Working papers

[wp43] "Dynamic Targeting: Experimental Evidence from Energy Rebate Programs," with T. Ida, T. Ishihara, K. Ito, D. Kido, S. Sakaguchi, and S. Sasaki, (Jun 2024), NBER working paper.

[wp42] "Statistical Decision Theory and Empirical Practice," with T. Armstrong and A. Tetenov (Mar 2024).
R & R, Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics

[wp41] "SVARs with breaks: Identification and inference," with E. Bacchiocchi (May 2024), arXiv 

[wp40] "Partially-Identified Heteroskedastic SVARs," with E. Bacchiocchi, A. Bastianin, and E. Mirto (Mar 2024), arXiv

[wp39] "Adaptive Experimental Design for Policy Learning," with M. Kato, K. Okumura, and T. Ishihara (Jan 2024), arXiv

[wp38] "Optimal Publication Rules for Evidence-Based Policy," with P. Vu (Oct 2023), arXiv.

[wp37] "Linear Regressions, Shorts to Long," with M. Sawada (Aug 2023), Discussion paper, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.

[wp35] "Individualized Treatment Allocation in Sequential Network Games," with G. Wang (July 2023), arXiv.

[wp34] "Stochastic Treatment Choice with Empirical Welfare Updating," with H. Lopéz and J. Rowley (Feb 2023), arXiv.

[wp33] "Best Arm Identification with Contextual Information Under a Small Gap," with M. Kato, M. Imaizumi, and T. Ishihara (Jan 2023), arXiv.

[wp32] "Treatment Choice with Nonlinear Regret," with S. Lee and C. Qiu. (Feb 2024), arXiv. 

[wp31] "Policy Choice in Time-Series by Empirical Welfare Maximization," with W. Wang and M. Xu. (June 2023), arXiv.

[wp29] "von Mises-Fisher Distributions and Their Statistical Divergence," with J. Rowley. (Nov 2022), arXiv.

[wp27] "Choosing Who Chooses: Selection Driven Targeting in Energy Rebate Program," with T. Ida, T. Ishihara, K. Ito, D. Kido, S. Sakaguchi, and S. Sasaki. (Sep 2023) NBER wp, R&R Econometrica.

[wp26] "Testing Instrument Validity with Covariates," with T. Carr. (July 2024), arXiv.  R functions & replication.

[wp24] "Robust Bayesian Analysis for Econometrics," with R. Giacomini and M. Read. (Aug 2021), CEPR discussion paper.

[wp23] "Evidence Aggregation for Treatment Choice," with T. Ishihara. (July 2024), arXiv.

[wp22] "Constrained Classification and Policy Learning," with S. Sakaguchi and A. Tetenov). (July 2023), arXiv. 

[wp21] "Identification and Inference under Narrative Restrictions," with R. Giacomini and M. Read. (Oct 2023), discussion paper, Reserve Bank of Australia. R&R Review of Economic Studies.

[wp20] "On Global Identification in Structural Vector Autoregressions," with E. Bacchiocchi. (Mar 2021), arXiv. 

[wp18] "Locally- but not Globally-Identified SVARs," with E. Bacchiocchi, (June 2022), SSRN. R&R Quantitative Economics.

[wp15] "Estimation under Ambiguity," with R. Giacomini and H. Uhlig, (May 2019), Cemmap wp.

[ wp9] "Measurement Error and Rank Correlations," with M. Nybom and J. Stuhler, (April 2018), Cemmap wp. Rej & R, Review of Economics and Statistics. 

[wp2] "Intersection Bounds, Robust Bayes, and Updating Ambiguous Beliefs," (Nov 2011).

[wp1] "Testing for Instrument Independence in the Selection Model," (Feb 2010).