Publications
FY2024
【Peer Review】
Bertram, C., Brutschin, E., Drouet, L., Luderer, G., van Ruijven, B., Aleluia Reis, L., Baptista, L.B., de Boer, H.-S., Cui, R., Daioglou, V., Fosse, F., Fragkiadakis, D., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Hultman, N., Iyer, G., Keramidas, K., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., Lamboll, R.D., Mandaroux, R., Rochedo, P., Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, R., Silva, D., Tagomori, I., van Vuuren, D., Vrontisi, Z., Riahi, K., 2024. Feasibility of peak temperature targets in light of institutional constraints. Nature Climate Change 14, 954-960. [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02073-4]
Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Nishiura, O., Hasegawa, T., Shiraki, H., (2024) Integration of a computable general equilibrium model with an energy system model: Application of the AIM global model. Environmental Modelling & Software 178, 106087. [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106087]
Sugiyama, M., Fujimori, S., Wada, K., Kato, E., Matsuo, Y., Nishiura, O., Oshiro, K., Otsuki, T., (2024) Residual emissions and carbon removal towards Japan’s net-zero goal: a multi-model analysis. Environmental Research Communications 6(5), 051008. [https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad4af2]
Mori, S., Nishiura, O., Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S., (2024) Synthetic fuels mitigate the risks associated with rapid end-use technology transition in climate mitigation scenarios. Global Environmental Change Advances 2, 100009. [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecadv.2024.100009]
Hirata, A., Ohashi, H., Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Takahashi, K., Tsuchiya, K., Matsui, T., (2024) The choice of land-based climate change mitigation measures influences future global biodiversity loss. Communications Earth & Environment 5, 259. [https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01433-4]
Xia-Bauer, C., Gokarakonda, S., Guo, S., Filippidou, F., Thomas, S., Maheshwari, J.R., Vishwanathan, S.S., (2024) Comparative analysis of residential building decarbonization policies in major economies: insights from the EU, China, and India. Energy Efficiency 17(5), 46, doi:10.1007/s12053-024-10225-w
Pereira, H.M., Martins, I.S., Rosa, I.M.D., Kim, H., Leadley, P., Popp, A., van Vuuren, D.P., Hurtt, G., Quoss, L., Arneth, A., Baisero, D., Bakkenes, M., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Chini, L., Di Marco, M., Ferrier, S., Fujimori, S., Guerra, C.A., Harfoot, M., Harwood, T.D., Hasegawa, T., Haverd, V., Havlík, P., Hellweg, S., Hilbers, J.P., Hill, S.L.L., Hirata, A., Hoskins, A.J., Humpenöder, F., Janse, J.H., Jetz, W., Johnson, J.A., Krause, A., Leclère, D., Matsui, T., Meijer, J.R., Merow, C., Obersteiner, M., Ohashi, H., De Palma, A., Poulter, B., Purvis, A., Quesada, B., Rondinini, C., Schipper, A.M., Settele, J., Sharp, R., Stehfest, E., Strassburg, B.B.N., Takahashi, K., Talluto, M.V., Thuiller, W., Titeux, N., Visconti, P., Ware, C., Wolf, F., Alkemade, R., (2024) Global trends and scenarios for terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050. Science 384(6694), 458-465. doi:10.1126/science.adn3441
Jansakoo, T., Sekizawa, S., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Oshiro, K., (2024) Benefits of air quality for human health resulting from climate change mitigation through dietary change and food loss prevention policy. Sustainability Science 19, 1391-1407, 10.1007/s11625-024-01490-w.
Nishiura, O., Krey, V., Fricko, O., van Ruijven, B., Fujimori, S., (2024) Integration of energy system and computable general equilibrium models: An approach complementing energy and economic representations for mitigation analysis. Energy 296, 131039, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2024.131039.
Chaichaloempreecha, A., Pradhan, B.B., Rajbhandari, S., Chunark, P., Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Hanaoka, T., Limmeechokchai, B., (2024) Macroeconomic impacts and co-benefits of deep-decarbonization in Thailand. Energy, Ecology and Environment, 10.1007/s40974-024-00324-w.
Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Ito, A., Takahashi, K., (2024) Careful selection of forest types in afforestation can increase carbon sequestration by 25% without compromising sustainability. Communications Earth & Environment 5, 171, 10.1038/s43247-024-01336-4.
(In Japanese)
【Non-peer review 】
藤森真一郎, (2024) 無謀な賭け, 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.38, No.2, 3-12, 2024年6月10日
【Presentation】
International
Internal
FY2023
【Peer Review】
Park, C.Y., Takahashi, K., Fujimori, S., Phung, V.L.H., Li, F., Takakura, J.y., Hasegawa, T., Jansakoo, T., 2024. Future fire-PM2.5 mortality varies depending on climate and socioeconomic changes. Environmental Research Letters 19, 024003. [https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad1b7d ]
Shiogama, H., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Hayashi, M., Hirabayashi, Y., Ogura, T., Iizumi, T., Takahashi, K., Takemura, T., (2023) Important distinctiveness of SSP3–7.0 for use in impact assessments. Nature climate change 13, 1276-1278. [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01883-2]
Oda, T., Takakura, J.y., Tang, L., Iizumi, T., Itsubo, N., Ohashi, H., Kiguchi, M., Kumano, N., Takahashi, K., Tanoue, M., Tamura, M., Zhou, Q., Hanasaki, N., Hasegawa, T., Park, C., Hijioka, Y., Hirabayashi, Y., Fujimori, S., Honda, Y., Matsui, T., Matsuda, H., Yokoki, H., Oki, T., 2023. Total economic costs of climate change at different discount rates for market and non-market values. Environmental Research Letters 18, 084026. [https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/accdee]
Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Asayama, S., Shiraki, H., Takahashi, K., 2023. Alternative, but expensive, energy transition scenario featuring carbon capture and utilization can preserve existing energy demand technologies. One Earth 6(7), 872-883. [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.06.005]
Xia, S., Takakura, J.y., Wu, W., Blanchard, J.L., Heneghan, R.F., Yamakawa, T., Tsuchiya, K., Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Takahashi, K., 2023. Potential environmental and nutritional benefits of replacing ruminant meat with forage fish. Sustainable Production and Consumption 40, 265-276. [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spc.2023.07.005]
Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Oshiro, K., Zhao, S., Sasaki, K., Takakura, J., Takahashi, K., 2023. Potential side effects of climate change mitigation on poverty and countermeasures. Sustainability Science 18, 2245-2257. [https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-023-01369-2]
Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Hasegawa, T., Takakura, J., Ueda, K., 2023. Climate change mitigation costs reduction caused by socioeconomic-technological transitions. npj Climate Action 2, 9. [https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-023-00041-w]
(In Japanese)
平原 颯太郎, 関沢 賢, 藤森 真一郎, 大城 賢, 伊藤 昭彦, 長谷川 知子, (2023) 世界を対象とした対流圏オゾンによる植生のCO2 吸収量への影響評価と気候変動緩和策への含意. 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.79, No.5, I_103-I_114, 2023年9月
丸田 有美, 藤森 真一郎, 高倉 潤也, 大城 賢, 高橋 潔, 長谷川 知子, (2023) 世界を対象とした気候変動および気候変動緩和策による貧困影響の評価. 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.79, No.5, I_367-I_375, 2023年9月
齋藤 啓貴, 森 翔太郎, 大城 賢, 藤森 真一郎, 2023. 気候変動が変動性再生可能エネルギーの供給ポテンシャルに与える影響の評価. 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.79, No.5, I_71-I_82, 2023年9月
森 翔太郎, 大城 賢, 藤森 真一郎, 2023. 世界を対象としたエネルギーシステムモデルによる化学部門のCO2 排出削減策の評価. 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.79, No.5, I_355-I_365, 2023年9月
山﨑 航我, 藤森 真一郎, 大城 賢, 上谷 明生, 関沢 賢, 2023. 世界規模のNOx 排出削減がもたらす気候,健康,農業への影響に関する研究. 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.79, No.5, I_91-I_102, 2023年9月
吉田 大輝, 筒井 紀希, 西浦 理, 藤森 真一郎, 大城 賢, 2023. 全世界を対象とした木材による鉄鋼・セメントの代替が気候変動緩和に与える影響の評価. 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.79, No.5, I_259-I_269, 2023年9月
西本裕美, 藤森真一郎, (2023) 歴史的に観察された変化との対比に基づく長期気候緩和シナリオの評価方法. 土木学会論文集, Vol.79, No.8, 1-13, 2023年8月
[https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejj.22-00209]
【Non-peer review 】
Fujimori, S., Nishiura, O., Oshiro, K., Hasegawa, T., Shiraki, H., Shiogama, H., Takahashi, K., Takakura, J.y., Tsuchiya, K., Sugiyama, M., Asayama, S., (2023) Reconsidering the lower end of long-term climate scenarios. PLOS Climate 2, e0000318. [https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000318]
関沢 賢,藤森 真一郎,大城 賢、上田佳代, (2023) 異なる手法を用いた将来の全球PM2.5 および対流圏オゾン削減便益の経済価値評価, 第31回地球環境シンポジウム講演集, 99-104, 2023年9月
筒井 紀希,藤森 真一郎,大城 賢, (2023) 2050 年全世界ネットゼロ達成に向けた先進国の役割の評価, 第31回地球環境シンポジウム講演集, 83-88, 2023年9月
西浦 理,藤森 真一郎,大城 賢, (2023) 脱炭素化の選択肢:応用一般均衡モデルを用いたバイオマスと直接大気回収の比較研究, 第31回地球環境シンポジウム講演集, 73-76, 2023年9月
関沢賢, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 上田佳代, (2023) 将来の全球 PM2.5 および対流圏オゾン健康影響負担の経済的評価. 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.37, No.3, 57-59, 2023年7月
丸田有美, 藤森真一郎, 高倉潤也, 大城賢, 高橋潔, 長谷川知子, (2023) 世界を対象とした気候変動および気候変動緩和策がもたらす貧困人口への影響. 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.37, No.3, 74-76, 2023年7月
吉田大輝, 筒井紀希, 西浦理, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, (2023) 建設資材としての木材の利用促進が気候変動緩和に与える影響の評価. 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.37, No.3, 86-88, 2023年7月
山﨑航我, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 上谷明生, 関沢賢, (2023) 世界を対象とした NOx 排出削減による気候、健康、農業への影響評価. 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.37, No.3, 54-56, 2023年7月
森翔太郎, 大城賢, 藤森真一郎, (2023) 世界を対象とした化学部門における CO2排出削減策としてのバイオマス・水素利用技術の役割. 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.37, No.3, 156-158, 2023年7月
西浦理, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, (2023) 応用一般均衡モデルを用いた気候変動緩和における合成燃料の役割の分析. 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.37, No.3, 153-155, 2023年7月
筒井紀希, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, (2023) 2050 年全世界ネットゼロ達成に向けた先進国の役割に関する研究. 環境衛生工学研究 37, 77-79, 2023年7月
平原颯太郎, 関沢賢, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 伊藤昭仁, 長谷川知子, (2023) 全世界を対象とした対流圏オゾンによる植生の CO2 吸収量への影響評価と気候変動緩和策の評価. 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.37, No.3, 83-85, 2023年7月
齋藤啓貴, 森翔太郎, 大城賢, 藤森真一郎, (2023) 気候変動が太陽光および風力発電の供給ポテンシャルに与える影響の評価. 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.37, No.3, 80-82, 2023年7月
SAMERMIT, R., JANSAKOO, T., FUJIMORI, S., 2023. INFLUENCE OF FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE ON AIR QUALITY. Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research 37(3), 149-152, July 2023.
JANSAKOO, T., FUJIMORI, S., HASEGAWA, T., 2023. Dietary Shifting and Their Implications for Future Air Quality Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research 37(3), 60-64, July 2023.
KAMASELA, D.F., FUJIMORI, S., Hasegawa, T., 2023. Global Afforestation Carbon Sequestration Potential Projection using Integrated Assessment Model Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research 37(3), 167-171, July 2023.
藤森真一郎, (2023) 特集記事 寄附講座「住友電工グループ社会貢献基金・地球環境システム講座」の紹介. 環境衛生工学研究 37(2), 13-16, 2023年6月
【Presentation】
International
Shinichiro Fujimori, Ken Oshiro, Tomoko Hasegawa, Hiroto Shiraki, Hideo Shiogama, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Jun’ya Takakura, Kazuaki Tsuchiya, Masahiro Sugiyama, Asayama, S., 2023. Reconsidering the lower end of long-term climate scenario, sixteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2023, Hilton Molino Stucky, Venice, Italy, November 16, 2023.
Koga Yamazaki, Shinichiro Fujimori, Ken Oshiro, Akio Uetani, Satoshi Sekizawa, 2023. Assessing the climate, health, and agricultural impacts of global NOx emission reductions(Poster session), sixteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2023, Hilton Molino Stucky, Venice, Italy, November 16, 2023.
Thanapat Jansakoo, Satoshi Sekizawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Ken Oshiro, 2023. Climate change mitigation through dietary change and food loss reduction co-benefits air quality and human health, sixteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2023, Hilton Molino Stucky, Venice, Italy, November 16, 2023.
Ken Oshiro, Shinichiro Fujimori, 2023. Role of hydrogen co-firing on global power system decarbonization, sixteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2023, Hilton Molino Stucky, Venice, Italy, November 15, 2023.
Shiya ZHAO, Shinichiro FUJIMORI, Tomoko HASEGAWA, Ken OSHIRO, Jarmo KIKSTRA, 2023. Exploring the synergies and tradeoffs between deep climate mitigation and poverty and inequality alleviation: incorporating household heterogeneity into global macro-energy models, sixteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2023, Hilton Molino Stucky, Venice, Italy, November 15, 2023.
Shotaro Mori, Osamu Nishiura, Shinichiro Fujimori, Oshiro, K., 2023. Mitigation of rapid end-use technology transition with synthetic fuels in net-zero emissions scenarios, sixteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2023, Hilton Molino Stucky, Venice, Italy, November 15, 2023.
Yumi MARUTA, Shinichiro FUJIMORI, Junya TAKAKURA, Ken OSHIRO, Kiyoshi TAKAHASHI, Tomoko HASEGAWA, 2023. Global poverty implications of climate change and its mitigation, sixteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2023, Hilton Molino Stucky, Venice, Italy, November 15, 2023.
Osamu NISHIURA, Shinichiro Fujimori, Ken Oshiro, 2023. A Comparative Study of Biomass-Based and Direct Air Capture-Based Mitigation Technologies for Decarbonization(Poster session), sixteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2023, Hilton Molino Stucky, Venice, Italy, November 15, 2023.
Saritha SUDHARMMA VISHWANATHAN, Chris Bataille, Setton Stiebert, Otto Hebeda, Hilton Trollip, McCall, B., 2023. Towards net-zero emissions concrete and steel in India, Brazil and South Africa, sixteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2023, Hilton Molino Stucky, Venice, Italy, November 14, 2023.
Fujimori, S., 2023. Updates on AIM Global Modeling and Relevant International Activities, The 29th AIM International Workshop, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan, September 15, 2023.
Hanaoka, T., Fujimori, S. 2023. Activities of Global Decarbonization and Sustainability Studies in AIM, The 29th AIM International Workshop, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan, September 15, 2023.
Yumi Maruta, Shinichiro Fujimori, Junya Takakura, Ken OSHIRO, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Tomoko Hasegawa, 2023. Influence of Climate Change and its Mitigation Measures on Global Poverty (Poster session), The 29th AIM International Workshop, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan, September 14, 2023.
Yoshida Hiroki, Toshiki Tsutsui, Osamu NISHIURA, Shiichiro Fujimori, Ken OSHIRO, 2023. Assessment of the Impacts of Wood Substitution for Steel and Cement in Building Materials on Climate Change Mitigation (Poster session), The 29th AIM International Workshop, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan, September 14, 2023.
Shotaro Mori, Osamu NISHIURA, Ken OSHIRO, Shiichiro Fujimori, 2023. An Assessment of the Role of Synthetic Fuels in Mitigating the Rapid End-Use Technology Transition in NetZero Emissions Scenarios (Poster session), The 29th AIM International Workshop, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan, September 14, 2023.
Osamu Nishiura, Shiichiro Fujimori, Ken OSHIRO, 2023. Comparative Analysis of Biomass-Based and Direct Air Capture-Based Technologies for Decarbonization (Poster session), The 29th AIM International Workshop, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan, September 14, 2023.
Koga Yamazaki, Shiichiro Fujimori, Ken OSHIRO, Akio Uetani, Satoshi Sekizawa, 2023. Assessing the Climate, Health, and Agricultural Impacts of Global NOx Emission Reductions (Poster session), The 29th AIM International Workshop, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan, September 14, 2023.
Fujimori, S., 2023 International Conference on CMAS-Asia-Pacific, OMIYA SONIC CIVIC HALL @ SONIC CITY HALL, Saitama, JAPAN (2023) Climate Mitigation Research: Current Status and Challenges, July 20, 2023 (invited)
Fujimori, S., Sustainable Development Goals: How do we meet them?, Leiden, Netherland (2023) AIM modeling framework for the scenario quantification of sustainable development pathways, July 3, 2023.
Fujimori, S., Outreach event on the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report key findings and their relevance to Asia, Bangkok (2023) Need for mitigation, transformative action and future scenarios, April 28, 2023 (invited)
Internal
杉山昌広,大城賢,大槻貴司,加藤悦史,木村宰,冨田哲也,西浦理,藤森真一郎,松尾雄司,和田謙一, 2024. 日本のネットゼロ達成のための二酸化炭素除去:シナリオと政策ミックス, 第40回エネルギーシステム・経済・環境コンファレンス, 東京大学 生産技術研究所(駒場Ⅱキャンパス), 2024年1月31日
藤森真⼀郎, 2023. 気候変動と脱炭素社会, 気候変動問題の解決に向けた下水道の果たす役割, 土木学会行動およびZOOMオンライン, 2024年1月23日
吉⽥⼤輝, 筒井紀希, ⻄浦理, 藤森真⼀郎, ⼤城賢, 2023. 全世界を対象とした⽊材による鉄鋼・セメントの代替が気候変動緩和に与える影響の評価, 第31回地球環境シンポジウム, 滋賀県立大学, 2023年9月21日
森翔太郎, ⼤城賢, 藤森真⼀郎, 2023. 世界を対象としたエネルギーシステムモデルによる化学部⾨の CO2 排出削減策の評価, 第31回地球環境シンポジウム, 滋賀県立大学, 2023年9月21日
丸⽥有美, 藤森真⼀郎, ⾼倉潤也, ⼤城賢, ⾼橋潔, ⻑⾕川知⼦, 2023. 世界を対象とした気候変動および気候変動緩和策による貧困影響の評価, 第31回地球環境シンポジウム, 滋賀県立大学, 2023年9月21日
⼭﨑航我, 藤森真⼀郎, ⼤城賢, 上⾕明⽣, 関沢賢, 2023. 世界規模の NOx 排出削減がもたらす気候、健康、農業への影響に関する研究, 第31回地球環境シンポジウム, 滋賀県立大学, 2023年9月20日
平原颯太郎, 関沢賢, 藤森真⼀郎, ⼤城賢, 伊藤昭仁, ⻑⾕川知⼦, 2023. 世界を対象とした対流圏オゾンによる植⽣の CO2 吸収量への影響評価と気候変動緩和策への含意, 第31回地球環境シンポジウム, 滋賀県立大学, 2023年9月20日
齋藤啓貴, 森翔太郎, ⼤城賢, 藤森真⼀郎, 2023. 気候変動が変動性再⽣可能エネルギーの供給ポテンシャルに与える影響の評価, 第31回地球環境シンポジウム, 滋賀県立大学, 2023年9月19日
⻄浦理, 藤森真⼀郎, ⼤城賢, 2023. 脱炭素化の選択肢:応⽤⼀般均衡モデルを⽤いたバイオマスと直接⼤気回収の⽐較研究(ポスター発表), 第31回地球環境シンポジウム, 滋賀県立大学, 2023年9月19日
筒井紀希, 藤森真⼀郎, ⼤城賢, 2023. 2050 年全世界ネットゼロ達成に向けた先進国の役割の評価(ポスター発表), 第31回地球環境シンポジウム, 滋賀県立大学, 2023年9月19日
関沢賢, 藤森真⼀郎, ⼤城賢, 上⽥佳代, 2023. 異なる⼿法を⽤いた将来の全球 PM2.5 および対流圏オゾン削減便益の経済価値評価(ポスター発表), 第31回地球環境シンポジウム, 滋賀県立大学, 2023年9月19日
関沢賢、, 藤森真一郎、, 大城賢, 上田佳代, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第45回シンポジウム, 京都大学 百周年時計台記念館国際交流ホール, 将来の全球 PM2.5 および対流圏オゾン健康影響負担の経済的評価, 2023年7月29日
丸田有美, 藤森真一郎, 高倉潤也, 大城賢, 高橋潔, 長谷川知子, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第45回シンポジウム, 京都大学 百周年時計台記念館国際交流ホール, 世界を対象とした気候変動および気候変動緩和策がもたらす貧困人口への影響, 2023年7月29日
吉田大輝, 筒井紀希, 西浦理, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第45回シンポジウム, 京都大学 百周年時計台記念館国際交流ホール, 建設資材としての木材の利用促進が気候変動緩和に与える影響の評価, 2023年7月29日
山﨑航我, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 上谷明生, 関沢賢, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第45回シンポジウム, 京都大学 百周年時計台記念館国際交流ホール, 世界を対象とした NOx 排出削減による気候、健康、農業への影響評価, 2023年7月29日
筒井紀希, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第45回シンポジウム, 京都大学 百周年時計台記念館国際交流ホール, 2050 年全世界ネットゼロ達成に向けた先進国の役割に関する研究, 2023年7月29日
平原颯太郎, 関沢賢, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 伊藤昭仁, 長谷川知子, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第45回シンポジウム, 京都大学 百周年時計台記念館国際交流ホール, 全世界を対象とした対流圏オゾンによる植生の CO2 吸収量への影響評価と気候変動緩和策の評価, 2023年7月29日
齋藤啓貴, 森翔太郎, 大城賢, 藤森真一郎, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第45回シンポジウム, 京都大学 百周年時計台記念館国際交流ホール, 気候変動が太陽光および風力発電の供給ポテンシャルに与える影響の評価, 2023年7月29日
JANSAKOO, T., FUJIMORI, S., HASEGAWA, T., 2023. Dietary Shifting and Their Implications for Future Air Quality Forty-fifth Symposium of the Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research, Kyoto University Clock Tower Centennial Hall, July 29, 2023.
森翔太郎, 大城賢, 藤森真一郎, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第45回シンポジウム, 京都大学 百周年時計台記念館国際交流ホール, 世界を対象とした化学部門における CO2排出削減策としてのバイオマス・水素利用技術の役割(ポスター発表), 2023年7月28日
西浦理, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第45回シンポジウム, 京都大学 百周年時計台記念館国際交流ホール, 応用一般均衡モデルを用いた気候変動緩和における合成燃料の役割の分析(ポスター発表), 2023年7月28日
SAMERMIT, R., JANSAKOO, T., FUJIMORI, S., 2023. INFLUENCE OF FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE ON AIR QUALITY (Poster Session), Forty-fifth Symposium of the Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research, Kyoto University Clock Tower Centennial Hall, July 28, 2023.
KAMASELA, D.F., FUJIMORI, S., Hasegawa, T., 2023. Global Afforestation Carbon Sequestration Potential Projection using Integrated Assessment Model (Poster Session), Forty-fifth Symposium of the Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research, Kyoto University Clock Tower Centennial Hall, July 28, 2023.
FY2022
【Peer Review】
Park, C.Y., Takahashi, K., Li, F., Takakura, J., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Ito, A., Lee, D.K., Thiery, W., (2023) Impact of climate and socioeconomic changes on fire carbon emissions in the future: Sustainable economic development might decrease future emissions. Global Environmental Change 80, 102667. [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102667]
Limmeechokchai, B., Rajbhandari, S., Pradhan, B.B., Chunark, P., Chaichaloempreecha, A., Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Ochi, Y., (2022) Scaling up climate ambition post-2030: a long-term GHG mitigation analysis for Thailand. Climate Policy, 1-16. [https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2022.2126813]
Shiya ZHAO, Shinichiro FUJIMORI, Tomoko HASEGAWA, Ken OSHIRO, SASAKI, K., (2022) Poverty and inequality implications of carbon pricing under the long-term climate target. Sustainability Science. [https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-022-01206-y]
Ju, Y., Sugiyama, M., Kato, E., Oshiro, K., Wang, J., (2022) Job creation in response to Japan’s energy transition towards deep mitigation: An extension of partial equilibrium integrated assessment models. Applied Energy 318, 119178. [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119178]
Rose, S.K., Popp, A., Fujimori, S., Havlik, P., Weyant, J., Wise, M., van Vuuren, D., Brunelle, T., Cui, R.Y., Daioglou, V., Frank, S., Hasegawa, T., Humpenöder, F., Kato, E., Sands, R.D., Sano, F., Tsutsui, J., Doelman, J., Muratori, M., Prudhomme, R., Wada, K., Yamamoto, H., (2022) Global biomass supply modeling for long-run management of the climate system. Climatic Change 172, 3. [https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03336-9]
(In Japanese)
藤森真一郎、大橋春香、越智雄輝、長谷川知子、Buyaki, N.R.、松井哲哉、平田晶子、高橋潔、土屋一彬, 生態系保全のための農業・食料消費・土地利用管理システムの変革, 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.78, No.5, I_39-I_50, 2022年9月
渡邉諒一、上谷明生、関沢賢、藤森真一郎、長谷川知子、大城賢, 世界全域を対象とした水平解像度を用いた大気汚染の影響評価, 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.78, No.5, I_251-I_262, 2022年9月
筒井紀希、西浦理、藤森真一郎、大城賢, 各国の2030年温室効果ガス排出目標更新を踏まえた排出量取引の有効性, 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.78, No.5, I_405-I_416, 2022年9月
西浦理、藤森真一郎、大城賢, 二酸化炭素直接回収技術を考慮した応用一般 均衡モデルの開発および気候変動緩和策の評価, 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.78, No.5, I_417-I_427, 2022年9月
関沢賢、渡邉諒一、藤森真一郎、大城賢、上田佳代, 全世界を対象とした異なるPM2.5由来の健康影響評価関数に関する研究, 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.78, No.5, I_239-I_250, 2022年9月
森翔太郎、西浦理、大城賢、藤森真一郎, 世界を対象としたネットゼロ排出シナリオにおける合成燃料の役割, 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.78, No.5, I_451-I_461, 2022年9月
大城賢、藤森真一郎, 日本の2050年ネットゼロ排出目標における残存排出量削減方策のシナリオ分析, 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.78, No.5, I_429-I_439, 2022年9月
小野泰照, 長谷川知子, 藤森真一郎, 2022. 畜産物の消費制限による環境および食料システムへの影響評価. 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.78, No.5, I_63-I_70, 2022年9月
伊藤涼太朗, 長谷川知子, 藤森真一郎, 2022. 食内容を考慮したバイオマスエネルギーポテンシャル量の推計. 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.78, No.5, I_79-I_85, 2022年9月
瓜本千紗, 藤森真一郎, 長谷川知子, 2022. 世界を対象とした農畜産業の生産と消費段階における温室効果ガス排出削減に関する研究. 土木学会論文集G(環境), Vol.78, No.5, I_463-I_471, 2022年9月
【Non-peer review 】
藤森真一郎, (2023) 学術分野としての統合評価モデル分野の紹介とカーボンニュートラル目標の絵姿. 学術の動向 第28巻, 30-33, 2023年1月
市森将貴, 長谷川知子, 藤森真一郎, 2022. 世界を対象とした作物収量の向上が食料安全保障と環境にもたらす影響評価. 第30回地球環境シンポジウム講演集, 121-128, 2022年8月
桑葉裕斗, 長谷川知子, 藤森真一郎, 越智雄輝, 2022. 京都市を対象とした将来のカーボンニュートラル実現に向けたシナリオ構築. 第30回地球環境シンポジウム講演集, 99-104, 2022年8月
ZHAO, S., Fujimori, S., OSHIRO, K., Sasaki, K., Hasegawa, T., 2022. Household energy security under stringent climate change mitigation goals of the Paris Agreement. Proceedings of the 30th Symposium on Global Environment, 83-88, August 2022.
佐々木克哉, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 長谷川知子, 趙詩雅, (2022) 異なる所得階層を考慮した家計の食料需要モデルの開発. 第30回地球環境シンポジウム講演集, 77-82, 2022年8月
JANSAKOO, T., Fujimori, S., (2022) The influence of agricultural ammonia emissionsreduction on air pollution and human health, Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research 36, 44-47.
ZHAO, S., Fujimori, S., OSHIRO, K., Sasaki, K., Hasegawa, T., (2022) Household energy security under stringent climate change mitigation, Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research 36, 60-62.
関沢賢、藤森真一郎、大城賢、渡邉諒一, 上田佳代, 全世界を対象としたPM2.5由来の健康影響推計手法に関する検討, 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.36, No.3, 48-50, 2022年7月
上谷明生、関沢賢、藤森真一郎、大城賢、長谷川知子、渡邉諒一, 世界全域を対象とした異なる水平解像度を用いた大気汚染の影響評価, 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.36, No.3, 51-53, 2022年7月
森翔太郎、西浦理、大城賢、藤森真一郎, 世界を対象とした2050年ネットゼロ排出達成における合成燃料の役割, 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.36, No.3, 66-68, 2022年7月
筒井紀希、西浦理、藤森真一郎、大城賢, 新しい国別排出目標下での排出権取引の有効性, 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.36, No.3, 69-71, 2022年7月
藤森真一郎, 気候緩和策研究の現状と課題, 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.36, No.3, 5-8, 2022年7月
【Presentation】
International
Sugiyama, M., Fujimori, S., Wada, K., Kato, E., Komiyama R., Matsuo, Y., Nishiura, O., Oshiro, K., Otsuki, T., Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2022, College Park, MD, USA(Poster Session)(2022) A multi-model analysis of Japan’s net zero target: residual emissions and the role of carbon dioxide removal, November 30, 2022.
Jansakoo, T., Watanabe, R., Uetani, A., Sekizawa, S., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Oshiro, K., Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2022, College Park, MD, USA (Poster Session)(2022) Comparison of global air pollution impacts across horizontal resolutions, November 30, 2022.
Xia, S., Takakura, J., Wu, W., lanchard, J.L., Heneghan, R. F., Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Takahashi, K., Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2022, College Park, MD, USA(Poster Session)(2022) Potential environmental and nutritional benefits of replacing ruminant meat with forage fish, November 30, 2022.
Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Ito, A., Takahashi, K., Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2022, College Park, MD, USA(Poster Session)(2022) Carbon Sequestration Potential of Afforestation ensuring Ecosystem Conservation and Food Security, November 30, 2022.
Nishiura, O., Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2022, College Park, MD, USA (Poster Session)(2022) An assessment of direct air capture to meet the long-term climate target of the Paris Agreement using a computable general equilibrium model, November 30, 2022.
Fujimori, S., SCHAEFFER, R., Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2022, College Park, MD, USA(2022) Scientific Working Group on National Scenarios, December 1, 2022.
Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Hasegawa, T., Shiraki, H., Takakura, J., Takahashi, K., Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2022, College Park, MD, USA(2022) Climate change cost decomposition, November 30, 2022.
Tsutsui, T., Nishiura, O., Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2022, College Park, MD, USA(2022) Effectiveness of emissions trading under the updated national emissions targets by 2030, November 30, 2022.
Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Asayama, S., Shiraki, H., Takahashi, K., Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2022, College Park, MD, USA(2022) The potential of carbon capture and utilization for global net-zero emission energy systems, November 30, 2022.
Zhao, S., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Oshiro, K., Sasaki, K., Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2022, College Park, MD, USA(2022) Household energy security under stringent climate change mitigation to achieve the long-term temperature goal of the Paris Agreement, December 1, 2022.
Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S., Sugiyama, M., Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2022, College Park, MD, USA(2022) IAMC data template applications and extensions in Japan and Asian modelling activities, Scientific Working Group on Data Protocols and Management, December 1, 2022.
Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., NARO-FFTC International Symposium " Climate Change and Food System - synergies of adaptation and mitigation, and advanced utilization of climate information for sustainable and climate-resilient agriculture", Tsukuba International Congress Center (Epochal Tsukuba)and online, (2022) Food security implications of climate change mitigation, October 18, 2022. https://www.naro.go.jp/english/events/laboratory/naro/154382.html
Fujimori, S., IAMC Webinar: AIM modeling and community activities, online, (2022) AIM modeling and recent on-going research activities, September 20, 2022. (invited)
Zhao, S., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Oshiro, K., Sasaki, K., the 30th Symposium on GlobalEnvironment, Hokkaido University, (2022) Household energy security under stringent climate change mitigation goals of the Paris Agreement (Poster Session), August 31, 2022.
ZHAO, S., FUJIMORI, S., OSHIRO, K., HASEGAWA, T., SASAKI, K., (2022) Poverty and equity implications of national climate change mitigation policies in line with the Paris Agreement. Scenarios Forum 2022, Hybrid: Onsite (Laxenburg Conference Center, Austria)+ Online presentations, June 21, 2022, online.
Shinichiro Fujimori, Detlef van Vuuren, Heleen van Soest, Keywan Riahi, Ruijven, B.v., A harmonized scenario framework can help to align national climate policies with global goals. Pathways for Asia (Poster Session), Fourteenth meeting of the SBSTA research dialogue, World Conference Center Bonn, Germany, June 9, 2022, online.
Internal
藤森真一郎, 東京大学気候と社会連携研究機構発足記念シンポジウム「気候・生態系と社会の共進化を探る」, 統合評価モデル研究の最前線, 東京大学伊藤国際学術研究センター, 2022年10月7日(発表とパネルディスカッション)
藤森真一郎, 国立環境研究所 気候危機対応研究イニシアティブ ウェビナー「気候変動シナリオについて世界では今何が議論されているか? ―Scenarios Forum 2022報告」, 統合評価モデル及び緩和分析とシナリオ研究, オンライン, 2022年9月12日
藤森真一郎, 日立返仁会関西地区 2022年度第2回オンライン講演会, カーボンニュートラルの絵姿 ー長期的な見通しと課題ー, オンライン, 2022年9月9日(招待講演)
藤森真一郎、大橋春香、越智雄輝、長谷川知子、Buyaki, N.R.、松井哲哉、平田晶子、高橋潔、土屋一彬, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, 生態系保全のための農業・食料消費・土地利用管理システムの変革, 2022年8月31日
筒井紀希, 西浦理, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, 各国の 2030 年温室効果ガス排出⽬標更新を踏まえた排出量取引の有効性, 2022年9月2日
渡邉諒一, 上谷明生, 関沢賢, 藤森真一郎, 長谷川知子, 大城賢, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, 世界全域を対象とした異なる⽔平解像度を⽤いた⼤気汚染の影響評価, 2022年9月1日
大城賢, 藤森真一郎, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, ⽇本の2050年ネットゼロ排出⽬標における残存排出量削減⽅策のシナリオ分析, 2022年9月2日
西浦理, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, ⼆酸化炭素直接回収技術を考慮した応⽤⼀般均衡モデルの開発および気候変動緩和策の評価, 2022年9月2日
森翔太郎, 西浦理, 大城賢, 藤森真一郎, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, 世界を対象としたネットゼロ排出シナリオにおける合成燃料の役割, 2022年9月2日
小野泰照, 長谷川知子, 藤森真一郎, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, 畜産物の消費制限による環境および⾷料システムへの影響評価, 2022年8月31日
関沢賢, 渡邉諒一, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 上田佳代, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, 全世界を対象とした異なる PM2.5 由来の健康影響評価関数に関する研究, 2022年9月1日
瓜本千紗, 藤森真一郎, 長谷川知子, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, 世界を対象とした農畜産業の⽣産と消費段階における温室効果ガス排出削減に関する研究, 2022年9月2日
伊藤涼太郎, 藤森真一郎, 長谷川知子, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, ⾷内容を考慮したバイオマスエネルギーポテンシャル量の推計, 2022年8月31日
桑葉裕斗, 藤森真一郎, 越智雄輝, 長谷川知子, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, 京都市を対象とした将来のカーボンニュートラル実現に向けたシナリオ構築(ポスター発表), 2022年8月31日
佐々木克哉, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 長谷川知子, 趙詩雅, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, 異なる所得階層を考慮した家計の⾷料需要モデルの開発 (ポスター発表), 2022年8月31日
市森将貴, 長谷川知子, 藤森真一郎, 第30回地球環境シンポジウム, 北海道大学工学部, 世界を対象とした作物収量の向上が⾷料安全保障と環境にもたらす影響評価 (ポスター発表), 2022年8月31日
JANSAKOO, T., Fujimori, S., The influence of agricultural ammonia emissions reduction on air pollution and human health, Forty-fourth Symposium of the Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research, Kyoto University Clock Tower Centennial Hall, July 30, 2022.
Zhao, S., Fujimori, S., Household energy security under stringent climate change mitigation, Forty-fourth Symposium of the Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research, Kyoto University Clock Tower Centennial Hall, July 30, 2022.
関沢賢, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 渡邉諒一, 上田佳代, 全世界を対象としたPM2.5由来の健康影響推計手法に関する検討, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第44回シンポジウム, 2022年7月30日
上谷明生, 関沢賢, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 長谷川知子, 渡邉諒一, 世界全域を対象とした異なる水平解像度を用いた大気汚染の影響評価, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第44回シンポジウム, 2022年7月30日
森翔太郎, 西浦理, 大城賢, 藤森真一郎, 世界を対象とした2050年ネットゼロ排出達成における合成燃料の役割, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第44回シンポジウム, 2022年7月30日
筒井紀希, 西浦理, 藤森真一郎, 大城賢, 新しい国別排出目標下での排出権取引の有効性, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第44回シンポジウム, 2022年7月30日
藤森真一郎, 気候緩和策研究の現状と課題, 京都大学環境衛生工学研究会 第44回シンポジウム, 2022年7月29日(招待講演)
FY2021
【Peer Review】
Risper Nyairo, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Wenchao Wu, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Socio-economic trajectories, urban area expansion and ecosystem conservation affect global potential supply of bioenergy. Biomass and Bioenergy 159, 106426, 2022 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biombioe.2022.106426]
Ken Oshiro, Shinichiro Fujimori, Role of hydrogen-based energy carriers as an alternative option to reduce residual emissions associated with mid-century decarbonization goals. Applied Energy 313, 118803, 2022 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118803]
Shinichiro Fujimori, Wenchao Wu, Jonathan Doelman, Stefan Frank, Jordan Hristov, Page Kyle, Ronald Sands, Willem-Jan van Zeist, Petr Havlik, Ignacio Pérez Domínguez, Amarendra Sahoo, Elke Stehfest, Andrzej Tabeau, Hugo Valin, Hans van Meijl, Tomoko Hasegawa, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Land-based climate change mitigation measures can affect agricultural markets and food security. Nature Food 3, 110-121, 2022 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-022-00464-4]
Florian Leblanc, Ruben Bibas, Silvana Mima, Matteo Muratori, Shogo Sakamoto, Fuminori Sano, Nico Bauer, Vassilis Daioglou, Shinichiro Fujimori, Matthew J. Gidden, Estsushi Kato, Steven K. Rose, Junichi Tsutsui, Detlef P. van Vuuren, John Weyant, Marshall Wise, The contribution of bioenergy to the decarbonization of transport: a multi-model assessment. Climatic Change 170, 21, 2022 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03245-3]
Luiz Bernardo Baptista, Roberto Schaeffer, Heleen L. van Soest, Panagiotis Fragkos, Pedro R. R. Rochedo, Detlef van Vuuren, Retno Gumilang Dewi, Gokul Iyer, Kejun Jiang, Maria Kannavou, Nick Macaluso, Ken Oshiro, Chan Park, Luke J. Reedman, George Safonov, Swapnil Shekhar, Ucok Siagian, Kavita Surana, Chai Qimin, Good practice policies to bridge the emissions gap in key countries, Global Environmental Change 73, 102472, 2022 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102472]
Alexandre C.Köberle, Vassilis Daioglou, Pedro Rochedo, André F. P. Lucena, Alexandre Szklo, Shinichiro Fujimori, Thierry Brunelle, Etsushi Kato, Alban Kitous, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Roberto Schaeffer, Can global models provide insights into regional mitigation strategies? A diagnostic model comparison study of bioenergy in Brazil, Climatic Change 170, 2, 2022 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03236-4]
Keywan Riahi, Christoph Bertram, Daniel Huppmann, Joeri Rogelj, Valentina Bosetti, Anique-Marie Cabardos, Andre Deppermann, Laurent Drouet, Stefan Frank, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Mathijs Harmsen, Tomoko Hasegawa, Volker Krey, Gunnar Luderer, Leonidas Paroussos, Roberto Schaeffer, Matthias Weitzel, Bob van der Zwaan, Zoi Vrontisi, Francesco Dalla Longa, Jacques Després, Florian Fosse, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Mykola Gusti, Florian Humpenöder, Kimon Keramidas, Paul Kishimoto, Elmar Kriegler, , Malte Meinshausen, Larissa P. Nogueira, Ken Oshiro, Alexander Popp, Pedro R. R. Rochedo, Gamze Ünlü, Bas van Ruijven, Junya Takakura, Massimo Tavoni, Detlef van Vuuren, Behnam Zakeri, Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot, Nature climate change 11, 1063-1069, 2021
[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01215-2]
Laurent Drouet, Valentina Bosetti, Simone A. Padoan, Lara Aleluia Reis, Christoph Bertram, Francesco Dalla Longa, Jacques Després, Johannes Emmerling, Florian Fosse, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Stefan Frank, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Mathijs Harmsen, Volker Krey, Ken Oshiro, Larissa P. Nogueira, Leonidas Paroussos, Franziska Piontek, Keywan Riahi, Pedro R. R. Rochedo, Roberto Schaeffer, Jun’ya Takakura, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Bob van der Zwaan, Detlef van Vuuren, Zoi Vrontisi, Matthias Weitzel, Behnam Zakeri, Massimo Tavoni, Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change, Nature climate change 11, 1070-1076, 2021
[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01218-z]
Heleen L. van Soest, Lara Aleluia Reis, Luiz Bernardo Baptista, Christoph Bertram, Jacques Després, Laurent Drouet, Michel den Elzen, Panagiotis Fragkos, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Neil Grant, Mathijs Harmsen, Gokul Iyer, Kimon Keramidas, Alexandre C. Köberle, Elmar Kriegler, Aman Malik, Shivika Mittal, Ken Oshiro, Keywan Riahi, Mark Roelfsema, Bas van Ruijven, Roberto Schaeffer, Diego Silva Herran, Massimo Tavoni, Gamze Unlu, Toon Vandyck, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Global roll-out of comprehensive policy measures may aid in bridging emissions gap, Nature Communications 12, 6419, 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26595-z]
Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Stefan Frank, Florian Humpenöder, Christoph Bertram, Jacques Després, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Mykola Gusti, Mathijs Harmsen, Kimon Keramidas, Yuki Ochi, Ken Oshiro, Pedro Rochedo, Bas van Ruijven, Anique-Marie Cabardos, Andre Deppermann, Florian Fosse, Petr Havlik, Volker Krey, Alexander Popp, Roberto Schaeffer, Detlef van Vuuren, Keywan Riahi, Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions, Nature Sustainability, 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00772-w]
Tomoko Hasegawa, Gen Sakurai, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Yasuaki Hijioka, Toshihiko Masui, Extreme climate events increase risk of global food insecurity and adaptation needs, Nature Food, 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-021-00335-4]
Zhipin Ai, Naota Hanasaki, Vera Heck, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Global bioenergy with carbon capture and storage potential is largely constrained by sustainable irrigation, Nature Sustainability, 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00740-4]
Hideo Shiogama, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Yasuko Kameyama, Seita Emori, How many hot days and heavy precipitation days will grandchildren experience that break the records set in their grandparents’ lives? Environmental Research Communications 3, 061002, 2021. [https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ac0395]
Jun’ya Takakura, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Naota Hanasaki, Tomoko Hasegawa, Yukiko Hirabayashi, Yasushi Honda, Toshichika Iizumi, Chan Park, Makoto Tamura, Yasuaki Hijioka, Reproducing complex simulations of economic impacts of climate change with lower-cost emulators, Geosci. Model Dev. 14, 3121-3140, 2021
[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3121-2021]
Shinichiro Fujimori, Volker Krey, Detlef van Vuuren, Ken Oshiro, Masahiro Sugiyama, Puttipong Chunark, Bundit Limmeechokchai, Shivika Mittal, Osamu Nishiura, Chan Park, Salony Rajbhandari, Diego Silva Herran, Tran Thanh Tu, Shiya Zhao, Yuki Ochi, Priyardarshi R.Shukla, Toshihiko Masui, Phuong V. H. Nguyen, Anique-Marie Cabardos, Keywan Riahi, A framework for national scenarios with varying emission reductions, Nature climate change, 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01048-z]
Mathijs Harmsen, Elmar Kriegler, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Gunnar Luderer, Ryna Cui, Olivier Dessens, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Jennifer Faye Morris, Florian Fosse, Dimitris Fragkiadakis, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Panagiotis Fragkos, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, David Gernaat, Céline Guivarch, Gokul Iyer, Panagiotis Karkatsoulis, Ilkka Keppo, Kimon Keramidas, Alexandre Köberle, Peter Kolp, Volker Krey, Christoph Krüger, Florian Leblanc, Shivika Mittal, Sergey Paltsev, Pedro Rochedo, Bas J. van Ruijven, Ronald D. Sands, Fuminori Sano, Jessica Strefler, Eveline Vasquez Arroyo, Kenichi Wada, Behnam Zakeri, Integrated assessment model diagnostics: key indicators and model evolution, Environmental Research Letters 16, 054046, 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abf964]
C. Y. Park, K. Takahashi, J. Takakura, F. Li, S. Fujimori, T. Hasegawa, A. Ito, D. K. Lee, How Will Deforestation and Vegetation Degradation Affect Global Fire Activity? Earth's Future 9, e2020EF001786, 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001786]
Giacomo Grassi, Elke Stehfest, Joeri Rogelj, Detlef van Vuuren, Alessandro Cescatti, Jo House, Gert-Jan Nabuurs, Simone Rossi, Ramdane Alkama, Raúl Abad Viñas, Katherine Calvin, Guido Ceccherini, Sandro Federici, Shinichiro Fujimori, Mykola Gusti, Tomoko Hasegawa, Petr Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Anu Korosuo, Lucia Perugini, Francesco N. Tubiello, Alexander Popp, Critical adjustment of land mitigation pathways for assessing countries’ climate progress, Nature climate change, 2021
[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01033-6]
Hongbo Duan, Sheng Zhou, Kejun Jiang, Christoph Bertram, Mathijs Harmsen, Elmar Kriegler, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Shouyang Wang, Shinichiro Fujimori, Massimo Tavoni, Xi Ming, Kimon Keramidas, Gokul Iyer, James Edmonds, Assessing China’s efforts to pursue the 1.5°C warming limit, Science 372, 378, 2021. [https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aba8767]
Ken Oshiro, Shinichiro Fujimori, Yuki Ochi, Tomoki Ehara, Enabling energy system transition toward decarbonization in Japan through energy service demand reduction, Energy 227, 120464, July 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.120464]
(In Japanese)
大城賢、藤森真一郎, パリ協定CO₂排出削減目標の達成における水素エネルギーキャリアの役割の評価,土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.77, No.5, I_197-I_207, 2021年9月
西浦理、藤森真一郎、大城賢, 世界およびアジアにおける二酸化炭素の地下貯留容量を考慮した気候変動緩和策の評価, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.77, No.5, I_251-I_262, 2021年9月
松井そら、大城賢、藤森真一郎、西浦理, 交通部門における技術・社会の変容が気候変動政策へ及ぼす影響, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.77, No.5, I_275-I_283, 2021年9月
佐々木克哉、藤森真一郎、長谷川知子、大城賢, 日本における所得階層を考慮した炭素税の家計消費への影響, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.77, No.5, I_263-I_273, 2021年9月
伊藤涼太朗、長谷川知子、藤森真一郎、花崎直太, 世界を対象とした第二世代バイオマスエネルギーポテンシャル量の推計とそれに伴う水消費量・窒素肥料必要量の環境影響, 土木学会論文集G(環境) Vol.77, No.5, I_191-I_196, 2021年9月
井上笑瑠、長谷川知子、渡邉諒一、藤森真一郎, 気候変動およびその対策に伴う対流圏オゾン軽減がもたらす食料消費および飢餓リスク人口への影響評価, 土木学会論文集G(環境) Vol.77, No.5, I_167-I_175, 2021年9月
桑葉裕斗、長谷川知子、藤森真一郎、スィルバ エラン ディエゴ, 世界における将来の土地利用変化を考慮した風力・太陽光エネルギーポテンシャル推計, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.77, No.5, I_183-I_189, 2021年9月
【Non-peer review 】
市森将貴、長谷川知子、藤森真一郎, 将来の社会経済状況の不確実性を考慮した洪水による食料消費と飢餓リスク人口への影響標記. 第29回地球環境シンポジウム講演集 vol.29, 29-36,2021年9月
松井そら、藤森真一郎、大城賢、西浦理, 交通部門の社会変革が気候変動政策へ及ぼす影響, 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.35, No.3, 124-126, 2021年7月
Shiya ZHAO, Shinichiro FUJIMORI, Ken OSHIRO, Tomoko HASEGAWA, Poverty and inequality implications of carbon pricing under the long-term climate target, Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research, Vol.35, No.3, 135-137, July 2021
佐々木克哉、藤森真一郎、大城賢、長谷川知子, 家計の消費行動変化を考慮した日本における炭素税の異なる所得階層への影響, 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.35, No.3, 141-143, 2021年7月
西浦理、藤森真一郎、大城賢, 世界およびアジアにおける炭素地下貯留技術の物理的制約を考慮した気候変更緩和策の評価, 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.35, No.3, 144-146, 2021年7月
【Presentation】
International
David LECLÉRE, Michael Obersteiner, Mike Barrett, Stuart H. M. Butchart, Abhishek Chaudhary, Adriana De Palma, Farbice A. J. DeClerck, Moreno Di Marco, Jonathan C. Doelman, Martina Drauer, Robin Freeman, Michael Harfoot, Tomoko Hasegawa, Stefanie Hellweg, Jelle P. Hilbers, Samantha L. L. Hill, Florian Humpender, Nancy Jennings, Tamis Krisztin, Georgina M. Mace, Haruka Ohashi, Alexander Popp, Andy Purvis, Aafke M. Schipper, Andrzej Tabeau, Hugo Valin, Hans van Meijl, Willem-Jan van Zeist, Piero Visconti, Rob Alkemade, Rosamunde Almond, Gill Bunting, Neil D. Burgess, Sarah E. Cornell, Fulvio Di Fulvio, Simno Ferrier, Steffen Fritz, Shinichiro Fujimori, Monique Grooten, Tom Harwood, Petr Hav-k, Mario Herrero, Andrew Hoskins, Martin Jung, Tom Kram, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Tetsuya Matsui, Carsten Meyer, Deon Nel, Tim Newbold, Guido Schmidt-Traub, Elke Stehfest, Bernardo Strassburg, Detlef van Vuuren, Chris Ware, James Watson, Wenchao Wu, Lucy Young, Towards land-use pathways for ambitious climate and biodiversity targets, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 2, 2021, online.
Shinichiro Fujimori, Scientific Working Group on Evaluation and Diagnostics, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 3, 2021, online. (Invited)
Heleen VAN SOEST, Lara Aleluia Reis, Luiz Bernardo Baptista, Christoph Bertram, Jacques Despres, Laurent Drouet, Michel den Elzen, Panagiotis Fragkos, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Neil Grant, Mathijs Harmsen, Gokul Iyer, Kimon Keramidas, Alexandre Koeberle, Elmar Kriegler, Aman Malik, Shivika Mittal, Ken Oshiro, Keywan Riahi, Mark Roelfsema, Bas van Ruijven, Roberto Schaeffer, Diego Silva Herran, Massimo Tavoni, Gamze Unlu, Toon Vandyck, Detlef van Vuuren, A Global Roll-out of Nationally Relevant Policies can Bridge the Emissions Gap, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 2, 2021, online.
Katsuya Sasaki, Shinichiro Fujimori, Ken OSHIRO, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shiya ZHAO, Distributional impact of carbon taxes on household consumption in Japan, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 1, 2021, online.
Ken OSHIRO, Shinichiro Fujimori, The role of hydrogen-based energy carriers in meeting the decarbonization goals of the Paris Agreement, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 1, 2021, online.
Shiichiro Fujimori, Ken Oshiro, Tomoko Hasegawa, Conditions for low-carbon green growth, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 1, 2021, online.
Wenchao WU, Shinichiro Fujimori, Jonathan Doelman, Stefan Frank, Jordan Hristov, Page Kyle, Ronald Sands, Willem-Jan van Zeist, Petr Havlik, Ignacio Pérez Dominguez, Amarendra Sahoo, Elke Stehfest, Andrzej Tabeau, Hugo Valin, Hans van Meijl, Tomoko Hasegawa, Takahashi, K., Potential impacts of GHG emissions abatement measures on agricultural markets and food security, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 2, 2021, online.
Osamu NISHIURA, Shinichiro FUJIMORI, OSHIRO, Ken, An assessment of global and Asian climate change mitigation measures considering carbon capture and storage constraints, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 2, 2021, online. (Poster Session)
Tokuta YOKOHATA, Tsuguki Kinoshita, Gen Sakurai, Yusuke Satoh, Yadu Pokhrel, Akihiko Ito, Masashi Okada, Etsushi Kato, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kaoru Tachiiri, Kenachi Matsumoto, Seita Emori, Takahashi, Kiyoshi, Future projection for the impacts of socio-economic and climate changes on water, food, bioenergy, ecosystems and land use, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 2, 2021, online. (Poster Session)
Shiya ZHAO, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Ken Oshiro, Katsuya Sasaki, Poverty and inequality implications of carbon pricing under the long-term climate target, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 2, 2021, online. (Poster Session)
Jun'ya TAKAKURA, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Economic impact projections by growth, level, and bottom-up models, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 2, 2021, online. (Poster Session)
Chae Yeon PARK, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Junya Takakura, Fang Li, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Akihiko Ito, Lee, Dong Kun, The impact of future climate and socioeconomic change on fire carbon emissions, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 2, 2021, online. (Poster Session)
Risper NYAIRO, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Wu Wenchao, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Socio-economic trajectories, urban area expansion and ecosystem conservation affect global potential supply of bioenergy, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 2, 2021, online. (Poster Session)
Puttipong CHUNARK, Salony Rajbhandari, Bijay B. Pradhan, Bundit Limmeechokchai, Shinichiro Fujimori, Ken Oshiro, Ochi, Yuki, Scaling up climate ambition post-2030: A long-term GHG mitigation analysis for Thailand, Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2021, December 1, 2021, online. (Poster Session)
Shinichiro Fujimori, Energy pathway toward decarbonization in Japan using AIM, International Meeting on Development of a Collaborative, Integrated Management Framework to Improve Future Air Quality in Northeast Asia, November 22, 2021, online. (Invited)
Shinichiro Fujimori, Model results for Asian decarbonization pathways, ENGAGE: Stakeholder Workshop Asian Decarbonization Pathways, September 16, 2021, online.
Internal
藤森真一郎, 気候変動と食糧安全保障の関係について, ムーンショット型農林水産研究開発事業『サイバーフィジカルシステムを利用した作物強靭化による食料リスクゼロの実現』シンポジウム~ 2050年、食料リスクのない豊かな社会を目指して ~, 2021年10月22日, オンライン開催(招待講演)
大城賢、藤森真一郎, パリ協定CO₂排出削減目標の達成における水素エネルギーキャリアの役割の評価,第29回地球環境シンポジウム, 2021年9月27日―29日, オンライン開催
西浦理、藤森真一郎、大城賢, 世界およびアジアにおける二酸化炭素の地下貯留容量を考慮した気候変動緩和策の評価,第29回地球環境シンポジウム, 2021年9月27日―29日, オンライン開催
松井そら、大城賢、藤森真一郎、西浦理, 交通部門における技術・社会の変容が気候変動政策へ及ぼす影響,第29回地球環境シンポジウム, 2021年9月27日―29日, オンライン開催
佐々木克哉、藤森真一郎、長谷川知子、大城賢, 日本における所得階層を考慮した炭素税の家計消費への影響,第29回地球環境シンポジウム, 2021年9月27日―29日, オンライン開催
伊藤涼太朗、長谷川知子、藤森真一郎、花崎直太, 世界を対象とした第二世代バイオマスエネルギーポテンシャル量の推計とそれに伴う水消費量・窒素肥料必要量の環境影響, 第29回地球環境シンポジウム, 2021年9月27日―29日, オンライン開催
桑葉裕斗、長谷川知子、藤森真一郎、スィルバ エラン ディエゴ, 世界における将来の土地利用変化を考慮した風力・太陽光エネルギーポテンシャル推計, 第29回地球環境シンポジウム, 2021年9月27日―29日, オンライン開催
井上笑瑠、長谷川知子、渡邉諒一、藤森真一郎, 気候変動およびその対策に伴う対流圏オゾン軽減がもたらす食料消費および飢餓リスク人口への影響評価, 第29回地球環境シンポジウム, 2021年9月27日―29日, オンライン開催
市森将貴、長谷川知子、藤森真一郎, 将来の社会経済状況の不確実性を考慮した洪水による食料消費と飢餓リスク人口への影響標記, 第29回地球環境シンポジウム, 2021年9月27日―29日, オンライン開催
藤森真一郎, 長期気候緩和シナリオ研究とカーボンニュートラル, 日本学術会議近畿地区会議学術講演会「2050年までに何をすべきか カーボンニュートラル」講演 話題提供2, 2021年9月20日, オンライン(招待講演)
松井そら、藤森真一郎、大城賢、西浦理, 交通部門の社会変革が気候変動政策へ及ぼす影響, 第43回京都大学環境衛生工学研究会シンポジウム, 2021年7月30日―31日, オンライン開催
Shiya ZHAO, Shinichiro FUJIMORI, Ken OSHIRO, Tomoko HASEGAWA, Poverty and inequality implications of carbon pricing under the long-term climate target, Forty-third Symposium of Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research, July 30-31, 2021, online
佐々木克哉、藤森真一郎、大城賢、長谷川知子, 家計の消費行動変化を考慮した日本における炭素税の異なる所得階層への影響, 第43回京都大学環境衛生工学研究会シンポジウム, 2021年7月30日―31日, オンライン開催
西浦理、藤森真一郎、大城賢, 世界およびアジアにおける炭素地下貯留技術の物理的制約を考慮した気候変更緩和策の評価, 第43回京都大学環境衛生工学研究会シンポジウム, 2021年7月30日―31日, オンライン開催
藤森真一郎, なぜカーボン・ニュートラルなのか, 京都大学カーボン・ニュートラル推進フォーラム キックオフ・シンポジウム ―地球社会の調和ある共存に向けてー, キーノートスピーチ, 2021年7月19日, オンライン開催(招待講演)
FY2020
【Peer Review】
Peter Rafaj, Gregor Kiesewetter, Volker Krey, Wolfgang Schoepp, Christoph Bertram, Laurent Drouet, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Mathijs Harmsen, Jérôme Hilaire, Daniel Huppmann, Zbigniew Klimont, Peter Kolp, Lara Aleluia Reis, Detlef van Vuuren, Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °C–2 °C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population: a multi-model scenario analysis, Environmental Research Letters 16, 045005, March 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abdf0b]
Diego Silva Herran, Shinichiro Fujimori, Beyond Japanese NDC: energy and macroeconomic transitions towards 2050 in emission pathways with multiple ambition levels, Sustainability Science 16, 489-501, March 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00930-1]
Shogo Sakamoto, Yu Nagai, Masahiro Sugiyama, Shinichiro Fujimori, Etsushi Kato, Ryoichi Komiyama, Yuhji Matsuo, Ken Oshiro, Diego Silva Herran, Demand-side decarbonization and electrification: EMF 35 JMIP study, Sustainability Science 16, 395-410, March 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00935-w]
Masahiro Sugiyama, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kenichi Wada, John Weyant, Introduction to the special feature on energy scenarios for long-term climate change mitigation in Japan, Sustainability Science 16, 347-353, February 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00931-0]
Robert J Allen, Larry W Horowitz, Vaishali Naik, Naga Oshima, Fiona M O'Connor, Steven Turnock, Sungbo Shim, Philippe Le Sager, Twan van Noije, Kostas Tsigaridis, Susanne E Bauer, Lori T Sentman, Jasmin G John, Conor Broderick, Makoto Deushi, Gerd A Folberth, Shinichiro Fujimori, William J Collins, Significant climate benefits from near-term climate forcer mitigation in spite of aerosol reductions, Environmental Research Letters, January 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abe06b]
Yiyi Ju, Masahiro Sugiyama, Etsushi Kato, Yuhji Matsuo, Ken Oshiro, Diego Silva Herran, Industrial decarbonization under Japan’s national mitigation scenarios: a multi-model analysis, Sustainability Science, February 2021
[https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00905-2]
Hiroto Shiraki, Masahiro Sugiyama, Yuhji Matsuo, Ryoichi Komiyama, Shinichiro Fujimori, Etsushi Kato, Ken Oshiro, Diego Herran Silva, The role of renewables in the Japanese power sector: implications from the EMF35 JMIP. Sustainability Science, February 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00917-y]
Masahiro Sugiyama, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kenichi Wada, Ken Oshiro, Etsushi Kato, Ryoichi Komiyama, Diego Silva Herran, Yuhji Matsuo, Hiroto Shiraki, Yiyi Ju, EMF 35 JMIP study for Japan’s long-term climate and energy policy: scenario designs and key findings, Sustainability Science, February 2021
[https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00913-2]
Jing-Yu Liu, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Tomoko Hasegawa, Wenchao Wu, Yong Geng, Jun’yaTakakura, Toshihiko Masui, The importance of socioeconomic conditions in mitigating climate change impacts and achieving Sustainable Development Goals, Environmental Research Letters 16, 014010, December 2020
[https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abcac4]
Zhipin Ai, Naota Hanasaki, Vera Heck, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Simulating second-generation herbaceous bioenergy crop yield using the global hydrological model H08 (v.bio1), Geosci. Model Dev. 13, 6077-6092, December 2020 [https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-6077-2020]
Panagiotis Fragkos, Heleen Laura van Soest, Roberto Schaeffer, Luke Reedman, Alexandre C. Köberle, Nick Macaluso, Stavroula Evangelopoulou, Alessia De Vita, Fu Sha, Chai Qimin, Jiang Kejun, Ritu Mathur, Swapnil Shekhar, Retno Gumilang Dewi, Diego Silva Herran, Ken Oshiro, Shinichiro Fujimori, Chan Park, George Safonov, Gokul Iyer, Energy system transitions and low-carbon pathways in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, EU-28, India, Indonesia, Japan, Republic of Korea, Russia and the United States, Energy 216, 119385, February 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2020.119385]
Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Ken Oshiro, An assessment of the potential of using carbon tax revenue to tackle poverty, Environmental Research Letters 15, 114063, November 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abb55d]
Geroge C. Hurtt, Louise Chini, Ritvik Sahajpal, Steve Frolking, Benjamin L. Bodirsky, Katherine Calvin, Jonathan C. Doelman, Justin Fisk, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kees Klein Goldewijk, Tomoko Hasegawa, Peter Havlik, Andreas Heinimann, Florian Humpenöder, Johan Jungclaus, Jed O. Kaplan, Jennifer Kennedy, Tamás Krisztin, David Lawrence, Peter Lawrence, Lei Ma, Ole Mertz, Julia Pongratz, Alexander Popp, Benjamin Poulter, Keywan Riahi, Elena Shevliakova, Elke Stehfest, Peter Thornton, Francesco N. Tubiello, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Xin Zhang, Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6, Geosci. Model Dev. 13, 5425-5464, November 2020 [https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-5425-2020]
Vassilis Daioglou, Matteo Muratori, Patrick Lamers, Shinichiro Fujimori, Alban Kitous, Alexandre C. Köberle, Nico Bauer, Martin Junginger, Etsushi Kato, Florian Leblanc, Silvana Mima, Marshal Wise, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Implications of climate change mitigation strategies on international bioenergy trade, Climatic Change, October 2020
[https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02877-1]
Tokuta Yokohata, Tsuguki Kinoshita, Gen Sakurai, Yadu Pokhrel, Akihiko Ito, Masashi Okada, Yusuke Satoh, Etsushi Kato, Tomoko Nitta, Shinichiro Fujimori, Farshid Felfelani, Yoshimitsu Masaki, Toshichika Iizumi, Motoki Nishimori, Naota Hanasaki, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Yoshiki Yamagata, Seita Emori, MIROC-INTEG-LAND version 1: a global biogeochemical land surface model with human water management, crop growth, and land-use change, Geosci. Model Dev. 13, 4713-4747, October 2020
[https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/4713/2020/]
Ken Oshiro, Shinichiro Fujimori, Stranded investment associated with rapid energy system changes under the mid-century strategy in Japan, Sustainability Science, September 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-020-00862-2]
Steven J. Smith, Jean Chateau, Kalyn Dorheim, Laurent Drouet, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tatsuya Hanaoka, Mathijs Harmsen, Jérôme Hilaire, Kimon Keramidas, Zbigniew Klimont, Gunnar Luderer, Maria Cecilia P. Moura, Keywan Riahi, Joeri Rogelj, Fuminori Sano, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Kenichi Wada, Impact of methane and black carbon mitigation on forcing and temperature: a multi-model scenario analysis, Climatic Change, September 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02794-3]
Shuanghui Bao, Osamu Nishiura, Shinichiro Fujimori, Ken Oshiro, Runsen Zhang, Identification of Key Factors to Reduce Transport-Related Air Pollutants and CO2 Emissions in Asia, Sustainability 12, 7621, September 2020 [https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/18/7621]
David Leclère, Michael Obersteiner, Mike Barrett, Stuart H. M. Butchart, Adhishek Chaudhary, Adriana De Palma, Fabrice A. J. DeClerck, Moreno Di Marco, Jpnathan C. Doelman, Martina Dürauer, Robin Freeman, Michael Harfoot, Tomoko Hasegawa, Stefanie Hellweg, Jelle P. Hilbers, Samantha L. L. Hill, Florian Humpenöder, Nancy Jennings, Tamas Krisztin, Georgia M. Mace, Haruka Ohashi, Alexander Popp, Andy Purvis, Aafke M. Schipper, Andrzej Tabeau, Hugo Valin, Hans van Meijl, Willem-Jan van Zeist, Piero Visconti, Rob Alkemade, Rosamunde Almond, Gill Bunting, Neil D.Burgess, Sarah E. Cornell, Fulvio Di Fulvio, Simon Ferrier, Steffen Fritz, Shinichiro Fujimori, Monique Grooten, Thomas Harwood, Peter Havlík, Mario Herrero, Andrew J. Hoskins, Martin Jung, Tom Kram, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Tetsuya Matsui, Carsten Meyer, Deon Nel, Tim Newbold, Guido Schmidt-Traub, Elke Stehfest, Bernardo B. N. Strassburg, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Chris Ware, James E. M. Watson, Watson Wu, Lucy Young, Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy, Nature, September 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y]
Aman Malik, Christoph Bertram, Jacques Despres, Johannes Emmerling, Shinichiro Fujimori, Amit Garg, Elmar Kriegler, Gunnar Luderer, Ritu Mathur, Mark Roelfsema, Swapnil Shekhar, Saritha Vishwanathan, Zoi Vrontisi, Reducing stranded assets through early action in the Indian power sector, Environmental Research Letters 15, 094091, September 2020 [http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8033]
Rpbert Fofrich, Dan Tong, Katherine Calvin, Harmen Sytze De Boer, Johannes Emmerling, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Gunnar Luderer, Joeri Rogelj, Steven J. Davis, Early retirement of power plants in climate mitigation scenarios, Environmental Research Letters 15, 094064, August 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab96d3]
Julien Lefèvre, Yann Briand, Steve Pye, Jordi Tovilla, Francis Li, Ken Oshiro, Henri Waisman, Jean-Michel Cayla, Runsen Zhang, A pathway design framework for sectoral deep decarbonization: the case of passenger transportation, Climate Policy 21, 93-106, August 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2020.1804817]
Schaeffer, R., Köberle, A., van Soest, H.L., Bertram, C., Luderer, G., Riahi, K., Krey, V., van Vuuren, D.P., Kriegler, E., Fujimori, S., Chen, W., He, C., Vrontisi, Z., Vishwanathan, S., Garg, A., Mathur, R., Shekhar, S., Oshiro, K., Ueckerdt, F., Safonov, G., Iyer, G., Gi, K., Potashnikov, V., Comparing transformation pathways across major economies, Climatic Change 162(4), 1787-1803, August 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02837-9]
Tomoko Hasegawa, Ronald D. Sands, Thierry Brunelle, Yiyun Cui, Stefan Frank, Shinichiro Fujimori, Alexander Popp, Food security under high bioenergy demand toward long-term climate goals, Climatic Change, August 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02838-8]
Vassilis Daioglou, Steven K. Rose, Nico Bauer, Alban Kitous, Matteo Muratori, Fuminori Sano, Shinichiro Fujimori, Matthew J. Gidden, Etsushi Kato, Kimon Keramidas, David Klein, Florian Leblanc, Junichi Tsutsui, Marshal Wise, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Bioenergy technologies in long-run climate change mitigation: results from the EMF-33 study, Climatic Change, August 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02799-y]
Wenchao Wu, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Ken Oshiro, Assessment of bioenergy potential and associated costs in Japan for the 21st century, Renewable Energy 162, 308-321, December 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2020.08.015]
Matteo Muratori, Nico Bauer, Steven K. Rose, Marshall Wise, Vassilis Daioglou, Yiyun Cui, Etsushi Kato, Matthew Gidden, Jessica Strefler, Shinichiro Fujimori, Ronald D. Sands, Detlef P. van Vuuren, John Weyant, EMF-33 insights on bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), Climatic Change, August 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02784-5]
Robert J. Allen, Steven Turnock, Pierre Nabat, David Neubauer, Ulrike Lohmann, Dirk Olivié, Naga Oshima, Martine Michou, Tongwen Wu, Jie Zhang, Toshihiko Takemura, Michael Schulz, Kostas Tsigaridis, Susanne E. Bauer, Louisa Emmons, Larry Horowitz, Vaishali Naik, Twan van Noije, Tommi Bergman, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Prodromos Zanis, Ina Tegen, Daniel M. Westervelt, Philippe Le Sager, Peter Good, Sungbo Shim, Fiona O'Connor, Dimitris Akritidis, Aristeidis K. Georgoulias, Makoto Deushi, Lori T. Sentman, Jasmin G. John, Shinichiro Fujimori, William J. Collins, Climate and air quality impacts due to mitigation of non-methane near-term climate forcers, Atmos. Chem. Phys. 20, 9641-9663, August 2020 [https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-9641-2020]
Willem-Jan van Zeist, Elke Stehfest, Jonathan C. Doelman, Hugo Valin, Katherine Calvin, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Peter Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Page Kyle, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Daniel Mason-D'Croz, Hans van Meijl, Alexander Popp, Timothy B. Sulser, Andrzej Tabeau, Willem Verhagen, Keith Wiebe, Are scenario projections overly optimistic about future yield progress?, Global Environmental Change 64, 102120, September 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102120]
Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Hancheng Dai, Jing-Yu Liu, Haruka Ohashi, Yang Xie, Yanxu Zhang, Tetsuya Matsui, Yasuaki Hijioka, Measuring the sustainable development implications of climate change mitigation, Environmental Research Letters 15, 085004, August 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab9966]
Seleshi G. Yalew, Michelle T.H. van Vliet, David E.H.J. Gernaat, Fulco Ludwig, Ariel Miara, Chan Park, Edward Byers, Enrica De Cian, Franziska Piontek, Gokul Iyer, Ioanna Mouratiadou, James Glynn, Mohamad Hejazi, Olivier Dessens, Pedro Rochedo, Robert Pietzcker, Roberto Schaeffer, Shinichiro Fujimori, Shouro Dasgupta, Silvana Mima, Silvia R. Santos da Silva, Vaibhav Chaturvedi, Robert Vautard, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios, Nature Energy, August 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z]
Taran Faehn, Gabriel Bachner, Robert Beach, Jean Chateau, Shinichiro Fujimori, Madanmohan Ghosh, Meriem Hamdi-Cherif, Elisa Lanzi, Sergey Paltsev, Toon Vandyck, Bruno Cunha, Rafael Garaffa, Karl Steininger, Capturing Key Energy and Emission Trends in CGE models: Assessment of Status and Remaining Challenges, Journal of Global Economic Analysis 2020 5, 77, June 2020 [https://doi.org/10.21642/jgea.050106af]
Jean Foure, Angel Aguiar, Ruben Bibas, Jean Chateau, Shinichiro Fujimori, Julien Lefevre, Marian Leimbach, Luis Rey-Los-Santos, Hugo Valin, Macroeconomic Drivers of Baseline Scenarios in Dynamic CGE models: Review and Guidelines Proposal, Journal of Global Economic Analysis 2020 5, 35, June 2020 [https://doi.org/10.21642/jgea.050102af]
Hideo Shiogama, Ryuichi Hirata, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Noriko N. Ishizaki, Satoru Chatani, Masahiro Watanabe, Daniel Mitchell, Y. T. Eunice Lo, Historical and future anthropogenic warming effects on droughts, fires and fire emissions of CO2 and PM2.5 in equatorial Asia when 2015-like El Niño events occur, Earth Syst. Dynam. 11, 435-445, May 2020 [https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-435-2020]
Osamu Nishiura, Makoto Tamura, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Junya Takakura, Yasuaki Hijioka, An Assessment of Global Macroeconomic Impacts Caused by Sea Level Rise Using the Framework of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways, Sustainability 12, 3737, May 2020 [https://doi.org/10.3390/su12093737]
Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Petr Havlík, Hugo Valin, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jonathan C. Doelman, Thomas Fellmann, Page Kyle, Jason F.L. Koopman, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Christoph Müller, Yuki Ochi, Ignacio Pérez Domínguez, Elke Stehfest, Timothy B. Sulser, Andrzej Tabeau, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Jun’ya Takakura, Hans van Meijl, Willem-Jan van Zeist, Keith Wiebe, Peter Witzke, Reply to: An appeal to cost undermines food security risks of delayed mitigation, Nature climate change 10, 420-421, April 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0767-3]
Masahiro Tanoue, Taguchi, R., Nakata, S., Satoshi Watanabe, Shinichiro Fujimori, Yukiko Hirabayashi, Estimation of Direct and Indirect Economic Losses Caused by a Flood With Long-Lasting Inundation: Application to the 2011 Thailand Flood, Water Resources Research 56, e2019WR026092, April 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1029/2019wr026092]
Mark Roelfsema, Heleen L. van Soest, Mathijs Harmsen, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Christoph Bertram, Michel den Elzen, Niklas Höhne, Gabriela Iacobuta, Volker Krey, Elmar Kriegler, Gunnar Luderer, Keywan Riahi, Falko Ueckerdt, Jacques Després, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Stefan Frank, Oliver Fricko, Matthew Gidden, Florian Humpenöder, Daniel Huppmann, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Keii Gi, Kimon Keramidas, Alexandre C. Köberle, Lara Aleluia Reis, Pedro Rochedo, Roberto Schaeffer, Ken Oshiro, Zoi Vrontisi, Wenying Chen, Gokul C. Iyer, Jae Edmonds, Maria Kannavou, Kejun Jiang, Ritu Mathur, George Safonov, Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan, Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement, Nature Communications 11, 2096, April 2020
[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15414-6]
(In Japanese)
大城賢、藤森真一郎、長谷川知子、明石修, アジアにおける温室効果ガス短期削減目標が2050年までのエネルギー投資に及ぼす影響, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.76, No.5, I_243-I_252, 2020年9月
渡邉諒一、藤森真一郎、長谷川知子、大城賢, 世界を対象とした対流圏オゾンの作物収量に対する影響と気候政策の副次的便益に関する研究, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.76, No.5, I_129-I_140, 2020年9月
西浦理、藤森真一郎、大城賢, アジア各国における温室効果ガス大幅削減に必要な対策とその経済的影響の要因分析, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.76, No.5, I_97-I_107, 2020年9月
関祐哉、長谷川知子、藤森真一郎, 世界を対象にした洪水による作物収量変化を通じた食料消費と飢餓リスクへの影響評価, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.76, No.5, I_89-I_95, 2020年9月
【Non-peer review 】
藤森真一郎、大城賢, 大規模CO₂排出削減に伴う座礁資産 日本の長期戦略を事例にした分析, クリーンエネルギー Vol.30, No.2, 55-61, 2021年2月
Steven K. Rose, Nico Bauer, Alexander Popp, John Weyant, Shinichiro Fujimori, Petr Havlik, Marchall Wise, Detlef P van Vuuren, An overview of the Energy Modeling Forum 33rd study: assessing large-scale global bioenergy deployment for managing climate change, Climatic Change, December 2020
[https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02945-6]
藤森真一郎、張潤森、松井そら, 交通部門の電化が気候変動対策に果たす役割, 自動車技術 74, 79-85, 2020年10月
西浦理、藤森真一郎、大城賢,アジア各国における温室効果ガスの大幅な削減に必要な対策とその経済的な影響の要因分析 , 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.34, No.3, 4-6, 2020年7月
大城賢, 日本の中長期温室効果ガス排出削減シナリオのモデル分析 , 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.34, No.2, 11-14, 2020年6月
【Presentation】
International
Ken OSHIRO, Shinichiro Fujimori, Measuring stranded investment associated with transformation of energy supply and demand sectors in Japan, Thirteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2020, Poster Session, December 1-4, 2020, online. (The meeting Time Zone is UTC.).
Giacomo GRASSI, Alexander Popp, Joeri Rogelj, Elke Stehfest, Detlef van Vuuren, Alessandro Cescatti, Jo House, Gert-Jan Nabuurs, Simone Rossi, Romain Alkama, Raul Abad Viñas, Katherine Calvin, Guido Ceccherini, Sandro Federici, Shinichiro Fujimori, Mykola Gusti, Tomoko Hasegawa, Petr Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Korosuo, A., Rosetta stone method translates land-use mitigation pathways to estimates compatible with countries' GHG inventories, Thirteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2020, December 1-4, 2020, online. (The meeting Time Zone is UTC.).
Wenchao WU, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Junya Takakura, Modeling the health implications and economic costs of the double burden of malnutrition in IAM, Thirteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2020, December 1-4, 2020, online. (The meeting Time Zone is UTC.).
Shinichiro FUJIMORI, Tomoko Hasegawa, Ken OSHIRO, An assessment of the potential of using carbon tax revenue to tackle poverty, Thirteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2020, December 1-4, 2020, online. (The meeting Time Zone is UTC.).
Diego Silva HERRAN, Shinichiro Fujimori, Insights and challenges for Japan's 2040 emission target considering multiple ambition levels, Thirteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2020, December 1-4, 2020, online. (The meeting Time Zone is UTC.).
Masahiro SUGIYAMA, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kenichi Wada, Ken Oshiro, Etsushi Kato, Ryoichi Komiyama, Diego Silva Herran, Yuhji Matsuo, Hiroto Shiraki, Yiyi Ju, Shogo Sakamoto, EMF 35 JMIP study for Japan's long-term climate and energy policy: scenario designs and overview, Thirteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2020, December 1-4, 2020, online. (The meeting Time Zone is UTC.).
Jarmo KIKSTRA, Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi, Shinichiro Fujimori, Regional sustainable development implications of ambitious climate mitigation, Thirteenth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2020, December 1-4, 2020, online. (The meeting Time Zone is UTC.).
Shinichiro FUJIMORI, Pathways to limit global-mean temperature rise to 1.5 °C, ASIA PACIFIC ENERGY RESEARCH CENTRE(APERC) Annual Conference, Advisory Board Meeting and Joint Symposium with IEEJ, September 14, 2020, online.(Invited Speech)
Masahiro Sugiyama, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kenichi Wada, Ken Oshiro, Etsushi Kato, Atsushi Kurosawa, Ryoichi Komiyama, Diego Silva Herran, Yuhji Matsuo, Hiroto Shiraki, Shogo Sakamoto and Yiyi Ju, EMF 35 JMIP study: preliminary results and implications for Japan’s climate change mitigation, 23rd Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis "Global Economic Analysis Beyond 2020", June 17, 2020, Virtual Conference
Internal
居〆義、杉山昌広、加藤悦史、松尾雄司、大城賢、SILVA HERRAN Diego、Industrial Decarbonization Under Japan’s National Mitigation Scenarios: A Multi-Model Analysis, 環境経済・政策学会2020年大会, 2020年9月27日, オンライン開催
大城賢、藤森真一郎、長谷川知子、明石修, アジアにおける温室効果ガス短期削減目標が2050年までのエネルギー投資に及ぼす影響, 第28回地球環境シンポジウム, 2020年9月23日―25日, オンライン開催
渡邉諒一、藤森真一郎、長谷川知子、大城賢, 世界を対象とした対流圏オゾンの作物収量に対する影響と気候政策の副次的便益に関する研究, 第28回地球環境シンポジウム, 2020年9月23日―25日, オンライン開催
西浦理、藤森真一郎、大城賢, アジア各国における温室効果ガス大幅削減に必要な対策とその経済的影響の要因分析, 第28回地球環境シンポジウム, 2020年9月23日―25日, オンライン開催
関祐哉、長谷川知子、藤森真一郎, 世界を対象にした洪水による作物収量変化を通じた食料消費と飢餓リスクへの影響評価, 第28回地球環境シンポジウム, 2020年9月23日―25日, オンライン開催
杉山昌広、藤森真一郎、和田謙一、加藤悦史、小宮山涼一、松尾雄司、大城賢、Diego Silva Herran, 日本の長期気候政策の評価:EMF 35 JMIP プロジェクト, 第39回エネルギー ・資源学会研究発表会, 2020年7月28日-29日, オンライン開催
FY2019
【Peer Review】
Runsen Zhang, Shinichiro Fujimori, The role of transport electrification in global climate change mitigation scenarios, Environmental Research Letters 15, 034019 February 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6658]
Wenji Zhou, David L. McCollum, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Matthew Gidden, Fei Guo, Tomoko Hasegawa, Han Huang, Daniel Huppmann, Volker Krey, Changyi Liu, Simon Parkinson, Keywan Riahi, Peter Rafaj, Wolfgang Schoepp, Fang Yang, Yuanbing Zhou, Decarbonization pathways and energy investment needs for developing Asia in line with ‘well below’ 2°C, Climate Policy, 1-12, January 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2020.1722606]
Satbyul Estella Kim, Yang Xie, Hancheng Dai, Shinichiro Fujimori, Yasuaki Hijioka, Yasushi Honda, Masahiro Hashizume, Toshihiko Masui, Tomoko Hasegawa, Xinghan Xu, Kan Yi, Ho Kim, Air quality co-benefits from climate mitigation for human health in South Korea, Environment International 136, 105507, March 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2020.105507]
Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Kornelis Blok, Katherine Calvin, Shinichiro Fujimori, Mitigating energy demand sector emissions: The integrated modelling perspective, Applied Energy 261, 114347, March 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114347]
He Chen, Keisuke Matsuhashi, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Shinichio Fujimori, Keita Honjo, Kei Gomi, Adapting global shared socio-economic pathways for national scenarios in Japan, Sustainability Science, January 2020 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-019-00780-y]
Jing-Yu Liu, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Tomoko Hasegawa, Wenchao Wu, Jun’ya Takakura, Toshihiko Masui, Identifying trade-offs and co-benefits of climate policies in China to align policies with SDGs and achieve the 2 °C goal, Environmental Research Letters 14, 124070, December 2019
[https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab59c4]
Hideo Shiogama, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Daisuke Murakami, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Katsumasa Tanaka, Seita Emori, Izumi Kubota, Manabu Abe, Yukiko Imada, Masahiro Watanabe, Daniel Mitchell, Nathalie Schaller, Jana Sillmann, Erich M Fischer, John F Scinocca, Ingo Bethke, Ludwig Lierhammer, Jun’ya Takakura, Tim Trautmann, Petra Döll, Sebastian Ostberg, Hannes Müller Schmied, Fahad Saeed, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change, Environmental Research Letters 14, 124022, November 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab5256]
Nils Johnson, Peter Burek, Edward Byers, Giacomo Falchetta, Martina Flörke, Shinichiro Fujimori, Petr Havlik, Mohamad Hejazi, Julian Hunt, Volker Krey, Simon Langan, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Amanda Palazzo, Alexander Popp, Keywan Riahi, Michiel van Dijk, Michelle T.H. van Vliet, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Yoshihide Wada, David Wiberg, Barbara Willaarts, Caroline Zimm, Simon Parkinson, Integrated Solutions for the Water-Energy-Land Nexus: Are Global Models Rising to the Challenge?, Water 11, 2223, October 2019 [https://doi.org/10.3390/w11112223]
Haruka Ohashi, Tomoko Hasegawa, Akiko Hirata, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Ikutaro Tsuyama, Katsuhiro Nakao, Yuji Kominami, Nobuyuki Tanaka, Yasuaki Hijioka, Tetsuya Matsui, Biodiversity can benefit from climate stabilization despite adverse side effects of land-based mitigation, Nature Communications 10, 5240, November 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-13241-y]
Shinichiro Fujimori, Joeri Rogelj, Volker & Krey & Keywan Riahi, A new generation of emissions scenarios should cover blind spots in the carbon budget space, Nature climate change 9, 798-800, November 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0611-9]
Ken’ichi Matsumoto, Tomoko Hasegawa, Kanako Morita, Shinichiro Fujimori, Synergy potential between climate change mitigation and forest conservation policies in the Indonesian forest sector: implications for achieving multiple sustainable development objectives, Sustainability Science 14, 1657-1672, November 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0650-6]
Shinichiro Fujimori, Ken Oshiro, Hiroto Shiraki, Tomoko Hasegawa, Energy transformation cost for the Japanese mid-century strategy, Nature Communications 10, 4737.October 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-12730-4]
Jun’ya Takakura, Shinichiro Fujimori, Naota Hanasaki, Tomoko Hasegawa, Yukiko Hirabayashi, Yasushi Honda, Toshichika Iizumi, Naoko Kumano, Chan Park, Zhihong Shen, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Makoto Tamura, Masahiro Tanoue, Koujiro Tsuchida, Hiromune Yokoki, Qian Zhou, Taikan Oki, Yasuaki Hijioka, Dependence of economic impacts of climate change on anthropogenically directed pathways, Nature climate change 9, 737-741. October 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0578-6]
Ken Oshiro, Keii Gi, Shinichiro Fujimori, Heleen L. van Soest, Christoph Bertram, Jaques Després, Toshihiko Masui, Pedro Rochedo, Mark Roelfsema, Zoi Vrontisi, Mid-century emission pathways in Japan associated with the global 2 °C goal: national and global models’ assessments based on carbon budgets, Climatic Change 162(4), 1913-1927, July 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02490-x]
Diego Silva Herran, Shinichiro Fujimori, Mikiko Kainuma, Implications of Japan’s long term climate mitigation target and the relevance of uncertain nuclear policy, Climate Policy 19(9), 1117-1131, June 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2019.1634507]
Mathijs Harmsen, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jean Chateau, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Laurent Drouet, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, David E.H.J.Gernaat, Tatsuya Hanaoka, Jerome Hilaire, Kimon Keramidas, Gunnar Luderer, Maria Cecilia P. Moura, Fuminori Sano, Steven J Smith, Kenichi Wada, The role of methane in future climate strategies: mitigation potentials and climate impacts, Climatic Change, May 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02437-2]
Elke Stehfest, Willem-Jan van Zeist, Hugo Valin, Peter Havlik, Alexander Popp, Page Kyle, Andrzej Tabeau, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Tomoko Hasegawa, Benjamin L.Bodirsky, Katherine Calvin, Jonathan C. Doelman, Shinichiro Fujimori, Florian Humpenöder, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Hans van Meijl, Keith Wiebe, Key determinants of global land-use projections, Nature Communications 10, 2166, May 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09945-w]
Wenchao Wu, Tomoko Hasegawa, Haruka Ohashi, Naota Hanasaki, Jingyu Liu, Tetsuya Matsui, Shinichiro Fujimori, Toshihiko Masui, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Global advanced bioenergy potential under environmental protection policies and societal transformation measures, GCB Bioenergy 11, 1041-1055, February 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.12614]
Jun’ya Takakura, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Yasuaki Hijioka, Yasushi Honda, Site-specific hourly resolution wet bulb globe temperature reconstruction from gridded daily resolution climate variables for planning climate change adaptation measures, International Journal of Biometeorology 63, 787-800, June 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-019-01692-3]
Henri Waisman, Chris Bataille, Harald Winkler, Frank Jotzo, Priyadarshi Shukla, Michel Colombier, Daniel Buira, Patrick Criqui, Manfred Fischedick, Mikiko Kainuma, Emilio La Rovere, Steve Pye, George Safonov, Ucok Siagian, Fei Teng, Maria-Rosa Virdis, Jim Williams, Soogil Young, Gabrial Anandarajah, Rizaldi Boer, Yongsun Cho, Amandine Denis-Ryan, Subash Dhar, Maria Gaeta, Claudio Gesteira, Ben Haley, Jean-Charles Hourcade, Qiang Liu, Oleg Lugovoy, Toshihiko Masui, Sandrine Mathy, Ken Oshiro, Ramiro Parrado, Minal Pathak, Vladimir Potashnikov, Sascha Samadi, David Sawyer, Thomas Spencer, Jordi Tovilla, Hilton Trollip, A pathway design framework for national low greenhouse gas emission development strategies, Nature climate change 9, 261-268, March 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0442-8]
Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi, Christoph Bertram, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Valentina Bosetti, Jessica Callen, Jacques Després, Jonathan Doelman, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Stefan Frank, Oliver Fricko, Petr Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Jason F. L. Koopman, Hans van Meijl, Yuki Ochi, Alexander Popp, Andreas Schmitz, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Detlef van Vuuren, A multi-model assessment of food security implications of climate change mitigation, Nature Sustainability 2, 386-396, May 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0286-2]
Matthew J. Gidden, Keywan Riahi, Steven J.Smith, Shinichiro Fujimori, Gunnar Luderer, Elmar Kriegler, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Maarten van den Berg, Leyang Feng, David Klein, Katherine Calvin, Jonathan C. Doelman, Stefan Frank, Oliver Fricko, Mathijs Harmsen, Tomoko Hasegawa, Peter Havlik, Jerome Hilaire, Rachel Hoesly, Jill Horing, Alexander Popp, Elke Stehfest, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century, Geosci. Model Dev. 12, 1443-1475, April 2019 [https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1443-2019]
Volker Krey, Fei Guo, Peter Kolp, Wenji Zhou, Roberto Schaeffer, Aayushi Awasthy, Christoph Bertram, Harmen-Sytze de Boer, Panagiotis Fragkos, Shinichiro Fujimori, Chenmin He, Gokul Iyer, Kimon Keramidas, Alexandre C. Koberlec, Ken Oshiro, Lara Aleluia Reis, Bianka Shoai-Tehrani, Saritha Vishwanathan, Pantelis Capros, Laurent Drouet, James E. Edmonds, Amit Garg, David E.H.J. Gernaat, Kejun Jiang, Maria Kannavou, Alban Kitous, Elmar Kriegler, Gunnar Luderer, Ritu Mathur, Matteo Muratori, Fuminori Sano, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models, Energy, 172, 1254-1267, April 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.131]
(In Japanese)
藤森真一郎、大城賢、長谷川知子, アジアのエネルギー関連低炭素技術投資の見通し, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.75, No.5, I_247-I_254, 2019年8月
櫛部航、藤森真一郎、長谷川知子, 食料廃棄物削減目標を達成することによる社会・経済・環境への副次的影響, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.75, No.5, I_233-I_238, 2019年8月
西浦理、藤森真一郎、田村誠, 全世界の波及的な効果を考慮した海面上昇によるマクロ経済影響評価, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.75, No.5, I_81-I_88, 2019年8月
高橋潤也、藤森真一郎、高橋潔、周茜、花崎直太、飯泉仁之直、長谷川知子、本田靖、増井利彦、肱岡 靖明, 気候変動による全球規模経済影響のエミュレーション手法の試作と評価, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.75, No.5, I_73-I_80, 2019年8月
越智雄輝、藤森真一郎、高橋潔、松橋啓介, 日本を対象とした将来シナリオのデータベース化とエネルギー需給・CO2排出構造も4注目したその特徴の分析, 土木学会論文集G(環境)Vol.75, No.5, I_65-I_72, 2019年8月
【Non-peer review 】
Taran Fahan, Gabriel Bachner, Robert Bearch, Jean Chateau, Shinichiro Fujimori, Madanmohan Ghosh, Meriem Hamdi-Cherif, Eliza Lanzi, Sergey Paltsev, Toon Vandyck, Bruno Cunha, Rafael Garaffa, Kaarl Steininger, Capturing Key Energy and Emission Trends in CGE Models: Assessment of Status and Remaining Challenges, CESifo Working Papers No.8072, January 2020
Osamu Nishiura, Shinichiro Fujimori, Makoto Tamura, A Macro Economic Assessment of Sea Level Rise Caused by Climate Change, Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research, Vol.33 No.3, 124-126, July 2019
Kou Kushibe, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Co-benefit Analysis by Reduction of Global Food Loss and Waste, Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research, Vol.33 No.3, 121-123, July 2019
【Presentation】
International
Shinichiro FUJIMORI, Climate change impacts: a CGE modeling approach, Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, December 4 2019, Tsukuba, Japana.(招待講演)
Yazhen WU, Hancheng Dai, Yanxu Zhang, Yang Xie, Shinichiro Fujimori, Yasuaki Hijioka, Co-benefits of Climate Change Mitigation in Improvement of Global Air Quality and Human Health, Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, 2-4 December 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
Shinichiro FUJIMORI, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Hancheng Dai, Tomoko Hasegawa, Jing-Yu Liu, Tetsuya Matsui, Haruka Ohashi, Yang Xie, Exploring the Implications of Asian Climate Change Mitigation Actions to Sustainable Development Goal, Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, 2-4 December 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
Diego SILVA HERRAN, Shinichiro Fujimori, Mikiko Kainuma, Assessment of Japan’s 2050 mitigation goal and the relevance of uncertain nuclear policy, Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, 2-4 December 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
Ken OSHIRO, Shinichiro Fujimori, Keii Gi, Heleen van Soest, Christoph Bertram, Jacques Després, Toshihiko Masui, Pedro Rochedo, Mark Roelfsema, Zoi Vrontisi, Japan’s emission pathways in the context of the 2°C goals and their implications for the midcentury strategy, Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, 2-4 December 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
Jing-Yu LIU, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Tomoko Hasegawa, Wenchao Wu, Toshihiko Masui, The importance of socioeconomic condition in achieving climate mitigation and SDGs, Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, 2-4 December 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
Runsen ZHANG, Runsen Zhang, Shinichiro Fujimori, Transport electrification requires renewable energy penetration to mitigate climate change, Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, 2-4 December 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
Shinichiro FUJIMORI, Kou Kushibe., Ancillary Benefits of Reducing Global Food Loss and Waste, Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, 2-4 December 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
Osamu NISHIURA, Shinichiro Fujimori, Makoto Tamura, An Assessment of Global Macro-Economic Impacts caused by Sea Level Rise Using SSPs and RCPs framework, Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, 2-4 December 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
Wenchao WU, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Ken Oshiro, Integrated assessment of bioenergy potential for Japan, Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, 2-4 December 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
Tokuta YOKOHATA, Tsuguki Kinoshita, Gen Sakurai, Yadu Pokhrel, Akihiko Ito, Yusuke Satoh, Etsushi Kato, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kaoru Tachiiri, Tomohiro Hajima, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Naota Hanasaki, Seita Emori, Future projection of water, food, bio-energy, ecosystem and land investigated with an integrated Earth System Model (MIROC-INTEG), Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, 2-4 December 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
Jun'ya TAKAKURA, Shinichiro Fujimori, Naota Hanasaki, Tomoko Hasegawa, Yasushi Honda, Toshichika Iizumi, Chan Park, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Qian Zhou, Yasuaki Hijioka, Sector-wide Estimation of Economic Impacts of Climate Change Considering Variations in Exposure and Vulnerability Represented by SSP Scenarios, Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, 2-4 December 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
Panagiotis Fragkos, Heleen Van Soest, Roberto Schaeffer, Luke Reedman, Alexandre Köberle, Nick Macaluso, Alessia De Vita, Fu Sha, Jiang Kejun, Ritu Mathur, Rizaldi Boer, Retno Gumilang Dewi, Diego SILVA HERRAN, Shinichiro Fujimori, Chan Park, George Safonov, Gokul Lyer, Energy System Transition and Low-Emission Pathways in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, EU, India, Indonesia, Japan, Republic of Korea, Russia, and United States, Twelfth Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2019, 2-4 December 2019, Tsukuba, Japan.
Jun’ya Takakura, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Qian Zhou, Naota Hanasaki, Toshichika Iizumi, Yasushi Honda, Tomoko Hasegawa, Toshihiko Masui, Yasuaki Hijioka, Emulators to explore economic impact of climate change under numerous scenario combinations, Scenarios Forum 2019, 11-13 March, Denver, Colorado, USA
Internal
藤森真一郎、大城賢、長谷川知子, アジアのエネルギー関連低炭素技術投資の見通し, 第27回地球環境シンポジウム, 2019年8月27日―29日, 富山国際会議場, 富山
櫛部航、藤森真一郎、長谷川知子, 食料廃棄物削減目標を達成することによる社会・経済・環境への副次的影響, 第27回地球環境シンポジウム, 2019年8月27日―29日, 富山国際会議場, 富山
西浦理、藤森真一郎、田村誠, 全世界の波及的な効果を考慮した海面上昇によるマクロ経済影響評価, 第27回地球環境シンポジウム, 2019年8月27日―29日, 富山国際会議場, 富山
高橋潤也、藤森真一郎、高橋潔、周茜、花崎直太、飯泉仁之直、長谷川知子、本田靖、増井利彦、肱岡 靖明, 気候変動による全球規模経済影響のエミュレーション手法の試作と評価, 第27回地球環境シンポジウム, 2019年8月27日―29日, 富山国際会議場, 富山
越智雄輝、藤森真一郎、高橋潔、松橋啓介, 日本を対象とした将来シナリオのデータベース化とエネルギー需給・CO2排出構造も4注目したその特徴の分析, 第27回地球環境シンポジウム, 2019年8月27日―29日, 富山国際会議場, 富山
藤森真一郎, Climate change and SDGs, ロシアミッション交流事業(招待講演), 2019年8月24日, 京都経済センター, 京都
FY2018
【Peer Review】
Nicole J. van den Berg, Heleen L. van Soest, Andries F. Hof, Michel G.J. den Elzen, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Wenying Chen, Laurent Drouet, Jphannes Emmerling, Shinichiro Fujimori, Niklas Höhne, Alexandre C. Kõberle, David McCollum, Roberto Schaeffer, Swapnil Shekhar, Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan, Zoi Vrontisi, Kornelis Blok, Implications of various effort-sharing approaches for national carbon budgets and emission pathways, Climatic Change 162(4), 1805-1822, February 2019
[https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02368-y]
Masahiro Sugiyama, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kenichi Wada, Seiya Endo, Yasumasa Fujii, Ryoichi Komiyama, Etsushi Kato, Atsushi Kurosawa, Yuhji Matsuo, Ken Oshiro, Fuminori Sano, Hiroto Shiraki, Japan's long-term climate mitigation policy: Multi-model assessment and sectoral challenges, Energy, 167, 1121-1131, January 2019 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.10.091]
HyeJin Kim, Isabel M. D. Rosa, Rob Alkemade, Paul Leadley, George Hurtt, Alexander Popp, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Peter Anthoni, Almut Arneth, Daniele Baisero, Emma Caton, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, Louise Chini, Adriana De Palma, Fulvio Di Fulvio, Moreno Di Marco, Felipe Espinoza, Simon Ferrier, Shinichiro Fujimori, Ricardo E. Gonzalez, Maya Gueguen, Carlos Guerra, Mike Harfoot, Thomas D. Harwood, Tomoko Hasegawa, Vanessa Haverd, Petr Havlík, Stefanie Hellweg, Samantha L. L. Hill, Akiko Hirata, Andrew J. Hoskins, Jan H. Janse, Walter Jetz, Justin A. Johnson, Andreas Krause, David Leclère, Ines S. Martins, Tetsuya Matsui, Cory Merow, Michael Obersteiner, Haruka Ohashi, Benjamin Poulter, Andy Purvis, Benjamin Quesada, Carlo Rondinini, Aafke M. Schipper, Richard Sharp, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Wilfried Thuiller, Nicolas Titeux, Piero Visconti, Christopher Ware, Florian Wolf, Henrique M. Pereira, A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios, Geoscientific Model Development, 11, 11, 4537-4562, 13 November 2018 [https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-4537-2018]
Jun'ya Takakura, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Tomoko Hasegawa, Yasushi Honda, Naota Hanasaki, Yasuaki Hijioka, Toshihiko Masui, Limited role of working time shift in offsetting the increasing occupational-health cost of heat exposure, Earth’s Future, 6, 11, 1588-1602, November 2018. [https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000883]
Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Akihiko Ito, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Toshihiko Masui, Gridded emissions and land-use data for 2005–2100 under diverse socioeconomic and climate mitigation scenarios, Science Data, 5, 180210, 16 October 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2018.210]
Shinichiro Fujimori, Toshichika Iizumi, Tomoko Hasegawa, Jun’ya Takakura, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Yasuaki Hijioka, Macroeconomic impacts of climate change driven by changes in crop yields, Sustainability, 10, 10, 3673, 14 October 2018 [https://doi.org/10.3390/su10103673]
Qian Zhou, Naota Hanasaki, Shinichiro Fujimori, Economic consequences of cooling water insufficiency in the thermal power sector under climate change scenarios, Energies, 11, 10, 2686, 9 October 2018 [https://doi.org/10.3390/en11102686]
Nico BauerEmail, Steven K. Rose, Shinichiro Fujimori, Detlef P. van Vuuren, John Weyant, Marshall Wise, Yiyun Cui, Vassilis Daioglou, Matthew J. Gidden, Etsushi Kato, Alban Kitous, Florian Leblanc, Ronald Sands, Fuminori Sano, Jessica Strefler, Junichi Tsutsui, Ruben Bibas, Oliver Fricko, Tomoko Hasegawa, David Klein, Atsushi Kurosawa, Silvana Mima, Matteo Muratori, Global energy sector emission reductions and bioenergy use: overview of the bioenergy demand phase of the EMF-33 model comparison, Climate Change, 1-16, 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2226-y]
Yang Xie, Hancheng Dai, Xinghan Xu, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Kan Yi, Toshihiko Masui, Gakuji Kurata, Co-benefits of climate mitigation on air quality and human health in Asian countries, Environment International, 119, 309-318, October 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2018.07.008]
Shivika Mittal, Jing-Yu Liu, Shinichiro Fujimori, Priyadarshi Ramprasad Shukla, An Assessment of Near-to-Mid-Term Economic Impacts and Energy Transitions under “2 °C” and “1.5 °C” Scenarios for India, Energies, 11, 9, 2213, 24 August 2018 [https://doi.org/10.3390/en11092213]
Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Petr Havlík, Hugo Valin, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jonathan C. Doelman, Thomas Fellmann, Page Kyle, Jason F. L. Koopman, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Yuki Ochi, Ignacio Pérez Domínguez, Elke Stehfest, Timothy B. Sulser, Andrzej Tabeau, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Jun’ya Takakura, Hans van Meijl, Willem-Jan van Zeist, Keith Wiebe, Peter Witzke, Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy, Nature Climate Change, 8, 8, 699-703, 30 July 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0230-x]
Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Joeri Rogelj, Xuanming Su, Petr Havlik, Volker Krey, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Keywan Riahi, Inclusive climate change mitigation and food security policy under 1.5 °C climate goal, Environmental Research Letters, 13, 7, 074033, 13 July 2018. [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aad0f7]
Matthew J. Gidden, Shinichiro Fujimori, Maarten van den Berg, David Klein, Steven J. Smith, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Keywan Riahi, A methodology and implementation of automated emissions harmonization for use in Integrated Assessment Models, Environmental Modelling & Software, 105, 187-200, July 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.04.002]
Qian Zhou, Naota Hanasaki, Shinichiro Fujimori, Sayaka Yoshikawa, Shinjiro Kanae, Tomohiro Okadera, Cooling Water Sufficiency in a Warming World: Projection Using an Integrated Assessment Model and a Global Hydrological Model, Water, 10, 7, 872, 30 June 2018 [https://doi.org/10.3390/w10070872]
Gunnar Luderer, Zoi Vrontisi, Christoph Bertram, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Robert C. Pietzcker, Joeri Rogelj, Harmen Sytze De Boer, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Petr Havlík, Gokul Iyer, Kimon Keramidas, Alban Kitous, Michaja Pehl, Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi, Bert Saveyn, Massimo Tavoni, Detlef P. Van Vuuren, Elmar Kriegler, Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5–2 °C pathways, Nature Climate Change, 8, 626-633, 25 June 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0198-6]
David L. McCollum, Wenji Zhou, Christoph Bertram, Harmen-Sytze de Boer, Valentina Bosetti, Sebastian Busch, Jacques Després, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Marianne Fay, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Matthew Gidden, Mathijs Harmsen, Daniel Huppmann, Gokul Iyer, Volker Krey, Elmar Kriegler, Claire Nicolas, Shonali Pachauri, Simon Parkinson, Miguel Poblete-Cazenave, Peter Rafaj Narasimha Rao, Julie Rozenberg, Andreas Schmitz, Wolfgang Schoepp, Detlef van Vuuren, Keywan Riahi, Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals, Nature Enegry, 3, 589-599, 18 June 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-018-0179-z]
Jing-Yu Liu, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Tomoko Hasegawa, Xuanming Su, Toshihiko Masui, Socioeconomic factors and future challenges of the goal of limiting the increase in global average temperature to 1.5 °C, Carbon Management, 11 June 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1080/17583004.2018.1477374]
Runsen Zhang, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tatsuya Hanaoka, The contribution of transport policies to the mitigation potential and cost of 2 °C and 1.5 °C goals, Environmental Research Letters, 13, 5, 054008 , 26 April 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aabb0d]
Zoi Vrontisi , Gunnar Luderer, Bert Saveyn, KimonKeramidas, Lara Alelui Reisa, Lavinia Baumstark, Christoph Bertram, Harmen Sytze de Boer, LaurentDrouet, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Celine Guivarch, AlbanKitous, Volker Krey, Elmar Kriegler, Eoin O´ Broin, Leonidas Paroussos, Detlef van Vuuren, Enhancing global climate policy ambition towards a 1.5 ◦C stabilization: a short-term multi-model assessment, Environmental Research Letters, 13, 4, 044039, 26 April 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aab53e]
Chan Park, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Jun’ya Takakura, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Yasuaki Hijioka, Avoided economic impacts of energy demand changes by 1.5 and 2 °C climate stabilization, Environmental Research Letters, 13, 4, 045010, 16 April 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aab724]
Elmar Kriegler, Gunnar Luderer, Nico Bauer, Lavinia Baumstark, Shinichiro Fujimori, Alexander Popp, Joeri Rogelj, Jessica Strefler, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C: a tale of turning around in no time?, Philosophical Transactions of The Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 376, 2119, 2 April 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0457]
Joeri Rogelj, Alexander Popp, Katherine V. Calvin, Gunnar Luderer, Johannes Emmerling, David Gernaat, Shinichiro Fujimori, Jessica Strefler, Tomoko Hasegawa, Giacomo Marangoni, Volker Krey, Elmar Kriegler, Keywan Riahi, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Jonathan Doelman, Laurent Drouet, Jae Edmonds, Oliver Fricko, Mathijs Harmsen, Petr Havlík, Florian Humpenöder, Elke Stehfest, Massimo Tavoni, Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C, Nature Climate Change, 8, 325-332, 5 March 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3]
Runsen Zhang, Shinichiro Fujimori, Hancheng Dai, Tatsuya Hanaoka, Contribution of the transport sector to climate change mitigation: Insights from a global passenger transport model coupled with a computable general equilibrium model, Applied Energy, 211, 76-88, 1 February 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.10.103]
Qian Zhou, Naota Hanasaki, Shinichiro Fujimori, Yoshimitsu Masaki, Yasuaki Hijioka, Economic consequences of global climate change and mitigation on future hydropower generation, Climate Change, 147, 1-2, 77-90, 20 January 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-2131-9]
Xuanming Su, Hideo Shiogama, Katsumasa Tanaka, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Yasuaki Hijioka, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Jingyu Liu, How do climate-related uncertainties influence 2 and 1.5 °C pathways?, Sustainability Science, 13, 2, 291-299, 9 January 2018 [https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-017-0525-2]
(In Japanese)
Kiyoshi Takahashi, Hiroshi Sato, Yasushi Honda, Shinichiro Fujimori, Jun’ya Takakura, Estimation of economic damage caused by change in heat stress mortality under anthropogenic climate change, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. G (Environmental Research), Vol.74 No.5, I_53-I_60, September 2018
Shinichiro Fujimori, Ken Oshiro, Hiroto Shiraki, Tomoko Hasegawa, An assessment of Japan’s long-term greenhouse emissions reduction target using an integrated economic and technological model, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. G (Environmental Research), Vol.74 No.5, I_213-I_222, September 2018
Hiroto Shiraki, Ken Oshiro, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Estimation of flexibility resources for power system stabilization under a long-term low carbon scenario, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. G (Environmental Research), Vol.74 No.5, I_369-I_378, September 2018
【Non-peer review 】
Shinichiro Fujimori, The Roles of Integrated Assessment Models in Climate Change Analysis, Environmental Information Science, Vol.48 No.1, 30-34, March 2019
Ana Paula Aguiar, Lars Berg, Avit Bhowmik, John Biberman, Benigna Boza-Kiss, Anita Breuer, Daniela Buscaglia, Sebastian Busch, Lorenza Campagnolo, Geoff Clarke, David Collste, Sarah Cornell, Felix Creutzig, Ines Dombrowsky, Kristie L. Ebi, Oreane Edelenbosch, Jae Edmonds, Shinichiro Fujimori, Owen Gaffney, Anne Goujon, Arnulf Grubler, Helmut Haberl, Tomoko Hasegawa, Tiina Häyhä, Hannah Janetschek, Miho Kamei, Peter Kolp, Julia Leininger, Hermann Lotze-Campen, David McCollum, Apollonia Miola, Kris Murray, Raya Muttarak, Michael Obersteiner, Shonali Pachauri, Simon Parkinson, Alexander Popp, Joana Portugal Pereira, Juan Manuel Puyana, Verena Rauchenwald, Constantin Ruhe, Roberto Schaeffer, Pauline Scheelbeek, Jörn Schmidt, Guido Schmidt-Traub, Samuel Sellers, George Sempeho, Uno Svedin, Athanasios Vafeidis, Heleen van Soest, Gary Verburg, Yoshihide Wada, Caroline Zimm, Transformations to achieve the sustainable development goals: Report prepared by The World in 2050 initiative, IIASA, July 2018 [http://www.iiasa.ac.at/web/home/research/twi/TWI2050_Report_web-071018.pdf]
D. Leclère, Obersteiner M., Alkemade R., Almond R., Barrett M., Bunting G., Burgess N. D., Butchart S. H. M., Chaudhary A., Cornell S., De Palma A., DeClerck F. A. J., Di Fulvio F., Di Marco M., Doelman J. C., Durauer M., Ferrier S., Freeman R., Fritz S., Fujimori S., Grooten M., Harfoot M., Harwood T., Hasegawa T., Havlík P., Hellweg S., Herrero M., Hilbers J., Hill S. L. L., Hoskins A. J., Humpenöder F., Kram T., Krisztin T., Lotze-Campen H., Mace G. M., Matsui, T., Meyer C., Nel D., Newbold T., Ohashi H., Popp A., Purvis A., Schipper A. M., Schmidt-Traub G., Stehfest E., Strassburg B., Tabeau A., Valin H., van Meijl H., van Vuuren D. P., van Zeist W. J., Visconti P., Ware C., Watson J. E. M., Wu W., Young L., Towards pathways bending the curve terrestrial biodiversity trends within the 21st century, IIASA, 23 May 2018 [DOI:10.22022/ESM/04-2018.15241]
【Presentation】
International
Shinichiro Fujimori, Recent research trend in climate change mitigation and some research examples made by our research team, Symposium on Japan-China Cooperative Research and Education for Environmental Technology, 8 December 2018, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, China
Masahiro Tanoue, Ryo Taguchi, S Nakata, Satoshi Watanabe, Shinichiro Fujimori, Yukiko Hirabayashi, Estimation of gross domestic production loss due to flood impacts: case study for Thailand flood in 2011, AGU (Advanced Earth and Space Science) Fall Meeting 2018, 10-14 December 2018, Washington, D. C., USA
Shinichiro Fujimori, Hiroto Shiraki, Ken Oshiro, Tomoko Hasegawa, New integrated assessment modeling framework: incorporating energy-economic, technology, power generation, and land-use models, Eleventh Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2018, 13-15 November 2018, Seville, Spain
Jun’ya Takakura, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Qian Zhou, Naota Hanasaki, Emulation of projected economic impacts of climate change: Mimicking integrated assessment models coupled with bio/physical impact models, Eleventh Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2018, 13-15 November 2018, Seville, Spain
Masahiro Sugiyama, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kenichi Wada, Jiayang Wang, Ken Oshiro, Characterizing Japan’s energy pathways for climate change mitigation: A multi-model study, Eleventh Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2018, 13-15 November 2018, Seville, Spain
Xuanming Su, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kaoru Tachiiri, Hancheng Dai, Katsumasa Tanaka, Assessing Socioeconomic and Climate-related Uncertainties on Social Cost of Carbon (SCC), Eleventh Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2018, 13-15 November 2018, Seville, Spain
Jing-Yu Liu, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Tomoko Hasegawa, Toshihiko Masui, Assessment of mitigation options reconciling with sustainable development goals: a case study of China, Eleventh Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 2018, 13-15 November 2018, Seville, Spain
Shinichiro Fujimori, Global modeling activities and a new study on national mitigation policy, The 24th AIM International Workshop, 5-6 November 2018, Tsukuba, Ibaraki
Shinichiro Fujimori, Elmar Kriegler, Aman Malik, Christoph Bertram, Jun’ya Takakura, Heleen van Soest, IIASA, WP3: Preparation and selection of global scenarios in the context of the global stocktake, Second COMMIT Project Meeting, 12-14 September 2018, Den Haag, Netherlands
Shinichiro Fujimori, AIM modeling: What we have learned from Asian networking, Snowmass workshop - Transitions to Low GHG Futures: Challenges and Opportunities, 23-25 July 2018, Snowmass, Colorado, USA
Diego Silva Herran, Shinichiro Fujimori, Mikiko Kainuma, Economic Impacts Of Long-Term Climate Mitigation Targets In Japan Considering Technological Constraints, 41st IAEE International Conference, 10-13 June, Groningen, Netherlands
Naota Hanasaki, Shinichiro Fujimori, Qian Zhou, Water-energy nexus studies by coupling the H08 global hydrological model and the AIM/CGE integrated assessment model, 8th GEWEX open science conference: Extremes and water on the edge, 6-11 May 2018, Canmore, Alberta, Canada
Internal
藤森真一郎, 気候変動政策研究の最前線, 「京都大学環境工学研究最前線」講演会, 2018年9月27日, 京都大学東京オフィス, 東京
杉山昌広, 藤森真一郎, 和田謙一, 王嘉陽, 大城賢, 加藤悦史, 黒沢厚志, 小宮山涼一, Diego Silva Herran , 藤井康正, 松尾雄司, 日本の長期気候変動緩和策に関するマルチ・モデル分析, 環境経済・政策学会2018年大会, 2018年9月8日(土)~9月9日(日), 上智大学, 東京
【Peer Review】
Zhipin Ai, Naota Hanasaki, Vera Heck, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Global bioenergy with carbon capture and storage potential is largely constrained by sustainable irrigation, Nature Sustainability, 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00740-4]
Hideo Shiogama, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Yasuko Kameyama, Seita Emori, How many hot days and heavy precipitation days will grandchildren experience that break the records set in their grandparents’ lives? Environmental Research Communications 3, 061002, 2021. [https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ac0395]
Jun’ya Takakura, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Naota Hanasaki, Tomoko Hasegawa, Yukiko Hirabayashi, Yasushi Honda, Toshichika Iizumi, Chan Park, Makoto Tamura, Yasuaki Hijioka, Reproducing complex simulations of economic impacts of climate change with lower-cost emulators, Geosci. Model Dev. 14, 3121-3140, 2021
[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3121-2021]
Shinichiro Fujimori, Volker Krey, Detlef van Vuuren, Ken Oshiro, Masahiro Sugiyama, Puttipong Chunark, Bundit Limmeechokchai, Shivika Mittal, Osamu Nishiura, Chan Park, Salony Rajbhandari, Diego Silva Herran, Tran Thanh Tu, Shiya Zhao, Yuki Ochi, Priyardarshi R.Shukla, Toshihiko Masui, Phuong V. H. Nguyen, Anique-Marie Cabardos, Keywan Riahi, A framework for national scenarios with varying emission reductions, Nature climate change, 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01048-z]
Mathijs Harmsen, Elmar Kriegler, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Gunnar Luderer, Ryna Cui, Olivier Dessens, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Jennifer Faye Morris, Florian Fosse, Dimitris Fragkiadakis, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Panagiotis Fragkos, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, David Gernaat, Céline Guivarch, Gokul Iyer, Panagiotis Karkatsoulis, Ilkka Keppo, Kimon Keramidas, Alexandre Köberle, Peter Kolp, Volker Krey, Christoph Krüger, Florian Leblanc, Shivika Mittal, Sergey Paltsev, Pedro Rochedo, Bas J. van Ruijven, Ronald D. Sands, Fuminori Sano, Jessica Strefler, Eveline Vasquez Arroyo, Kenichi Wada, Behnam Zakeri, Integrated assessment model diagnostics: key indicators and model evolution, Environmental Research Letters 16, 054046, 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abf964]
C. Y. Park, K. Takahashi, J. Takakura, F. Li, S. Fujimori, T. Hasegawa, A. Ito, D. K. Lee, How Will Deforestation and Vegetation Degradation Affect Global Fire Activity? Earth's Future 9, e2020EF001786, 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001786]
Giacomo Grassi, Elke Stehfest, Joeri Rogelj, Detlef van Vuuren, Alessandro Cescatti, Jo House, Gert-Jan Nabuurs, Simone Rossi, Ramdane Alkama, Raúl Abad Viñas, Katherine Calvin, Guido Ceccherini, Sandro Federici, Shinichiro Fujimori, Mykola Gusti, Tomoko Hasegawa, Petr Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Anu Korosuo, Lucia Perugini, Francesco N. Tubiello, Alexander Popp, Critical adjustment of land mitigation pathways for assessing countries’ climate progress, Nature climate change, 2021
[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01033-6]
Hongbo Duan, Sheng Zhou, Kejun Jiang, Christoph Bertram, Mathijs Harmsen, Elmar Kriegler, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Shouyang Wang, Shinichiro Fujimori, Massimo Tavoni, Xi Ming, Kimon Keramidas, Gokul Iyer, James Edmonds, Assessing China’s efforts to pursue the 1.5°C warming limit, Science 372, 378, 2021. [https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aba8767]
Ken Oshiro, Shinichiro Fujimori, Yuki Ochi, Tomoki Ehara, Enabling energy system transition toward decarbonization in Japan through energy service demand reduction, Energy 227, 120464, July 2021 [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.120464]
(In Japanese)
【Non-peer review 】
松井そら、藤森真一郎、大城賢、西浦理, 交通部門の社会変革が気候変動政策へ及ぼす影響, 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.35, No.3, 124-126, 2021年7月
Shiya ZHAO, Shinichiro FUJIMORI, Ken OSHIRO, Tomoko HASEGAWA, Poverty and inequality implications of carbon pricing under the long-term climate target, Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research, Vol.35, No.3, 135-137, July 2021
佐々木克哉、藤森真一郎、大城賢、長谷川知子, 家計の消費行動変化を考慮した日本における炭素税の異なる所得階層への影響, 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.35, No.3, 141-143, 2021年7月
西浦理、藤森真一郎、大城賢, 世界およびアジアにおける炭素地下貯留技術の物理的制約を考慮した気候変更緩和策の評価, 環境衛生工学研究 Vol.35, No.3, 144-146, 2021年7月
【Presentation】
International
Internal
松井そら、藤森真一郎、大城賢、西浦理, 交通部門の社会変革が気候変動政策へ及ぼす影響, 第43回京都大学環境衛生工学研究会シンポジウム, 2021年7月30日―31日, オンライン開催
Shiya ZHAO, Shinichiro FUJIMORI, Ken OSHIRO, Tomoko HASEGAWA, Poverty and inequality implications of carbon pricing under the long-term climate target, Forty-third Symposium of Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research, July 30-31, 2021, online
佐々木克哉、藤森真一郎、大城賢、長谷川知子, 家計の消費行動変化を考慮した日本における炭素税の異なる所得階層への影響, 第43回京都大学環境衛生工学研究会シンポジウム, 2021年7月30日―31日, オンライン開催