Publications:
Nonlinear Effects of Fiscal Policy over the Business Cycle, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Volume 78, May 2017, pp. 54-87.
Local Effects of a Military Spending Shock: Evidence from Shipbuilding in the 1930s, Review of Economic Dynamics, Volume 32, April 2019, pp. 227-248.
Do Shocks to Animal Spirits Cause Output Fluctuations? (with Bocong Du), Southern Economic Journal, Volume 87, Issue 1, July 2020, pp. 331-368. Online Appendix
County-Level Determinants of Social Distancing (or Lack Thereof) during the COVID-19 Pandemic (with Golnaz Baradaran Motie), Contemporary Economic Policy, Volume 39, Issue 2, April 2021, pp. 264-279.
Analyzing State Government Spending: Balanced Budget Rules or Forward-Looking Decisions?, (with H. Youn Kim), International Tax and Public Finance, Volume 28, Issue 4, August 2021, pp. 1035-1079.
Labor Productivity Forecasts Based on a Beveridge-Nelson Filter: Is there Statistical Evidence for a Slowdown? , Journal of Macroeconomics, Volume 69, September 2021, Article #103321
Can Changes in Sentiments Influence Consumer Behavior? Evidence from the Trump-Russia Investigation (with Alex Lebedinsky), Economic Inquiry, Volume 59, Issue 4, October 2021, pp. 1569-1592
Task-Level Match Effects and Worker Productivity: Evidence from Pitchers and Catchers (with Brian Goff and Dennis Wilson), Applied Economics incorporating Applied Financial Economics, Volume 54, Issue 25, 2022, pp. 2888-2899
Inequality in Public School Spending across Space and Time (with Steven G. Craig, Amrita Dhar, and Bent E. Sorensen), Review of Economic Dynamics, Volume 46, October 2022, pp. 244-279
Do the Hamilton and Beveridge-Nelson Filters Provide the Same Information about Output Gaps? An Empirical Comparison for Practitioners, Journal of Macroeconomics, Volume 75, March 2023, Article #103496
Corporate Influence, Conservative "Model Bills," and State Economic Outcomes (with J. Sebastian Leguizamon), Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Volume 72, Issue 1, February 2025
Coincident Economic Activity Indexes for Metropolitan and Micropolitan Areas in Kentucky Current Estimates, Journal of Applied Economics and Policy, Volume 34, Issue 1, Winter 2025, pp. 8-58
Fiscal Sustainability Under an Endogenous Fiscal Feedback Rule: A State Space Approach (with H. Youn Kim), Macroeconomic Dynamics, Volume 29, 2025, e131
Social Openness and International Capital Flows (with Amrita Dhar), Forthcoming at Southern Economic Journal
Working Papers:
Tastes for Education or Tastes for Equity: Why do State Governments Provide Aid for K-12 Education? (with Steven G. Craig and Amrita Dhar)
The Uncertain State Dependent Government Spending Multiplier