Peer Reviewed Journal Articles

AlMutairi, B.S., Small, M.J. and Grossmann, I. 2023. Utilization of El Niño–Southern Oscillation projected by climate models in improvement of seasonal precipitation predictability. International Journal of Climatology. In Press. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8099

Wang, J., W. Xiong, J.B. Gardiner, B.C. McAdams, B.W. Stewart, R.B. Thomas e , J. Alexandra Hakala  b , C.L. Lopano, M.J. Small. 2023. A geochemically informed leak detection (GILD) model for CO 2 injection sites, Applied Geochemistry, In Press, Journal Pre-proof. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0883292723001361

He, R. and Small, M.J., 2022. Forecast of the US Copper Demand: A Framework Based on Scenario Analysis and Stock Dynamics. Environmental Science & Technology, 56(4), pp.2709-2717.


Rampton, D. and M. Small, 2022, Evaluating an unconventional shale completion with repeat crosswell tomography, First Break, vol. 40, issue 1, p. 67–73.


He, R., Sandoval-Reyes, M., Scott, I., Semeano, R., Ferrao, P., Matthews, S. and Small, M.J., 2022. Global knowledge base for municipal solid waste management: Framework development and application in waste generation prediction. Journal of Cleaner Production, 377, p.134501.


Vijayashanthar, V., Small, M.J. and VanBriesen, J.M., 2022. Assessment of lead in drinking water from multiple drinking water sampling programs for a midsize city. Environmental Science & Technology. 57(1), 842–851.

Cotterman, T., Small, MJ., Wilson, S., Abdulla, A.,Wong-Parodi, G. 2021. Applying risk tolerance and socio-technical dynamics for more realistic energy transition pathways. Applied Energy, 291, 116751.

Wong‐Parodi, G. and Small, M.J., 2021. A decision‐centered method to evaluate natural hazards decision aids by interdisciplinary research teams. Risk Analysis, 41(7), pp.1118-1128.

Wells, E.M., Small, M.J., Spurlock, C.A. and Wong-Parodi, G., 2021. Factors associated with emerging multimodal transportation behavior in the San Francisco Bay Area. Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability, 1(3), p.031004.

Izar-Tenorio, J., Jaramillo, P., Griffin, W.M. and Small, M., 2020. Impacts of projected climate change scenarios on heating and cooling demand for industrial broiler chicken farming in the Eastern US. Journal of Cleaner Production, 255, p.120306.

Necefer, L., Wong-Parodi, G. and Small, M.J., 2020. Governing energy in conflicted resource contexts: Culture, cost, and carbon in the decision-making criteria of the Navajo Nation. Energy Research & Social Science, 70, p.101714.

Schwetschenau, S.E., Small, M.J. and VanBriesen, J.M., 2020. Using compliance data to understand uncertainty in drinking water lead levels in Southwestern Pennsylvania. Environmental Science & Technology, 54(14), pp.8857-8867.

Gardiner, J., Thomas, R.B., Phan, T.T., Stuckman, M., Wang, J., Small, M., Lopano, C. and Hakala, J.A., 2020. Utilization of produced water baseline as a groundwater monitoring tool at a CO 2 -EOR site in the Permian Basin, Texas, USA. Applied Geochemistry, 121, p.104688.

AlMutairi, B.S., I. Grossmann and M.J. Small. 2019. Climate model projections for future seasonal rainfall cycle statistics in Northwest Costa Rica. International Journal of Climatology, 39 (6), 2933-2946

Song, J.W., Schultz, M.T., Casman, E.A., Bockrath, K.D., Mize, E., Monroe, E.M., Tuttle‐Lau, M. and Small, M.J., 2019. A probabilistic model for designing and assessing the performance of eDNA sampling protocols. Molecular ecology resources.

Small, M.J., Wong-Parodi, G., Kefford, B.M., Stringer, M., Schmeda-Lopez, D.R., Greig, C., Ballinger, B., Wilson, S. and Smart, S., 2019. Generating linked technology-socioeconomic scenarios for emerging energy transitions. Applied energy, 239, pp.1402-1423.

Orak, N.H., Small, M.J. and Druzdzel, M.J., 2019. Bayesian network-based framework for exposure-response study design and interpretation. Environmental Health, 18(1), p.23.

Sun, X., Ng, C.A. and Small, M.J., 2018. Modeling the impact of biota on polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) fate and transport in Lake Ontario using a population-based multi-compartment fugacity approach. Environmental Pollution, 241, pp.720-729.

Yang,Y-M., R.M. Dilmore , G.S. Bromhal and M.J. Small. 2018. Toward an adaptive monitoring design for leakage risk – Closing the loop of monitoring and modeling. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control. 76: 125-141.

Necefer, L., G. Wong-Parodi, M.J. Small and S. Begay-Campbell. 2018. Integrating technical, economic and cultural impacts in a decision support tool for energy resource management in the Navajo Nation. Energy Strategy Reviews, 22, pp.136-146.

Small, M.J. and S. Xian. 2018. A human-environmental network model for assessing coastal mitigation decisions informed by imperfect climate studies. Global Environmental Change, 53, pp.137-145.

Peng, W., F.Wagner, M.V. Ramana, H. Zhai, M.J. Small, C. Dalin, X. Zhang and D.L. Mauzerall. 2018. Managing China’s coal power plants to address multiple environmental objectives. Nature Sustainability, 1: 693–701.

Namhata, A., Small, M. J., Dilmore, R.M., Nakles, D.V. and King, Seth K. 2017. Bayesian inference for heterogeneous caprock permeability based on above zone pressure monitoring. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 57: 89–101.

Welle PD, Small MJ, Doney SC, Azevedo IL. 2017. Estimating the effect of multiple environmental stressors on coral bleaching and mortality. PLoS ONE 12(5): e0175018.

Shao, W, S Xian, N Lin, MJ. Small. 2017. A sequential model to link contextual risk, perception and public support for flood adaptation policy, Water Research, 122, 216-225.

Yang,Y-M., R. Dilmore , K. Mansoor , S. Carroll, G. Bromhal, M. Small. 2017. Risk-based monitoring network design for geologic carbon storage sites. Energy Procedia, 114: 4345–4356.

Hanus, N., Wong-Parodi, G., Small, M.J. and Grossmann, I. 2017. The role of psychology and social influences in energy efficiency adoption. Energy Efficiency. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12053-017-9568-6

Song, J.W., M.J. Small, and E.A. Casman. 2017. Making sense of the noise: The effect of hydrology on silver carp eDNA detection in the Chicago area waterway system, Science of the Total Environment. 605: 713-720

Ashoori, N., D.A. Dzombak and M.J. Small. 2017. Identifying water price and population criteria for meeting future urban water demand targets. Journal of Hydrology. 555: 547-556.

Orak, N.H. and Small, M.J., 2017. Implications of a statistical occurrence model for mixture toxicity estimation. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: An International Journal, 23(3), pp.534-549.

Wang, Z., & Small, M. J. (2016). Statistical performance of CO2 leakage detection using seismic travel time measurements. Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 6(1): 55-69.

Wang, P., Small, M.J., Harbert, W. and Pozzi, M., 2016. A Bayesian approach for assessing seismic transitions associated with wastewater injections. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 106(3), pp.832-845.

Babcock, M., Wong-Parodi, G., Small, M.J. and Grossmann, I., 2016. Stakeholder perceptions of water systems and hydro-climate information in Guanacaste, Costa Rica. Earth Perspectives, 3(1), pp.1-13.

Bergman L.E., Wilson J.M., Small M.J., and VanBriesen J.M. 2016. Application of classification trees for predicting disinfection by-product formation targets from source water characteristics. Environmental Engineering Science, 33(7): 455-470. doi:10.1089/ees.2016.0044.

Krause, J., Small, M.J., Haas, A. and Jaeger, C.C. 2016. An expert-based Bayesian assessment of 2030 German new vehicle CO2 emissions and related costs. Transport Policy, 52: 197-208.

Wang, Y., Small, M.J. and VanBriesen, J.M., 2016. Assessing the risk associated with increasing bromide in drinking water sources in the Monongahela River, Pennsylvania. Journal of Environmental Engineering, 143(3), p.04016089.

Ashoori, N., Dzombak, D.A. and Small, M.J., 2016. Modeling the effects of conservation, demographics, price, and climate on urban water demand in Los Angeles, California. Water Resources Management, 30(14): 5247-5262.

Cheng, H., M.J. Small, and N.J. Pekney, N. J. 2015. Application of nonparametric regression and statistical testing to identify the impact of oil and natural gas development on local air quality. Atmospheric Environment. 119: 381-392.

Necefer, L., G. Wong-Parodi, P. Jaramillo and M.J. Small. 2015. Energy development and Native Americans: Values and beliefs about energy from the Navajo Nation. Energy Research & Social Science, 7, 1-11.

Louie, S. M., Spielman-Sun, E. R., Small, M. J., Tilton, R. D., & Lowry, G. V. (2015). Correlation of the physicochemical properties of natural organic matter samples from different sources to their effects on gold nanoparticle aggregation in monovalent electrolyte. Environmental Science & Technology,49(4), 2188-2198.

Hughes, A. S., VanBriesen, J. M., & Small, M. J. (2015). Impacts of PCB analytical interpretation uncertainties on dechlorination assessment and remedial decisions. Chemosphere, 133, 61-67.

Wang, B. H., Small, M. J., & Dzombak, D. A. (2015). Improved efficiency reduces US industrial water withdrawals, 2005–2010. Environmental Science & Technology Letters, 2(4), 79-83.

Azzolina, N. A., Small, M. J., Nakles, D. V., Glazewski, K. A., Peck, W. D., Gorecki, C. D., ... & Dilmore, R. M. (2015). Quantifying the benefit of wellbore leakage potential estimates for prioritizing long-term MVA well sampling at a CO 2 storage site. Environmental Science & Technology,49(2), 1215-1224.

Ashoori, N., Dzombak, D. A., & Small, M. J. (2015). Sustainability review of water-supply options in the Los Angeles region. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, A4015005.

Wang, P., Pozzi, M., Small, M. J., & Harbert, W. (2015). Statistical method for early detection of changes in seismic rate associated with wastewater injections. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 105 (6): 2852-2862.

Stern, P. C., Webler, T., and Small, M. J. 2014. Special issue: Understanding the risks of unconventional shale gas development. Environmental Science & Technology, 48(15), 8287-8288.

Small, M. J., Stern, P. C., Bomberg, E., Christopherson, S. M., Goldstein, B. D., Israel, A. L., … & Zielinska, B. 2014. Risks and risk governance in unconventional shale gas development. Environmental Science & Technology, 48(15), 8289-8297.

Small, M. J., Güvenç, Ü., & DeKay, M. L. 2014. When can scientific studies promote consensus among conflicting stakeholders?. Risk Analysis. DOI: 10.1111/risa.1223.

Namhata, A., Small, M. J. and Karamalidis, A. K. 2014. Multi-model weighted predictions for CH4 and H2S solubilities in freshwater and saline formation waters relevant to unconventional oil and gas extraction. International Journal of Coal Geology, 131: 177-185.

Zhang, L., R.B. Theregowda and M.J. Small, M.J. 2014. Statistical model for scaling and corrosion potentials of cooling-system source waters. Environmental Engineering Science, 31(10): 570-581.

Wang, Z. and M.J. Small. 2014. A Bayesian approach to CO2 leakage detection at saline sequestration sites using pressure measurements. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 30: 188-196.

Popova, O.H., M.J. Small, S.T. McCoy, A.C. Thomas, B. Karimi, A. Goodman and K.M. Carter 2012. Comparative analysis of carbon dioxide storage resource assessment methodologies. Environmental Geosciences, 9(3): 105-124.

Shao, K. and M.J. Small. 2012. A statistical evaluation of toxicological experiment design for the Bayesian model averaged benchmark dose estimation with dichotomous data. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 18: 1096-1119.

Louie, S.M., P. T. Phenrat, M. J. Small, R.D. Tilton, and G.V. Lowry. 2012. Parameter identifiability in application of soft particle electrokinetic theory to determine polymer and polyelectrolyte coating thicknesses on colloids. Langmuir, 28: 10334−10347.

Weimer, J., B.H. Krogh, M.J. Small and B. Sinopoli. 2012. An approach to leak detection using wireless sensor networks at carbon sequestration sites. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 9: 243-253.

Yang, Y-M., M.J. Small, E.O. Ogretim, D.O. Gray, Donald; A.W. Wells, B.R. Strazisar and G.S. Bromhal. 2012. A Bayesian Belief Network for combining evidence from multiple CO2 leak detection technologies. Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 2(3): 185-199.

Peterson, J. and M.J. Small. 2012. Methodology for benefit-cost analysis of seismic codes. Natural Hazards, 63(2): 1039-1053.

Rose, S., P. Jaramillo, M.J. Small, I. Grossmann and J. Apt. 2012. Quantifying the hurricane risk to offshore wind turbines. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), 109(9): 3247-3252.

Characklis, G.W., P. Adriaens, J.B. Braden, J. Davis, B. Hamilton, J.B. Hughes, M.J. Small, J. Wolfe. 2011. Increasing the role of economics in environmental research (or moving beyond the mindset that economics = accounting). Environmental Science & Technology, 45: 6235–6236.

Bakshi, B. and M.J. Small. 2011. Incorporating ecosystem services into life cycle assessment. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 15: 477–478.

Tokdar, S., I. Grossmann, J. Kadane, A. Charest and M. Small. 2011. Impact of beliefs about Atlantic tropical cyclone detection on conclusions about trends in tropical cyclone numbers. Bayesian Analysis, 6(4): 547 – 572.

Yang Y-M., M.J. Small, E.O., Ogretim, D.O. Gray, G.S. Bromhal, B.R. Strazisar, A.W. Wells. 2011. Probabilistic design of a near-surface CO2 leak detection system. Environmental Science & Technology, 45(15): 6380–6387.

Goodman A., A. Hakala, G. Bromhal, D. Deel, T. Rodosta, S. Frailey, M. Small, D. Allen, V. Romanov, J. Fazio, N. Huerta, D. McIntyre, B. Kutchko, G. Guthrie. 2011. U.S. DOE methodology for development of geologic storage potential for carbon dioxide at the national and regional scale. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 5(4): 952-965.

Shao, K. and M.J. Small. 2011. Potential uncertainty reduction in model-averaged benchmark dose estimates informed by an additional dose study. Risk Analysis, 31(10): 1561- 1575.

Yang, Y-M., M.J. Small, B. Junker, G.S. Bromhal, B. Strazisar, A. Wells. 2011. Bayesian hierarchical models for soil CO2 flux and leak detection at geologic sequestration sites. Environmental Earth Sciences, 64(3): 787-798.

Logue, J.M., M.J. Small and A.L. Robinson. 2011. Evaluating the national air toxics assessment (NATA): Comparison of predicted and measured air toxics concentrations, risks, and sources in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Atmospheric Environment, 45: 476-484.

Choi, T., M. J. Schervish, K. A. Schmitt and M. J. Small. 2010. Bayesian hierarchical analysis for multiple health endpoints in a toxicity study. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 15(3): 290-307.

Xu, J., M. Small, P. Fischbeck and J. VanBriesen. 2010. Integrating location models with Bayesian analysis to inform decision making. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 136(2): 209-216.

Jolliet, O., M.J. Small. 2010. Integrated environmental assessment, Part IV: Human health risk assessment. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 14(2): 188-191.

Rehr, A.P., M.J. Small, H.S. Matthews and C.T. Hendrickson. 2010. Economic sources and spatial distribution of airborne chromium risks in the U.S. Environmental Science & Technology, 44(6): 2131–2137.

Hughes, A., J.M. VanBriesen and M.J. Small. 2010. Identification of structural properties associated with polychlorinated biphenyl dechlorination processes. Environmental Science & Technology, 4(8): 2842–2848.

Logue, J.M., M.J. Small, D. Stern, J. Maranche and A.L. Robinson. 2010. Spatial variation in ambient air toxics concentrations and health risks between industrial-influenced, urban, and rural sites. Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association, 60(3): 271-286.

Schoen, M.E., M.J. Small and J.M. VanBriesen. 2010. Bayesian model for flow-class dependent distribution of fecal-indicator bacterial concentrations in surface waters. Water Research, 44(3): 1006-1016.

Francis, R.A., J.M. VanBriesen and M.J. Small. 2010. Bayesian statistical modeling of disinfection byproduct (DBP) bromine incorporation in the Information Collection Rule (ICR) database. Environmental Science and Technology, 44(4): 1232–1239.

Logue, J.M.., M.J. Small and A.L. Robinson. 2009. Identifying priority pollutant sources: Apportioning air toxics risks using positive matrix factorization. Environmental Science & Technology, 43(24): 9439-9444.

Xu, J., M.P. Johnson, P.S. Fischbeck, M.J. Small and J.M. VanBriesen. 2009. Robust placement of sensors in dynamic water distribution systems. European Journal of Operational Research, 202(2010): 707-716.

Francis, R.A., M.J. Small and J.M. VanBriesen. 2009. Multivariate distributions of disinfection by-products in chlorinated drinking water. Water Research, 43(14): 3453-3468.

Attari, S., M. Schoen, C. Davidson, M.L. DeKay, W. Bruine de Bruin, R. Dawes, and M. Small. 2009. Preferences for change: Do individuals prefer voluntary actions, soft regulations, or hard regulations to decrease fossil fuel consumption? Ecological Economics, 68: 1701-1710.

Green, S.T., M.J. Small and E.A. Casman. 2009. Determinants of national diarrheal disease burden. Environmental Science & Technology, 43(4): 993–999.

MacDonald, J., M.J. Small and M.G. Morgan. 2009. Quantifying the risks of unexploded ordnance at closed military bases. Environmental Science & Technology, 43(2): 259-265.

MacDonald, J. and M.J. Small. 2009. Statistical analysis of metallic anomaly patterns at former Air Force bombing ranges. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 23(2): 203-214.

Ostfeld, A., J.G. Uber, E. Salomons, J.W. Berry, W.E. Hart, C.A. Phillips, J-P. Watson, G. Dorini, P. Jonkergouw, Z. Kapelan, F. di Pierro, S-T. Khu, D. Savic, D. Eliades, M. Polycarpou, S.R. Ghimire, B.D. Barkdoll, R. Gueli; J.J. Huang, E.A. McBean, W. James; A. Krause, J. Leskovec, S. Isovitsch, J. Xu, C. Guestrin, J. VanBriesen, M. Small, P. Fischbeck, A. Preis, M. Propato, O. Piller, G.B. Trachtman, Z.Y. Wu and T. Walski. 2008. The Battle of the Water Sensor Networks (BWSN): A design challenge for engineers and algorithms. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 134(6): 556-568.

Small, M.J. 2008. Methods for assessing uncertainty in fundamental assumptions and associated models for cancer risk assessment. Risk Analysis, 28(5): 1289-1307.

MacDonald, J., M.J. Small and M.G. Morgan. 2008. Explosion probability of unexploded ordnance: Expert beliefs. Risk Analysis, 28(4): 825-841.

Brusick, D., M.J. Small, E.L. Cavalieri, D. Chakravarti, X. Ding, D.G. Longfellow, J. Nakamura, E.C. Rogan and J.A. Swenberg. 2008. Possible genotoxic modes of action for naphthalene. Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology, 51(2), Supplement 1(Naphthalene State of Science Symposium): 43-50.

Choi, T., M. J. Schervish, K. A. Schmitt and M. J. Small. 2008. A Bayesian approach to a logistic regression model with incomplete information. Biometrics, 64(2): 424-430.

Ryker, S.J. and M.J. Small. 2008. Combining occurrence and toxicity information to identify priorities for drinking-water mixture research. Risk Analysis, 28(3): 653-666.

Xu, J., P.S. Fischbeck, M.J. Small, J.M. VanBriesen and E. Casman. 2008. Identifying sets of key nodes for placing sensors in dynamic water distribution networks. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 134(4): 378-385.

Gilau, A.M. and M.J. Small. 2008. Designing cost-effective seawater reverse osmosis under optimal energy options. Renewable Energy. 33(4): 617-630.

Gilau, A.M., R. Van Buskirk and M.J. Small. 2007. Enabling optimal energy options under the Clean Development Mechanism. Energy Policy, 35(11): 5526-5534.

Higgins, C.J., H.S. Matthews, C.T. Hendrickson and M.J. Small. 2007. Lead demand of future vehicle technologies. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 12(2): 103-114.

Boccelli, D., M.J. Small and U. Diwekar. 2007. Drinking water treatment plant design incorporating variability and uncertainty. Journal of Environmental Engineering, 133(3): 303-312.

Karcher, S.C., J.M. VanBriesen and M.J. Small. 2007. Numerical method to elucidate likely target positions of chlorine removal in anaerobic sediments undergoing polychlorinated biphenyl dechlorination. Journal of Environmental Engineering. 133(3): 278-286.

McKone, T.E. and M.J. Small. 2007. Integrated environmental assessment, Part III: Exposure assessment. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 11(1): 4-7.

Farrow, R.S., C.B. Goldburg and M.J. Small. 2000. Economic valuation and the environment: A special issue. Environmental Science & Technology, 34(8): 1381-1383.

Fischhoff, B. and M.J. Small. 2000. Human behavior in industrial ecology modeling. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 3(2&3): 4-7. Invited column on Systems Modeling and the Environment.

Casman, E.A., B. Fischhoff, C. Palmgren, M.J. Small and F. Wu. 2000. An integrated risk model of a drinking-water-borne cryptosporidiosis outbreak. Risk Analysis, 20(4): 495-511.

Sohn, M.D., M.J. Small and M. Pantazidou. 2000. Reducing uncertainty in groundwater site characterization using Bayes Monte Carlo methods. Journal of Environmental Engineering, 126(10): 893-902.

Riley, D.M., M.J. Small and B. Fischhoff. 2000. Modeling methylene chloride exposure-reduction options for home paint-stripper users. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 10 (3): 240-250.

Sohn, M.D. and M.J. Small. 1999. Parameter estimation of unknown air exchange rates and effective mixing volumes from tracer gas measurements for complex multi-zone indoor air models. Building and Environment, 34: 293-303.

Small, M.J. and P.S. Fischbeck. 1999. False precision in Bayesian updating with incomplete models. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 5(2): 291-304.

Stiber, N.A., M. Pantazidou and M.J. Small. 1999. Expert system methodology for evaluating reductive dechlorination at TCE sites. Environmental Science & Technology, 33(17): 3012-3020.

Amekudzi, A., P. Fischbeck, J. Garrett, Jr., H. Koutsopoulos, S. McNeil and M. Small. 1998. Computer tools to facilitate brownfield development. Public Works Management & Policy, 2(3): 231-242.

Gross, L.J. and Small, M.J. 1998. River and floodplain process simulation for subsurface characterization. Water Resources Research, 34(9): 2365-2376.

Sinha, R., M.J. Small, P.F. Ryan, T.J. Sullivan and B.J. Cosby. 1998. Reduced-form modelling of surface water and soil chemistry for the tracking and analysis framework. Water, Air and Soil Pollution, 105: 617-642.

Stiber, N.A., M.J. Small and P.S. Fischbeck. 1998. The relationship between historic industrial site use and environmental contamination. J. Air & Waste Management Association, 48: 809-818.

Fischhoff, B., D. Riley, D.C. Kovacs and M. Small. 1998. What information belongs in a warning? Psychology and Marketing, 15(7): 663-686.

Diwekar, U. and M.J. Small. 1998. Industrial ecology and process optimization. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2(3), 11-13. Invited column on Systems Modeling and the Environment.

Kovacs, D.C., M.J. Small, C.I. Davidson and B. Fischhoff. 1997. Behavorial factors affecting exposure potential for household cleaning products. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 7(4): 505-520.

Small, M.J. 1997. Groundwater detection monitoring using combined information from multiple constituents. Water Resources Research, 33(5): 957-969.

Small, M.J. 1997. Show me the data. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 1(4), 9-12. Invited column on Systems Modeling and the Environment.

Dakins, M.E., J.E. Toll, M.J. Small and K.P. Brand. 1996. Risk-based environmental remediation: Bayesian Monte Carlo analysis and the expected value of sample information. Risk Analysis, 16(1): 67-79.

Wolfson, L.J., J.B. Kadane and M.J. Small. 1996. Bayesian environmental policy decisions: Two case studies. Ecological Applications, 6(4): 1056-1066.

Wilkes, C.R., M.J. Small, C.I. Davidson and J.B. Andelman. 1996. Modeling the effects of water usage and co-behavior on inhalation exposures to contaminants volatilized from household water. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 6(4): 393-412.

Small, M.J., B.J. Cosby, R.J. Marnicio and M. Henrion. 1995. Joint application of an empirical and mechanistic model for regional lake acidification. Environmental Monitoring & Assessment, 35: 113-136.

Small, M.J., A.B. Nunn, III, B.L. Forslund and D.A. Daily. 1995. Source attribution of elevated residential soil lead near a battery recycling site. Environmental Science & Technology, 24(4): 883-895.

Siegel, E., H. Dowlatabadi and M.J. Small. 1995. Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of an individual plant model and performance of its reduced form versions: A case study of TREGRO. Journal of Biogeography, 22: 689-694.

Siegel, E., H. Dowlatabadi and M.J. Small. 1995. A probabilistic model of ecosystem prevalence. Journal of Biogeography, 22: 875-879.

Brand, K.P. and M.J. Small. 1995. Updating uncertainty in an integrated risk assessment: Conceptual framework and methods. Risk Analysis, 15(6): 719-731.

Ramaswami, A. and M.J. Small. 1994. Modeling the spatial variability of natural trace element concentrations in groundwater. Water Resources Research, 30: 269-282.

Dakins, M.E., J.E. Toll and M.J. Small. 1994. Risk-based environmental remediation: Decision framework and role of uncertainty. Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry, 13: 1907-1915.

Sullivan, T.J., D.L. Kugler, M.J. Small, C.B. Johnson, D.H. Landers, B.J. Rosenbaum, W.S. Overton, W.A. Kretser, J. Gallagher. 1990. Variation in Adirondack, New York, lakewater chemistry a function of surface area. Water Resources Bulletin, 26: 167-176.

Rubin, E.S., M.J. Small, C.N. Bloyd and M. Henrion. 1992. An integrated assessment of acid deposition effects on lake acidification. Journal of Environmental Engineering, ASCE, 118: 120-134.

Borrazzo, J.E., C.I. Davidson and M.J. Small. 1992. A stochastic model for diurnal variations of CO, NO, and NO2 concentrations in occupied residences. Atmospheric Environment 26B: 369-377.

Crawford, S.L., M.H. DeGroot, J.B. Kadane and M.J. Small. 1992. Modeling lake chemistry distributions: Bayesian methods for estimating a finite-mixture model. Technometrics, 34: 441-453.

Patwardhan, A. and M.J. Small. 1992. Bayesian methods for model uncertainty with application to future sea level rise. Risk Analysis, 12: 513-523.

Julien, B., S.J. Fenves and M.J. Small. 1992. Knowledge acquisition methods for environmental evaluation. AI Applications, 6: 1-20.

Julien, B., S.J. Fenves and M.J. Small, 1992. An environmental impact identification system. Journal of Environmental Management, 36: 167-184.

Wilkes, C.R., M.J. Small, J.B. Andelman, N.J. Giardino and J. Marshall. 1992. Inhalation exposure model for volatile chemicals from indoor uses of water. Atmospheric Environment, 26A: 2227-2236.

Giardino, N.J., E. Gumerman, N.A. Esmen, J.B. Andelman, C.R. Wilkes, C.I. Davidson and M.J. Small. 1992. Shower volatilization exposures in homes using tap water contaminated with trichloroethylene. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, Suppl. 1, 147-158.

Merz, J., M.J. Small and P. Fischbeck. 1992. Measuring decision sensitivity: A combined Monte Carlo-logistic regression approach. Medical Decision Making, 12: 189-196.

Luthy, R.G. and M.J. Small. 1990. Environmental research: A clearer focus over a broader horizon. Environmental Science & Technology, 24(11): 1620-1623.

Davidson, C.I., J.R. Harrington, M.J. Stephenson, M.J. Small, F.P. Boscoe and R.E. Gandley, 1989. Seasonal variations in sulfate, nitrate and chloride in the Greenland ice sheet: Relation to atmospheric concentrations. Atmospheric Environment, 23: 2483-2493.

Small, M.J. and P.J. Samson. 1989. Stochastic simulation of meteorological variability for long-range atmospheric transport: 1. Dynamic Lagrangian models. Atmospheric Environment, 23: 2813-2824.

Small, M.J., C. Bloyd, G. Keeler and R.J. Marnicio. 1989. Stochastic simulation of meteorological variability for long-range atmospheric transport: 2. Long-term statistical models. Atmospheric Environment, 23: 2825-2840.

Small, M.J., M.C. Sutton and M.W. Milke. 1988. Parametric distributions of regional lake chemistry: Fitted and derived. Environmental Science and Technology, 22: 196-204.

Small, M.J. and C.A. Peters. 1988. Public policy model for the indoor radon problem. Mathematical Computer Modelling, 10: 349-358.

Small, M.J. and J.R. Mular. 1987. Long-term pollutant degradation in the unsaturated zone with stochastic rainfall-infiltration. Water Resources Research, 23: 2246-2256.

Rhue, L.G. and M.J. Small. 1986. Application of a low-flow assessment model for the Monongahela River Basin. Water Resources Bulletin, 22: 121-127.

Small, M.J. and M.C. Sutton. 1986. A regional pH-alkalinity relationship. Water Research, 20: 335-343.

Small, M.J. and D.J. Morgan. 1986. The relationship between a continuous time renewal model and a discrete Markov chain model of precipitation occurrence. Water Resources Research, 22: 1422-1430.

Small, M.J. and M.C. Sutton. 1986. A direct distribution model for regional aquatic acidification. Water Resources Research, 22: 1749-1758.

Small, M.J. and P.J. Samson. 1983. Stochastic simulation of atmospheric trajectories. J. Clim. & Appl. Meteor., 22: 266-277.

Di Toro, D.M. and M.J. Small. 1979. Stormwater interception and storage. J. Env. Eng. Div., ASCE, 105: 43-54.

Small, M.J. and D.M. Di Toro. 1979. Stormwater treatment systems. J. Env. Eng. Div., ASCE, 105: 557- 569.

Di Toro, D.M. and M.J. Small. 1977. Discussion of "Theory of storage and treatment plant overflows":. J. Env. Eng. Div., ASCE, 103: 517-520.

Small, M.J. and W.P. Darby. 1976. Evaluating water quality impacts of small streams on major urban rivers. J. Boston Society of Civil Eng., ASCE, 63: 101-122.

Darby, W.P. and M.J. Small. 1976. Identifying urban flash flooding problems. J. Wat. Res. Planning Mgt. Div., ASCE, 102: 349-363.

Journal Articles Under Review

Wells, E.M., E. Belval, MJ Small and G. Wong-Parodi. 2023. Quantifying reductions in risk management resources deployed for wildland fires given the compound threat of COVID-19. Nature Sustainability, Under Review.

He, Rui; Small, Mitchell; Olarinre, Motolani; Sandoval Reyes, Mexitli; Ferrão, Paulo;  Scott, Ian. 2023. A novel domain knowledge-informed machine learning approach for modeling solid waste management systems. Environmental Science & Technology, Under Review.