Tristan Reed
Welcome
Tristan Reed is an applied economist at the World Bank's Development Research Group working on questions about industrial organization relevant to public policy. Alongside research, he provides advice to World Bank clients on sector development strategy and trade and competition policy. Prior to joining the Bank, Tristan was a management consultant. A native of California, he holds a Ph.D. in economics from Harvard University and a B.A. summa cum laude from UCLA. He is an advisory board member at Research in Color, a nonprofit dedicated to increasing the number of Ph.D. students of color in social science.
Journal articles
Presidential Address: Demand Side Constraints in Development: The Role of Market Size, Trade, and (In)Equality, with Pinelopi K. Goldberg. Econometrica, vol. 91, no. 6, November 2023, pp. 1915-1950. Paper was the basis for Goldberg's Presidential Address to the Econometric Society in 2021. Non-technical summary in Vox-Dev
Is the Global Economy De-globalizing? And if so, why? And what is next?, with Pinelopi K. Goldberg. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. Spring 2023. Slides for BPEA Conference.
Financing Vaccine Equity, with Ruchir Agarwal. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, vol. 38 no. 4, October 2022. Summary by Glassman et al. for 2nd Global COVID-19 Summit. Summary in Devex. Video Policy Research Talk.
Using Individual-level Randomized Treatment to Learn about Market Structure, with Lorenzo Casaburi. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, vol. 14, no. 2, pp. 58-90. October 2022. Relation to RCT methodology literature in Development Impact
Relationships on the Rocks: Contract Evolution in a Market for Ice, with Tarek Ghani. American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, vol. 14 no. 1, pp. 330-65. February 2022.
The Effects of the Coronavirus Pandemic in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: An Optimistic Preliminary Account, with Pinelopi K. Goldberg. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. Summer 2020. December 2020 Update
Chiefs: Economic Development and Elite Control of Civil Society in Sierra Leone, with Daron Acemoglu and James A. Robinson. Journal of Political Economy, vol. 122 no. 2, pp. 319-368. April 2014. Online Technical Appendix. Data. Supplementary history of The Chiefdoms of Sierra Leone. Relation to literature on local government reform in Vox-EU
Working papers
Quality Regulation Creates and Reallocates Trade with Lucas Zavala, Ana Fernandes, Ryan Haygood, and Jose-Daniel Reyes. [Under review]
Cartels, Antitrust Enforcement, and Industry Performance: Evidence from Mexico with Mariana Pereira Lopez, Ana Urrutia Arrieta, and Leonardo Iacovone. Policy Research working paper no. 10269; Impact Evaluation series. Presented at Forty-Sixth BREAD conference. [Under review]
Long-run Returns to Private Equity in Emerging Market and Developing Economies, with Shawn Cole, Martin Melecky and Florian Mölders. Policy Previously circulated as Research working paper no. 9366. NBER working paper no. 27870. Blog with implications for EM investors in All About Finance. [Revision requested by Management Science]
The High and Falling Price of Cement in Africa with Fabrizio Leone and Rocco Macchiavello. Policy Research working paper no. 9076. CEPR discussion paper no. 16253. BREAD working paper no. 589. [Resubmitted to American Economic Journal: Applied Economics]
Natural Resource Dependence and Monopolized Imports with Rabah Arezki, Ana Fernandes, Federico Merchán, and Ha Nguyen. Policy Research working paper no. 10339. [Revision requested by Review of Economics and Statistics]
Assessing the Value of Market Access from Belt and Road projects, with Alexandr Trubetskoy. Policy Research working paper no. 8815. [Rej. & resubmit Journal of Urban Economics]
Reallocation of Capital Across Space: The Case of Place-Based Industrial Policy in India [Rej. & resubmit Journal of Development Economics]
Disclosed policy work
Policy Actions to Increase the Supply of Covid-19 Vaccines in the Short Term, with Mamta Murthi. August, 2021.
How to End the COVID-19 Pandemic by March 2022, with Ruchir Agarwal. Slides from June 2, 2021 Presentation at Center for Global Development. Previously presented April 14 at the G20 High Level Independent Panel Small-Group discussion on R&D, Procurement and Manufacturing for Pandemic Preparedness and Response. World Bank Policy Research working paper no. 9632. Press references: Economic Times April 25. Financial Times April 25. Project Syndicate May 13. The Economist May 27.
Five Ways that COVID-19 Diagnostics Can Save Lives : Prioritizing Uses of Tests to Maximize Cost-Effectiveness with William Waites, David Manheim, Damien de Walque, Chiara Vallini, Roberta Gatti, and Timothy B. Hallett. March 2021. Earlier version prepared for the ACT-A Diagnostics Working Group in April 2020.
Creating Impact: The Promise of Impact Investing. International Finance Corporation. This will tell you all you need to know about ESG and Impact Investing. 2019.
The Large-Firm Wage Premium in Developing Economies, with Trang Thu Tran. Policy Research Working Paper No. 8997. 2019.
Bamako: An Engine of Growth and Service Delivery. World Bank. 2018
Cameroon City Competitiveness Diagnostic. World Bank. 2018.
Enhancing Economic Development and Job Creation in Addis Ababa: The Role of the City Administration. World Bank. 2018
From Regulators to Enablers: Role of City Governments in Economic Development of Greater Kampala. World Bank. 2017