Danilo Leiva-León

I am a Senior Research Economist at the DG Economics and Statistics of the Bank of Spain. Previously, I held positions at the Bank of Canada and Central Bank of Chile. My research interests are in empirical macroeconomics, business cycles and time series econometrics, with a special focus on forecasting, nonlinear modelling and Bayesian methods.

More information about my research can be found here.

Additional sources:



Disclaimer: This website is for research purposes only, the views expressed here are my own and should not be attributed to the Bank of Spain or the Eurosystem.



International Business Cycle Measurement

United States


State-Level Recession Probability

Latin America

Country-Specific Recession Probability