Transport Fuel Alternatives for Singapore: An AHP Analysis

Yeo Hwee Bin

Abstract

Transport fuel alternatives need to be sought for Singapore, due to the supply constraints of oil, and the increasing pollution problem. In order to study the feasibility of the various alternatives, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) analysis is applied. Areas of consideration (factors) includes: long term supply, emission, technology, cost, safety and consumer preference.

The scope of this project covers local, land, passenger transport fuel alternatives for the year between 2020 to 2030, called Year X in the study. The objective is to select an optimal solution for the local case, from the numerous options. Before advancing into the analysis, a study of the decision making techniques is done; as well as a literature survey on the alternative fuels.

This problem consists of several scenarios as well as many factors. Hence, the AHP analysis is chosen over other decision analysis techniques to avoid complications, for instance, in ttions were then done to check the effectiveness of the policy chosen, that is, to provide financial incentives to promote the use of electric vehicles. A complementary policy: the government to play an active role for providing an infrastructure to facilitate recharging of electric vehicles, can be introduced simultaneously. Results showed that these policies are effective.

In conclusion, the most optimal alternative is found for Singapore, provided that the assumptions made in this project are unchanged.