Journal Articles

Robots, tasks, and trade (with Erhan Artuc and Bob Rijkers), Journal of International Economics, 145, 103828, 2023. Blogs: Let's Talk Development; VoxDev Column

Resource rents, coercion, and local development: Evidence from post-apartheid South Africa (with Nicolas Bottan), World Development, 169 (September), 106289, 2023.

Economic integration, industrial structure, and catch-up growth: Firm-level evidence from Poland (with Stefania Lovo, Gonzalo Varela and Jan Hagemejer), Review of International Economics, April, 1-35, 2022. 

Long-run effects of trade liberalization on local labor markets: Evidence from South Africa (with Nicolas Santos), World Economy, 45(10), 3059-3079, 2022.

Exposure of Belt and Road Economies to China Trade Shocks, Journal of Development Economics, 145(June), 2020. Blog: The Trade Post

Export destinations and input prices (with Joana Silva and Eric Verhoogen), American Economic Review, 108(2), 353-392, 2018. Blogs: World Bank Research Digest Summary (p. 4); VoxDev. Awarded: GEE-PwC Competitiveness and Internationalization Prize

Foreign acquisition and internal organization (with Natalia P. Monteiro and Odd Rune Straume), Journal of International Economics, 114(5), 143-163, 2018.

Learning, prices, and firm dynamics (with Daniel Dias and Olga Timoshenko). Canadian Journal of Economics, 51(4), 1257-1311, 2018. Blog:  Portuguese Economy Research Report; Awarded: GEE-PwC Competitiveness and Internationalization Prize 

Access to pre-primary education and progression in primary school: Evidence from rural Guatemala (with Julian Cristia and Nicolas Bottan), Economic Development and Cultural Change, 65(3), 521-547, 2017.

Exports and job training (with Joana Silva and Rafael Proenca), Review of International Economics,  24(4), 737-756, 2016.

Preschool education in Brazil: Does public supply crowd out private enrollment? (with Odd Rune Straume), World Development, 78, 496-510, 2016.

Does energy consumption respond to price shocks? Evidence from a regression-discontinuity design (with Lucio Castro, Julian Cristia and Carlos Scartascini), Journal of Industrial Economics, 63(2), 249-278, 2015.

The effect of private versus public ownership on labor earnings (with Odd Rune Straume and Natália P. Monteiro), Oxford Economic Papers, 66(4), 983-1005, 2014.

The impact of private versus public ownership on the level and structure of employment (with Odd Rune Straume and Natália P. Monteiro), Economics of Transition, 22(2), 247-280, 2014.

Rain, agriculture, and tariffs (with Odd Rune Straume and Jaime A. Urrego), Journal of International Economics, 90(2), 364-377, 2013.

Exchange rates and wages in unionized labor markets (with Peter Wright), Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 65(4), 975-999, 2012.

Networks, firms, and trade (with Joana Silva), Journal of International Economics, 87(2), 352-364, 2012. Blog: Portuguese Economy Research Report

Globalization, product differentiation and wage inequality (with Odd Rune Straume), Canadian Journal of Economics, 45(3), 857-878, 2012.

Supply and quality choices in private child care markets: Evidence from São Paulo (with Julian Cristia), Journal of Development Economics, 98(2), 149-286, 2012.

Managers and wage policies (with Natália P. Monteiro), Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, 20(4), 957-984, 2011. Lead article.

The quality of a firm's exports: Where you export to matters (with Joana Silva), Journal of International Economics, 82(2), 99-111, 2010. Lead article.

Open shop unions and product market competition (with Udo Kreickemeier and Peter Wright), Canadian Journal of Economics, 43(2), 640-662, 2010.

Identifying vertically differentiated products (with Joana Silva), Economics Letters, 106(1), 32-34, 2010.

Unions, competition and international trade in general equilibrium (with Udo Kreickemeier), Journal of International Economics, 79(2), 238-247, 2009.

Oligopoly, open shop unions and trade liberalisation (with Udo Kreickemeier and Peter Wright), International Journal of Industrial Organization, 27(6), 679-686, 2009.

Firm heterogeneity and wages in unionised labour markets: Theory and evidence (with Natália P. Monteiro and Odd Rune Straume), Labour Economics, 16(4), 440-450, 2009.

The dynamics of international trade patterns (with Manuel Cabral), Review of World Economics, 143(3), 391-415, 2007. Lead article.

Articles in Edited Volumes

Robots and trade: Implications for developing countries (with Erhan Artuc, Alexander Copestake and Bob Rijkers), in Lili Yan Ing and Gene Grossman (eds.), Robots and AI: A New Economic Era, Oxon and New York: Routledge, 2022.

Drought impacts and cost analysis for Northeast Brazil, in E. De Nys, N. Engle and Magalhaes, A. (eds.), Drought in Brazil: Proactive Management and Policy, 119-142, Taylor and Francis, 2016.

The wage and unemployment impacts of trade adjustment (with Joana Silva), in D. Greenaway, R. Upward and P. Wright (eds.), Globalisation and Labour Market Adjustment, 31-53, Palgrave Macmillan, 2008.

Selected Policy Work

World Development Report 2020: Trading for Development in the Age of Global Value Chains (Core Team Member)