Today i will be having a punt on the Croatia v. Russia match.

This is a vital match involving two teams in England`s qq online group and should go a long way in sorting out a tight group.

At the moment Croatia head the group with 5 wins and 1 draw in their 6 games and are 2 points ahead of Israel and Russia and 5 ahead of England who they beat 2-0 in Croatia in the Autumn of last year.

A win for Croatia tonight would put them in a dominating position in the group as the toughest game on paper they will have left after today is England away in the final round of qualifying matches, and by that time it could be the they will already have qualified.

I fully expect Croatia to win tonight as they have an exceptional qq online home record in qualifying for major championships since independence in the mid 90`s, in fact since that time they have never lost a home qualifying game for either the World Cup or European Championships.

Russia should not be underestimated as they too have yet to lose a match with 4 wins and 2 draws, but the 2 draws have come at home to Croatia and Israel and they have yet to go to these countries as well as face England at Wembley in the Autumn so their road to qualifying is a hard one as they are not the best of travellers.

Team news at this early stage is sketchy but Croatia will definitely be without Rapaic whilst Russia look like they will have a full strength squad to choose from.

The key for me tonight will be how adventurous the Russians will be, i expect them to defend deep and look to counter on the break, but for me Croatia have the firepower to break them down and in Da Silva their naturalised Brazilian forward they have a constant goal threat as he has already scored 6 in qualifying games so far.

So for me it is Croatia to pick up 3 points and to take control of the group, i will also have a play on the under 2.5 goals market as i expect this to be a cagey affair, and a small investment on Da Silva on first goal scorer.

The best prices i have found so far are Croatia evens with Paddy Power and Ladbrokes to win, 4/6 for under 2.5 goals with Blue Square and 6/1 with Bet365 for Da Silva to be first goalscorer.

Good luck with whatever you go for and happy punting.

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