Journal Articles
"Predicting High-Magnitude, Low-Frequency Crop Losses Using Machine Learning: An Application to Cereal Crops in Ethiopia," with Michael Mann and James Warner, Climatic Change, Volume 154, Issue 1–2, pp. 211–227 (2019).
"The Effect of County Non-Attainment Status on the Product Mix of Plants in the Pulp,Paper, and Paperboard Industries," with Aaron Elrod, Journal of Environmental Economics and Policy, Volume 18, pp. 1-8 (2019).
"Pollution or Crime? The Effect of Driving Restrictions on Criminal Activity," with Paul Carrillo and Andrea Lopez, Journal of Public Economics, Volume 164, pp. 50-69 (2018).
"The Effect of Environmental Regulation on Plant-Level Product Mix: A Study of EPA's Cluster Rule," with Aaron Elrod, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, vol. 83, pp. 164-184 (2017).
“Driving Restrictions That Work? Quito’s Pico y Placa Program,” with Paul Carrillo and Yiseon Yoo, Canadian Journal of Economics, vol. 49, no. 4, pp. 1536-1568 (2016).
"Using VIIRS Day/Night Band to Measure Electricity Supply Reliability: Preliminary Results from Maharashtra, India,” with Michael Mann and Eli Melaas, Remote Sensing, vol. 8, no. 9, p. 711 (2016).
“The Desirability of Forgiveness in Regulatory Enforcement,” Journal of Regulatory Economics, vol. 46, no. 1, pp. 1-22 (2014).
“Adaptation to Climate Change in Low-Income Countries: Lessons from Current Research and Needs from Future Research,” with Stephen Smith, Climate Change Economics, vol. 3, no. 2 (2012).
“Adjacency Externalities and Forest Fire Prevention,” with Christian Crowley, Gregory Amacher and Robert Haight, Land Economics, vol. 85, no. 1, pp. 162-185 (2009).
“Optimal Environmental Regulation Based on More than Just Emissions,” Journal of Regulatory Economics, vol. 32, no. 1, pp. 1-16 (2007).
“Reducing Social Losses from Forest Fires,” with Gregory Amacher and Robert Haight, Land Economics, vol. 82, no. 3, pp. 367-383 (2006).
“Nonindustrial Private Landowners, Fires, and the Wildland-Urban Interface,” with Gregory Amacher and Robert Haight, Forest Policy and Economics, vol. 7, no. 5, pp. 796-805 (2005).
“Not Getting Burned: The Importance of Fire Prevention in Forest Management,” with Gregory Amacher and Robert Haight, Land Economics, vol. 81, no. 2, pp. 284-302 (2005).
“Forest Landowner Decisions and the Value of Information under Fire Risk,” with Gregory Amacher and Robert Haight, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, vol. 35, no. 11, pp. 2603-2615 (2005).
“Further Results on Permit Markets with Market Power and Cheating,” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, vol. 44, no. 3, pp. 371-390 (2002).
“Pollution Taxes when Firms Choose Technologies” with Gregory Amacher, Southern Economic Journal, vol. 68, no. 4, pp. 891–906 (2002).
“Instrument Choice when Firms and Regulators Bargain,” with Gregory Amacher, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, vol. 35, pp. 221-234 (1998).
“Bargaining in Environmental Regulation and the Ideal Regulator,” with Gregory Amacher, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, vol. 30, pp. 233-253 (1996).
“Feasibility of Point/Nonpoint Source Trading for Managing Agricultural Pollutant Loadings to Coastal Waters,” with David Letson and Stephen Crutchfield, Water Resources Research, vol. 30, October, pp. 2825-36 (1994).
“Economic Incentives for Agricultural Nonpoint Source Pollution Control,” with Bruce Larson and Marc Ribaudo, Water Resources Bulletin, vol. 30, no. 3, pp. 471-480 (1994).
“Point/Nonpoint Source Trading of Pollution Abatement: Choosing the Right Trading Ratio,” with David Letson and Stephen Crutchfield, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, vol. 75, pp. 959-967 (1993). [Reprinted in: Agro-Environmental Policy, S. Batie and R. Horan, eds., Ashgate, 2004, and Economics of Water Quality, K.W. Easter and N. Zeitouni, eds., Ashgate, 2006.]
“Self-Reporting and the Design of Policies for Regulating Stochastic Pollution,” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, vol. 24, pp. 241-257 (1993). [Reprinted in: The Economics of Environmental Monitoring and Enforcement, C. Russell, ed., Ashgate, 2003, and Recent Developments in Environmental Economics, M. Hoel, ed., Edward Elgar, 2004.]
“Enforcement Costs and the Choice of Policy Instruments for Controlling Pollution,” Economic Inquiry, vol. 30, pp. 714-721 (1992). [Reprinted in The Economics of Environmental Monitoring and Enforcement, C. Russell, ed., Ashgate, 2003.]
“The Economics of Tax Amnesties,” with Robert Schwab, Journal of Public Economics, vol. 46, pp. 9-49 (1991).
“Permanent versus Interim Regulations: A Game-Theoretic Analysis,” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, vol. 21, pp. 127-139 (1991).
“Optimal Investments to Establish Property Rights in Land,” with Robert Schwab, Journal of Urban Economics, vol. 29, pp. 295-309 (1991).
“Avoidance, Screening and Optimum Enforcement,” Rand Journal of Economics, vol. 21, pp. 341-353 (1990). [Reprinted in The Economics of Corruption and Illegal Markets, G. Fiorentini and S. Zamagni, eds., Edward Elgar, 1999.]
“Markets for Pollution Control when Firms are Noncompliant,” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, vol. 18, pp. 97-106 (1990).
Book Chapters
“How Should We Tackle the Forest Fire Problem?" in Ian Parry and Felicia Day, eds., Issues of the Day: 100 Commentaries on Climate, Energy, the Environment, Transportation, and Public Health Policy, Resources for the Future Press, Washington, D.C., 2010.
“Point/Nonpoint Source Trading for Controlling Pollutant Loadings to Coastal Watersheds: A Feasibility Study,” with David Letson and Stephen Crutchfield, in Theory, Modeling and Experience in the Management of Nonpoint Source Pollution, edited by C. Russell and J. Shogren, Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1993.
Use of Models for Water Resources Management, Planning, and Policy, contributing author, Office of Technology Assessment, Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 1982.
Selected Other Publications
“Framework for Conducting Benefit-Cost Analyses of Investments in Hydro-Meteorological Systems,” with Gregory Amacher, Jason Russ, Enos Esikuri, and Keiko Tao, Environment and Water Resources, LCSEN Occasional Paper Series, The World Bank, 2014.
“Autonomous Adaptation to Climate Change: A Literature Review,” with Xin Qin and Stephen Smith, Institute for International Economic Policy, GWU Working Paper IIEP‐WP‐2010‐27, August 10, 2010.
“Climate Change, Uncertainty, and Decision-Making,” with Jonathan Rothbaum and Stephen Smith, Institute for International Economic Policy, GWU Working Paper IIEP Working Paper 2010-24, revised May 17, 2011.
“Addressing Climate Change Without Impairing the U.S. Economy: The Economics and Environmental Science of Combining a Carbon-Based Tax and Tax Relief,” with Robert Shapiro and Nam Pham, U.S. Climate Task Force, June 2008.
“Fuel Reduction, Adjacent Landowner Behavior, and Social Costs of Fire,” with Gregory Amacher and Christian Crowley, report submitted to USDA Forest Service, Northern Station, Sept. 2005.
“Value of Information in Forest Fire Prevention,” with Gregory Amacher, report submitted to USDA Forest Service, Northern Station, April 2003.
“Estimating the Benefits of the U.S. Coast Guard’s Oil Spill Prevention Activities,” with Frederick Joutz and Robert Trost, report submitted to the Center for Naval Analyses, November 1997.
“An Assessment of Selected Policies for Controlling Stationary and Point Source Pollution in Latvia,” with Arnolds Ubelis and Valdis Seglins, Harvard Institute for International Development Environmental Discussion Paper No. 23, July 1997.