Jose E. Gutierrez
Research Economist, Banco de España
Contact Information
josee.gutierrez@bde.esI am a Research Economist at the Financial Stability and Macroprudential Policy Department of Banco de España.
I received my Ph.D. in Economics from CEMFI.
My research interests are in Microeconomics and Finance, with a particular interest in banking-related topics.
Before starting my PhD, I worked for six years at the Superintendence of Banking, Insurance, and Private Pension Funds Administrators (SBS), the supervisor of the Peruvian financial system.
"Regulating Credit Lines in the Presence of Fire-Sale Externalities"
[Revise & Resubmit at the Journal of Money, Credit and Banking]
Presented at the 2020 European Winter Meeting of the Econometric Society; the 37th meeting of the European Economic Association and the 74th European meeting of the Econometric Society; the 2022 Annual Meeting of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association and the Latin American Meeting of the Econometric Society; the 2023 International Conference in Finance, Banking and Accounting; the 2023 EBA Policy Research Workshop; SAEe.
Winner of the 2018 CEMFI Best Third-Year Paper.
Banco de España Working Paper No. 2323 Featured in SUERF Policy Brief No. 719
A previous version of the paper was circulated with the title "Optimal Regulation of Credit Lines."
This paper presents a contract-theoretic model in which banks choose pre-arranged long-term and spot funding to finance firms' liquidity needs via credit lines. In high liquidity need states, long-term funding reduces reneging on credit lines, sustains lending, and decreases liquidated firms. Under externalities generated by firm liquidations, banks choose insufficient long-term funding compared to a social planner. A long-term funding requirement, such as the Basel III net stable funding ratio, can restore constrained efficiency. The optimal requirement depends on the frequency of high liquidity need states, the value lost after a liquidation, and the excess cost of long-term funding.
Presented at the 2023 International Conference in Finance, Banking and Accounting; 5th conference on Contemporary Issues in Banking; World Finance Banking Symposium; ECB Banking Supervision Research Conference; 2024 FMA European Conference; EFMA 2024; Foro de Finanzas 2024; EEA-ESEM 2024; World Finance Banking Symposium; 2024 European Winter Meeting of the Econometric Society; 23rd Annual Conference of the Hellenic Finance and Accounting Association; Banco de España-CEMFI 5th Conference on Financial Stability.
Finalist of the EFMA 2024 Capital Market Award.
A previous version of the paper was circulated with the title "Unloading NPLs, unlocking credit? Evidence from the ECB provisioning guidelines."
This paper studies the impact of supervisory expectations regarding non-performing loans (NPLs) on banks' NPL disposal and lending behavior as well as on the real economy. Using the supervisory intervention announced by the European Central Bank in 2018q1 as a quasi-natural experiment, we show that banks disposed of old NPLs at a higher rate after the policy. Furthermore, banks that were more heavily exposed to the policy tightened their lending standards, especially for risky firms. We also find that firms borrowing from banks affected by the policy intervention experienced a decline in the growth rate of their total assets, investment, employment, and sales. Our results highlight the importance of timely recognition of NPLs as a factor that can affect credit allocation. We also shed light on the importance of strong bank fundamentals in cleansing banks' balance sheets without disrupting credit intermediation.
Presented at the Bank of Spain, European Financial Management Association 2024 Annual Meeting; Foro de Finanzas 2024; Wolpertinger 2024 Annual Conference; 2025 World Congress of the Econometric Society.
Winner of the Best Paper on Banking at the 31st AEFIN Finance Forum.
This paper uncovers new benefits of lending relationships for banks. Using a loan-level database, we find that firms in financial distress avoid delaying payments on loans from their most important banks to preserve their most valuable lending relationships. This effect is stronger for microenterprises and when firms' borrowing is concentrated in fewer banks. We also find that banks internalize this borrower behavior in the recognition of discretionary loan impairments. Our analysis controls for potential zombie lending, loan characteristics, endogenous matching between banks and firms, and time-varying firm and bank fixed effects to identify borrowers' choices to repay loans. We confirm our results by exploiting a bank merger and showing that firms that prioritize payments to their main banks perform better in the two years after their first payment delay.
[Revision requested at the Journal of Financial Intermediation]
Presented at the Bank of Spain; Bank of International Settlements; ECB-University of Glasgow-IBRN "Financial Stability and Regulation" Workshop; 13th EFI Research Network Workshop; 2025 International Conference in Financial Science; Foro de Finanzas 2025; Deutsche Bundesbank-IWH-CEPR "The Future of Banking: Risk Management, Governance, and Innovation in a Regulated World"; 9th Annual Workshop of the ESCB Research Cluster 3 (scheduled); SAEe (scheduled).
This paper investigates the impact on credit supply resulting from the first sale of business bank resolution conducted under the new post-Global Financial Crisis frameworks. Our findings reveal that this resolution adversely affected credit supply of the acquiring bank, albeit unevenly across borrowers. The acquiring bank protected the credit supply to borrowers inherited from the failed bank, compensating for this by reducing credit to its less important customers and those facing high switching costs. Our results highlight the potential benefits of the sale-of-business tool in managing a bank failure without causing significant disruption to credit intermediation, provided that the acquirer is well-capitalized and its business strategy aims to maintain the acquired franchise.
Presented at the Bank of Spain, Czech National Bank Workshop on Financial Stability and Macroprudential Policy, the 8th Rome Junior Finance Conference; Spring 2025-4NCB Meeting, Banca d'Italia; Foro de Finanzas 2025.
We document a novel channel through which domestic bank regulations generate cross-border real effects via international trade. Our setting is a one-time, unexpected increase in loan loss provisions in Spain in 2012. Using comprehensive administrative data from the Spanish credit register matched with customs data, we show that importers relying on the most affected banks experienced sharp reductions in credit supply, which led to a decline in their purchases abroad. Leveraging bilateral trade data at the country-product level, we find that Spanish aggregate imports declined, indicating limited reallocation across firms: the shock on highly exposed importers was not offset by the expansion from less exposed ones. This decline in Spain's import demand is transmitted internationally, as total exports of Spain's trading partners fell. The effect was stronger for countries with less developed financial systems, for exporters facing higher bilateral trade costs vis-à-vis Spain, and for products that are harder to reallocate across markets. Our findings highlight international trade as a key transmission mechanism of banking regulation-and domestic shocks more broadly-with implications for the cross-border coordination of prudential policy.
Presented at the CEPR-ECB-Review of Finance-Bocconi University "The Future of Payments: CBDC, Digital Assets and Digital Capital Markets" (scheduled).
Instructor
Mathematics for Economists
Universidad del Pacífico (Lima - Peru), 2012 - 2015Contents: Vector spaces, matrices, topological spaces, static optimization techniques, difference equations and phase diagrams, differential equations, and dynamic optimization. [Syllabus]Graduate-level courses
Mathematics
SBS's Extension Program, Superintendence of Banks, Insurance Companies, and Private Pension Funds (Lima - Peru), 2013 - 2014Teaching Assistant
Graduate-level courses
Fundamentals of Advanced Econometrics
TA to Prof. Pablo Lavado, Pacifico Business School (Lima - Peru), Summer 2014Undergraduate-level courses
Mathematics III and IV, Microeconomics I and II, Econometrics I and II
Universidad del Pacífico (Lima - Peru), 2009 - 2011