Congestion is an important characteristic of transportation systems and a pervasive issue that affects millions of people in their daily lives. Typically, congestion is observed on highways and roads when cars are forced to stop due to high levels of traffic, preventing them from continuing their journey.
However, congestion is not limited to roadways; it is also prevalent in pedestrian crowds, with people experiencing it regularly when riding trains during rush hours in busy urban centers. This problem is particularly pronounced in rapidly developing Asian cities such as China, Indonesia, and India, but European and American cities are also grappling with congestion-related challenges.
Measuring congestion in pedestrian crowds is a complex task because "congestion" is not a property that can be directly measured like time, distance, or speed. In the context of my research, I have developed a method that assesses the "smoothness" of pedestrian flows, enabling us to determine congestion levels (or the so-called congestion number) within crowds of people.
This method has undergone testing in various environments, allowing us to identify lane formations in bidirectional streams, differentiate between homogeneous crowds (where all people walk at the same speed) and heterogeneous crowds (where people move at different speeds), and pinpoint the riskiest areas during evacuations. It was also tested in Shinjuku station, one of the busiest railway stations in the world.
Furthermore, this method also enables us to estimate the risk associated with how people move. This information can be invaluable during mass events or for monitoring crowds in transportation hubs, aiding security personnel in taking appropriate measures when dangerous levels of risk are reached.
My research on this topic is contained in the following publications:
Francesco Zanlungo, Claudio Feliciani, Zeynep Yücel, Xiaolu Jia, Katsuhiro Nishinari, and Takayuki Kanda. "A pure number to assess “congestion” in pedestrian crowds" Transportation research part C: emerging technologies 148 (2023): 104041 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Measurement of congestion and intrinsic risk in pedestrian crowds" Transportation research part C: emerging technologies 91 (2018): 124-155 (link) (PDF)
Akihiro Fujita, Claudio Feliciani, Daichi Yanagisawa, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Traffic flow in a crowd of pedestrians walking at different speeds" Physical Review E 99.6 (2019): 062307 (link)
Xiaolu Jia, Claudio Feliciani, Sakurako Tanida, Daichi Yanagisawa, and Katsuhito Nishinari. "Evaluating Pedestrian Congestion Based on Missing Sensing Data" Journal of Disaster Research 19.2 (2024): 336-346 (link)
Francesco Zanlungo, Yucel Zeynep, Claudio Feliciani, Katsuhiro Nishinari, and Takayuki Kanda. "Congestion Number Analysis of Cross-Flow Dynamics: Experimental Data and Simulations" Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics 2023, Eindhoven (Netherlands), 2023 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Investigation of pedestrian evacuation scenarios through congestion level and crowd danger" International Conference on Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics, Lund (Sweden), 2018 (link) (PDF)
Bidirectional flow is a common occurrence in pedestrian traffic, such as the way crowds of people move in corridors, crosswalks, or on sidewalks/walkways. Researchers in the field of pedestrian traffic have particularly focused on bidirectional flows due to the self-organization mechanism that emerges when people arrange themselves into lanes.
One of the most interesting and fascinating aspects of lane formation is that people can organize themselves without the need for a leader or prior knowledge of how they should behave in a group. Lanes simply emerge as a collective process in which each person tries to avoid collisions with the counter-flow (you can watch a video here that illustrates the lane formation process).
However, lanes do not always appear, and sometimes people coming from both directions get stuck, forming a dangerously dense crowd. This has been a contributing factor to tragedies in the past, such as the Love Parade in Duisburg in 2010.
Researchers, in particular, have been trying to determine whether bidirectional flows are more dangerous when the number of people from both directions is equal or when there is a significant difference between them.
In my research, I thoroughly investigated bidirectional flows and the lane formation process, connecting it with past literature on the subject. Our conclusion is that lane formation is more challenging when the number of people from both directions is equal because individuals need to consider both the crowd coming from the opposite direction and the people on their left and right sides. However, lanes are more stable when the groups from both directions are similar in number, leading to increased long-term efficiency. When there is a substantial difference in the number of people between both groups, lane formation is more challenging, but interactions are relatively limited, resulting in minimal or no long-term changes.
My research on this topic is contained in the following publications:
Hisashi Murakami, Claudio Feliciani, Yuta Nishinyama, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Mutual anticipation can contribute to self-organization in human crowds" Science Advances 7.12 (2021): eabe7758 (link) (PDF)
Shuqi Xue, Claudio Feliciani, Xiaomeng Shi, and Tongfei Li. "Revealing the hidden rules of bidirectional pedestrian flow based on an improved floor field cellular automata model" Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory 100 (2020): 102044 (link)
Claudio Feliciani, Hisashi Murakami, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "A universal function for capacity of bidirectional pedestrian streams: Filling the gaps in the literature" PLoS one 13.12 (2018): e0208496 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Empirical analysis of the lane formation process in bidirectional pedestrian flow" Physical Review E 94.3 (2016): 032304 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Phenomenological description of deadlock formation in pedestrian bidirectional flow based on empirical observation" Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment 2015.10 (2015): P10003 (link) (PDF)
Hisashi Murakami, Claudio Feliciani, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Lévy walk process in self-organization of pedestrian crowds" Journal of the Royal Society Interface 16.153 (2019): 20180939 (link)
When groups of people cross in a perpendicular direction, interactions become difficult. Think about a crowded train station with people moving straight along a corridor. If you need to cross that corridor from one side to the other, you need to check the people in front of you, but also keep an eye on the right (or left), as those walking in the corridor come from the side. This kind of interaction is more difficult compared to the “simple” bidirectional flow, in which the people you need to interact with generally come from the same direction you are walking in. In a crossflow, your goal is to move straight, but the people you need to interact with come from the side, and we are not very good at looking sideways (unlike crabs, for example, that have 360-degree vision). The typical strategy to reach the goal while minimizing collisions is to partially move with the incoming flow, deviating a bit from the goal.
This strategy, when applied by a certain number of people, creates stripes that move at an angle, which is half of the crossing streams. In other words, if two corridors cross at a 90-degree angle, stripes will form at a 45-degree angle. So far, so good. The formation of stripes is a fascinating, yet not entirely unexpected, phenomenon. However, unlike lanes in the bidirectional flow, quantifying stripes and determining the conditions under which they form is not an easy task.
In my research, along with colleagues, I performed experiments to check what the minimum crowd density required to observe stripes is, whether they occur, and to measure their angle. Experimental results were also backed by a numerical model showing properties similar to the experiments.
My research on this topic is contained in the following publications:
Francesco Zanlungo, Claudio Feliciani, Zeynep Yücel, Katsuhiro Nishinari, and Takayuki Kanda. "Macroscopic and microscopic dynamics of a pedestrian cross-flow: Part I, experimental analysis" Safety Science 158 (2023): 105953 (link) (PDF)
Francesco Zanlungo, Claudio Feliciani, Zeynep Yücel, Katsuhiro Nishinari, and Takayuki Kanda. "Macroscopic and microscopic dynamics of a pedestrian cross-flow: Part II, modelling" Safety Science 158 (2023): 105969 (link) (PDF)
Francesco Zanlungo, Claudio Feliciani, Hisashi Murakami, Zeynep Yücel, Xiaolu Jia, Katsuhiro Nishinari, and Takayuki Kanda. "Density Dependence of Stripe Formation in a Cross-Flow" International Conference on Traffic and Granular Flow, Delhi (India), 2022 (link)
Hiroki Yamamoto, Daichi Yanagisawa, Claudio Feliciani, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Body-rotation behavior of pedestrians for collision avoidance in passing and cross flow" Transportation Research Part B: Methodological 122 (2019): 486-510 (link) (PDF)
Assessing crowd conditions and replicating crowd movements using numerical models is undoubtedly an important task. However, ultimately, the goal is to influence and modify crowd behavior when deemed necessary.
In my research, I delved into how information provision can impact crowd behavior and which types of pedestrians are more likely to influence overall crowd performance. Both theoretical scenario studies employing numerical simulations and experiments involving real participants were used to examine this critical aspect of crowd management.
Additionally, I explored methods to enhance egress from crowded facilities by leveraging real-time information gathered through sensing devices, integrating them with simulators to optimize the overall egress process.
The results demonstrated that achieving optimal crowd control hinges on finding a balance between the quantity of information provided and the delivery methods used. Preparing steering strategies should take into account multiple scenarios. Furthermore, I found that targeting a specific category of traffic users can yield results closely resembling the impact of informing the entire crowd. In my research, providing information to people using wheelchairs was found to be beneficial for both them and the entire crowd. Similarly, other vulnerable users may benefit from targeted information, creating advantages for everyone in their vicinity.
My research on this topic is contained in the following publications:
Hisashi Murakami, Claudio Feliciani, Kenichiro Shimura, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "A system for efficient egress scheduling during mass events and small-scale experimental demonstration" Royal Society Open Science 7.12 (2020): 201465 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani, Hisashi Murakami, Kenichiro Shimura, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Efficiently informing crowds – Experiments and simulations on route choice and decision making in pedestrian crowds with wheelchair users" Transportation research part C: emerging technologies 114 (2020): 484-503 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani, Hisashi Murakami, Kenichiro Shimura, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Experimental investigation on information provision methods and guidance strategies for crowd control" Conference on Traffic and Granular Flow, Pamplona (Spain), 2019 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani, Kenichiro Shimura, Daichi Yanagisawa, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Study on the Efficacy of Crowd Control and Information Provision Through a Simple Cellular Automata Model" International Conference on Cellular Automata, Como (Italy), 2018 (link) (PDF)
Nudging is a theory—more precisely, nudge theory—stemming from behavioral economics. It suggests that minor changes in the environment can trigger unconscious or unforced behaviors, requiring little effort from individuals while benefiting society at large. For example, displaying the number of calories burned while climbing stairs can motivate people to use the stairs instead of the escalator. Such decisions are typically made spontaneously and do not interfere with personal freedom. A person can still choose the escalator, but simply adding a “3 calories” label on the steps can encourage people to prefer the alternative. If many people make that choice, public health improves. The improvement may be marginal, but the cost to produce it is negligible, resulting in a net gain. Other classic examples of nudges include the image of a fly in men's urinals or opt-out strategies used for organ donation.
In my research, I apply nudge theory to influence people’s movement in public spaces. Through various experiments, I have discovered that light is particularly effective in influencing route choices. Depending on the context, people may prefer either well-lit or dimly lit areas, so by adjusting lighting conditions, it is possible to guide people toward a specific location. Freedom of choice remains intact, and the effort required to move to the "better" place—whether brighter or darker—is minimal. However, if this reduces crowding, everyone benefits.
My research on this topic is contained in the following publications:
Claudio Feliciani, Sakurako Tanida, Masahiro Furukawa, Hisashi Murakami, Xiaolu Jia, Dražen Brščić, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "“Nudging” Crowds: When It Works, When It Doesn’t and Why" International Conference on Traffic and Granular Flow, Delhi (India), 2022 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani, Sakurako Tanida, Xiaolu Jia, and Katsuhito Nishinari. "Influencing Pedestrian Route Choice Through Environmental Stimuli: A Long-Term Ecological Experiment" Journal of Disaster Research 19.2 (2024): 325-335 (link)
Crowd accidents are relatively rare events. However, when one occurs, the media often focuses on it, sometimes creating the impression that such tragedies are more common than originally believed. Indeed, from a global perspective, crowd accidents are not infrequent, and in recent years, almost every month has seen accidents resulting in fatalities within crowds reported in various parts of the world.
Collecting information on crowd accidents can be quite challenging, and there is no universally accepted definition to differentiate accidents related to crowd movement from those primarily caused by fire or violence. A well-curated Wikipedia page is continually updated to keep track of all accidents occurring worldwide, but it lacks associated analyses.
In my research on crowd accidents, I aim to identify trends. For example, I investigate which types of events have become more common among reported tragedies and which regions of the world are most affected by this issue. Additionally, I seek to understand whether the exponential increase in accidents observed in recent decades is a genuine trend or if it could be attributed to reporting bias or other factors.
As part of an ongoing research project, I am also exploring how reporting has evolved over the years by analyzing media coverage through semantic analysis. Specifically, I am interested in whether controversial terms like "stampede" or "panic" are used in specific contexts and whether there are cultural differences in their perception.
My research on this topic is contained in the following publications:
Claudio Feliciani, Alessandro Corbetta, Milad Haghani, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Trends in crowd accidents based on an analysis of press reports" Safety Science 164 (2023): 106174 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani, Alessandro Corbetta, Milad Haghani, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "How crowd accidents are reported in the news media: Lexical and sentiment analysis" Safety Science 172 (2024): 106423 (link) (PDF)
In today's world, it has become a common practice to employ crowd simulation models when designing pedestrian infrastructures and planning mass events that accommodate a large number of people. A considerable number of commercial software options are available for this purpose, and new ones continue to be introduced and developed every year.
However, many of the models used for pedestrian simulation are primarily designed to replicate everyday conditions and do not facilitate the consideration of very dense crowds. Consequently, investigating crowd accidents or replicating extreme conditions is not feasible using conventional models.
Typically, pedestrian densities in most public spaces remain below 1 person per square meter. Movement becomes challenging when densities exceed 2 persons per square meter, but in scenarios like packed trains during rush hours, densities in the range of 6 persons per square meter are commonly observed. Several researchers have reported that in cases of crowd accidents, densities exceeded 10 persons per square meter, with some even reaching up to 15 persons per square meter.
Standard simulation models can only replicate crowds with a maximum density of approximately 5-6 persons per square meter. To enable the simulation of dense crowds, I have developed a simulation model capable of handling densities well above 10 persons per square meter, with the maximum density being 17 persons per square meter. This expansion allows for the consideration of extreme scenarios. The model's validation has been conducted using empirical data, demonstrating good agreement across various conditions.
My research on this topic is contained in the following publications:
Claudio Feliciani and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "An improved Cellular Automata model to simulate the behavior of high density crowd and validation by experimental data" Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 451 (2016): 135-148 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "An Enhanced Cellular Automata Sub-mesh Model to Study High-Density Pedestrian Crowds" International Conference on Cellular Automata, Fes (Morocco), 2016 (link) (PDF)
All crowds are composed of people, but the relationships between their members are important factors determining overall behavior. Individuals behave differently from couples, and couples behave differently from families. Understanding how groups of people behave in various situations and discerning the differences from individual behavior is essential for enhancing the models used in simulations.
In the context of my research, I collaborated with various institutions, including the University of Milano-Bicocca, Okayama University, ATR Kyoto, and Kyoto University, to specifically study the behavior of dyads, which are groups composed of two persons.
While my role in this area has mostly been peripheral, mainly involving assisting in the execution of experiments and providing advice on analytical methods, these diverse collaborations have enabled me to acquire knowledge and expertise in group behavior and the methods employed to analyze and simulate their behavior.
My research on this topic is contained in the following publications:
Claudio Feliciani, Xiaolu Jia, Hisashi Murakami, Kazumichi Ohtsuka, Giuseppe Vizzari and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Social groups in pedestrian crowds as physical and cognitive entities: Extent of modeling and motion prediction" Transportation research part A: Policy and Practice 176 (2023): 103820 (link)
Adrien Gregorj, Zeynep Yücel, Francesco Zanlungo, Claudio Feliciani and Takayuki Kanda. "Social aspects of collision avoidance: a detailed analysis of two-person groups and individual pedestrians" Scientific Reports 13 (2023): 5756 (link) (PDF)
Zeynep Yücel, Francesco Zanlungo, Claudio Feliciani, Adrien Gregorj and Takayuki Kanda. "Identification of social relation within pedestrian dyads" PLoS one 14.10 (2019): e0223656 (link) (PDF)
Zeynep Yucel, Francesco Zanlungo, Claudio Feliciani, Adrien Gregorj and Takayuki Kanda. "Estimating social relation from trajectories" International Conference on Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics, Lund (Sweden), 2018 (in press) (PDF)
Andrea Gorrini, Luca Crociani, Claudio Feliciani, Pengfei Zhao, Katsuhiro Nishinari and Stefania Bandini. "Social groups and pedestrian crowds: experiment on dyads in a counter flow scenario" International Conference on Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics, Hefei (China), 2016 (link) (PDF)
Luca Crociani, Andrea Gorrini, Claudio Feliciani, Giuseppe Vizzari, Katsuhiro Nishinari and Stefania Bandini. "Micro and Macro Pedestrian Dynamics in Counterflow: the Impact of Social Groups" Conference on Traffic and Granular Flow, Washington D.C. (USA), 2017 (link) (PDF)
Typically, pedestrians are detected using cameras or specialized sensors (more recently, distance sensors are increasingly used), which, although relatively expensive, also raise concerns about violating people's privacy. Although solutions that do not rely on privacy-sensitive data are under development, pedestrian spaces are more user-friendly when they don't require a large number of cameras and sensors.
In today's world, the majority of people walking in public spaces carry a smartphone or a tablet. These types of devices come equipped with a plethora of sensors and maintain constant connectivity to a communication network. While GPS is sometimes employed to determine people's positions and estimate their speeds, this method also involves handling privacy-sensitive information. A more efficient and user-friendly solution involves leveraging the inertial sensors present in electronic devices to estimate people's movement speed by analyzing their body motion.
In the context of this research, I evaluated the feasibility of using inertial sensors from commercial electronic devices to estimate the speed and density of pedestrian crowds. Our research demonstrated that under controlled conditions, both speed and density can be estimated with sufficient accuracy. However, our findings also indicated that a large-scale application may necessitate several improvements and would require a relatively substantial number of active users to ensure reliable results.
The software platform developed to collect inertial data from multiple devices in real-time was also utilized by colleagues to measure body orientation using the gyroscope sensor.
My research on this topic is contained in the following publications:
Francesco Zanlungo, Claudio Feliciani, Zeynep Yücel, Katsuhiro Nishinari and Takayuki Kanda. "Macroscopic and microscopic dynamics of a pedestrian cross-flow: Part I, experimental analysis" Safety Science 158 (2023): 105953 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Pedestrians rotation measurement in bidirectional streams" International Conference on Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics, Hefei (China), 2016 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Estimation of pedestrian crowds' properties using commercial tablets and smartphones" Transportmetrica B: Transport Dynamics 7.1 (2019): 865-896 (link) (PDF)
Hiroki Yamamoto, Daichi Yanagisawa, Claudio Feliciani and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Body-rotation behavior of pedestrians for collision avoidance in passing and cross flow" Transportation Research Part B: Methodological 122 (2019): 486-510 (link) (PDF)
Daichi Yanagisawa, Feliciani, Claudio and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Unidirectional and bidirectional flow in a narrow corridor with body rotation" International Conference on Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics, Lund (Sweden), 2018 (in press).
To study crowds and pedestrian mobility, data are essential. Detecting and tracking people is not an easy task, especially in public spaces or when real-time information is required. Additionally, data collection in public areas is often limited by privacy concerns or other practical constraints. Cameras are commonly used to count, detect, and track people using computer vision algorithms. However, laws or internal regulations often restrict their use, and they may be inaccurate under certain conditions. For example, on rainy days, umbrellas can obscure people, making counting difficult. Similarly, fog, smoke, or a changing environment can block visibility, making detection impossible even with the best algorithms.
LiDAR sensors are also widely used to track people. They ensure privacy and function well in darkness or under challenging conditions. While their cost is still relatively high, they are becoming more and more accessible. WiFi or Bluetooth scanners can estimate the number of people and their movement at low cost and independently of environmental conditions. Although the data they provide are approximate, they may still be sufficient depending on the purpose.
Through my research, I have tested several technologies used to detect and track crowds and gained valuable experience regarding their potential and limitations. In particular, I developed real-time systems based on LiDAR sensors and created a BLE-based system that can be deployed for outdoor events in a short time. Currently, I am working on methods to combine data from multiple sensors through data fusion.
My research on this topic is contained in the following publications:
Sakurako Tanida, Claudio Feliciani, Xiaolu Jia, Hyerin Kim, Tetsuya Aikoh, and Katsuhito Nishinari. "Investigating the Congestion Levels on a Mesoscopic Scale During Outdoor Events" Journal of Disaster Research 19.2 (2024): 347-358 (link)
Hisashi Murakami, Claudio Feliciani, Kenichiro Shimura, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "A system for efficient egress scheduling during mass events and small-scale experimental demonstration" Royal Society Open Science 7.12 (2020): 201465 (link) (PDF)
Claudio Feliciani, Hisashi Murakami, Kenichiro Shimura, and Katsuhiro Nishinari. "Experimental investigation on information provision methods and guidance strategies for crowd control" Conference on Traffic and Granular Flow, Pamplona (Spain), 2019 (link) (PDF)