Publications

Google Scholar: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=ewUcT4AAAAAJ&hl=en

ResearchGate: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Folashade-B-Agusto

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6137-6480 

Publications with * undergraduate students, ** graduate students, *** postdoctoral fellows

WORK IN PROGRESS

• Blake Best*, Tanya Singh*, Myunghyun Oh, Folashade B. Agusto. Modeling the Synergistic Interaction Between Novel Cotton Leaf Roll Virus and Watermelon Mosaic Virus Found in China's Henan Province.

• Ella Barnes*, Matthew Haight*, Myunghyun Oh, Folashade B. Agusto. Mathematical Model for Rice Tungro Virus Disease Helper-Dependent Pathosystem

• Benjamin Mkongwe*, Folashade B. Agusto.   The basic reproduction number of a tick-borne disease in a spatial domain.

• Folashade B. Agusto. Controlling Lyme disease in an environment with rising temperature.

• Folashade B. Agusto, Igor Erovenko, Alexander Fulk**, Daniel Romero-Alvarez**, Jordan A.T. Bramble*, Raul Saenz**, Jarron Saint Onge, Townsend Peterson. 

The impact of changing behavior, vaccination, and mobility on COVID-19 transmission.

WORK SUBMITTED

• Folashade B. Agusto, Inger Fabris-Rotelli, Christina J. Edholm, Innocent Maposa, Faraimunashe Chirove,
  Chidozie W. Chukwu, David Goldsman, Suzanne Lenhart. An Agent-Based Model for Household COVID-19 Transmission in Gauteng, South Africa. 

Submitted to PLOS One.

• Abdelghafar Alkishe, Uzma Ashraf, A. Townsend Peterson, Folashade B. Agusto, Muhammad A. Khan.

    Mapping the risk of dengue virus outbreak in northern Pakistan. Submitted.

Publications

Publications with * undergraduate students, ** graduate students, *** postdoctoral fellows

2024

• Mamadou Lamine Diagne, Folashade Agusto, Herieth Rwezaura, Jean Tchuenche, Suzanne Lenhart (2024). 

Submitted to Journal of Biological Dynamics. Scientific African Volume 24, June 2024, e02138.

• Folashade B. Agusto, Maria C.A. Leite, Benito Chen-Charpentier, Natali Hritonenko, Frank Owusu, Owusu Demfeh (2024). 

Cacao Sustainability: The case of Cacao swollen-shoot virus co-infection. PLOS One, 19(3), e0294579.

2023

• Hiroko Kobayashi*, Alexander Fulk**, Raul Saenz**, Folashade B. Agusto (2023).

     Understanding U.S. Mental Health Trends during the COVID-19 Pandemic using Network Analysis. 

PLOS One, 18(6), e0286857.

• Alexander Fulk**, Raul Saenz*, Hiroko Kobayashi*, Jordan Bramble*, Maposa Innocent, Folashade Agusto (2023).  

Assessing the Relative Impacts of COVID-19 and Social Isolation on Anxiety and Depression Across Two Time Periods in the United States. 

COVID 2023, 3, 807–830.    https://doi.org/10.3390/covid3060060

•  Folashade B. Agusto, Eric Numfor, Srinivasan, Karthik, Enahoro Iboi, Alexander Fulk**, Qays Abu-Saymeh*, Jarron Saint Onge, Townsend Peterson (2023). 

Impact of public perception on the transmission of COVID-19 across geographical gradients. 

PeerJ, 11, e14736.

• Bramble, Jordan*, Alexander Fulk**, Raul Saenz**, and Folashade B. Agusto (2023). 

Exploring the role of superspreading events in SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks. 

Journal of Theoretical Biology, 558: 111353.

2022

• Agusto, Folashade, Daniel Bond*, Adira Cohen*, Wandi Ding, Rachel Leander, and Allis Royer* (2022). 

Optimal impulse control of West Nile virus. 

AIMS Mathematics, 7 (10): 19597–19628.

• Christina J. Edholm, Benjamin Levy, Lee Spence**, Folashade B. Agusto, Faraimunashe Chirove, C. Williams Chukwu**, David Goldsman, Moatlhodi Kgosimore, Innocent Maposa, K.A. Jane White, Suzanne Lenhart (2022). 

A Vaccination Model for COVID-19 in Gauteng, South Africa. 

Infectious Disease Modelling, 7(3), 333-345.

• Alexander Fulk**, Daniel Romero-Alvarez**, Qays Abu-Saymeh*, Jarron M. Saint Onge, A. Townsend Peterson, Folashade B. Agusto (2022). 

Using Google Health Trends to investigate COVID-19 incidence in Africa. 

PLoS ONE 17(6): e0269573. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0269573

• Emily Guo* and Folashade B. Agusto (2022). 

Baptism of fire: Modeling the effects of prescribed fire on tick-borne disease. 

Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology, 2022.

• Maria C.A. Leite, Natali Hritonenko, Folashade B. Agusto, Orou G. Gaoue, and Benito Chen-Charpentier (2022). 

Viability of Pentadesma in reduced habitat ecosystems within two climatic regions with fruit harvesting. 

Journal of Biological Dynamics, 16(1), 207-235.

• Alexander Fulk**, Weizhang Huang, and Folashade B. Agusto (2022). 

Modeling the effects of prescribed fire on tick-borne disease on a spatial domain. 

Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/5031806

• Folashade B. Agusto, Igor V. Erovenko, Alexander Fulk**, Qays Abu-Saymeh*, Daniel Romero-Alvarez**, Joan Ponce, Suzanne Sindi, Omayra Ortega, Jarron M. Saint Onge, Townsend Peterson (2022). 

To isolate or not to isolate: The impact of changing behavior on COVID-19 transmission. 

BMC Journal of Public Health, 22(1), 1-20.

2021

• Leite, M.C., Sauchuk, R*., Agusto, F.B., Gaoue, O., Chen-Charpentier, B., (2021). 

Modeling the persistence of plant populations in fragmented ecosystems. 

Ecological Modelling, 457: 109681.

• Enahoro A. Iboi, Ariana Richardson*, Rachel Ruffin*, DeAndrea Ingram *, Jailyn Clark*, Jala Hawkins*, Maati McKinney*, Reyla Ponder*, Zoe Denton*, 

Folashade B. Agusto, Bismark Oduro, Lanre Akinyemi. (2021).  

Impact of Public Health Education Programs in the Early Stage of COVID-19 Outbreak in the U.S. State of Georgia.  

Frontiers in Public Health, 9, 630974.

• Erick Oduniyi*, Brad Gibbons*, Myunghyun Oh, and Folashade B. Agusto (2021). 

Modeling Ebola Transmission Dynamics with Media Effects on Disease and Isolation Rates. 

In: Teboh-Ewungkem M.I., Ngwa G.A. (eds), Infectious Diseases and our Planet. Mathematics of Planet Earth.  Springer, Cham. 7, 257–279.

• Agusto, F., Goldberg, A., Ortega, O., Ponce, J., Zaytseva, S., Sindi, S. S., & Blower, S. (2021). 

How do interventions impact malaria dynamics between neighboring countries? 

A case study with Botswana and Zimbabwe. EIn: Segal R., Shtylla B., Sindi S. (eds), Using  Mathematics to Understand Biological Complexity Springer, Cham. 22, 83–109. 

2020

• Agusto, F. B. (2020). 

Optimal Control and Temperature Variations of Malaria Transmission Dynamics. 

Complexity, 2020. Article ID 5056432. 

• Demers, J., Bewick, S., Agusto, F., Caillouët, K. A., Fagan, W. F., & Robertson, S. L. (2020). 

Managing disease outbreaks: The importance of vector mobility and spatially heterogeneous control. 

PLOS Computational Biology, 16(8): e1008136.  

• Pantha, B., Agusto, F. B., & Elmojtaba, I. M. (2020). 

Optimal Control Applied to a Visceral Leishmaniasis Model. 

Electronic Journal of Differential Equations, 2020(80), 1–24. 

• Chen-Charpentier, B., Leite, M. C. A., Gaoue, O., & Agusto, F. B. (2020). 

Mathematical Modeling for Studying the Sustainability of Plants Subject to the Stress of Two Distinct Herbivores. 

Applications & Applied Mathematics, 15(1), 598 – 635.

• Walter K Dodds, Lydia H Zeglin, Robert J Ramos, Thomas G Platt, Aakash Pandey, Theo Michaels, Mohammadali Masigol, Anna M L Klompen, Michelle C Kelly, Ari Jumpponen, Emma Hauser, Paige M Hansen, Mitchell J Greer, Niloufar Fattahi, Camille S Delavaux, R Kent Connell, Sharon Billings, James D Bever, Niloy Barua, Folashade B Agusto (2020). 

Connections and Feedback: Aquatic, Plant, and Soil Microbiomes in Heterogeneous and Changing Environments. 

BioScience. 70(7), 548–56.

2019

• Agusto, F., Goldberg, A., Ortega, O., Ponce, J., Zaytseva, S., Sindi, S. S., & Blower, S. (2019). 

How do interventions impact malaria dynamics between neighboring countries? A case study with Botswana and Zimbabwe. 

medRxiv, 19013631.

• Agusto, F. B., & Kim*, S. (2019). 

Impact of Mobility on Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus among Injection Drug Users. 

Antibiotics, 8(2), 81.

• Agusto, F. B., & Leite, M. C. A. (2019). 

Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of the 2017 meningitis outbreak in Nigeria. 

Infectious Disease Modelling, 4, 161–187. 

• Agusto, F.B., Leite, M.C.A. and Orive, M.E. (2019). 

The transmission dynamics of a within-and between-hosts malaria model. 

Ecological Complexity, 38, 31–55.

• O’Sullivan, S., Sajid, M. I., Agusto, F. B., Mwangangi, J., Manguvo, A., Wichmann, D., & Kharoshah, M. (2018). 

Virtual autopsy and community engagement for outbreak response in Africa: traditional, religious and sociocultural perspectives. 

Egyptian Journal of Forensic Sciences, 8(1), 67.

2018

• Mohammed-Awel, J., Agusto, F., Mickens, R. E., & Gumel, A. B. (2018). 

Mathematical assessment of the role of vector insecticide resistance and feeding/resting behavior on malaria transmission dynamics: Optimal control analysis. 

Infectious Disease Modelling, 3, 301–321.

• Agusto, F. B., & Khan, M. A. (2018). 

Optimal control strategies for dengue transmission in Pakistan. 

Mathematical Biosciences, 305, 102–121.

• Leite, M. C., Chen-Charpentier, B., & Agusto, F. B. (2018). 

Maximizing tree harvesting benefit from forests under insect infestation disturbances. 

PloS One, 13(8), e0200575.

• Leite, M. C. A., Chen-Charpentier, B., & Agusto, F. B. (2018). 

A mathematical model of tree harvesting in age-structured forests subject to beetle infestations. 

Computational and Applied Mathematics, 37(3), 3365–3384.

• Wagner*, R., & Agusto, F. B. (2018). 

Transmission dynamics for Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus areus with injection drug user. 

BMC Infectious Diseases, 18(1), 69.

• Zabel*, T. A., & Agusto, F. B. (2018). 

Transmission Dynamics of Bovine Anaplasmosis in a Cattle Herd. 

Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases, 2018.

2017

• Agusto, F. B., Bewick, S., & Fagan, W. F. (2017). 

Mathematical model of Zika virus with vertical transmission. 

Infectious Disease Modelling, 2(2), 244–267.

• Agusto, F. B., & ELmojtaba, I. M. (2017). 

Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of malaria/visceral leishmaniasis co-infection. 

PLOS One, 12(2), e0171102.

• Agusto, F. B., Bewick, S., & Fagan, W. F. (2017). 

Mathematical model for Zika virus dynamics with sexual transmission route. 

Ecological Complexity, 29, 61–81.

• Manore, C. A., Ostfeld, R. S., Agusto, F. B., Gaff, H., & LaDeau, S. L. (2017). 

Defining the risk of Zika and chikungunya virus transmission in human population centers of the eastern United States. 

PLoS Neglected Tropical diseases, 11(1), e0005255.

• Agusto, F. B. (2017). 

Mathematical model of Ebola transmission dynamics with relapse and reinfection. 

Mathematical Biosciences, 283, 48–59.

• Agusto, F. B. (2017). 

Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis of a three age-structured transmission dynamics of chikungunya virus. 

Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems-B, 22(3), 687–715.

2016

• Bewick, S., Agusto, F., Calabrese, J. M., Muturi, E. J., & Fagan, W. F. (2016). 

Epidemiology of La Crosse virus emergence, Appalachia Region, United States. 

Emerging Infectious Diseases, 22(11), 1921.

• Bewick, S., Fagan, W. F., Calabrese, J. M., & Agusto, F. (2016). 

Zika virus: endemic versus epidemic dynamics and implications for disease spread in the Americas. 

BioRxiv, 041897.

• Agusto, F. B. (2016). 

Optimal control of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus transmission in hospital settings. 

Applied Mathematical Modelling, 40(7-8), 4822–4843.

• Rasmussen, M., Hastings, A., Smith, M. J., Agusto, F. B., Chen-Charpentier, B. M., Hoffman, F. M., Jiang Jiang, Katherine E.O. Todd-Brown, 

Ying Wang, Ying-Ping Wang, & Luo, Y. (2016). 

Transit times and mean  ages for nonautonomous and autonomous compartmental systems. 

Journal of Mathematical Biology, 73(6-7), 1379–1398.

• Gaoue, O. G., Jiang, J., Ding, W., Agusto, F. B., & Lenhart, S. (2016). 

Optimal harvesting strategies for timber and non-timber forest products in tropical ecosystems. 

Theoretical Ecology, 9(3), 287–297.

• Agusto, F. B., Easley*, S., Freeman*, K., & Thomas**, M. (2016). 

Mathematical model of three age-structured transmission dynamics of Chikungunya virus. 

Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine, 2016.

• Wang, Y. P., Jiang, J., Chen-Charpentier, B., Agusto, F. B., Hastings, A., Hoffman, F., M. J. Smith, K. Todd-Brown, Y, & Xu, X. (2015). 

Responses of two nonlinear microbial models to warming or increased carbon input. 

Biogeosciences Discussions, 12(17).

2015

• Hota, S., Agusto, F., Joshi, H. R., & Lenhart, S. (2015). 

Optimal control and stability analysis of an epidemic model with education campaign and treatment. 

In Conference Publications. American Institute of Mathematical Sciences. 2015, 621–635.  

• Agusto, F. B., Gumel, A. B., & Parham, P. E. (2015). 

Qualitative assessment of the role of temperature variations on malaria transmission dynamics. 

Journal of Biological Systems, 23(04), 1550030.

• Wiraningsih, E. D., Agusto, F., Aryati, L., Lenhart, S., & Toaha, S. (2015). 

Stability analysis of rabies model with vaccination and culling effect on dogs. 

Applied Mathematical Sciences, 9(77), 3805–3817.

• Agusto, F., Teboh-Ewungkem, M., & Gumel, A. B. (2015). Mathematical assessment of the role of traditional beliefs system and customs and health-care settings on the transmission dynamics of the 2014 Ebola outbreaks. 

BMC Medicine, 96, 1–17.

• Parham, P. E., Waldock, J., Christophides, G. K., Hemming, D., Agusto, F., Evans, K. J., Nina Fefferman, Holly Gaff, Abba Gumel, Shannon LaDeau, Suzanne Lenhart, Ronald E. Mickens, Elena N. Naumova, Richard S. Ostfeld, Paul D. Ready, Matthew B. Thomas, Jorge Velasco-Hernandez, & Edwin Michael (2015). 

Climate, environmental and socio-economic change: weighing up the balance in vector-borne disease transmission. 

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 370(1665), 20130551.

• Hem Raj Joshi, Suzanne Lenhart, Sanjukta Hota and Folashade Agusto (2015). 

Optimal Control of SIR Model with Changing Behavior through an Education Campaign. 

Electronic Journal of Differential Equations, 2015 (50), 1–14.

• Agusto, F. B., Knight*, K. N., & Jones, M. (2015). 

Modeling of community-and hospital-acquired methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus transmission in hospital settings. 

BIOMATH, 4(2), 1511161.

• Agusto, F. B., Cook*, J., Shelton*, P. D., & Wickers*, M. G. (2015). 

Mathematical model of MDR-TB and XDR-TB with isolation and lost to follow-up. 

Abstract and Applied Analysis, 2015.  

2014

• Agusto, F. B. (2014). 

Malaria drug resistance: The impact of human movement and spatial heterogeneity. 

Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 76(7), 1607–1641.

• Agusto, F. B., & Adekunle, A. I. (2014). 

Optimal control of a two-strain tuberculosis-HIV/AIDS co-infection model. 

Biosystems, 119, 20–44.

• Boëte, C., Agusto, F. B., & Reeves, R. G. (2014). 

Impact of mating behaviour on the success of malaria control through a single inundative release of transgenic mosquitoes. 

Journal of Theoretical Biology, 347, 33–43.

2013

• Agusto, F., & Lenhart, S. (2013). 

Optimal control of the spread of malaria superinfectivity. 

Journal of Biological Systems, 21(04), 1340002.

• Wang, Y. P., Chen, B. C., Wieder, W. R., Leite, M., Medlyn, B. E., Rasmussen, M., Smith, Matthew; Agusto, F.B; Hoffman, Forrest, & Luo, Y. Q. (2014). 

Oscillatory behavior of two nonlinear microbial models of soil carbon decomposition. 

Biogeosciences, 11(7), 1817–1831.

• Agusto, F. B. (2013). 

Optimal isolation control strategies and cost-effectiveness analysis of a two-strain avian influenza model. 

Biosystems, 113(3), 155–164.

• Agusto, F. B., & Gumel, A. B. (2013). 

Qualitative dynamics of lowly-and highly-pathogenic avian influenza strains. 

Mathematical Biosciences, 243(2), 147–162.

• Agusto, F. B., & Tchuenche, J. M. (2013). 

Control strategies for the spread of malaria in humans with variable attractiveness. 

Mathematical Population Studies, 20(2), 82–100.

• Agusto, F. B., Del Valle, S. Y., Blayneh, K. W., Ngonghala, C. N., Goncalves, M. J., Li, N., Nianpeng Li, Ruijun Zhao, & Gong, H. (2013). 

The impact of bed-net use on malaria prevalence. 

Journal of Theoretical Biology, 320, 58–65.

• Massaro*, T., Lenhart, S., Spence*, M., Drakes*, C., Yang*, G., Agusto, F., Whitlock, B. & Eda, S. (2013). 

Modeling for cost analysis of Johne's disease control based on EVELISA testing. 

Journal of Biological Systems, 21(04), 1340010.

2012

• Sullivan, A., Agusto, F., Bewick, S., Su, C., Lenhart, S., & Zhao, X. (2012). 

A mathematical model for within-host Toxoplasma gondii invasion dynamics. 

Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 9(3), 647–662.

• Agusto, F. B., Marcus, N., & Okosun, K. O. (2012). 

Application of optimal control to the epidemiology of malaria. 

Electronic Journal of Differential Equations 2012 (81), 1–22.

• Agusto, F. B., Bewick, S., & Parshad, R. D. (2012). 

Mosquito management in the face of natural selection. 

Mathematical Biosciences, 239(1), 154–168.

2011

• Agusto, F. B., Lenhart, S., Gumel, A. B., & Odoi, A. (2011). 

Mathematical analysis of a model for the transmission dynamics of bovine tuberculosis. 

Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences, 34(15), 1873–1887.

• Agusto, F. B., & Parshad, R. D. (2011). 

Global dynamics of a PDE model for Aedes aegypti mosquitoes incorporating female sexual preference. 

Dynamics of Partial Differential Equations, 8(4), 311–343.

• Tchuenche, J. M., Khamis, S. A., Agusto, F. B., & Mpeshe, S. C. (2011). 

Optimal control and sensitivity analysis of an influenza model with treatment and vaccination. 

Acta Biotheoretica, 59(1), 1–28.

2010

• Agusto, F. B., & Gumel, A. B. (2010). 

Theoretical assessment of avian influenza vaccine. 

DCDS Series B, 13(1), 1-25.

• Agusto, F. B., & Okosun, K. O. (2010). 

Optimal seasonal biocontrol for Eichhornia crassipes. 

International Journal of Biomathematics, 3(03), 383–397.

• Agusto, F. B., & Ogunye*, O. R. (2010). 

Avian Influenza optimal seasonal vaccination strategy. 

The ANZIAM Journal, 51(4), 394–405.

2009

• Agusto, F. B. (2009). 

Application of optimal control to the epidemiology of HIV-malaria co-infection. 

Nova Sciences Publishers, Inc, 139–167.

• Agusto, F. B. (2009). 

Optimal chemoprophylaxis and treatment control strategies of a tuberculosis transmission model. 

World J Model Simul, 5(3), 163–173.

2008

• Agusto, F. B., & Bamigbola, O. M. (2008). 

Existence and uniqueness for optimal control of oxygen absorption in aquatic system. 

APPS. Applied Sciences, 10, 9–18.

• Agusto, F. B. (2008). 

Adomian Decomposition Method for the Solution of Optimal Control of Waste Water Model. 

Mathematical Sciences, 2(2), 159–180.

2006

• Agusto, F. B. & Bamigbola, O. M. (2006). 

Optimal Control for Oxygen Depletion in an Aquatic System. 

Research Journal of Applied Sciences, 1, 67–71.

 2004

• Bamigbola, O. M., & Agusto, F. B. (2004). 

Optimization in ℝ n by Coggin's method. 

International Journal of Computer Mathematics, 81(9), 1145–1152.