Working papers
Forward guidance and fiscal rules in HANK
A note on simulating the effect of monetary policy changes using only forward curves as inputs
Wage Indexation in a Cost-of-Living Crisis: Corrective versus Discretionary Fiscal Policies , with Charles de Beauffort, Gregory de Walque, Thomas Lejeune and Jolan Mohimont.
Income inequality and the German export surplus, Video.
Empirical DSGE model evaluation with interest rate expectations measures and preferences over safe assets , with Thomas Lejeune and Gregory de Walque
The macroeconomic effects of the Euro Area's fiscal consolidation 2011-2013: A simulation based approach, with Christian Schoder and Jan Strasky. Mentioned by Simon Wren Lewis on his blog.
Refereed publications
Lozej, M. and Rannenberg, A., 2018. The macroeconomic effects of the LTV and LTI ratios in Ireland. Applied economics letters, 25(21), pp.1507-1511. Mentioned in the Wall Street Journal and web edition of the Irish public broadcaster RTE.
Gechert, S., Hallett, A. H. and Rannenberg, A. (2016) ‘Fiscal multipliers in downturns and the effects of Euro Area consolidation’, Applied Economics Letters, 23(16), pp. 1138–1140. See also the associated voxeu blogpost and CEPR Policy Insight (extended version).
Rannenberg, A., 2009. Explaining European unemployment with a New Keynesian new growth model. Macroeconomic Policies on Shaky Foundations-Whither Mainstream Economics.
Forecasting
While working at IMK from 12/2012 to 30/04/2015, I have been in charge of most of the international part of our GDP forecast. My special focus was the EU economy, but I also cover most other important regions. I used the Niser Global Economic Model (NiGEM) to create the forecast. The forecast consists of two big forecast rounds completed in October and April and two smaller updates.