Carlos Eduardo Goncalves Webpage
I am an applied macroeconomist at the International Monetary Fund.
Former University of Sao Paulo (FEA-USP), Sao Paulo School of Economics (EESP).
email: carloseduardosg73@gmail.com
Publications
"Missing: a correlation between exchange rate misalignment and GDP growth "(with Mauro Rodrigues), Review of International Economics, 2023.
"It is causal: revisiting the savings and investment nexus "(with Antonio David), Applied Economics, 2023.
"In Search of Lost Time: Examining the Duration of Growth-Reducing Sudden Stops" (with Antonio David), Journal of International Money and Finance, 2021
"Sovereign default risk and commitment for fiscal adjustment." (w/ Bernardo Guimaraes), Journal of International Economics, 2015.
"Inflation Targeting Matters: Evidence from OECD's Sacrifice Ratios" (with Alexandre Carvalho), Journal of Money Credit and Banking, 2009.
"Correlation of Business Cycles in the Eurozone" (with Mauro Rodrigues), Economics Letters, 2009.
"Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies: What do the Data Say"(with Joao Salles), Journal of Development Economics, 2008.
"Who Chooses to Inflation Target?" (with Alexandre Carvalho), Economics Letters, 2008.
Selected Publications in Brazilian Journals
"Monetary Policy, Default Risk and the Exchange Rate" (with Bernardo Guimaraes), Revista Brasileira de Economia, 2011.
"Herança Maldita e Política Monetária em um Modelo com Assimetria de Informação", Revista Brasileira de Economia, 2005.
Working papers
"The rise of the Taylor Principle" (with Bernardo Guimaraes): [abstract+pdf], February 2022
"Do higher interest rates reduce inflation expectations? ", (with Mauro Rodrigues), 2023.
"Can Fiscal Consolidation Help Central Banks fight inflation?" (with Jesper Linde, Zoltan Jakab, Jiaqian Chen), IMF WP, 2023.
Books (Portuguese)
"Economia na Palma da Mão" (c/Bruno Giovanetti), ed. Saraiva, 2015.
"Introdução à Economia"(c/ Bernardo Guimaraes), ed. Campus, 2009.
"Sob a Lupa do Economista"(c/ Mauro Rodrigues), ed. Campus, 2009.
"Economia Sem Truques"(c/ Bernardo Guimaraes), ed. Campus, 2008.
Personal interests
Foreign languages, data viz, Physics.