Published articles
"The Luck of the Draw: The Causal Effect of Physicians on Birth Outcomes" (with Arlen Guarin, Estefanía Saravía, Jorge Tamayo). Conditionally Accepted at American Economic Journal: Applied Economics. The paper was presented at NBER SUMMER INSTITUTE, SI 2021 Children.
"Job Loss, Credit and Crime in Colombia" (with Gaurav Khanna, Anant Nyshadham, Carlos Medina, Jorge Tamayo). American Economic Review: Insights Vol. 3, No. 1, March 2021 (pp. 97-114) (also NBER working papers 26313).
"Restoring Property Rights: The Effects of Land Restitution on Access to Credit" (with Francesco Bogliacino, Juanita Villaveces). World Development Vol. 186, February 2025, 106830.
“Hunting Militias at All Cost: Urban Military Operation and Birth Outcomes” (with Darwin Cortés, Catalina Gómez, Gabriel Suárez). World Development Vol. 185, January 2025, 106809.
"Reparations for Victims: Lessons from Colombia" (with Arlen Guarin and Juliana Londoño). AEA Papers and Proceedings, Vol. 113, May 2023.
"Acing the Test: Educational Effects of the SaberEs Test Preparation Program in Colombia" (with Estefanía Saravía, PablorUribe). Economics of Education Review: Volume 97, 2023, 02459, ISSN 0272-7757.
"Heterogeneity in the Effect of College Expansion Policy on Wages: Evidence from the Russian Market" (with Olga Belskaya and Klara Peter). Journal of Human Capital, Vol. 14-1, 2020.
"Minimum wage effects, compliance and firm size in a developing economy: Evidence from Colombia" (with Gustavo García and Salome Arango). Developing Economies. 2025.
"Intragenerational mobility and the concept of the equalization of longer-term incomes: An estimation for a developing country" (with Mauricio Quiñones, Juan Carlos Duque, Carlos Medina, Nicolás Mancera). Socio-Economic Planning Science., November 2023
"Technical Change and Polarization in the Labor Market: the Evidence from Colombia". Trimestre Economico, vol. LXXXV (2), núm. 338, abril-junio de 2018, pp. 365-410 (with Carlos Medina)
"South American Immigrants in the USA: Education Levels, Tasks Performed and the Decision to Go Back Home". Journal of Economic Studies, Vol. 40-2, pp.255 - 279, 2013 (with C. Medina)
Working Papers and work in progress
"Reparations as Development: Evidence from the Victims of the Colombian Armed Conflict" (with Arlen Guarin, Juliana Londoño). Summary for a broader audience: FocoEconómico. Revision requested at American Economic Review.
"Promotions in Law Enforcement: Financial Outcomes and Household Labor Supply Responses" (with Sebastián Montaño).
"Information Frictions in Student Loan Markets: Evidence from a Large-Scale ChatBot Experiment" (with E. Bettinger, A. Carril, M. Kremer, C. Neilson, and J. Saavedra).
"Long Term Effects of Cash Transfer Programs in Colombia" NBER working paper 29056 (with Orazio Attanasio, Lina Cardona, Costas Meghir, Bibiana Taboada). Summary for a broader audience: VoxDev. New working paper coming soon.
“Healing the Gender Gap: The Impacts of Randomized first-job on Female Physicians" (with Arlen Guarin, Estefanía Saravía, Jorge Tamayo).
"Dynamics of Corporate Credit Markets, Employment, and Wages: Evidence from Colombia" (with Maria Aristizabal).
"School Vouchers, Labor Markets, and Vocational Education" (with E. Bettinger, M. Kremer, C. Medina, and J. Saavedra). Borradores de Economía 1087, Banco de la República.
"The Effect of Depression on Income: Evidence from Colombia" (with Arlen Guarin, Kaveh Danesh).
"Understanding Mechanisms Underlying the Long-term Effects of Scholarships for Secondary School: Evidence from a Large Field Experiment in Colombia."
Other Publications
"Políticas de País y Logros de Regiones: el Caso de la Calidad de la Educación Secundaria en Colombia", Revista de Economía Institucional (with A. Franco, A. Guarin, C. Medina). 2023.
"Calidad, cobertura y costo ocultos de la educación secundaria pública y privada en Colombia," Desarrollo y Sociedad, vol. 81(2), Universidad de los Andes, 2018. (with Arlen Guarín & Carlos Medina & Christian Posso)
"Desigualdad Salarial en Colombia 1984-2005: Cambios en la Composicion del Mercado Laboral y Retornos a la Educacin Post-Secundaria". Desarrollo y Sociedad, Vol. 66, Universidad de los Andes, 2011.
"Calidad del Empleo y Segmentacion Laboral: un Analisis para el Mercado Laboral Colombiano 2001-2006". Desarrollo y Sociedad, Vol. 65, Universidad de los Andes, 2010.
"Colombian Immigrants In The United States Of America: Education Levels, Job Qualifications And The Decision To Go Back Home". Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República - ESPE. (with Carlos Medina)
Books, Chapters, and Policy Reports
Revista Ensayos Sobre Política Económica (ESPE) - Informalidad laboral y empresarial (with multiple coauthors), Banco de la República, 2025.
Revista Ensayos Sobre Política Económica (ESPE) - Aspectos financieros y fiscales del sistema de salud en Colombia (with multiple coauthors), Banco de la República, 2023.
Covid-19: consecuencias y desafíos en la economía colombiana. Una mirada desde las universidades (Editor with Mauricio Villamizar, Darwin Cortes). Book Editorial Universidad del Rosario and Banco de la República, 2022.
Revista Ensayos Sobre Política Económica (ESPE) - Desigualdades del ingreso en Colombia: ¿cuáles son sus determinantes y cómo se han afectado por la pandemia del Covid-19? (with multiple coauthors), Banco de la República, 2021.
Oportunidades para los niños colombianos : cuánto avanzamos en esta década (with J. Azevedo and C. Velez). World Bank Policy Report.
"Incrementos del salario mínimo legal: un análisis de los costos y beneficios para los hogares colombianos en el año 2006" in Formación de precios y salarios en Colombia.
"Dinámica de la demanda laboral en la industria manufacturera colombiana 1993-2009: una estimación panel VAR" in El mercado de trabajo en Colombia: hechos, tendencias e instituciones.
Other working papers
"Estimating the Effect of Attending a Public versus a Private University in Colombia on Academic Achievement" (with C. Medina and A. Guarin)