Research

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Publications

Econometrica, 78(4):1341-1373, July 2010

[download the online appendix]

This paper provides axiomatic foundations for a nested family of habit formation models, based on an intertemporal theory of weaning a decision-maker from her habits using the device of compensation. 

Journal of Political Economy, 122(6):1203-1234, December 2014 (lead article). With G. de Clippel and K. Eliaz

How do markets respond when consumers are able to examine only a limited number of markets for the best price? Limited attention introduces a new dimension of cross-market competition, and having consumers who are only partially attentive increases consumer welfare. 

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 87:35-42, March 2013

[read a related article I wrote for VoxEU]

The myopic actions of players may lead to the break up of groups in the short run, but can ultimately bring about a situation from which a strictly self-enforcing allocation can be reached. 

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 6(4):326-361, November 2014. With D. Miller

[download the online appendix]

What do optimal contracts look like in teams where agents have many opportunities to shirk, tasks can be stochastically infeasible, and incentives are provided informally, using wasteful sanctions like guilt and shame, or slowed promotion? Despite symmetry of players and tasks, these features lead to the optimal concentration of supervisory responsibility in the hands of one or two agents. 

Journal of Economic Theory, 157:445-477, May 2015. With D. Dillenberger

We allow a decision maker’s risk attitute to be affected by his history of disappointments and elations. We establish equivalence between the model and two cognitive biases: risk attitude is reinforced by experience (there is greater risk aversion after disappointment than elation) and there is a primacy effect (early outcomes have the greatest impact).

Economic Journal, 125:1136-1156, June 2015. With A. Ambrus

Do models where multiple selves or individuals are aggregated into a collective decision have testable implications? Our negative result holds for a large class of models, even when the researcher has a fully specified theory of how preferences are aggregated. 

Journal of the European Economic Association, 15(5), October 2017. With D. Dillenberger and A. Postlewaite

[Reappearing in the `Editor's choice' virtual issue]

We show Savage’s axioms admit a continuum of other “expected utility” representations, where probability distributions over states capture forms of pessimism or optimism. Optimists, pessimists, and standard Savage agents can be distinguished if the choice domain includes subjective acts and objective lotteries

Theoretical Economics, 16(2), May 2021. With G. de Clippel, K. Eliaz and D. Fershtman

[Earlier version with additional results]

A principal must repeatedly assign one of two agents to some task. Profit is likely to be higher when the agent is qualified for the task, but qualification is unobservable. We fully characterize when the principal's first-best payoff is attainable, and identify a simple strategy profile achieving this whenever it’s feasible.

Theoretical Economics, 16(2), May 2021. With G. de Clippel

Peer-reviewed at NAJ Economics

We adapt the classic, revealed-preference approach to new forms of revealed information. We apply our methodology to an array of bounded rationality theories, showing its versatility. We identify theories and datasets that are testable in the same elegant way as Rationality, as well as theories and datasets for which testing is more challenging.

American Economic Review, 112(5), May 2022. With G. de Clippel and J. Fanning

[download the online appendix]

We study bargaining over contingent contracts in settings where private information becomes verifiable when the time comes to implement the agreement. We suggest a simple, two-stage game incorporating important aspects of bargaining. We characterize equilibria where bargainers reach agreement, and study interim-efficient limits as bargaining frictions vanish. Under mild regularity conditions, all such limits belong to Myerson (1984)’s axiomatic solution. 

Economic Theory, 73, June 2022. With S. Barberà, G. de Clippel and A. Neme

A decision maker may find it good enough to maximize her preference over a large-enough consideration set; just pick something that  sufficiently well-ranked (e.g., in the top quintile); or even endogenously determine a threshold for what is good enough based on an initial sampling of options. Such natural heuristics are encompassed by a common theory of Order-k Rationality, which relaxes perfect optimization by only requiring choices from a set S to fall in the top k(S) elements. Heuristics aside, this departure from rationality offers a natural way, in the classic ‘as if’ tradition, to gradually accommodate more choice patterns as k increases.

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 14(3), August 2022. With G. de Clippel

[download the online appendix]

We experimentally investigate how impartial observers allocate money to agents whose complementarity and substitutability determine the surplus each group can achieve. Analyzing the data through the lens of axioms and solutions from cooperative-game theory, a one-parameter model (mixing equal split and Shapley value) arises as a parsimonious description of the data. Three treatments establish the robustness of this qualitative conclusion, while also illustrating how context may impact the parameter estimate.

Review of Economics and Statistics, 105(4), July 2023. With G. de Clippel 

We propose relaxing the first-order conditions in optimization to approximate rational consumer choice. We assess the magnitude of departures with a new, axiomatically-founded measure that admits multiple interpretations, including in terms of price misperception. Standard inequality tests of rationality for any given reference class of preferences can be conveniently re-purposed to measure goodness-of-fit with that class. Another advantage of our approach is that it is applicable in any context where the first-order approach is meaningful (e.g., convex budget sets arising from progressive taxation). We apply these ideas to shed new light on existing portfolio-choice data.

JPE: Microeconomics, 1(3), August 2023. With G. de Clippel. 

We experimentally explore the often-overlooked negative implications of repeated interactions, whereby promises of rewards and threats of punishments may lead people to take actions that are detrimental to themselves and/or others. 

Economic Theory, 76(3), October 2023. With G. de Clippel

We study the empirical content of serial dictatorship and the core of housing markets. Under serial dictatorship, allocations reveal restrictions on the power ranking between agents. Testing for consistency with serial dictatorship amounts to checking whether there is an ordering satisfying these restrictions, which can be done using a simple generalization of the procedure used to check SARP. When it comes to voluntary trade instead, we characterize the empirical content of the core in Shapley and Scarf (1974)’s housing markets using revealed top-trading cycles. This characterization proves useful in many examples, but is also used to show that testing core consistency can be much more complex. 

Accepted at Journal of Economic Literature. With G. de Clippel.

A vibrant literature incorporates elements of bounded rationality into choice theory. We survey this work, discussing five central ways in which the literature has modeled departures from the rational choice procedure. We discuss the variety of purposes axiomatic choice characterizations serve for these positive theories; delve into the experimental testing of these theories; synthesize the welfare debate; and assess important future directions.

Older working paper version with some additional material

Working Papers

Caution in the Face of Complexity   

With G. de Clippel, P. Moscariello and P. Ortoleva. 

Draft coming soon.


As If   

With G. de Clippel, S. Kariv and R. Oprea. 

Draft coming soon.


Rational-ish Stochastic Choice

With G. de Clippel, T. Kitagawa and M. Petterson

Draft coming soon.

Fundamental questions regarding the individual-level performance of discrete-choice models remain unsettled. We propose a method of fit-optimized Bayesian model comparison that accounts for, and disentangles, issues of goodness of fit, sampling variation and model size. We apply the approach to a well-known replication of Tversky (1969)'s experiment on intransitivity, studying repeated choices from binary menus of lotteries. We find that parsimonious specifications of classic models such as rationality and the Luce rule, which both have a single underlying preference, perform surprisingly well at the subject level. We further evaluate the tradeoffs when hoping to explain many subjects with a common model.

Supported by NSF grant 1559398. With G. de Clippel

We develop the empirical content of simple Sender-Receiver games with costly perception, highlighting the fungibility between strategic inference and perception costs. Our framework yields crisp testable implications for equilibrium play, and lends itself to an experimental design that we take to the laboratory. 

This note develops testable implications of these theories for limited datasets, applying the methodology from Bounded Rationality and Limited Datasets.

This paper provides a duality-based improvement upon Ellison’s radius-coradius for evolutionary games.