture to cleanse the atmosphere, and that inequality per se does not entail a compromise on climate goals. As inequality increases, a more stringent climate policy is efficient, utilizing regional carbon capture as a means of redistribution across regions. Conversely, if carbon capture must be uniform across regions, optimal global climate policy implies higher emissions and reduced carbon capture, undermining overall effectiveness. An important insight is that carbon capture can serve as a redistribution tool when direct lump-sum transfers between unequal regions are not feasible.

Unequal Climate Policy in an Unequal World, with Daniel Carroll @Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Sewon Hur @Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (Paper). We study the link between household inequality and carbon taxes. First, using detailed household expenditure and embodied emissions data, we document that low-income household expenditures have higher embodied emissions per dollar than that of high-income households, suggesting that a carbon tax may be regressive. Second, using a simple climate-economy model with unequal households, we show that when the planner has access to a full set of tax and transfer instruments, the optimal carbon tax follows the Pigouvian rule and is the same tax that would result from a representative agent framework. However, when the planner is not allowed to distribute resources across agents, the constrained optimal carbon tax is heterogeneous: higher income households are taxed at a higher rate because of their lower marginal utility. When the planner is further limited to uniform carbon taxes across agents, we show that the uniform constrained optimal carbon tax deviates from the Pigouvian rule and is lower than the unconstrained optimal carbon tax. Finally, we embed the simple climate-economy into a standard incomplete markets model to quantify the effectiveness of these policies in reducing carbon emissions and their distributional consequences.

Needed: a Price for Carbon Capture. Submitted. This paper presents a macroeconomic framework for carbon markets. I set up a global climate-economy with carbon-intensive energy inputs, renewable energy, natural carbon sinks, and a carbon capture technology to show that (i) within a comprehensive carbon pricing system, a carbon tax alone implements any given path of carbon emissions; (ii) `additionality' is not a property of the optimal carbon pricing system; (iii) without a carbon tax, renewable subsidies, preservation of carbon sinks and a price for carbon capture are needed.

WORK IN PROGRESS.

Carbon Taxes and Inequality: A Sufficient Statistic Approach, with Sewon Hur @Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

Argentina’s Climate Policy: Agriculture and Livestocks, with Daniel Perczyk @Fundación Torcuato Di Tella.

PUBLICATIONS.

Implicit Carbon Prices: Making do with the taxes we have, with Armon Rezai @WU Vienna. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2024, Volume 125, ISSN 0095-0696, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102950.

Fossil fuel subsidies, the green paradox and the fiscal paradox. Economics of Energy and Environmental Policy, 2021, Volume 10, Number 1. DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.10.1.mbel

No Brainers in Argentina's Climate Policy (Paper) (Book) In: No Brainers and Low-Hanging Fruit in National Climate Policy. CEPR PRESS. Chapter 1. Edited by Francesco Caselli, Alexander Ludwig and Rick van der Ploeg. October 2021. 

Carbon taxes and renewable energy: a discussion about the Green paradox (Paper), In: The Economics of Climate Change in Argentina. Peer-reviewed. Chapter 6. Edited by Belfiori M.E., and Rabassa M.J.. The Latin American Studies Book Series. Springer, Cham. March 2021.

 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-62252-7_6.

Climate change and intergenerational equity: Revisiting the uniform taxation principle on carbon energy inputs  (Paper). Energy Policy, Volume 121, October 2018, pages 292-299, ISSN 0301-4215, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.06.026.

Carbon Pricing, Carbon Sequestration, and Social Discounting (Paper) (Poster). European Economic Review, Volume 96, July 2017, Pages 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2017.03.015Awarded the 2016 CESifo Distinguished Research Affiliate Award in Energy and Climate Economics.

Time Consistent Climate Policies (Paper) In:  Political Economy And Instruments of Environmental Politics. The MIT Press.  Peer-reviewed. Chapter 12. Edited by Friedrich Schneider, Andrea Kollmann and Johannes Reichl. August 2015.  http://dx.doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/9780262029247.003.0012

PEER-REVIEWED BOOKS

Climate Change and Sustainable Growth: Insights from Argentina. Belfiori, Elisa and Gertner, Gastón. Editors. SpringerBriefs in Latin American Studies. Peer-reviewed. Springer, Cham. Accepted. (Expected Dec 2024). Book Outline and Contributors. New!

The Economics of Climate Change in Argentina. Belfiori, Elisa and Rabassa, Mariano J. Editors. March, 2021. The Latin American Studies Book Series. Peer-reviewed. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-62252-7

POLICY REPORTS

Desarrollo Sostenible, Medio Ambiente e Infraestructura. Nota sectorial para el reporte IDEAL 2022: Energía, agua y salud para un mejor medio ambiente. (link) , CAF- Banco de Desarrollo de America Latina. 

Academic advisor for Reporte de Economía y Desarrollo (RED) 2023, Desafíos globales, soluciones regionales: América Latina y el Caribe frente a la crisis climática y de biodiversidadDesafíos globales, soluciones regionales. (link),  CAF- Banco de Desarrollo de America Latina. 

OPINION & MEDIA

Econ-on-Mics Podcast. Episode 1  Episode 7

Transición 2030.  A24 

Pensar Distinto. TN - Todo Noticias. 

Las emisiones de carbono crecen desde 1900, el calentamiento global no se detiene. Diario Perfil

Cometas, mamuts y viaje a lo desconocido: un año bisagra para la economía del clima. LaNacion

Mamuts y gigacornios: cuenta regresiva en la economía del cambio climático. LaNacion

Pandemia en Tiempos de Cambio Climático. Institucional 30 años DiTella.

¿El subsidio a las renovables debe ser cero?: El Cronista