Research

Working Papers and Work in Progress

• "The Nature of Long-Term Unemployment: Predictability, Heterogeneity and Selection"
  (with Johannes Spinnewijn).
  R&R at the Journal of Political Economy.

• "Macroeconomic Effects of UI Extensions at Short and Long Durations"
  (with Miguel Acosta, Emi Nakamura and Jón Steinsson).
  Coverage: NBER Digest.

• "Do Online Job Postings Capture Job Vacancies?"
  (with Michael Dalton and Lisa B. Kahn)

• "Job Search and the Gender Wage Gap"
  (with R. Jason Faberman and Ayşegül Şahin)

• "The Ins and Outs of Vacancies"
  (with Damian Osterwalder and Josef Zweimüller)

• "The Wage Cylicality of New Hires from Unemployment"
  (with Garyn Tan and Josef Zweimüller)

• "Heterogeneous Employment Effects of Job-Search Counseling and Implications for Targeting"
  (with Sebstian Ernst and Johannes Spinnewijn)

Publications

• "Risk Scores for Long-Term Unemployment and the Assignment to Job Search Counseling"
  (with Sebstian Ernst and Johannes Spinnewijn)
  Prepared for AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2024.

• "Vacancy Durations and Entry Wages: Evidence from Linked Vacancy-Employer-Employee Data"
  (with Damian Osterwalder, Josef Zweimüller and Andreas Kettemann).
  Forthcoming in the Review of Economic Studies. Working Paper. Online Appendix. Replication Package.

• "Expectations Data, Labor Market and Job Search"
  (with Johannes Spinnewijn),
  Handbook of Economic Expectations, ed. by R. Bachman, G. Topa and W. van der Klaauw, January 2023, pp. 677-713. Working Paper.

• "Has the Willingness to Work Fallen during the Covid Pandemic?"
  (with R. Jason Faberman and Ayşegül Şahin),
  Labour Economics, Vol. 79, December 2022, 102275. Working Paper. Appendix, Data.
  Coverage: NYT, NBER, Bloomberg, Marketwatch, Le Monde, WSJ, BLS.

• "Job Search Behavior Among the Employed and Non‐Employed"
  (with R. Jason Faberman, Ayşegül Şahin and Giorgio Topa),
  Econometrica, Vol. 90(4), July 2022, pp. 1743–1779 . Online Appendix, Supplemental Appendix, Codes and Data.
  Coverage: Bloomberg, Forbes.

• "Job Seekers' Perceptions and Employment Prospects: Heterogeneity, Duration Dependence and Bias"
  (with Johannes Spinnewijn and Giorgio Topa),
  American Economic Review, Vol. 111(1), January 2021, pp. 324-363.  Codes and Data, Online Appendix, Working Paper.
  Coverage: NBER, VoxEU, LSE blog.

• "The Shadow Margins of Labor Market Slack"
  (with R. Jason Faberman, Ayşegül Şahin and Giorgio Topa),
  Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 52(S2), December 2020, pp. 355-391. Online Appendix.

• "Wage Dispersion and Search Behavior: The Importance of Non-Wage Job Values"
  (with Robert E. Hall),
  Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 126(4), August 2018, pp. 1594-1637. Codes and Data, Working Paper.

• "Separations, Sorting and Cyclical Unemployment",
  American Economic Review, Vol. 107(7), July 2017, pp. 2081-2107. Codes and Data, Online Appendix, Working Paper.

• "A Contribution to the Empirics of Reservation Wages"
  (with Alan B. Krueger),
  American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, Vol. 8(1), February 2016, pp. 142-179. Codes and Data, Working Paper.
  Coverage: NBER.

• "Unemployment Insurance and Disability Insurance in the Great Recession"
  (with Jesse Rothstein and Till von Wachter),
  Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. 34, No.1, Pt. 2, January 2016, pp. 445-475. Codes and Data, Working Paper.
  Coverage: Washington Post, NBER, NBC.

• "Asymmetric Labor Market Institutions in the EMU and the Volatility of Inflation and Unemployment Differentials"
  (with Mirko Abbritti),
  Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 45(6), September 2013, pp. 1165-1186.  Model Appendix, Codes, Working Paper.

• "The Lot of the Unemployed: A Time Use Perspective"
  (with Alan B. Krueger),
  Journal of the European Economic Association, Vol. 10(4), August 2012, pp. 1765-794. Working Paper.
  Coverage: NY Times.

• "Time Use, Emotional Well-Being and Unemployment: Evidence from Longitudinal Data"
  (with Alan B. Krueger), 
  American Economic Review (Papers & Proceedings), Vol. 102(3), May 2012, pp. 594-99.  Online Appendix.

• "Job Search, Emotional Well-Being and Job Finding in a Period of Mass Unemployment: Evidence from High-Frequency Longitudinal Data" (with Alan B. Krueger),
  Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 42 (1), Spring 2011, pp. 1-81. Survey Data.
  Coverage: Freakonomics, WSJ, WSJ, FT, Bloomberg.

• "On-the-Job Search and Wage Dispersion: New Evidence from Time Use Data",
  Economics Letters, Vol. 109 (2), November 2010, pp. 124-127. 

• "Job Search and Unemployment Insurance: New Evidence from Time Use Data"
  (with Alan B. Krueger),
  Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 94 (3-4), April 2010, pp. 298-307. Working Paper.
  Coverage: Economist.

Other Writings

• Job Seekers’ Beliefs and the Causes of Long-Term Unemployment"
  (with Johannes Spinnewijn and Giorgio Topa),
  Federal Reserve Bank of New York Liberty Street Economics Blog, January 29, 2021.

• "Do the Employed Get Better Job Offers?"
  (with R. Jason Faberman, Thomas Haasl, Ayşegül Şahin and Giorgio Topa),
  Federal Reserve Bank of New York Liberty Street Economics Blog, April 4, 2018.

• "How Do People Find Jobs?"
  (with R. Jason Faberman, Ayşegül Şahin, Rachel Schuh and Giorgio Topa),
  Federal Reserve Bank of New York Liberty Street Economics Blog, April 5, 2017.

Discussions

• "Labor Market Shocks and Monetary Policy” (by Serdar Birinci, Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercanand Kurt See),
  ITAM-PIER Conference, Mexico City, September 2022.

• "AI and Jobs: Evidence  from Online Vacancies" (by Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, Jonathon Hazell and Pascual Restrepo),
  JoLE conference in honor of Alan B. Krueger, October 2020. Slides.

• "Sticky Wages on the Layoff Margin" (by Steven J. Davis and Pawel M. Krolikowski),
  AEA Meetings, San Diego, January 2020. Slides.

• "Wages and the Value of Nonemployment" (by S. Jäger, S. Young, B. Schoefer, J. Zweimüller),
  NBER EFG Fall Meeting, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, October 2018. Slides.

• "Marriage, Labor Supply and the Social Safety Net" (by H. Low, C. Meghir, L. Pistaferri and A. Voena),
  CHCS Annual Employment Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, September 2017. Slides.

• "The Limited Macroeconomic Effects of Unemployment Benefit Extensions" (by G. Chodorow-Reich and L. Karabarbounis),
  INET Conference, Columbia University, November 2016. Slides.

• "Ranking Firms Using Revealed Preference" (by I. Sorkin),
  CHCS Annual Employment Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, September 2016. Slides.

• "Decomposing Duration Dependence in a Stopping Time Model" (by F. Alvarez, K. Borovickova and R. Shimer),
  8th Banco de Portugal Conference on Monetary Economics, Lisbon, June 2015. Slides.

• "Job Search Behavior over the Business Cycle" (by T. Mukoyama, C. Patterson and A. Sahin),
  AEA Meetings, Philadelphia, January 2014. Slides.

• "Unemployment Insurance and Consumer Credit" (by J. Hsu, D. Matsa and B. Melzer),
  NBER Summer Institute (Real Estate), Cambridge, MA, July 2013. Slides.

• "Viewing the Observed Acceptance Decisions of Job-Seekers through the Lens of Search Theory" (by R. E. Hall),
  CHCS Annual Employment Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, September 2012.

• "Retirement and Home Production: A Regression Discontinuity Approach" (by E. Stancanelli and A. Van Soest),
  AEA Meetings, Chicago, January 2012.

• "Time Use During Recessions" (by M. Aguiar, E. Hurst and L. Karabarbounis),
  NBER Workshop at Aarhus University, November 2011. Slides.

• "Housing tenure choices with private information and customization" (by J. Halket and M. Pignatti),
  4th Nordic Summer Symposium in Macroeconomics, Mustio, August 2011.