Publications of Áron Kiss

Publications in international refereed journals:

Assessing the economic and social impact of tax and benefit reforms: A general-equilibrium microsimulation approach applied to Hungary (2018, with Péter Benczúr and Gábor Kátay), Economic Modelling, volume 75, pages 441-457 [link, open access]. [An earlier version from 2017; A still earlier version from 2012; A non-technical description of the model and some simulation results can be found in our article written for the Central Bank of Hungary Bulletin in 2011.]

The effects of European integration and the business cycle on migration flows: a gravity analysis (2018, corresponding author, with Alfonso Arpaia, Balázs Pálvölgyi and Alessandro Turrini), Review of World Economics, volume 154, pages 815–834 [link, behind pay wall]. [A working paper containing an earlier version of this analysis from 2014.]

Labour mobility and labour market adjustment in the EU (2016, with Alfonso Arpaia, Balázs Pálvölgyi and Alessandro Turrini), IZA Journal of Migration 5:21, [link] [a working paper containing an earlier version of the analysis, 2014].

A decade of labour market reforms in the EU: Insights from the LABREF database (2015, with Alessandro Turrini, Gábor Koltay, Fabiana Pierini, Clarisse Goffard), IZA Journal of Labor Policy 4:12, [link] [earlier working paper version, 2014].

The elasticity of taxable income of high earners: Evidence from Hungary (2015, with Pálma Mosberger), Empirical Economics 48 (2), pp. 883-908, [link] [an almost final version] [earlier working paper version from 2011].

Identifying strategic voting in two-round elections (2015), Electoral Studies 40, pp. 127-135, [link] [an almost final version].

Identifying the bandwagon effect in two-round elections (2014, with Gábor Simonovits), Public Choice 160 (3-4), pp. 327-344, [link] [earlier version].

The optimal top marginal tax rate: Application to Hungary (2013), European Journal of Government and Economics 2 (2), pp. 100-118, [link] [earlier working paper version].

Minimum taxes and repeated tax competition (2012), International Tax and Public Finance 19 (5), pp. 641-649, [link] [earlier working paper version].

Divisive politics and accountability (2012), European Journal of Political Economy 28 (2), pp. 208-214, [link] [earlier working paper version].

Coalition politics and accountability (2009), Public Choice 139 (3-4), pp. 413-428, [link] [earlier working paper version].


Working papers, analytical notes, work in progress:

Social and fiscal impacts of statutory minimum wages in EU countries: A microsimulation analysis with EUROMOD (2021, with Klaus Gruenberger, Edlira Narazani and Stefano Filauro), JRC Working Papers on Taxation and Structural Reforms No. 06/2021 [link].

Short-Term and Long-Term Determinants of Moderate Wage Growth in the EU (2019, with Kristine van Herck), IZA Policy Papers 144, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

The effects of the minimum wage on employment: Evidence from a panel of EU Member States (2018), Analytical Web Note 1/2018, European Commission, Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion.

Statutory Minimum Wages in the EU: Institutional Settings and Macroeconomic Implications (2017, with Alfonso Arpaia, Pedro Cardoso, Kristine Van Herck and Anneleen Vandeplas), IZA Policy Papers 124, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).

Measuring skills mismatch (2015, with Anneleen Vandeplas), Analytical web note 7/2015, European Commission, Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion.

Is unemployment structural or cyclical? Main features of job matching in the EU after the crisis (2014, with Alfonso Arpaia and Alessandro Turrini), European Commission, European Economy, Economic Papers 527.

Income taxation, transfers and labour supply at the extensive margin (2014, with Péter Benczúr, Gábor Kátay and Olivér Rácz), Banque de France Working Paper No. 487.


Book:

Essays in Political Economy and International Public Finance. Frankfurt am Main: Peter Lang Verlag, 2009. (Series: Finanzwissenschaftliche Schriften, Volume 119. The book on the publisher's site.)


Publications in Hungary:

Why is this crisis different? The role of deleveraging in the 'Great Recession' (2014, with Katalin Szilágyi). (In Hungarian. original title: Miért más ez a válság, mint a többi? Az adósságleépítés szerepe a 'nagy recesszióban'. Közgazdasági Szemle (Hungarian Economic Review), Vol. 61 (September), 949–974. (Link to the Hungarian document.)

The elasticity of taxable income (2013, with Péter Benczúr and Pálma Mosberger). In: Fazekas, K., P. Benczúr and A. Telegdy (Eds.): The Hungarian Labour Market 2013. (Link to the 'Focus' part of the book containing the Chapter.)

Microsimulation as a tool for assessing the impact of tax changes (2013, with Dóra Benedek and Gábor Kátay). In: Fazekas, K., P. Benczúr and A. Telegdy (Eds.): The Hungarian Labour Market 2013. (Link to the 'Focus' part of the book containing the Chapter.)

Analyzing the effect of tax and transfer changes on the Hungarian economy: A behavioural microsimulation approach (2011, with P. Benczúr, G. Kátay, B. Reizer and M. Szoboszlai). MNB Bulletin, Central Bank of Hungary.

The tax policy microsimulation model of the Hungarian Fiscal Council (2011, with Dóra Benedek). (In Hungarian. Original title: Mikroszimulációs elemzés a személyi jövedelemadó módosításainak hatásvizsgálatában.) Közgazdasági Szemle (Hungarian Economic Review), Vol. 58 (February), 97-110. (Link to the Hungarian document.)

The effect of the crisis on households: A microsimulation analysis (2011, with Katalin Gáspár). In Fazekas, K. and Gy. Molnár (Eds.): The Hungarian Labour Market 2011. Budapest: Hungarian Academy of Sciences, pp. 160-169. (Link to the 'Focus' part of the book containing the Chapter.)

The real estate tax in the Hungarian tax system: Theoretical considerations and microsimulation analysis (2010, with Péter Elek). (In Hungarian. Original title: Az ingatlanadó a magyar adórendszerben: Elméleti megfontolások és mikroszimulációs elemzés.) Közgazdasági Szemle (Hungarian Economic Review), Vol. 57 (May), 389–411. (Link to the Hungarian document.)

The targeting of social benefits in Hungary (2009, with Katalin Gaspár). (In Hungarian. Original title: A jóléti támogatások célzottsága). Public Finance Working Papers 24, Eötvös University Budapest. (Link to the Hungarian document.)