scopus 26031354700 orcid 0000-0003-3913-0876 researcher.id I-5058-2015
75/ (2025)
74/ M Santolaria-Otín, J García-Serrano, M Mori, S Okajima, H Nakamura, P Martineau, M Wegmann (2025): Observational evidence differentiating Siberian High variability from the Ural-Siberian pattern. Geophys. Res. Lett., (submitted).
73/ M Rodrigo, JL García-Franco, J García-Serrano, I Bladé, FM Palmeiro (2025): Mechanisms of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation impact on the tropical troposphere: insights from a model simulation with neutral ENSO conditions. J. Geophys. Res. - Atmos., (submitted).
72/ L Gil-Reyes, J García-Serrano, F Kucharski (2025): Tropical-extratropical teleconnection of the winter Atlantic Niño in a climate model. J. Clim., (submitted).
71/ FJ Jiménez-Espejo, J García-Serrano, J Camuera , R McKay, J Camacho, J Sánchez-Morales, C Jiménez de Cisneros, C Morales-Ocaña, Y Suganuma, S Kaboth-Bahr, A Bahr, A García-Alix, G Jiménez-Moreno, X Crosta, A Fernández, J Bendle, N Ohkouchi, J Abel-Flores, C Escutia (2025): Antarctic cold-water pulsing as trigger for the 4.2 ka climatic event. Comms. Earth Environ., (submitted).
70/ S Gualdi, E Rodríguez-Camino, E Rodríguez-Guisado, A Toreti, M Pasqui, C Ardilouze, W Badi, L Batté, F Driouech, K Fröhlich, J García-Serrano, S Terzago, V Torralba (2025): Climate predictions and their applications in the Mediterranean region: Part II - Climate prediction-based services. Int. J. Climatol., (submitted).
69/ S Gualdi, J García-Serrano, C Ardilouze, S Terzago, V Torralba, W Badi, L Batté, F Driouech, K Fröhlich, E Rodríguez-Camino, E Rodríguez-Guisado, M Pasqui, A Toreti (2025): Climate predictions and their applications in the Mediterranean region: Part I - Sources of predictability and prediction skill. Int. J. Climatol., (submitted).
68/ FM Palmeiro, P Hitchcock, J García-Serrano (2025): Separating multi-decadal and interannual dynamics in the North Pacific-stratospheric polar vortex relationship and their teleconnection to the North Atlantic. Geophys. Res. Lett., (submitted).
67/ M Rodrigo, J García-Serrano, I Bladé (2025): Quasi-Biennial Oscillation influence on tropical convection and El Niño variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2024GL112854.
66/ H Naoe, JL García-Franco, C-H Park, M Rodrigo, FM Palmeiro, F Serva, M Taguchi, K Yoshida, JA Anstey, J García-Serrano, S-W Son, Y Kawatani, N Butchart, K Hamilton, C-C Chen, A Glanville, T Kerzenmacher, F Lott, C Orbe, S Osprey, M Park, JH Richter, S Versick, S Watanabe (2025): QBOi El Niño-Southern Oscillation experiments: teleconnections of the QBO. Wea. Clim. Dyn., (submitted).
65/ D Elsbury, F Serva, JM Caron, S-Y Back, C Orbe, JH Richter, JA Anstey, N Butchart, C-C Chen, J García-Serrano, A Glanville, Y Kawatani, T Kerzenmacher, F Lott, H Naoe, S Osprey, FM Palmeiro, S-W Son, M Taguchi, S Versick, S Watanabe, K Yoshida (2025): QBOi El Niño-Southern Oscillation experiments: assesing relationships between ENSO, MJO, and QBO. Wea. Clim. Dyn., (submitted).
64/ Y Kawatani, K Hamilton, S Watanabe, JA Anstey, JH Richter, N Butchart, C Orbe, S Osprey, H Naoe, D Elsbury, C-C Chen, J García-Serrano, A Glanville, T Kerzenmacher, F Lott, FM Palmeiro, M Park, F Serva, M Taguchi, S Versick, K Yoshida (2025): QBOi El Niño-Southern Oscillation experiments: overview of experiment design and ENSO modulation of the QBO. Wea. Clim. Dyn., (accepted).
63/ M Santolaria-Otín, J García-Serrano (2024): Internal variability of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation longitudinal displacements. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 7:291, doi:10.1038/s41612-024-00842-8.
62/ CI Garfinkel, ZD Lawrence, AH Butler, E Dunn-Sigouin, I Statnaia, AY Karpechko, G Koren, M Abalos, B Ayarzagüena, D Barriopedro,, N Calvo, A de la Cámara, A Charlton-Perez, J Cohen, DIV Domeisen, J García-Serrano, NP Hindley, M Jucker, H Kim, RW Lee, SH Lee, M Osman, FM Palmeiro, I Polichtchouk, J Rao, JH Richter, C Schwartz, S-W Son, M Taguchi, NL Tyrrell, CJ Wright, RW-Y Wu (2024): A process-based evaluation of biases in extratroopical stratosphere-troposphere coupling in subseasonal forecast systems. Wea. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.5194/wcd-6-171-2025.
61/ F Lott, R Rani, C McLandress, A Podglagen, AC Bushell, M Bramberger, H-K Lee, J Alexander, JA Anstey, H-Y Chun, A Hertzog, N Butchart, Y-H Kim, Y Kawatani, B Legras, E Manzini, H Naoe, S Osprey, R Plougonven, H Pohlmann, JH Richter, J Scinocca, J García-Serrano, F Serva, TN Stockdale, S Versick, S Watanabe, K Yoshida (2024): Comparison between non-orographic gravity-wave parameterizations used in QBOi models and Strateole 2 constant-level balloons. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 150, 3721-3736, doi:10.1002/qj.4793.
60/ D Volpi, J García-Serrano, FM Palmeiro, L Gil-Reyes, RJ Haarsma (2024): Tropical Atlantic variability in EC-EARTH: impact of the radiative forcing. Clim. Dyn., 62, 5467-5481, doi:10.1007/s00382-024-07172-8.
59/ P Ruggieri, MA Abid, J García-Serrano, C Grancini, F Kucharski, S Pascale, D Volpi (2024): SPEEDY-NEMO: performance and applications of a fully-coupled intermediate-complexity climate model. Clim. Dyn., 62, 3763-3781, doi:10.1007/s00382-023-07097-8.
58/ FM Palmeiro, J García-Serrano, P Ruggieri, L Batté, S Gualdi (2023): On the influence of ENSO on sudden stratospheric warmings. J. Geophys. Res. - Atmos., 128, doi:10.1029/2022JD037607.
57/ B Mezzina, J García-Serrano, T Ambrizzi, D Matei, E Manzini, I Bladé (2022): Tropospheric pathways of the late-winter ENSO teleconnection to Europe. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06508-6.
56/ ZD Lawrence, M Abalos, B Ayarzagüena, D Barriopedro, AH Butler, N Calvo, A de la Cámara, A Charlton-Perez, DIV Domeisen, E Dunn-Sigouin, J García-Serrano, CI Garfinkel, NP Hindley, L Jia, M Jucker, AY Karpechko, H Kim, AL Lang, SH Lee, P Lin, M Osman, FM Palmeiro, J Perlwitz, I Polichtchouk, JH Richter, C Schwartz, S-W Son, I Statnaia, M Taguchi, NL Tyrrell, CJ Wright, RW-Y Wu (2022): Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems. Wea. Clim. Dyn., 3, 977-1001.
55/ FM Palmeiro, J García-Serrano, M Rodrigo, M Abalos, B Christiansen, S Yang (2022): Boreal winter stratospheric climatology in EC-EARTH: CMIP6 version. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06368-0.
54/ JC Acosta Navarro, J García-Serrano, V Lapin, P Ortega (2022): Added value of assimilating springtime Arctic sea ice concentration in summer-fall climate predictions. Environ. Res. Lett., doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac6c9b.
53/ DM Smith, R Eade, M Andrews, H Ayres, A Clark, S Chripko, C Deser, NJ Dunstone, J García-Serrano, G Gastineau, LS Graff, SC Hardiman, B He, L Hermanson, T Jung, J Knight, X Levine, G Magnusdottir, E Manzini, D Matei, M Mori, R Msadek, P Ortega, Y Peings, AA Scaife, JA Screen, M Seabrook, T Semmler, M Sigmond, J Streffing, L Sun, A Walsh (2022): Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss. Nature Comms., 13:727, doi:10.1038/s41467-022-28283-y.
52/ RI Saurral, WJ Merryfield, MA Tolstykh, W-S Lee, FJ Doblas-Reyes, J García-Serrano, F Massonnet, GA Meehl, H Teng (2021): A dataset for intercomparing the transient behavior of dynamical model-based subseasonal to decadal climate predictions. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., doi:10.1029/2021MS002570.
51/ B Mezzina, FM Palmeiro, J García-Serrano, I Bladé, L Batté, M Benassi (2021b): Multi-model assessment of the late-winter stratospheric response to El Niño and La Niña. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05836-3.
50/ B Mezzina, J García-Serrano, I Bladé, FM Palmeiro, L Batté, C Ardilouze, M Benassi, S Gualdi (2021a): Multi-model assessment of the late-winter extra-tropical response to El Niño and La Niña. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05415-y.
49/ C Prodhomme, S Materia, C Ardilouze, RH White, L Batté, V Guemas, G Fragkoulidis, J García-Serrano (2021): Seasonal prediction of European summer heatwaves. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05828-3.
48/ A Portal, P Ruggieri, FM Palmeiro, J García-Serrano, DIV Domeisen, S Gualdi (2021): Seasonal prediction of the boreal winter stratosphere. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05787-9.
47/ M Benassi, G Conti, S Gualdi, P Ruggieri, S Materia, J García-Serrano, FM Palmeiro, L Batté, C Ardilouze (2021): El Niño teleconnection to the Euro-Mediterranean late winter: the role of extratropical Pacific modulation. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05768-y.
46/ A Bellucci, PJ Athanasiadis, E Scoccimarro, P Ruggieri, S Gualdi, G Fedale, RJ Haarsma, J García-Serrano, M Castrillo, D Putrahasan, E Sanchez-Gomez, M-P Moine, CD Roberts, MJ Roberts, J Seddon, PL Vidale (2020): Air-sea interaction over the Gulf Stream in an ensemble of HighResMIP present climate simulations. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05573-z.
45/ TN Stockdale, Y-H Kim, JA Anstey, FM Palmeiro, N Butchart, AA Scaife, M Andrews, AC Bushell, M Dobrynin, J García-Serrano, K Hamilton, Y Kawatani, F Lott, C McLandress, H Naoe, S Osprey, H Pohlmann, J Scinocca, S Watanabe, K Yoshida, S Yukimoto (2020): Prediction of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation with a multi-model ensemble of QBO-resolving models. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., doi:10.1002/qj.3919.
44/ M Santolaria-Otín, J García-Serrano, M Ménégoz, J Bech (2020): On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter NAO. Environ. Res. Lett., doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abad57.
43/ RJ Haarsma, M Acosta, R Bakhshi, P-A Bretonnière, L-P Caron, M Castrillo, S Corti, P Davini, E Exarchou, F Fabiano, U Fladrich, R Fuentes, J García-Serrano, J von Hardenberg, T Koenigk, X Levine, V Meccia, T van Noije, G van den Oord, FM Palmeiro, M Rodrigo, Y Ruprich-Robert, P Le Sager, E Tourigny, S Wang, M van Weele, K Wyser (2020): HighResMIP versions of EC-Earth: EC-Earth3P and EC-Earth3P-HR - description, model computational performance and basic validation. Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 3507-3527.
42/ RI Saurral, J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes, LB Díaz, CS Vera (2020): Decadal predictability and prediction skill of sea surface temperature in the South Pacific region. Clim. Dyn., 54, 3945-3958, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05208-3.
41/ FM Palmeiro, J García-Serrano, O Bellprat, P-A Bretonnière, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2020): Boreal winter stratospheric variability in EC-EARTH: High-Top vs Low-Top. Clim. Dyn., 54, 3135-3150, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05162-0.
40/ B Mezzina, J García-Serrano, I Bladé, F Kucharski (2020): Dynamics of the ENSO teleconnection and NAO variability in the North Atlantic-European late winter. J. Clim., 33, 907-923, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0192.1.
39/ RJ Haarsma, J García-Serrano, C Prodhomme, O Bellprat, P Davini, S Drijfhout (2019): Sensitivity of winter North Atlantic-European climate to resolved atmosphere and ocean dynamics. Sci. Rep., 9, 13358, doi:10.1038/s41598-019-49865-9.
38/ C Prodhomme, A Voldoire, E Exarchou, A-L Deppenmeier, J García-Serrano, V Guemas (2019): How does the seasonal cycle control Equatorial Atlantic interannual variability?. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46(2), 916-922, doi:10.1029/2018GL080837.
37/ JC Acosta Navarro, P Ortega, J García-Serrano, V Guemas, E Tourigny, R Cruz-García, F Massonnet, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2019): December 2016: linking the lowest Arctic sea-ice extent on record with the lowest European precipitation event on record. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100(1), S43-S48, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0097.1.
36/ DM Smith, JA Screen, C Deser, J Cohen, JC Fyfe, J García-Serrano, T Jung, V Kattsov, D Matei, R Msadek, Y Peings, M Sigmond, J Ukita, J-H Yoon, X Zhang (2019): The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification. Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 1139-1164.
35/ N Butchart, JA Anstey, K Hamilton, S Osprey, C McLandress, AC Bushell, Y Kawatani, Y-H Kim, F Lott, J Scinocca, T Stockdale, O Bellprat, P Braesicke, C Cagnazzo, C-C Chen, H-Y Chun, M Dobrynin, RR Garcia, J García-Serrano, LJ Gray, L Holt, T Kerzenmacher, H Naoe, H Pohlmann, JH Richter, AA Scaife, V Schenzinger, F Serva, S Versick, S Watanabe, K Yoshida, S Yukimoto (2018): Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi). Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 1009-1032.
34/ MP King, I Herceg-Bulić, I Bladé, J García-Serrano, N Keenlyside, F Kucharski, C Li, S Sobolowski (2018): Importance of late-fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro-Atlantic sector. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 1337-1343.
33/ N Manubens, L-P Caron, A Hunter, O Bellprat, E Exarchou, NS Fuckar, J García-Serrano, F Massonnet, M Ménégoz, V Sicardi, L Batté, C Prodhomme, V Torralba, N Cortesi, O Mula-Valls, K Serradell, V Guemas, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2017): S2Dverification: an R package for climate forecast verification. Environ. Model. Softw., doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.01.018.
32/ J García-Serrano, C Cassou, H Douville, A Giannini, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2017): Revisiting the ENSO teleconnection to the tropical North Atlantic. J. Clim., 30, 6945-6957.
31/ G Gastineau, J García-Serrano, C Frankignoul (2017): The influence of autumnal Eurasian snow cover on climate and its link to Arctic sea ice. J. Clim., 30, 7599-7619.
30/ RI Saurral, FJ Doblas-Reyes, J García-Serrano (2017): Observed modes of sea surface temperature variability in the South Pacific region. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3666-1.
29/ J García-Serrano, C Frankignoul, MP King, A Arribas, Y Gao, V Guemas, D Matei, R Msadek, W Park, E Sanchez-Gomez (2016): Multi-model assessment of linkages between eastern Arctic sea-ice variabilty and the Euro-Atlantic atmospheric circulation in current climate. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3454-3.
28/ NS Fuckar, F Massonnet, V Guemas, J García-Serrano, O Bellprat, FJ Doblas-Reyes, M Acosta (2016): Record low Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent in March 2015. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, S136-S140, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0153.2.
27/ O Bellprat, F Massonnet, J García-Serrano, NS Fuckar, V Guemas, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2016): The role of Arctic sea ice and sea surface temperatures on the cold 2015 February over North America. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, S36-S41, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0159.2.
26/ J García-Serrano, RJ Haarsma (2016): Non-annular, hemispheric signature of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3292-3.
25/ MP King, J García-Serrano (2016): Potential ocean-atmosphere preconditioning of late autumn Barents-Kara sea ice concentration anomaly. Tellus A, 68, 28580.
24/ J García-Serrano, C Frankignoul (2015): On the feedback of the winter NAO-driven sea ice anomalies. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2922-5.
23/ J Mignot, J García-Serrano, D Swingedouw, A Germe, S Nguyen, P Ortega, E Guilyardi, S Ray (2015): Decadal prediction skill in the ocean with surface nudging in the IPSL-CM5A-LR climate model. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2898-1.
22/ J García-Serrano, C Frankignoul, G Gastineau, A de la Cámara (2015): On the predictability of the winter Euro-Atlantic climate: lagged influence of autumn Arctic sea ice. J. Clim., 28, 5195-5216.
21/ B Rodríguez-Fonseca, E Mohino, CR Mechoso, C Caminade, M Biasutti, M Gaetani, J García-Serrano, EK Vizy, K Cook, Y Xue, I Polo, T Losada, L Druyan, B Fontaine, J Bader, FJ Doblas-Reyes, L Goddard, S Janicot, A Arribas, W Lau, A Colman, M Vellinga, DP Rowell, F Kucharski, A Voldoire (2015): Variability and predictability of West African droughts: a review on the role of sea surface temperature anomalies. J. Clim., 28, 4034-4060.
20/ J García-Serrano, V Guemas, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2014): Added-value from initialization in predictions of Atlantic multi-decadal variability. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2370-7.
19/ LRL Rodrigues, J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2014): Seasonal forecast quality of the West African monsoon rainfall regimes by multiple forecast systems. J. Geophys. Res. - Atmos., 119, 7908-7930.
18/ V Guemas, J García-Serrano, A Mariotti, FJ Doblas-Reyes, L-P Caron (2014): Prospects for decadal climate prediction in the Mediterranean region. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., doi:10.1002/qj.2379.
17/ FJ Doblas-Reyes, I Andreu-Burillo, Y Chikamoto, J García-Serrano, V Guemas, M Kimoto, T Mochizuki, LRL Rodrigues, GJ van Oldenborgh (2013): Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction. Nature Comms., 4:1715, doi:10.1038/ncomms2704.
16/ J García-Serrano, I Polo, B Rodríguez-Fonseca, T Losada (2013): Large-scale atmospheric response to eastern Mediterranean summer-autumn SST anomalies and the associated regional impact. Clim. Dyn., 41, 2251-2265.
15/ J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes, RJ Haarsma, I Polo (2013): Decadal prediction of the dominant West African monsoon rainfall modes. J. Geophys. Res. - Atmos., 118, 5260-5279.
14/ D Volpi, FJ Doblas-Reyes, J García-Serrano, V Guemas (2013): Dependence of the climate prediction skill on spatio-temporal scales: internal versus radiatively-forced contribution. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 3213-3219.
13/ FJ Doblas-Reyes, J García-Serrano, F Lienert, A Pintó-Biescas, LRL Rodrigues (2013): Seasonal climate predictability and forecasting: status and prospects. WIREs Clim. Change - Advanced Review, 4, 245-268.
12/ X Rodó, M Pascual, FJ Doblas-Reyes, A Gershunov, DA Stone, F Giorgi, PJ Hudson, J Kinter, MA Rodríguez-Arias, NC Stenseth, D Alonso, J García-Serrano, AP Dobson (2013): Climate change and infectious diseases: can we meet the needs for better prediction?. Clim. Change, 118, 625-640.
11/ V Guemas, S Corti, J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes, M Balmaseda, L Magnusson (2013): The Indian Ocean: the region of highest skill worldwide in decadal climate prediction. J. Clim., 26, 726-739.
10/ J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes, CAS Coelho (2012): Understanding Atlantic multi-decadal variability prediction skill. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L18708, doi:10.1029/2012GL053283.
09/ J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2012): On the assessment of near-surface global temperature and North Atlantic multi-decadal variability in the ENSEMBLES decadal hindcast. Clim. Dyn., 39, 2025-2040.
08/ H Du, FJ Doblas-Reyes, J García-Serrano, V Guemas, Y Soufflet, B Wouters (2012): Sensitivity of decadal predictions to the initial atmospheric and oceanic perturbations. Clim. Dyn., 39, 2013-2023.
07/ J García-Serrano, B Rodríguez- Fonseca, I Bladé, P Zurita-Gotor, A de la Cámara (2011): Rotational atmospheric circulation during North Atlantic-European winter: the influence of ENSO. Clim. Dyn., 37, 1727-1743.
06/ J García-Serrano, T Losada, B Rodríguez-Fonseca (2011): Extratropical atmospheric response to the Atlantic Niño decaying phase. J. Clim., 24, 1613-1625.
05/ B Rodríguez-Fonseca, S Janicot, E Mohino, T Losada, J Bader, C Caminade, F Chauvin, B Fontaine, J García-Serrano, S Gervois, M Joly, I Polo, P Ruti, P Roucou, A Voldoire (2011): Interannual and decadal SST-forced responses of the West African monsoon. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 12, 67-74.
04/ B Fontaine, J García-Serrano, P Roucou, B Rodríguez-Fonseca, T Losada, F Chauvin, S Gervois, S Sijikumar, P Ruti, S Janicot (2010): Impacts of warm and cold situations in the Mediterranean basins on the West African monsoon: observed connection patterns (1979-2006) and climate simulations. Clim. Dyn., 35, 95-114.
03/ B Rodríguez-Fonseca, I Polo, J García-Serrano, T Losada, E Mohino, CR Mechoso, F Kucharski (2009): Are Atlantic Niños enhancing Pacific ENSO events in recent decades?. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L20705, doi:10.1029/2009GL040048.
02/ J García-Serrano, T Losada, B Rodríguez-Fonseca, I Polo (2008): Tropical Atlantic Variability modes (1979-2002). Part II: time-evolving atmospheric circulation related to SST-forced tropical convection. J. Clim., 21, 6476-6497.
01/ I Polo, B Rodríguez-Fonseca, T Losada, J García-Serrano (2008): Tropical Atlantic Variability modes (1979-2002). Part I: time-evolving SST modes related to West African rainfall. J. Clim., 21, 6457-6475.