Please find below my academic and non-academic writing.

Working Papers

Research

“The Future in Today's Prices: Evidence from a Survey of U.S. Firms” (with Philippe Andrade, Alexander Dietrich, John Leer, Jenny Tang, Egon Zakrajsek), February 2026.

“The Expectations of Others” (with Ina Hajdini, John Leer, Ezequiel Garcia-Lembergman and Mathieu Pedemonte), November 2025. Revised and Resubmitted at American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics.

“Low Passthrough from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation” (with Ina Hajdini, Edward Knotek, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte and Robert Rich), July 2025. Revised and Resubmitted at the Journal of Monetary Economics.

“Greater Than the Sum of the Parts: Aggregate vs. Aggregated Inflation Expectations” (with Alexander Dietrich, Edward Knotek, Kristian Myrseth, Robert Rich, Michael Weber), December 2025. Revised and Resubmitted at American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics.

“How Inflation Expectations De-Anchor: The Role of Selective Memory Cues” (with Nicola Gennaioli, Marta Leva and Andrei Shleifer), July 2025. Revise and Resubmit at Review of Economic Studies.

“Inflation Preferences” (with Hassan Afrouzi, Alexander Dietrich, Kristian Myrseth and Romanos Priftis), June 2025.

“Raising the Target: How Much Room Does It Really Give?” (with Jean-Paul L’Huillier), June 2025.

“How Robust are Robust Measures of PCE Inflation?” (with Sergio Ocampo and Dominic Smith), July 2022.

“Amazon and Online Competitor Prices: The Role of Shipping Costs in a Hybrid Platform Environment,” (with Krisztian Gado and Stefan Thomas), November 2023.

“Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data,” Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report Number 1062, June 2023.

“The Evolution of Work” (with Markus Mobius), NBER Working Paper 12694, November 2006.

Publications

“Multi-Product Firms and Price-Setting: Theory and Evidence from U.S. Producer Prices” (with Saroj Bhattarai). Journal of Monetary Economics. Volume 66, September 2014.

“Market Structure and Exchange Rate Pass-Through” (with Raphael Auer), Journal of International Economics, Volume 98, January 2016.

“Rational Inattention, Multi-Product Firms, and the Neutrality of Money” (with Ernesto Pasten), Journal of Monetary Economics, Volume 80, June 2016 (Lead Article).

“Inflation Dynamics during the Financial Crisis,” (with Simon Gilchrist, Jae Sim and Egon Zakrajsek), American Economic Review, Volume 107, March 2017.

“International Menu Costs and Price Dynamics,” Review of International Economics, Volume 25(3), 578-606, August 2017.

“Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing? Redux” (with Saroj Bhattarai and Gauti Eggertsson), Journal of Monetary Economics, Volume 100, December 2018.

“YOLO: Mortality Beliefs and Household Finance Puzzles” (with Rawley Heimer and Kristian Myrseth), Journal of Finance, Volume 74, Issue 6, December 2019.

“The Propagation of Monetary Policy Shocks in a Heterogeneous Production Economy” (with Ernesto Pasten and Michael Weber), Journal of Monetary Economics, Volume 116, December 2020 (Lead Article).

“News and Uncertainty about COVID-19: Survey Evidence and Short-Run Economic Impact” (with Alexander Dietrich, Gernot Mueller and Keith Kuester), Journal of Monetary Economics, Volume 129, July 2022.

“Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations” (with Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Edward Knotek), Journal of Politcal Economy: Macro, Volume 1(2), June 2023.

“Price Rigidities and the Granular Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations” (with Ernesto Pasten and Michael Weber), April 2023. Forthcoming at the American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics.

“Financial Heterogeneity and Monetary Union” (with Simon Gilchrist, Jae Sim and Egon Zakrajsek), Journal of Monetary Economics, Volume 139, October 2023.

“The Real Effects of Monetary Shocks: Evidence from Micro Pricing Moments” (with Gee Hee Hong, Matt Klepacz and Ernesto Pasten). Journal of Monetary Economics, Volume 139, October 2023 (Lead Article).

“Price Selection in Microdata” (with Peter Karadi and Jesse Wursten). Journal of Political Economy: Macro, Volume 2(2), June 2024.

“Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence” (with Ina Hajdini, Ed Knotek, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, and Robert Rich). Journal of Monetary Economics, Volume 145,

July 2024.

“Big News: Climate Change and the Business Cycle” (with Alexander Dietrich and Gernot Mueller), September 2024. Forthcoming at the Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization.

“Big G” (with Lydia Cox, Gernot Mueller, Ernesto Pasten and Michael Weber). Journal of Political Economy, Volume 132(10), October 2024.

“Discussion of ‘Relative-Price Changes as Aggregate Supply Shocks Revisited: Theory and Evidence’”. Journal of Monetary Economics, Volume 148S, November 2024.

“Fiscal and Macroprudential Policies During an Energy Crisis" (with Romanos Priftis), July 2025. Forthcoming European Economic Review.

“Sixty years of global inflation: a post GFC update” (with Raphael Auer and Mathieu Pedemonte),

2025. Contribution to the Research Handbook of Inflation.

“Amazon and online competitor prices: the role of shipping costs in a hybrid platform environment” (with Krisztian Gado and Stefan Thomas), November 2025. Journal of European Competition Law & Practice.

Other Writing

“Swimming With Sharks”, Project M, Allianz, Volume 25, May 2017.

“How distorted mortality beliefs impact savings behavior,” DC Matters, Invesco, Spring/Summer Issue 2017.

“Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2019 Conference Summary”, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, December 2019.

“Consumers and COVID-19: A Real-Time Survey,” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, April 2020.

“Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics, 2019 CEBRA Annual Meeting Session Summary,” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, June 2020.

“Consumers and COVID-19: Survey Results on Mask-Wearing Behaviors and Beliefs,” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, June 2020.

“Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 Conference Summary,” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, March 2021.

“Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 CEBRA Annual Meeting Session Summary,” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, March 2021.

“Expected Post-Pandemic Consumption and Scarred Expectations from COVID-19,” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, April 2021.

“Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations,” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, March 2022.

“What Can We Learn from 60 Years of PCE Inflation Data?” SUERF Policy Brief No. 403, August 2022.

"Small and Medium-sized Businesses’ Expectations Concerning Tariffs, Costs, and Prices", April 2025.

"Consumer Inflation Expectations Across Surveys and Over Time", July 2025

"Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on the Outlook of Small and Medium-Sized Businesses", September 2025.

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