Publications
o "Illuminating the Effects of the US-China Tariff War on China's Economy".
Journal of International Economics, July 2024, 150: 103926.
With Bingjing Li.
Also: NBER Working Paper No. 29349. The Economist. The Wall Street Journal.
[Online Appendix] [Data and Program Files]
o "Did Trump's Trade War Impact the 2018 Election?"
Journal of International Economics, March 2024, 148: 103891.
With Emily J. Blanchard and Chad P. Bown.
Also: NBER Working Paper No. 26434.
[Online Appendix] [Data and Program Files]
o "The Political Economy Consequences of China's Export Slowdown".
Journal of the European Economic Association, October 2023, 21(5): 1721-1771.
With Filipe R. Campante and Bingjing Li.
Also: NBER Working Paper No. 25925. ProMarket. U.S. News and World Report. MarketWatch. Tuck Knowledge in Practice.
[Online Appendix] [Data and Program Files] [Slides]
o "Global Value Chains".
In the Handbook of International Economics, Vol. 5, 2022. Eds: Gita Gopinath, Elhanan Helpman, and Kenneth Rogoff. Elsevier.
Chapter 5, pp.297-376.
With Pol Antràs. Long version: NBER Working Paper No. 28549.
[Appendix]
o "Growing Like China: Firm Performance and Global Production Line Position".
Journal of International Economics, May 2021, 130: 103445. NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics issue.
With Kalina Manova and Zhihong Yu. Also: NBER Working Paper No. 27795.
[Online Appendix] [Data and Program Files]
o "Modelling Global Value Chains: Approaches and Insights from Economics".
In the Handbook of Global Value Chains, 2019. Eds: Stefano Ponte, Gary Gereffi, and Gale Raj-Reichert. Edward Elgar.
Chapter 5, pp.105-119.
o "Host-Country Financial Development and Multinational Activity".
European Economic Review, June 2019, 115: 192-220.
With L. Kamran Bilir and Kalina Manova. Also: NBER Working Paper No. 20046. Vox EU.
[Appendix]
o "Internalizing Global Value Chains: A Firm-Level Analysis".
Journal of Political Economy, April 2019, 127(2): 508-559.
With Laura Alfaro, Pol Antràs, and Paola Conconi. Also: NBER Working Paper No. 21582. Vox EU.
[Appendix] [Data and Program Files]
o "On the Measurement of Upstreamness and Downstreamness in Global Value Chains".
In World Trade Evolution: Growth, Productivity and Evolution, 2018. Eds: Lili Yan Ing and Miaojie Yu. Routledge.
With Pol Antràs. Also: NBER Working Paper No. 24185.
[Data and Program Files] [Slides]
o ""The People Want the Fall of the Regime": Schooling, Political Protest, and the Economy".
Journal of Comparative Economics, August 2014, 42(3): 495-517.
With Filipe R. Campante.
[Online Appendix] [Data and Program Files]
o "Organizing the Global Value Chain".
Econometrica, November 2013, 81(6): 2127-2204.
With Pol Antràs. Also: NBER Working Paper No. 18163.
[Online Appendix] [Data and Program Files] [Slides]
o "Schooling, Political Participation, and the Economy".
Review of Economics and Statistics, November 2012, 94(4): 841-859.
With Filipe R. Campante.
[Supplementary Appendix] [Data and Programs]
Previously circulated as: "Schooling and Political Participation in a Neoclassical Framework: Theory and Evidence".
o "Measuring the Upstreamness of Production and Trade Flows".
American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, May 2012, 102(3): 412-416.
With Pol Antràs, Thibault Fally, and Russell Hillberry. Longer version: NBER Working Paper No. 17819.
o "Why was the Arab World Poised for Revolution? Schooling, Economic Opportunities, and the Arab Spring".
Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2012, 26(2): 167-188.
With Filipe R. Campante. Also: The World Financial Review. Vox EU. International Herald Tribune.
[Supplementary Appendix] [Data and Programs]
o "Off the Cliff and Back? Credit Conditions and International Trade during the Global Financial Crisis".
Journal of International Economics, May 2012, 87(1): 117-133.
Special issue symposium on the Global Dimensions of the Financial Crisis.
With Kalina Manova. Also: NBER Working Paper No. 16174. NBER Digest. Vox EU.
o "Unpacking Sources of Comparative Advantage: A Quantitative Approach".
Journal of International Economics, November 2010, 82(2): 152-167.
[Supplementary Appendix] Also, please see: [Short Corrigendum]
o "Subsidies for FDI: Implications from a Model with Heterogeneous Firms".
Journal of International Economics, June 2009, 78(1): 113-125.
o "Instability and the Incentives for Corruption".
Economics and Politics, March 2009, 21(1): 42-92.
With Filipe R. Campante and Quoc-Anh Do.
[Supplementary Appendix] [Data on Average Incumbent Tenure]
o "Institutions, Wages and Inequality -- The Case of Europe and its Periphery (1500-1899)".
Explorations in Economic History, October 2005, 42(4): 547-566.
Also: Harvard CID Graduate Student Working Paper Series No. 1.