Research

We study the transmission of monetary policy shocks using daily consumption, corporate sales and employment series. We find that the economy responds at both short and long lags that are variable in economically significant ways. Consumption reacts in one week, reaches a local trough in one quarter, recovers, and declines again after three quarters. Sales follow a similar pattern, but the initial drop, while delayed (one month), is deeper. In contrast, employment falls monotonically for five quarters albeit with a smaller impact reaction. We show that these short lags are masked by time aggregation at lower —quarterly— frequencies.


Working papers and recent publications by topics: 

Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy, International Transmission Mechanism, Extensive Margin, Exchange Rate Pass Through, Current Account, Currency and Financial Crises, The Euro.

Monetary policy

Published papers:

Fiscal Policy

Published papers:

Here is the text of my Schumpeter Lecture on the Mystery of the Printing Press at the EEA, Mannheim, August 24, 2015 video

The international transmission mechanism: theory and evidence

Published:

Extensive margin

Exchange Rate Pass Through

Published

Published papers:

The current account: theory and evidence 

Currency and financial crises (and their prevention)

Published papers:

The euro

Published papers: