In 2002, the exotic and destructive emerald ash borer (EAB) was detected in Detroit and Windsor, with >99% of mature ash trees expected to die.
Since 2004, the National Tree Seed Centre has led ex situ conservation efforts to bank representative seed samples of all native ash (Fraxinus spp.) across their range. To date, NTSC has banked over 850 seed collections for future research and reintroduction.
As of 2016, the area of Ontario experiencing severe ash decline and mortality was 242,283 ha. EAB continues to cause extensive mortality across Southern Ontario and recent CFIA quarantine areas have spread to Sault Ste. Marie (2017), Thunder Bay (2017), New Brunswick (2018) and Nova Scotia (2018).
In January 2018, all species of native Fraxinus in eastern North America were assessed as Critically Endangered on a Global IUCN Red List because of EAB mortality. In Canada and Ontario, COSEWIC and COSSARO are expected to review the status of black ash and other ash species to protect under Species at Risk legislation. Protection and recovery will be a major challenge.
We only worry that we've done too little too late.
Since 2008, the OMNRF Ontario Tree Seed Plant (OTSP), Forest Gene Conservation Association (FGCA) and University of Guelph Arboretum have been contributing to the national seed collection effort. In August 2017, the OTSP closure was announced. The next week, FGCA trained staff at the Invasive Species Centre in Sault Ste. Marie to support seed collection efforts and mitigate effects in Northern Ontario. FGCA continued this work in 2018 despite a poor seed year with its reserve funds and own staff, with shipping support provided by the Canadian Forest Service.
Yes, but not much. In a few years EAB may spread throughout the entire Great Lakes–St. Lawrence forest of Ontario.
Yes. FGCA's 2018 road trip searching for lingering ash in SW Ontario provided some evidence of persistance. Not all species or individuals are affected equally. Conservation of surviving trees and monitoring regeneration may hold clues to EAB tolerance, breeding and future reintroduction.