Peer-reviewed papers
2025
Al Khourdajie, A., (2025) The role of artificial intelligence in climate change scientific assessments. PLOS Clim 4(9): e0000706. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000706
Al Khourdajie, A., Gambhir, A., Keppo, I., Frilingou, N., Mittal, S., van de Ven, D.-J., Fragkos, P., Wells, C., Schoenberg, W., McJeon, H., Byers, E., Peters, G., McCollum, D., Zisarou, E., Smith, C., Westphal, M., Hawkes, A., & Nikas, A. (2025). Navigating the unexpected: The impact of disruptive events on mitigation scenarios [Preprint]. Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7427967/v1 (Submitted to Nature Climate Change)
Bataille, C., Al Khourdajie, A., H. de Coninck, K. de Kleijne, L. J. Nilsson, I. Bashmakov, S. J. Davis and P. S. Fennell (2025), 'Defining ‘abated’ fossil fuel and industrial process emissions', Energy and Climate Change, vol. 6, 100203, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100203
Al Khourdajie, A. (2025) Exploring climate futures with deep learning. Nature Climate Change, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02350-w and https://rdcu.be/eqPpk
de Rijke, M., van den Hurk, B., Salim, F., Al Khourdajie, A., Bai, N., Calzone, R., Curran, D., Demil, G., Frew, L., Gießing, N., Gupta, M. K., Heuss, M., Hobeichi, S., Huard, D., Kang, J., Lucic, A., Mallick, T., Nath, S., Okem, A., Pernici, B., Rajapakse, T., Saleem, H., Scells, H., Schneider, N., Spina, D., Tian, Y., Totin, E., Trotman, A., Valavandan, R., Workneh, D. and Xie, Y. (2025) Information retrieval for climate impact, arXiv, arXiv:2504.01162 [cs.IR], 1 https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2504.01162
2024
Stockhause, M., D. Huard, A. Al Khourdajie, J. M. Gutiérrez, M. Kawamiya, N. A. B. Klutse, V. Krey, D. Milward, A. E. Okem, A. Pirani, L. E. Sitz, S. A. Solman, A. Spinuso, & X. Xing. (2024) 'Implementing FAIR data principles in the IPCC seventh assessment cycle: Lessons learned and future prospects.' PLOS Climate 3(12): e0000533. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000533
Nikas, A., Frilingou, N., Al Khourdajie, A. & Gambhir, A. (2024) 'Science must up its game to support climate finance negotiations', Nature, 636, p. 45. doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-024-03945-7.
Reisinger A., A. Cowie, O. Geden, A. Al Khourdajie (2024). ‘Science-based targets miss the mark’ Nature Communications Earth and Environment, DOI 10.1038/s43247-024-01535-z
Al Khourdajie, A., J. Skea, & R. Green. (2024). 'Climate ambition, background scenario or the model? Attribution of the variance of energy-related indicators in global scenarios', Energy and Climate Change, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egycc.2024.100126
2023
Smith, C., A. Al Khourdajie, P. Yang, & D. Folini (2023). “Climate uncertainty impacts on social cost of carbon and optimal mitigation pathways.” Environ. Res. Lett. 18 (2023) 094024. Online: https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/acedc6/meta
Peters, G.P., A. Al Khourdajie, I. Sognnæs, & B. Sanderson (2023). “AR6 scenarios database: An assessment of current practices and recommendations.” . npj Clim. Action 2, 31 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-023-00050-9
2022
Kikstra J. S., Z. R. J. Nicholls, C. J. Smith, J. Lewis, R. D. Lamboll, E. Byers, M. Sanstad, M. Meinshausen, M. J. Gidden, J. Rogelj, E. Kriegler, G. P. Peters, J. S. Fuglestvedt, R. B. Skeie, B. H. Samset, L. Wienpahl, D. P. van Vuuren, K-I. van der Wijst, A. Al Khourdajie, P. M. Forster, A. Reisinger, R. Schaeffer, and K. Riahi (2022), “The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures” Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 9075–9109. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022
Iturbide, M., J. Fernández, J. M. Gutiérrez, A. Pirani, D. Huard, A. Al Khourdajie, J. Baño-Medina, J. Bedia, A. Casanueva, E. Cimadevilla, A. S. Cofiño, K. De Felice, J. Diez-Sierra, M. García-Díez, J. Goldie, D. A. Herrera, S. Herrera, R. Manzanas, J. Milovac, A. Radhakrishnan, D. San-Martín, A. Spinuso, K. Thyng, C. Trenham, and Ö. Yelekçi (2022), “Implementation of FAIR principles in the IPCC: The WGI AR6 Atlas repository.” Nature Scientific Data, 9, 629. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-022-01739-y
2021
McCollum, D., A. Al Khourdajie (2021), "Little room for new fossil fuel development if global temperatures are to stay below 1.5°C." Joule, 5(10), 2542-2545. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2021.10.003
Skea, J., P. Shukla, A. Al Khourdajie, & D. McCollum (2021), "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: Transparency and integrated assessment modeling." Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, e727. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.727
Lamb, W. F., T. Wiedmann, J. Pongratz, R. Andrew, M. Crippa, J. Olivier, D. Wiedenhofer, G. Mattioli, A. Al Khourdajie, J. House, S. Pachauri, M. Figueroa, Y. Saheb, R. Slade, K. Hubacek, L. Sun, S. K. Ribeiro, S. Khennas, S. de la Rue du Can, L. Chapungu, S. Davis, I. Bashmakov, H. Dai, S. Dhakal, X. Tan, Y. Geng, B. Gu, J. Minx (2021), “A review of trends and drivers of greenhouse gas emissions by sector from 1990 to 2018.” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 16(073005). https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abee4e
Skea, J., R. van Diemen, J. Portugal Pereira and A. Al Khourdajie (2021), “Outlooks, explorations and normative scenarios: Approaches to global energy futures compared.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 168(120736). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120736
2020
Al Khourdajie, A. and M. Finus (2020), “Measures to enhance the effectiveness of international climate agreements: The case of border carbon adjustments.” European Economic Review, vol. 124(103405). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103405
2018
Finus, M. and A. Al Khourdajie (2018), “Strategic Environmental Policy, International Trade and Self-enforcing Agreements: The Role of Consumers' Taste for Variety.” Strategic Behavior and the Environment, vol. 7(3–4), pp 317-350. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/102.00000086
Scientific Assessments
2023
IPCC, 2023: Workshop Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Workshop on the Use of Scenarios in the Sixth Assessment Report and Subsequent Assessments [Masson-Delmotte, V., H.-O. Pörtner, D.C. Roberts, P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, P. Zhai, W. Cheung, J. Fuglestvedt, A. Garg, B. O’Neill, J. Pereira, J. Portugal Pereira, K. Riahi, A. Sörensson, C. Tebaldi, E. Totin, D. van Vuuren, Z. Zommers, A. Al Khourdajie, S.L. Connors, R. Fradera, C. Ludden, D. McCollum, K. Mintenbeck, M. Pathak, A. Pirani, E.S. Poloczanska, S. Some and M. Tignor (eds.)]. Working Group III Technical Support Unit, Imperial College London, United Kingdom, 67 pp. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2023/07/IPCC_2023_Workshop_Report_Scenarios.pdf
Kriegler, E., Richters, O., Bertram, C., Anz, J., Cui, R., Edmonds, J., Hackstock, P., Hurst, I., Al Khourdajie, A., Kikstra, J., Lejeune, Q., Liadze, I., Min, J., Bresch, D., Piontek, F., Sauer, I., Schleussner, C.-F., Schleypen, J.R., Schwind, N., Sferra, F., van Ruijven, B., Weigmann, P., Zhao, A., Zimmer, A., Kornhuber, K., Byers, E., Stevanovic, M., Gulde, R., Cornfort, E. & Zwerling, M. (2023). NGFS Climate Scenarios Technical Documentation, V4.1. Network for Greening the Financial System. https://www.ngfs.net/sites/default/files/media/2023/11/07/ngfs_scenarios_technical_documentation_phase_iv.pdf
2022
IPCC, 2022: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Slade, A. Al Khourdajie, R. van Diemen, D. McCollum, M. Pathak, S. Some, P. Vyas, R. Fradera, M. Belkacemi, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. doi: 10.1017/9781009157926
IPCC, 2022: Summary for Policymakers [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, A. Reisinger, R. Slade, R. Fradera, M. Pathak, A. Al Khourdajie, M. Belkacemi, R. van Diemen, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, D. McCollum, S. Some, P. Vyas, (eds.)]. In: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Slade, A. Al Khourdajie, R. van Diemen, D. McCollum, M. Pathak, S. Some, P. Vyas, R. Fradera, M. Belkacemi, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. doi: 10.1017/9781009157926.001
M. Pathak, R. Slade, P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Pichs-Madruga, D. Ürge-Vorsatz,2022: Technical Summary. In: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Slade, A. Al Khourdajie, R. van Diemen, D. McCollum, M. Pathak, S. Some, P. Vyas, R. Fradera, M. Belkacemi, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. doi: 10.1017/9781009157926.002
IPCC, 2022: Annex II: Definitions, Units and Conventions [Al Khourdajie, A., R. van Diemen, W.F. Lamb, M. Pathak, A. Reisinger, S. de la Rue du Can, J. Skea, R. Slade, S. Some, L. Steg (eds)]. In IPCC, 2022: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Slade, A. Al Khourdajie, R. van Diemen, D. McCollum, M. Pathak, S. Some, P. Vyas, R. Fradera, M. Belkacemi, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. doi: 10.1017/9781009157926.021
Byers, E., V. Krey, E. Kriegler, K. Riahi, R. Schaeffer, J. Kikstra, R. Lamboll, Z. Nicholls, M. Sanstad, C. Smith, K-I. van der Wijst, A. Al Khourdajie, F. Lecocq, J. Portugal-Pereira, Y. Saheb, A. Strømann, H. Winkler, C. Auer, E. Brutschin, M. Gidden, P. Hackstock, M. Harmsen, D. Huppmann, P. Kolp, C. Lepault, J. Lewis, G. Marangoni, E. Müller-Casseres, R. Skeie, M. Werning, K. Calvin, P. Forster, C. Guivarch, T. Hasegawa, M. Meinshausen, G. Peters, J. Rogelj, B. Samset, J. Steinberger, M. Tavoni, D. van Vuuren. AR6 Scenarios Database hosted by IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2022. doi: 10.5281/zenodo.5886911 | url: data.ece.iiasa.ac.at/ar6/
Richters, O., C. Bertram, E. Kriegler, J. Anz, T. Beck, D. Bresch, M. Charles, L. Clarke, R. Cui, J. Edmonds, P. Hackstock, J. Hilaire, D. Holland, I. Hurst, A. Al Khourdajie, J. Kikstra, C. Kropf, Q. Lejeune, I. Liadze, J. Min, P. Pfleiderer, F. Piontek, J. Rogelj, I. Sauer, N. Schwind, C.F. Schleussner, J.R. Schleypen, F. Sferra, B. van Ruijven, P. Weigmann, S. Yu, A. Zhao, A. Zimmer, M. Zwerling (2022): NGFS Climate Scenario Database: Technical Documentation V3.1. https://www.ngfs.net/sites/default/files/media/2022/09/02/technical_documentation_ngfs_scenarios_phase_3.pdf
Richters, O., C. Bertram, E. Kriegler, A. Al Khourdajie, R. Cui, J. Edmonds, P. Hackstock, D. Holland, I. Hurst, J. Kikstra, J. Lewis, I. Liadze, M. Meinshausen, J. Min, Z. Nichols, F. Piontek, I. Sauer, F. Sferra, J.P. Sanchez, B. van Ruijven, P. Weigmann, S. Yu, A. Zhao, M. Zwerling, (2022), NGFS Climate Scenarios Data Set (3.0) [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7085661
2020
The World in 2050 (2020), Innovations for Sustainability: Pathways to an efficient and post-pandemic future. Report prepared by The World in 2050 initiative. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria. DOI:10.22022/TNT/07-2020.16533.
Data-related output
2023
Richters, O., Kriegler, E., Al Khourdajie, A., Bertram, C., Bresch, D.N., Ciullo, A., Cornforth, E., Cui, R., Edmonds, J., Fuchs, S., Hackstock, P., Holland, D., Hurst, I., Kikstra, J., Klein, D., Kotz, M., Kropf, C.M., Lewis, J., Liadze, I., Mandaroux, R., Meinshausen, M., Min, J., Nicholls, Z., Piontek, F., Sanchez Juanino, P., Sauer, I., Sferra, F., Stevanović, M., van Ruijven, B., Weigmann, P., Westphal, M.I., Zhao, A. & Zwerling, M., 2023. NGFS Climate Scenarios Data Set (4.1). [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10079020.
2022
Richters, O.; Bertram, C.; Kriegler, E.; Al Khourdajie, A.; Cui, R.; Edmonds, J.; Hackstock, P.; Holland, D.; Hurst, I.; Kikstra, J.; Lewis, J.; Liadze, I.; Meinshausen, M.; Min, J.; Nichols, Z.; Piontek, F.; Sauer, I.; Sferra, F.; Sanchez J., P.; van Ruijven, B.; Weigmann, P.; Yu, S.; Zhao, A.; Zwerling, M., (2022), NGFS Climate Scenarios Data Set (3.0) [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7085661
Al Khourdajie, A. (2022). AR6 Working Group III FAIR Supplementary Material. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6490164
Pirani, A., A. Alegria, A. Al Khourdajie, W. Gunawan, J. M. Gutiérrez, K. Holsman, D. Huard, M. Juckes, M. Kawamiya, N. Klutse, V. Krey, R. Matthews, A. Milward, C. Pascoe, G. van der Shrier, A. Spinuso, M. Stockhause, & X. Xing. (2022). The implementation of FAIR data principles in the IPCC AR6 assessment process. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6504469
Byers, E., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Schaeffer, R., Kikstra, J., Lamboll, R., Nicholls, Z., Sandstad, M., Smith, C., van der Wijst, K., Al Khourdajie, A., Lecocq, F., Portugal-Pereira, J., Saheb, Y., Stromann, A., Winkler, H., Auer, C., Brutschin, E., Gidden, M., Hackstock, P., Harmsen, M., Huppmann, D., Kolp, P., Lepault, C., Lewis, J., Marangoni, G., Müller-Casseres, E., Skeie, R., Werning, M., Calvin, K., Forster, P., Guivarch, C., Hasegawa, T., Meinshausen, M., Peters, G., Rogelj, J., Samset, B., Steinberger, J., Tavoni, M., van Vuuren, D. (2022), AR6 Scenarios Database [Data set]. In Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change (1.1). Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7197970
Conference Papers
Stockhause M., A. Al Khourdajie, A. Alegria, R.S. Chen, D.B. Huard, M.N. Juckes, C.L. Pascoe, R. Matthews, A. Pirani, E. Poloczanska, S. Vicuna, X. Xing and Ö. Yelekçi (2020), IPCC Sixth Assessment: Approaches Towards FAIR Data and an Enhanced Data Reuse. "Earth and Space Science Open Archive." Presented at 2020 Fall Meeting of American Geophysical Union. https://doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10504799.1 and https://doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10504782.1
Conferences Presentations
28th Annual Conference of the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists. Paper: Smith, C., Al Khourdajie, A., Yang, P., & Folini, D. (preprint). Climate uncertainty impacts on social cost of carbon and optimal mitigation pathways. Available on arXiv: https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2304.08957
MESSAGEix Community Meeting 2023, IIASA. Enabling or hampering? The impact of investors’ expectations and climate risk assessment on mitigation scenarios. (working paper with: Oliver Fricko, Stefano Battiston, Irene Monasterolo, Bas van Ruijven, Jihoon Min, Keywan Riahi).
GEIA: Global Emissions InitiAtive. Xing, X., Al Khourdajie, A., Minx, J. C., Lamb, W. F., Tristan, J., Krey, V., Stockhause, M., Green, C., Wu, Z., & Chen, R. S. (2023). Greenhouse gas emissions data and information in the IPCC assessments: from FAR to AR6 and challenges for AR7.
Funding & Projects
Ongoing
IAM COMPACT: Horizon Europe research project aiming to support the assessment of global climate goals & the design of relevant policies. (IAM COMPACT: Expanding Integrated Assessment Modelling: Comprehensive and Comprehensible Science for Sustainable, Co-Created Climate Action)
Reports
P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Fradera, K. Kissick, R. Slade, M. Belkacemi, R. van Diemen, A. Al Khourdajie, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, M. Pathak, M. Smoker-Mulhern, P. Vyas (2020), The IPCC’s first virtual Lead Author Meeting: An evaluation by the Technical Support Unit of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2020/07/IPCC-WG-III-TSU-Report-Evaluating_the_IPCCs_first_Virtual_Lead_Author_Meeting.pdf
Conferences' Committees
2025 ESIF - Economics+Climate Science (ESIFCLIM)
MANILA25: Information Retrieval for Climate Impact A SIGIR 2025 workshop July 17, 2025
Peer review services
Reports
UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2023, Chapter 2: Global Emissions Trends
UNEP Production Gap Report 2023, Chapter 2: The Fossil Fuel Production Gap
IISD International Institute for Sustainable Development - Energy Scenarios Report 2022
Journals
Nature Climate Change
Nature Energy
Nature Communications
Nature Scientific Data
npj Climate Action
Climate Policy
Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Science Data (ESSD) e.g.
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition
Joule
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change
Journal of Environmental and Resource Economics
The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics
Strategic Behaviour and the Environment
Scholarships
UKRI Talent Peer Review College (PRC) for the Future Leader Fellowships scheme.