Continued
The Promise of the Eastern Forest
In addition to being the most important carbon sink in the country, eastern forests are mostly young or middle aged (between 50-100 years old), having attained only about 50% of their full carbon sequestration potential. This means that there could be an increase of 100% over current biomass stocks by 2100 – if we let the forests continue to grow naturally, through proforestation. Birdsey et al. (2023) calculated that eastern forests could continue to sequester and store carbon for decades, fulfilling the urgent need to address climate change and biodiversity decline within a fast-closing window for action. Halting the harvest of temperate continental forests today, could increase sequestration by 20 Teragrams of Carbon per year (TgC yr−1) by 2050. If we halted logging across the 73 million ha of middle-aged eastern forests which were studied by Birdsey et al., we would avert 117Mg CO2 per year until 2050. (Continuing business as usual on the other hand, will emit these 117Mg of CO2.)
While all public (local, state, and federal) forests must be protected and should be connected to create a permanent reservoir for the continued provision of ecosystem services, eastern forests are particularly important because Global Climate Models predict an intensification of current precipitation and temperature trends. Western, boreal, and tropical forests are increasingly exposed to drought, making them more vulnerable to pests, pathogens, and fire. Eastern forests on the other hand, are becoming increasingly moist and dense due to increased precipitation and warming temperatures. This shift in temperatures and moisture has triggered a process of mesophication: the self-perpetuation of the mesic forest, through a positive feedback loop based on rich seedbeds, moist and fertile soils from decomposing duff, and shade tolerance.
This development is desirable for many reasons: Mesophytic forests, because of their moist microclimates and closed structure, are more resistant to pests and fire as long as they are not compromised by humans. Hence, while more fires are ignited in the East due to a higher population density, the total area burned per year is much smaller in the East than in the West. Case in point: in 2022, just over 20,000 wildfires burned approximately 5.8 million acres in the West, compared to over 48,000 fires burning just over 1.8 million acres in the East. While wildfire is a natural and largely necessary disturbance for all forests, eastern mesic forests are less vulnerable.