Publications

Peer-Reviewed Publications (Total: 56, Lead Author: 17)

Submitted / In Review

#56. Martin, Z.K., I.R. Simpson, P. Lin, C. Orbe, Q. Tang, J.M. Caron, C.-C. Chen, H. Kim, L.R. Leung, J.H. Richter, and S. Xie, 2023: The lack of a QBO-MJO connection in climate models with a nudged stratosphere. J. Geophys Res. Atmos., submitted.

#55. McGraw, Z., K. DallaSanta, L. Polvani, K. Tsigaridis, C. Orbe, and S.E. Bauer, 2023: Supervolcanoes may cause widespread warming, rather than cooling. J. Climate, submitted.

#54. Orbe, C., D. Rind, D. Waugh, J. Jonas, X. Zhang, G. Chiodo, L. Nazarenko, and G.A. Schmidt, 2023: Coupled stratospheric ozone and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation feedbacks on the Northern Hemisphere midlatitude jet response to 4×CO2. J. Climate, submitted.

#53. Raiter, D., L.M. Polvani, I. Mitevski, A.G. Pendergrass, and C. Orbe, 2023: Little change in apparent hydrological sensitivity at large CO2 forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett., submitted.

#52. Zhou, T., K.J. DallaSanta, C. Orbe, D.H. Rind, J.A. Jonas, L. Nazarenko, G.A. Schmidt, and G. Russell, 2023: ENSO modulation of the QBO periods in GISS E2.2 models. Atmos. Chem. Phys., submitted.

In Press / Accepted

#51. Orbe, C., D. Rind, R.L. Miller, L. Nazarenko, A. Romanou, J. Jonas, G. Russell, M. Kelley, and G. Schmidt, 2023: Atmospheric response to a collapse of the North Atlantic circulation under a mid-range future climate scenario: A regime shift in Northern Hemisphere dynamics. J. Climate, in press, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0841.1.

#50. Romanou, A., D. Rind, J.A. Jonas, R.L. Miller, M. Kelley, G. Russell, C. Orbe, L. Nazarenko, R. Latto, and G.A. Schmidt, 2023: Stochastic bifurcation of the North Atlantic Circulation under a mid-range future climate scenario with the NASA-GISS ModelE. J. Climate, in press, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0536.1.

2023

#49. Casas, M.C., G.A. Schmidt, R.L. Miller, C. Orbe, K. Tsigaridis, L.S. Nazarenko, S.E. Bauer, and D.T. Shindell, 2023: Understanding model-observation discrepancies in satellite retrievals of atmospheric temperature using GISS ModelE. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 128, no. 1, e2022JD037523, doi:10.1029/2022JD037523.

#48. Ding, X., G. Chen, P. Zhang, D. Domeisen, and C. Orbe, 2023: Extreme stratospheric wave activity as harbingers of cold events over North America. Commun. Earth Environ., 4, 187, doi:10.1038/s43247-023-00845-y.

#47. Menzel, M., D. Waugh, and C. Orbe, 2023: Connections between upper tropospheric and lower stratospheric circulation responses to increased CO2. J. Climate, 36, no. 12, 4101-2112, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0851.1.

#46. Mitevski, I., Y. Dong, L.M. Polvani, M. Rugenstein, and C. Orbe, 2023: Non-monotonic feedback dependence under abrupt CO2 forcing due to a North Atlantic pattern effect. Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, no. 14, e2023GL103617, doi:10.1029/2023GL103617.

#45. Zhang, X., D.W. Waugh, and C. Orbe, 2023: Dependence of Northern Hemisphere tropospheric transport on the midlatitude jet under abrupt CO2 increase. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 128, no. 13, e2022JD038454, doi:10.1029/2022JD038454.

2022

#44. Chemke, R., L. Zanna, C. Orbe, L.T. Sentman, and L.M. Polvani, 2022: The future intensification of North Atlantic winter storms: The key role of dynamic ocean coupling. J. Climate, 35, no. 8, 2407-2421, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0407.1.

#43. Mitevski, I., L. Polvani, and C. Orbe, 2022: Asymmetric warming/cooling response to CO2 increase/decrease due to non-logarithmic forcing, not feedbacks. Geophys. Res. Lett., 49, no. 5, e2021GL097133, doi:10.1029/2021GL097133.

#42. Nazarenko, L.S., N. Tausnev, G.L. Russell, D. Rind, R.L. Miller, G.A. Schmidt, S.E. Bauer, M. Kelley, R. Ruedy, A.S. Ackerman, I. Aleinov, M. Bauer, R. Bleck, V. Canuto, G. Cesana, Y. Cheng, T.L. Clune, B.I. Cook, C.A. Cruz, A.D. Del Genio, G.S. Elsaesser, G. Faluvegi, N.Y. Kiang, D. Kim, A.A. Lacis, A. Leboissetier, A.N. LeGrande, K.K. Lo, J. Marshall, E.E. Matthews, S. McDermid, K. Mezuman, L.T. Murray, V. Oinas, C. Orbe, C.P. García-Pando, J.P. Perlwitz, M.J. Puma, A. Romanou, D.T. Shindell, S. Sun, K. Tsigaridis, G. Tselioudis, E. Weng, J. Wu, and M.-S. Yao, 2022: Future climate change under SSP emission scenarios with GISS-E2.1. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 14, no. 7, e2021MS002871, doi:10.1029/2021MS002871.

#41. Zheng, C., M. Ting, Y. Wu, N. Kurtz, C. Orbe, P. Alexander, R. Seager, and M. Tedesco, 2022: Turbulent heat flux, downward longwave radiation and large-scale atmospheric circulation associated with the wintertime Barents-Kara Sea extreme sea ice loss events. J. Climate, 35, no. 12, 3747-3765, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0387.1.

2021

#40. Abalos, M., N. Calvo, S. Benito-Barca, H. Garny, S.C. Hardiman, P. Lin, M.B. Andrews, N. Butchart, R. Garcia, C. Orbe, D. Saint-Martin, S. Watanabe, and K. Yoshida, 2021: The Brewer-Dobson circulation in CMIP6. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, no. 17, 13571-13591, doi:10.5194/acp-21-13571-2021.

#39. Chemke, R., L.M. Polvani, J.E. Kay, and C. Orbe, 2021: Quantifying the role of ocean coupling in Arctic amplification and sea-ice loss over the 21st century. NPJ Clim. Atmos. Sci., 4, 46, doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00204-8.

#38. DallaSanta, K., C. Orbe, D. Rind, L. Nazarenko, and J. Jonas, 2021: Dynamical and trace gas responses of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation to increased CO2. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 126, no. 6, e2020JD034151, doi:10.1029/2020JD034151.

#37. DallaSanta, K., C. Orbe, D. Rind, L. Nazarenko, and J. Jonas, 2021: Response of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation to historical volcanic eruptions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, no. 20, e2021GL095412, doi:10.1029/2021GL095412.

#36. Martin, Z.K., C. Orbe, S. Wang, and A. Sobel, 2021: The MJO-QBO relationship in a GCM with stratospheric nudging. J. Climate, 34, no. 11, 4603-4624, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0636.1.

#35. Miller, R.L., G.A. Schmidt, L. Nazarenko, S.E. Bauer, M. Kelley, R. Ruedy, G.L. Russell, A. Ackerman, I. Aleinov, M. Bauer, R. Bleck, V. Canuto, G. Cesana, Y. Cheng, T.L. Clune, B. Cook, C.A. Cruz, A.D. Del Genio, G.S. Elsaesser, G. Faluvegi, N.Y. Kiang, D. Kim, A.A. Lacis, A. Leboissetier, A.N. LeGrande, K.K. Lo, J. Marshall, E.E. Matthews, S. McDermid, K. Mezuman, L.T. Murray, V. Oinas, C. Orbe, C. Pérez García-Pando, J.P. Perlwitz, M.J. Puma, D. Rind, A. Romanou, D.T. Shindell, S. Sun, N. Tausnev, K. Tsigaridis, G. Tselioudis, E. Weng, J. Wu, and M.-S. Yao, 2021: CMIP6 historical simulations (1850-2014) with GISS-E2.1. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 13, no. 1, e2019MS002034, doi:10.1029/2019MS002034.

#34. Mitevski, I., C. Orbe, R. Chemke, L. Nazarenko, and L.M. Polvani, 2021: Non-monotonic response of the climate system to abrupt CO2 forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, no. 6, e2020GL090861, doi:10.1029/2020GL090861.

#33. Murray, L.T., E.M. Liebensperger, C. Orbe, L.J. McKinley, and M. Sulprizio, 2021: GCAP 2.0: A global 3-D chemical-transport model framework for past, present, and future climate scenarios. Geosci. Model Dev., 14, no. 9, 5789-5823, doi:10.5194/gmd-14-5789-2021.

#32. Orbe, C., D.W. Waugh, S. Montzka, E.J. Dlugokencky, S.E. Strahan, S.D. Steenrod, S. Strode, J.W. Elkins, B. Hall, C. Sweeney, E.J. Hinsta, F.L. Moore, and E. Penafiel, 2021: Tropospheric age-of-air: Influence of SF6 emissions on recent surface trends and model biases. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 126, no. 10, e2021JD035451, doi:10.1029/2021JD035451.

#31. Zheng, C., Y. Wu, M. Ting, C. Orbe, X. Wang, and S. Tilmes, 2021: Summertime transport pathways from different Northern Hemisphere regions into the Arctic. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 126, no. 4, e2020JD033811, doi:10.1029/2020JD033811.

2020

#30. Abalos, M., C. Orbe, D.E. Kinnison, D. Plummer, L.D. Oman, P. Jöckel, O. Morgenstern, R.R. Garcia, G. Zeng, K.A. Stone, and M. Dameris, 2020: Future trends in stratosphere-to-troposphere transport in CCMI models. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, no. 11, 6883-6901, doi:10.5194/acp-20-6883-2020.

#29. Ayarzagüena, B., A.J. Charlton-Perez, A.H. Butler, P. Hitchcock, I.R. Simpson, L.M. Polvani, N. Butchart, E.P. Gerber, L. Gray, B. Hassler, P. Lin, F. Lott, E. Manzini, R. Mizuta, C. Orbe, S. Osprey, D. Saint-Martin, M. Sigmond, M. Taguchi, E.M. Volodin, and S. Watanabe, 2020: Uncertainty in the response of sudden stratospheric warmings and stratosphere-troposphere coupling to quadrupled CO2 concentrations in CMIP6 models. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 125, no. 6, e2019JD032345, doi:10.1029/2019JD032345.

#28. Kelley, M., G.A. Schmidt, L. Nazarenko, S.E. Bauer, R. Ruedy, G.L. Russell, A.S. Ackerman, I. Aleinov, M. Bauer, R. Bleck, V. Canuto, G. Cesana, Y. Cheng, T.L. Clune, B.I. Cook, C.A. Cruz, A.D. Del Genio, G.S. Elsaesser, G. Faluvegi, N.Y. Kiang, D. Kim, A.A. Lacis, A. Leboissetier, A.N. LeGrande, K.K. Lo, J. Marshall, E.E. Matthews, S. McDermid, K. Mezuman, R.L. Miller, L.T. Murray, V. Oinas, C. Orbe, C. Pérez García-Pando, J.P. Perlwitz, M.J. Puma, D. Rind, A. Romanou, D.T. Shindell, S. Sun, N. Tausnev, K. Tsigaridis, G. Tselioudis, E. Weng, J. Wu, and M.-S. Yao, 2020: GISS-E2.1: Configurations and climatology. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 12, no. 8, e2019MS002025, doi:10.1029/2019MS002025.

#27. Orbe, C., D. Rind, J. Jonas, L. Nazarenko, G. Faluvegi, L.T. Murray, D.T. Shindell, K. Tsigaridis, T. Zhou, M. Kelley, and G. Schmidt, 2020: GISS Model E2.2: A climate model optimized for the middle atmosphere. Part 2: Validation of large-scale transport and evaluation of climate response. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 125, no. 24, e2020JD033151, doi:10.1029/2020JD033151.

#26. Orbe, C., L. Van Roekel, Á. Adames, G. Danabasoglu, A. Dezfuli, J. Fasullo, P.J. Gleckler, J. Lee, W. Li, L. Nazarenko, G.A. Schmidt, K. Sperber, and M. Zhao, 2020: Representation of modes of variability in 6 U.S. climate models. J. Climate, 33, no. 17, 7591-7617, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0956.1.

#25. Orbe, C., K. Wargan, S. Pawson, and L.D. Oman, 2020: Mechanisms linked to recent ozone decreases in the Northern Hemisphere lower stratosphere. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 125, no. 9, e2019JD031631, doi:10.1029/2019JD031631.

#24. Orbe, C., D.A. Plummer, D.W. Waugh, H. Yang, P. Jöckel, D.E. Kinnison, B. Josse, V. Marecal, M. Deushi, N.L. Abraham, A.T. Archibald, M.P. Chipperfield, S. Dhomse, W. Feng, and S. Bekki, 2020: Description and evaluation of the Specified-Dynamics Experiment in the Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative (CCMI). Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 3809-3840, doi:10.5194/acp-20-3809-2020.

#23. Rind, D., C. Orbe, J. Jonas, L. Nazarenko, T. Zhou, M. Kelley, A. Lacis, D. Shindell, G. Faluvegi, G. Russell, M. Bauer, G. Schmidt, A. Romanou, and N. Tausnev, 2020: GISS Model E2.2: A climate model optimized for the middle atmosphere — Model structure, climatology, variability and climate sensitivity. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 125, no. 10, e2019JD032204, doi:10.1029/2019JD032204.

#22. Wu, Y., C. Orbe, S. Tilmes, M. Abalos, and X. Wang, 2020: Fast transport pathways into the Northern Hemisphere upper troposphere and lower stratosphere during northern summer. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 125, no. 3, e2019JD031552, doi:10.1029/2019JD031552.

#21. Yang, H., D.W. Waugh, C. Orbe, and G. Chen, 2020: Dependence of atmospheric transport into the Arctic on the meridional extent of the Hadley cell. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, no. 20, e2020GL090133, doi:10.1029/2020GL090133.

2019

#20. Yang, H., D.W. Waugh, C. Orbe, G. Zeng, O. Morgenstern, D.E. Kinnison, J.-F. Lamarque, S. Tilmes, D.A. Plummer, P. Jöckel, S.E. Strahan, K.A. Stone, and R. Schofield, 2019: Large-scale transport into the Arctic: the roles of the midlatitude jet and the Hadley Cell. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 5511-5528, doi:10.5194/acp-19-5511-2019.

#19. Yang, H., D.W. Waugh, C. Orbe, P. Patra, P. Jöckel, J.-F. Lamarque, S. Tilmes, D. Kinnison, J. Elkins, and E. Dlugokencky, 2019: Evaluating simulations of interhemispheric transport: Interhemispheric exchange time versus SF6 age. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, no. 2, 1113-1120, doi:10.1029/2018GL080960.

2018

#18. Orbe, C., H. Yang, D.W. Waugh, G. Zeng, O. Morgenstern, D.E. Kinnison, J.-F. Lamarque, S. Tilmes, D.A. Plummer, J.F. Scinnoca, B. Josse, V. Marecal, P. Jöckel, L.D. Oman, S.E. Strahan, M. Deushi, T.Y. Tanaka, K. Yoshida, H. Akiyoshi, Y. Yamashita, A. Stenke, L. Revell, T. Sukhodolov, E. Rozanov, G. Pitari, D. Visioni, K.A. Stone, R. Schofield, and A. Banerjee, 2018: Large-scale tropospheric transport in the Chemistry Climate Model Initiative (CCMI) simulations. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 7217-7235, doi:10.5194/acp-18-7217-2018.

#17. Wang, X., Y. Wu, W.-W. Tung, J.H. Richter, A.A. Glanville, S. Tilmes, C. Orbe, Y. Huang, Y. Xia, and D.E. Kinnison, 2018: The simulation of stratospheric water vapor over the Asian summer monsoon region in CESMl(WACCM) models. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 123, no. 20, 11377-11391, doi:10.1029/2018JD028971.

#16. Wargan, K., C. Orbe, S. Pawson, J.R. Ziemke, L.D. Oman, M. Olsen, L. Coy, and K.E. Knowland, 2018: Recent decline in lower stratospheric ozone attributed to circulation changes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, no. 10, 5166-5176, doi:10.1029/2018GL077406.

#15. Wu, X., H. Yang, D.W. Waugh, C. Orbe, S. Tilmes, and J.-F. Lamarque, 2018: Spatial and temporal variability of interhemispheric transport times. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 7439-7452, doi:10.5194/acp-18-7439-2018.

2017

#14. Chen, G., C. Orbe, and D. Waugh, 2017: The role of monsoon-like zonally asymmetric heating in interhemispheric transport. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, no. 6, 3282-3298, doi:10.1002/2016JD026427.

#13. Doherty, R.M., C. Orbe, G. Zeng, D.A. Plummer, M.J. Prather, O. Wild, M. Lin, D.T. Shindell, and I.A. Mackenzie, 2017: Multi-model impacts of climate change on pollution transport from global emission source regions. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 14219-14237, doi:10.5194/acp-17-14219-2017.

#12. Orbe, C., L.D. Oman, S.E. Strahan, D.W. Waugh, S. Pawson, L.L. Takacs, and A.M. Molod, 2017: Large-scale atmospheric transport in GEOS replay simulations. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 9, no. 7, 2545-2560, doi:10.1002/2017MS001053.

#11. Orbe, C., D.W. Waugh, H. Yang, J.-F. Lamarque, S. Tilmes, and D.E. Kinnison, 2017: Tropospheric transport differences between models using the same large-scale meteorological fields. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, no. 2, 1068-1078, doi:10.1002/2016GL071339.

2016

#10. Barnes, E.A., N. Parazoo, C. Orbe, and A.S. Denning, 2016: Isentropic transport and the seasonal cycle amplitude of CO2. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 121, no. 13, 8106-8124, doi:10.1002/2016JD025109.

#9. Orbe, C., D.W. Waugh, P.A. Newman, and S. Steenrod, 2016: The transit-time distribution from the Northern Hemisphere midlatitude surface. J. Atmos. Sci., 73, no. 10, 3785-3802, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-15-0289.1.

2015

#8. Orbe, C., P.A. Newman, D.W. Waugh, M. Holzer, L.D. Oman, F. Li, and L.M. Polvani, 2015: Air-mass origin in the Arctic. Part II: Response to increases in greenhouse gases. J. Climate, 28, no. 23, 9105-9120, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0296.1.

#7. Orbe, C., P.A. Newman, D.W. Waugh, M. Holzer, L.D. Oman, F. Li, and L.M. Polvani, 2015: Airmass origin in the Arctic. Part I: Seasonality. J. Climate, 28, no. 12, 4997-5014, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00720.1.

#6. Orbe, C., D.W. Waugh, and P.A. Newman, 2015: Air-mass origin in the tropical lower stratosphere: The influence of Asian boundary layer air. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, no. 10, 4240-4248, doi:10.1002/2015GL063937.

2014

#5. Orbe, C., M. Holzer, L.M. Polvani, D.W. Waugh, F. Li, L.D. Oman, and P.A. Newman, 2014: Seasonal ventilation of the stratosphere: Robust diagnostics from one-way flux distributions. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 119, no. 1, 293-306, doi:10.1002/2013JD020213.

2013

#4. Orbe, C., M. Holzer, L.M. Polvani, and D. Waugh, 2013: Air-mass origin as a diagnostic of tropospheric transport. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118, no. 3, 1459-1470, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50133.

2012

#3. Holzer, M., C. Orbe, and F.W. Primeau, 2012: Stratospheric mean residence time and mean age on the tropopause: Connections and implications for observational constraints. J. Geophys. Res., 117, no. D12, doi:10.1029/2012JD017547.

#2. Orbe, C., M. Holzer, and L.M. Polvani, 2012: Flux distributions as robust diagnostics of stratosphere-troposphere exchange. J. Geophys. Res., 117, no. D1, doi:10.1029/2011JD016455.

2009

#1. Gerber, E.P., C. Orbe, and L.M. Polvani, 2009: Stratospheric influence on the tropospheric circulation revealed by idealized ensemble forecasts. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, no. 24, doi:10.1029/2009GL040913.

Other Publications

Orbe, C. Tracer-Independent Approaches to Stratosphere-Troposphere Exchange and Tropospheric Air Mass Composition. Diss. COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY, 2013. http://academiccommons.columbia.edu/catalog/ac:161531

Orbe, C., Garney H., and W. Seviour (2012), SPARC Workshop on the Brewer-Dobson Circulation, 25-29 June

2012, Grindelwald, Switzerland. SPARC Newsletter No. 40. January 2013. pp. 11-21.