Research
"The emperor receiving candidates during the Palace Exam."
Historical Painting from the Ming Dynasty, Public Domain.
"A Longevity Mechanism of Chinese Absolutism," with Yasheng Huang. The Journal of Politics (2022). Here is a short article on Broadstreet Blog.
Abstract: A counterpart of what is known as “European exceptionalism”—political stability and institutional arrangement that enabled modern economic growth and political development—is a “Chinese anomaly.” This anomaly takes the form of a sharp contrast with pre-modern Europe: Chinese imperial rulers stayed in power longer than their European counterparts but this political stability was accompanied by a high level of institutional stasis. In this paper, we argue that a well-known Chinese institution, the civil service examination (CSE) system, contributed to China’s imperial longevity. We utilize detailed historical data on individual CSE performance to demonstrate the longevity-contributory mechanisms of CSE—constraining access to power by aristocrats and other wealth-holders. We argue that a key to unpacking the so-called “Chinese anomaly” is to understand the role of bureaucracy in political development in China and potentially in other regions.
"Alexander of Macedonia charges the Persian king Darius III."
Details in the Alexander Mosaic, Pompeii, Italy. Dated between c. 120 and 100 BCE. Public Domain.
"Alexander the Great and His Generals: Meritocracy as A Power-Sharing Institution in Authoritarian Regimes," with Yasheng Huang and Zhaomin Li. Working paper.
Abstract: This paper investigates meritocracy as a power-sharing institution in authoritarian regimes. A critical source of instability in historical states was the mismatch between de jure institutions and de facto political power. We propose a formal theory to investigate the implication of meritocracy on ruler-elite power dynamics. Meritocracy can benefit the ruler by enabling him to co-opt high-ability agents, and it can serve as a credible commitment device in authoritarian regimes with no enforcement mechanisms. Moreover, unlike other power-sharing institutions, such as parliament, which function better under a balanced power distribution, meritocracy is more likely to emerge endogenously under strong rulers. In a dynamic setting, as inspired by Greif and Laitin (2004), we show that meritocracy under a strong ruler is self-enforcing and reinforcing, while that under a weak ruler can be self-undermining. We examine historical case studies and empirical evidence based on a panel of 289 historical polities. The empirical result confirms a positive association between meritocracy and autocracy.
Other Publication
“Rules for the Rulemakers: Asymmetric Information and the Political Economy of Benefit-Cost Analysis,” with David Besanko and Avner A. Kreps. Journal of Regulatory Economics (forthcoming).
"Testing Firm-Level Data Quality in China against Benford's Law," with Yasheng Huang and Zhiyong Niu. Economics Letters (2020).
“The Surprising Breadth of Harbingers of Failure,” with Duncan Simester and Catherine Tucker. Journal of Marketing Research 56, no. 6 (2019): 1034-1049. Featured in Scientific American and New York Times.
“Growing Pains: International Instability and Equity Market Returns”, with Zhuo Chen and Andrea Lu. Financial Management 46, no. 1 (2017): 59-87.
Working Paper
"The Political Economy of China’s Imperial Examination," with Erik Wang.
"The Great Political Divergence," with Yasheng Huang.
"The Spatial Distribution of State Capacity: Wars and Public Goods."
"The Legacy of State-Led Industrialization."
“Long-Run Persistence and Interrupted Development: Evidence from Imperial Civil Service Examination in Historical China"
“Explaining the Adoption of Financial Apps,” with Giulio Cornelli, Jon Frost, and Jonathan Warren.
Book Review
“A Review on Network Origins of the Global Economy: East vs. West in a Complex Systems Perspective by Hilton L. Root (2020)”, published by the Economic History Association EH.Net, October 2021.
Google scholar page here.