Research
Publications
Follow the Leader? The Long-Run Interaction between Public and Private Sector Wage Growth in the UK
Economica, 2024
With Peter Dolton
Fiscal Uncertainty and Sovereign Credit Risk
European Economic Review, 2022, Volume 148
A previous version titled 'Sovereign Credit Ratings and Fiscal Uncertainty' is available as European Stability Mechanism Working Paper, 2018, Number 32
The paper formed part of my PhD under the supervision of Prof Paul Mizen and Prof Sourafel Girma, and funded by the Economic and Social Research Council (grant number ES/J500100/1).
The Economic Effects of the UK Government's Proposed Brexit Deal
World Economy, 2019, Volume 42, Issue 1, Pages 5-20
With Amit Kara and Garry Young
Labour Market Adjustments to Financing Conditions under Sectoral Rigidities in the Euro Area
Open Economies Review, 2018, Volume 29, Issue 4, Pages 1-26
With Simon Savsek and Sebastian Weber
Determinants of Sub-Sovereign Bond Yield Spreads - The Role of Fiscal Fundamentals and Federal Bailout Expectations
Journal of International Money and Finance, 2017, Volume 79, Pages 72-98
With Roland Beck, Gianluigi Ferrucci and Matthias Rau-Göhring
A previous version is available in the ECB Working Paper Series, No 1987, 2016
Sectoral Wage Rigidities and Labour and Product Market Institutions in the Euro Area
Open Economies Review, 2017, Volume 28, Issue 5 'Monetary Policy, Exchange Rates and Integration', Pages 923-965
With Robert Anderton, Simon Savsek and Máté Tóth
A previous version is available as CFCM Working Paper, No 1, 2016
Completed papers
Shocking Aspects of Government Expenditure: 50 Years of Counter-Cyclical Fiscal Policy in the UK
With Kemar Whyte
Mimeo, 2022
Understanding and Confronting Uncertainty: Revisions to UK Government Expenditure Plans
With Jagjit Chadha, Thomas Lazarowicz, Adrian Pabst, Garry Young
NIESR Discussion Paper, 2018, 495
The Impact of the ECB’s QE Programme: Core versus Periphery
With Jagjit Chadha
Mimeo, 2018
Work in progress
Navigating Uncertainty: An Examination of the Bank of England's Mixed-Strategy Response to Brexit
With Jagjit Chadha, Satyam Goel, Corrado Macchiarelli and Sathya Mellina
Policy papers
The UK Economy and The World Economy sections in the National Institute Economic Review, multiple issues, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
The economic impact on the United Kingdom of a customs union deal with the European Union
NIESR Report, 2019, with Garry Young
Using NiGEM in Uncertain Times: Introduction and Overview of NiGEM
National Institute Economic Review, 2018, 244(1), R1-R14, with Marta Lopresto and Garry Young
Light at the End of the Fiscal Tunnel?
Report for Sopra Steria, 2018, with Garry Young
Wachstumsfaktor Telekommunikation: Zum Beitrag der Telekommunikationsbranche zur wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung in Deutschland
DIW Politikberatung kompakt, 2014 (in German) with Ferdinand Pavel, Yann Girard, Anselm Mattes, Julius Pahlke and Katherina Peter
Altpapier: Preisentwicklungen und Preisindizes
HWWI Policy Paper 76, 2013 (in German), with Michael Bräuninger, Friso Schlitte and Sven Schulze