Publications

Window of Opportunity: War and the Origins of Parliament, with Gary Cox and Massimiliano Onorato

British Journal of Political Science, 54: 405-21, 2024.

Replication materials available here 

The Introduction of the Income Tax, Fiscal Capacity, and Migration: Evidence from U.S. States, with Traviss Cassidy and Ugo Troiano

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 16: 359-93, 2024

Replication materials available here

Pre-Colonial Warfare and Long-Run Development in India, with James Fenske, Anil Menon, and Shivaji Mukherjee

Economic Journal, 132: 981-1010, 2022

Replication materials available here 

The Budgetary Origins of Fiscal-Military Prowess, with Gary Cox

Journal of Politics, 83: 851-66, 2021

Replication materials available here 

Is Africa Different? Historical Conflict and State Development, with James Fenske and Massimiliano Onorato

Economic History of Developing Regions, 34: 209-50, 2019

Replication materials available here

Intra-Elite Competition and Long-Run Fiscal Development, with Pablo Beramendi and Melissa Rogers

Journal of Politics, 81: 49-65, 2019

Replication materials available here

Violent Conflict and Political Development over the Long Run: China versus Europe, with Yuhua Wang

     Annual Review of Political Science, 21: 341-58, 2018

     Chinese translation available here     

Military Conflict and the Rise of Urban Europe, with Massimiliano Onorato

    Journal of Economic Growth, 21: 259-82, 2016

    Replication materials available here

State Capacity and Long-Run Economic Performance, with Gabriel Katz

    Economic Journal, 126: 189-218, 2016

    Replication materials available here

The Rise of Effective States in Europe

    Journal of Economic History, 75: 901-18, 2015

Warfare, Fiscal Capacity, and Performance, with Mauricio Prado

    Journal of Economic Growth, 17: 171-203, 2012

    Database and do-file

Warfare, Taxation, and Political Change: Evidence from the Italian Risorgimento, with Giovanni Federico and Andrea Vindigni

    Journal of Economic History, 71: 887-914, 2011

    Database and do-file

Fragmented Authority from Ancien Régime to Modernity: A Quantitative Analysis

    Journal of Institutional Economics, 6: 305-28, 2010

    Data appendices

The Political Economy of Fiscal Prudence in Historical Perspective

    Economics & Politics, 22: 1-36, 2010

Political Regimes and Sovereign Credit Risk in Europe, 1750-1913

    European Review of Economic History, 13: 31-63, 2009

Fiscal Centralization, Limited Government, and Public Revenues in Europe, 1650-1913

    Journal of Economic History, 69: 48-103, 2009

    Revenue database available here