Research

PUBLICATIONS:

A Cold Shower for the Hot Hand Fallacy: Robust Evidence that Belief in the Hot Hand is Justified (with Joshua B. Miller) OSF Review of Economics and Statistics (2023; accepted)

Is it a Fallacy to Believe in the Hot Hand in the NBA Three Point Contest? (with Joshua B. Miller) European Economic Review (2021) SSRN OSF

A Bridge from Monty Hall to the Hot Hand: The Principle of Restricted Choice (with Joshua B. Miller) Journal of Economic Perspectives (2019)  SSRN OSF

Surprised by the Hot Hand Fallacy? A Truth in the Law of Small Numbers (with Joshua B. Miller)- Econometrica (2018)  FAQ SSRN OSF

Search with Multiple Attributes: Theory and Empirics- Games and Economic Behavior (2017) WP

Response Functions (with Carlos Oyarzun and Hien Nguyen)- European Economic Review (2017)

Search, Memory, and Choice Error: An Experiment- Plos One (2015)

WORKING PAPERS:

Complexity in Choice Econometrica (invitation to revise)

A Visible hand? Expert Players Bet on the Hot Hand and Win (with Joshua B. Miller) OSF

How Experience Confirms the Gambler's Fallacy when Sample Size is Neglected (with Joshua B. Miller) OSF

Estimating Securities Prices Under Variable Information Loads (with Peter Katuscak)