Causal maps

Causal maps (or causal diagrams) can help to illustrate and understand the interrelationships between environment, behavior, body, genes, and other characteristics in the evolution and development of populations and social-ecological systems. With their help, we can examine how different conditions and traits interact and change each other over time.

How do the abiotic and biotic environments, the social environments, technologies, cultural knowledge, behaviors (including cognition), body features, brains and genes interact to shape the evolution and development of our traits and our world?

In causal diagrams, traits, conditions, or other variables and factors are linked by arrows that indicate a kind of causal relationship -

X leads to, changes, or influences Y.

These cause-and-effect relationships can be of different types. The specific nature of a cause-and-effect relationship can be stated if it is known or suspected, or it can remain general when the aim is to explore, discuss or reflect on it. For example, "is consumed by" is a more or less specific causal relationship in a diagram of a food web in an ecosystem.

When two factors influence each other, or when three or more factors are linked by causal relationships, it becomes more and more difficult to predict the consequences of these interactions - we call these complex causal interactions.

Complex systems are characterized by such complex causal relationships. We find them in many areas, e.g. in biology, psychology, ecology and society.

Feedback loops

Among the interactions in complex systems, we often find so-called feedback loops. In feedback loops, there is not only a relationship from cause to effect, but the effect itself impacts the cause. This can result in different patterns we find in nature and society.

Positive feedback loops are processes that reinforce themselves - the more of something there is, the more of it is generated, or the less of something there is, the less is produced. An example is exponential growth of a population.

Negative feedback loops are processes that dampen themselves - the more of something there is, the less of it is produced, or vice versa. An example is the relationship between predator and prey populations. Negative feedback loops cause systems, e.g. living organisms and ecosystems, to regulate themselves (without a central leader or decision-maker). Many regulation processes of our body are result of such negative feedback loops.

Importantly, the words "positive" and "negative" have nothing to do with whether a feedback is "good" or "bad", but merely describes the dynamics:

  • Positive means "more leads to more" or "less leads to less";
  • Negative means "more leads to less" or "less leads to more";

When positive feedback reinforces something we consider to be "bad," we often talk about a "vicious circle" or a "downward spiral."

Conversely, if positive feedback reinforces something that we consider "good," people talk about a "virtuous circle" or "upward spiral".

Causal maps for understanding social-ecological systems

Particularly the development of our global social-ecological system is characterized by feedback loops that arise from the interplay between environmental conditions, our technologies and institutions, the behavior of individuals, and the relationships between individuals. Many of the changes in the world today are the result of positive feedback. Some of them are moving in a direction that we consider "positive" - ​​they help us progress towards our common goals. Others are moving in a direction we deem "negative" - ​​they present challenges in achieving our common goals.

How do our social and natural environments, our technologies and institutions, our behaviors and perceptions affect each other?

Causal diagrams allow teachers and students to reflect on concrete relationships between these factors in particular contexts, and to discuss ways in which we can consciously influence the evolution of these factors, individually and as a community.

Causal maps for evolution education

"Natural selection" is a special type of causal relationship in which a condition "selects" a trait, that is, "leads to an increase in the frequency of the trait in the population".

Different selection and inheritance mechanisms may be at play depending on the trait. For example, genes can become more common in a population because some individuals have more surviving offspring than others, and they pass on their genes though biological reproduction. Behaviors can become more common in a population because many are motivated to do the behavior, and it can get transmitted to others through imitation or teaching.

This way natural selection leads to changes of trait frequencies in populations.

Organisms have many different traits, and these traits often are in interaction with each other. Body, behavior, brain, genes and other characteristics influence each other. They can enable another trait, favor the development or natural selection of a trait, or prevent the development or natural selection of a trait. For example, certain featurs of the body can make certain behaviors easier to perform than others. Certain genes can favor the development of certain body features and other traits. Conversely, if a behavior has certain advantages to the organism and its frequency increases in the population through natural selection, other traits that enable this behavior may also increase in the population through natural selection.

Positive feedback between environment and traits, or between species. Conditions in the biotic and abiotic environment lead to the natural selection of a trait in a population. The trait can in turn cause the environmental conditions to change. This, in turn, may affect the natural selection of the trait, e.g. by selecting the trait even more, etc.

Through such interactions, long lasting interdependent relationships between the environment and living things, or between different species, can emerge.

Example: Domestication

Example: Upright walking

About 6 million years ago, the environmental conditions under which our ancestors lived began to change. The landscape, flora and fauna changed gradually and over many generations, from a tropical rainforest, to a tree and shrub savanna.

The environmental conditions of the savannah meant that the behavior of upright walking had many advantages for survival and reproductive success (fitness advantage).

Thus, these conditions acted as selection pressure for upright walking. Hominids who were walking upright (regardless of whether they were "aware" of the benefits or "intentionally" performed this behavior) would have a fitness advantage over those in their population who did not perform that behavior. Among those who engaged in upright walking, those whose body features that enabled, facilitated, or made this behavior more efficient, would have a further fitness advantage . Among those who had the best physical features for upright walking, those whose different genetic predisposition enabled the development of these body features, in turn had a fitness advantage. Their traits would be inherited to their offspring, who would also have a fitness benefit due to their improved upright walking ability.

All of this has resulted in the natural selection of the behavior "upright walking", the body structures that enable upright walking, and the genes involved in the development of these body structures, in the populations of our ancestors. We have inherited these characteristics from them.

More on upright walking, an example of behavior-led genetic evolution