2025 NJ LD-03 State Assembly Election

The 2025 NJ LD-03 State assembly election, a D+3% win in this Trump+7% Seat saw incumbent Democrats Heather Simmons and Dave Bailey jr win reelection over Gloucester county Commissioner Chris Konawel and Harrison Deputy Mayor Lawrence Moore

Emphasizing their south Jersey roots — especially Bailey's Salem county Roots — the endangered legislators focused on a message of affordability, highlighting a "we get it" message in heir advertisements towards the affordability crisis.

With this message intended as a play on Jack Ciattarelli's ads where he argued that Mikie Sherrill and Trenton Politicians 'just don't get it' Bailey and Simmons campaigned on regulating "greedy utility companies" and capping rate increases at 2%.

they also focused on their work to fight "typical politicians" to lower property taxes, Insurance taxes, and get anchor checks for constituents; criticizing Republicans for seeking to cut these programs that help many district residents

The GOP campaign was, comparatively, underfunded relying mostly on Jack Ciattarelli's coattails to try & deliver a win; however such a victory never materialized as Ciattarelli went down to a concurrent D+14% statewide defeat (& narrow 2% win in a seat he carried by R+16 in 2021)

However, as it is one of the few — if not the only — Ciattarelli-Assembly D District (on top of Trump winning it by 7%); the LD-03 incumbents have the largest target on their backs out of any Democrats for the 2027 off-year election.

However, they're likely to be buoyed by Popular state senator John Burzichelli & the Norcross machine seeking to lock out Rs on the Gloucester County commission.

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