February 2026 El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecast by the Climate Prediction Center of the US National Weather Service.
ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Advisory.
A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in February-April 2026, with ENSO-neutral likely persisting through the Northern Hemisphere summer (56% chance in June-August 2026).
Below is a chart of Pacific Ocean SST anomalies.