Weather expert Dr. J.D. Gundaliya predicts a delayed and slightly weaker Saurashtra monsoon due to the El Nino effect, advising farmers to prepare for key sowing phases between June 18th and 28th before heavier, dam-filling rains arrive in mid-July. 

In this exclusive interview, renowned weather expert Dr. J.D. Gundaliya breaks down his highly anticipated monsoon forecast for the Saurashtra region. Addressing the current delays, he explains how the El Nino effect is creating a localized, patchy weather system characterized by strong winds and an overall 5% to 20% deficit in average rainfall. Despite a weaker start, he offers a crucial timeline for local farmers, predicting the primary sowing (vavni) phases to occur between June 18th and 28th, with heavier, dam-filling rains expected later in mid-July during the Pushya Nakshatra. While coastal areas like Junagadh and Gir can expect near-normal rainfall (90-95%), regions like Morbi and Dwarka should prepare for a noticeably drier season, though late-season showers are projected to bring strong relief across the board.