associate professor
department of economics
carleton university
research interests: my current research is primarily in the area of monetary and financial history
current and recent teaching: introductory economics, fourth-year monetary history and graduate monetary history
B859 Loeb Building, 1125 Colonel By Drive, Carleton University, Ottawa, ON, K1S 5B6, Canada
patrick.coe @ carleton.ca
financial conditions and the risks to economic growth in the united states since 1875, with shaun vahey, this version july 2020, appendix.
who knew what and when: u.s. national income 1909 to 1938, with shaun vahey, in progress
predicting recessions with the yield curve: a historical perspective, in progress
Patrick J. Coe and Shaun P. Vahey (2025) Reassessing the Predictive Power of the Yield Spread for Recessions in the United States Journal of Applied Econometrics, 40(2) pp231-236.
Tony Chernis, Patrick J. Coe and Shaun P. Vahey (2023) Reassessing the Dependence Between Economic Growth and Financial Conditions since 1973 Journal of Applied Econometrics, 38(2) pp260-267.
Patrick J. Coe (2018) Downward Nominal Wage: Evidence from Canada 1901-1950 Canadian Journal of Economics, 51(3), pp946-967.
Patrick J. Coe (2013) Apprenticeship Program Requirements and Apprenticeship Completion Rates in Canada Journal of Vocational Education and Training, 65(4) pp575-605.
Patrick J. Coe and J.C. Herbert Emery (2012) Accreditation Requirements and the Speed of Labour Market Adjustment in Canadian Building Trades Canadian Public Policy, 38(1) pp91-111.
Patrick J. Coe and David Krause (2008) An Analysis of Price-based Tests of Market Delineation Journal of Competition Law and Economics, 4(4) pp983-1007.
Patrick J. Coe, M. Hashem Pesaran & Shaun P. Vahey (2005) The Cost Effectiveness of the UK's Sovereign Debt Portfolio Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 67(4) pp467-496.
Patrick J. Coe & J.C. Herbert Emery (2004) The Dis-Integrating Canadian Labor Market? The Extent of the Market Then and Now Canadian Journal of Economics, 37(4) pp879-897.
Patrick J. Coe & James M. Nason (2004) Long-run Monetary Neutrality and Long Horizon Regressions Journal of Applied Econometrics, 19(3) pp355-373.
Patrick J. Coe & James M. Nason (2003) The Long-Horizon Regression Approach to Monetary Neutrality: How Should the Evidence be Interpreted? Economics Letters, 78(3) pp351-356.
Frank J. Atkins & Patrick J. Coe (2002) An ARDL Bounds Test Approach to Testing the Long-run Fisher Effect in the United States and Canada Journal of Macroeconomics, 24(2) pp255-256.
Patrick J. Coe (2002) Power Issues when Testing the Markov Switching Model with the Sup Likelihood Ratio Test using U.S. Output Empirical Economics, 27(2) pp395-401, reprinted in James D. Hamilton and Baldev Raj (eds.) (2002) Advances in Markov Switching Models, Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg.
Patrick J. Coe (2002) Financial Crisis and the Great Depression: A Regime Switching Approach Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 34(1) pp76-93.
Patrick J. Coe and Apostolos Serletis (2002) A Bounds Testing Approach to the Analysis of Purchasing Power Parity Journal of Banking and Finance, 28(1) pp179-199.