About me
I am an economist whose research agenda lies on the intersection between international trade and macroeconomics. I find very rewarding to apply rigourous academic research to policy analysis. I have worked as PhD trainee and as reserach analyst in DG Economics at European Central Bank from July 2022 until last December.
I am on the job market in the academic year 2023-2024 and I am available for interviews.
Reshaping trade: a gravity approach to the role of geopolitical tensions. (Job Market Paper)
Abstract: Rising trade tensions, a spate of trade-inhibiting policy measures and a weakening of multilateral institutions have sparked growing concern about the potential implications of global trade fragmentation. Yet, empirical evidence that geopolitical concerns are already materially affecting trade patterns is scant. This study addresses the issue, using a structural gravity model augmented with a geopolitical distance measure based on UN General Assembly voting to investigate the role played by geopolitical factors for trade of manufacturing goods over the period 2012-2022. We find that the degree of geopolitical alignment is playing an increasing role at determining bilateral trade flows. The impact of geopolitical distance on trade is heterogeneous across country pairs: out of the world three largest economies, the US is found to be the main driver of this global trend, while European trade is found to be affected by geopolitical considerations in strategic products.
Presentations (past or scheduled): DG Economics Seminar European Central Bank, 21-11-2023; Brown bag Seminar DG Research European Central Bank, 05-12-2023.
CONTACT DETAILS
E-mail: Giovanni.Stamato@ecb.europa.eu
Address: European Central Bank - 60314, Frankfurt am Main, Germany