Education
Ph.D. in Economics, Universitat Pompeu Fabra (2012): “Essays on the Macroeconomics of Labor Markets” (supervisor: Jordi Galí)
Employment
2012-present: Federal Reserve Board (Economist, Senior Economist, Principal Economist, Group Manager)
Research Fields
Macroeconomics, Labor Economics, Nontraditional Data
Publications
"The Long-Lived Cyclicality of the Labor Force Participation Rate" (joint with John Coglianese and Joshua Montes), The Review of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming, https://doi.org/10.1162/REST.a.1631.
"Gross Worker Flows over the Life Cycle" (joint with İlhan Güner and Toshihiko Mukoyama), Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2025, pp. 757-791.
"Widening Health Gap in the US Labor Force Participation at Older Ages" (joint with Javier Fernández-Blanco and Virginia Sánchez-Marcos), CESifo Economic Studies, 2024, pp. 195-206.
"Payroll Employment at the Weekly Frequency" (joint with Leland Crane, Ryan Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz), AER Papers and Proceedings, 2023, pp. 145-150.
"Lessons Learned from the Use of Nontraditional Data during COVID-19" (joint with Laura Feiveson, Christopher Kurz, and Stacey Tevlin), in Wendy Edelberg, Louise Sheiner, and David Wessel, eds., "Recession Remedies, Lessons Learned from the U.S. Economic Policy Response to COVID-19", Brookings/Hamilton Project/Hutchins Center.
"Improving the Accuracy of Economic Measurement with Multiple Data Sources: The Case of Payroll Employment Data" (joint with Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Christopher Kurz), in Katharine G. Abraham, Ron S. Jarmin, Brian Moyer, and Matthew D. Shapiro, eds., "Big Data for 21st Century Economic Statistics", NBER Book Series Studies in Income and Wealth, University of Chicago Press, 2022.
"The US Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession" (joint with Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, John Grigsby, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Erik Hurst, Christopher Kurz, Ahu Yildirmaz), Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Summer 2020, pp. 3–33.
"Human Capital and Unemployment Dynamics: Why More Educated Workers Enjoy Greater Employment Stability" (joint with Isabel Cairó), Economic Journal, 2018, pp. 652–682.
"Labor Force Participation: Recent Developments and Future Prospects" (joint with Stephanie Aaronson, Bruce Fallick, Felix Galbis-Reig, Christopher Smith, and William Wascher), Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Fall 2014, pp. 197–255.
Research Papers
"Beyond the Streetlight: Economic Measurement in the Division of Research and Statistics at the Federal Reserve" (joint with Carol Corrado and Arthur Kennickell), FEDS WP 2025-019.
"Manufacturing Sentiment: Forecasting Industrial Production with Text Analysis" (joint with Leland D. Crane, Christopher Kurz, Norman Morin, Paul E. Soto, and Betsy Vrankovich), FEDS WP 2024-026.
"Measuring Job Loss during the Pandemic Recession in Real Time with Twitter Data" (joint with Anbar Aizenman, Connor M. Brennan, Cynthia Doniger, and Jacob Williams), FEDS WP, 2023-035.
"Are Manufacturing Jobs Still Good Jobs? An Exploration of the Manufacturing Wage Premium" (joint with Kimberly Bayard, Vivi Gregorich, and Maria D. Tito), FEDS WP, 2022-011.
"Reconciling Unemployment Claims with Job Losses in the First Months of the COVID-19 Crisis" (joint with Andrew Figura, Brendan M. Price, David Ratner, and Alison Weingarden), FEDS WP 2020-055.
"Using Payroll Processor Microdata to Measure Aggregate Labor Market Activity" (joint with Leland Crane, Ryan Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Christopher Kurz, and Tyler Radler), FEDS WP 2018-005.
"Racial Gaps in Labor Market Outcomes in the Last Four Decades and over the Business Cycle" (joint with Tyler Radler, Ivan Vidangos, and David Ratner), FEDS WP 2017-071.
"Labor Market Frictions and Bargaining Costs: A Model of State-Dependent Wage Setting"
"Job-Embodied Growth and the Decline of Job Tenure" (joint with Jan Grobovsek)
"The Fading Dynamism of the U.S. Labor Market: The Role of Demographics" (joint with Isabel Cairó)
Policy Notes
"Tracking the Labor Market with 'Big Data'" (joint with Leland Crane, Ryan Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz), FEDS Notes 2019-09-20.
"A Cautionary Note on the Help Wanted Online Data" (joint with David Ratner), FEDS Notes 2016-06-23.
"The Recent Decline in Long-Term Unemployment" (joint David Ratner), FEDS Notes 2014-07-21.
"Why is Involuntary Part-Time Work Elevated?" (joint with Dennis Mawhirter, Chris Nekarda, and David Ratner), FEDS Notes 2014-04-14.
Referee
American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, Economic Journal, Economic Letters, Economica, European Review of Economic History, IMF Economic Review, International Economic Review, Journal of Monetary Economics, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Journal of Public Economics, Journal of the European Economic Association, Labour Economics, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, The Review of Economics and Statistics.