Wildo González P.
Wildo González P.
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Economist | Macroeconomics · Financial Markets · Public Policy · Latin America
Senior economist with over 15 years of experience spanning central banking, capital markets, and multilateral consulting across Latin America. As Head of the Short-Term Analysis Department at the Central Bank of Chile (2015–2017), I led the team responsible for GDP and inflation nowcasting and contributed directly to the Monetary Policy Reports (IPoM) and Board decision-making. Since returning to Paraguay, I have held senior roles at Puente Casa de Bolsa and BASA Capital, covering macroeconomic analysis, investment strategy, and client advisory for institutional investors. I currently serve as a member of Chile’s Advisory Committee for the Copper Reference Price.
My research agenda covers fiscal multipliers, labor market informality, automation in developing economies, and climate shocks, with publications in Labour Economics, International Review of Economics & Finance, Applied Economics Letters, and Empirical Economics. I collaborate regularly with the IDB, CAF, and ILO on policy analysis and impact evaluation projects.
Contact: wildogonzalez@gmail.com
Career
Career
Head of Short-Term Analysis Department, Central Bank of Chile (2012–2017). Senior Economic Analyst, Central Bank of Chile (2007–2012). Economic Consultant, IDB · CAF · ILO (2018–2022). Chief Economist, Puente Casa de Bolsa (2022–2025). Senior Economist, BASA Capital (2025–present). Advisory Member, Chile Copper Reference Price Committee (2025–present).
Areas of Expertise
Areas of Expertise
• Macroeconomic Analysis & Nowcasting — GDP and inflation short-term forecasting, bridge models, Bayesian VARs. Applied experience at the Central Bank of Chile supporting monetary policy decisions.
• Fiscal Policy & Multipliers — State-dependent fiscal multipliers, commodity terms-of-trade shocks, DSGE modeling. Research with Carlos García (UAH) published in IREEF and submitted to JEDC.
• Labor Markets & Informality — Labor informality measurement, gender gaps, automation impacts in developing economies. Published in Labour Economics (2024). Current ILO consulting projects in Paraguay.
• Financial Markets & Investment Strategy — Macroeconomic reports and investment strategies for institutional clients, sovereign bond analysis, fixed income strategy. Experience at Puente and BASA Capital.
• Multilateral Consulting — Policy evaluation, regulatory impact assessment, monitoring & evaluation frameworks. Projects with IDB (×4), CAF, ILO (×4) across Paraguay and the region.
• Climate Shocks & Development — Impact of droughts on labor markets and social protection (ILO–IMF joint project). Ongoing research on climate, automation, and growth in developing economies.
Selected Recent Work
Selected Recent Work
• Journal article (2025): “Recovery is Valued: A Case for Expansionary Fiscal Policy in Open Economies.” International Review of Economics and Finance, Vol. 99.
• Journal article (2025): “Robots: How Bad Could it be Globally?” Applied Economics Letters.
• Journal article (2024): “Robots at Work in Developing Countries: How Bad Could It Be?” Labour Economics, Vol. 87.
• Working paper (submitted, 2026): “When Schumpeter Meets Automation and Natural Disasters.” Submitted to Journal of Development Economics.
• Working paper (submitted, 2026): “Fiscal Stabilization under Adverse Commodity Terms of Trade.” Submitted to Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
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