Furkan Emirmahmutoglu
Department of Econometrics
Faculty of Economic and Administrative Science
Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University, Besevler TR-06500 Ankara, Türkiye
Education
Post-doc - College of Business Administration – Department of Economics and Finance, Valdosta State University, Georgia, US, 2016 - 2017 (six months).
Ph.D. - Department of Econometrics, Institute of Social Sciences of Gazi University, Ankara, Türkiye, 2011.
M.S. - Department of Econometrics, Institute of Social Sciences of Gazi University, Ankara, Türkiye, 2005.
B.S. - Department of Statistics, Gazi University, Ankara, Türkiye, 2002.
Academic History
Research Assistant; Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economic and Administrative Science, Gazi University, Ankara, Türkiye (December 2002 – October 2015)
Visiting Scholar; Middle East Institute, Georgia State University, Atlanta, US (August 2010 – December 2010)
Associate Professor; Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economic and Administrative Science, Gazi University, Ankara, Türkiye (October 2015 – May 2018)
Associate Professor; Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economic and Administrative Science, Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University, Ankara, Türkiye (May 2018 – August 2022)
Professor; Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economic and Administrative Science, Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University, Ankara, Türkiye (August 2022 – )
Publications
Forthcoming
2023
Revisiting the Financial Development and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from South Korea, Economics Bulletin, 43 (3), 1328 – 1337 (with Zulal Denaux & Mert Topcu) (ESCI).
Delisting as an Indicator of Development in Stock Exchanges: A Schumpeterian Perspective. Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, 2022, 8(1), 20-39 (with Yasin Erdem Cevik) (In Turkish).
2022
Panel Data Analysis of Telecommunications and Economic Growth. Journal of Research in Economics, Politics and Finance, 2022, 7(2), 366-385 (with Mustafa Bekar & Aslıhan Tüfekci & Yeliz Yalçın) (In Turkish).
Does Change over Time the Causal Relationship between Economic Growth and Foreign Trade in Turkey? Ekoist: Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, 2022, 36, 43-62 (with Gülçin Kendirkıran) (In Turkish).
2021
GDP Prediction with MIDAS and MF-VAR Models. Journal of Statistical Research, 2021, 11(1), 1–28 (with Merve Aytekin) (In Turkish).
2020
2018
Matlab Codes: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/13bht0lpPrsTTtEZ5kfs-C1Z6-EDIKSX6?usp=share_link
2017
Matlab Codes: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/13Pmpve9tn0n48xk56zHkcK8TVa9Or15e?usp=share_link
Matlab Codes: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/13kFTj63HsD8RBhEH2fyXDTrlBkia0nvg?usp=share_link
Matlab Codes: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/13ZUmDzz3D7jZtD_rYcHAA30bMZm1IESl?usp=share_link
Matlab Codes: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/13s_0v10k7uPjXt8z8jT5_dK9su_c_Zao?usp=share_link
2016
2015
2014
Matlab Codes: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/13Z_HuljVn5bSUHFtCLSYFwrS3khGegQY?usp=share_link
The dynamic linkages of budget deficits and current account deficits nexus in EU countries: Bootstrap panel Granger causality test. International Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2014, 8(2), 16–26 (with Süleyman Bolat & Murat Belke).
2012
2011
Matlab Codes: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1JYhrAFRlnM9gDEsV5oxnvuaoD7sGCfsa?usp=share_link
R Codes: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1JYjkEdSG3NIo2EJvi_IRPtuQEAy4bfIa?usp=share_link
2010
2008
Book and Book Chapter
Econometrics I (Chapter 3: Estimation of Multiple Regression Model), (Editors: Erkan Özata & Sıdıka Başçı), 2023, Anadolu University Publications, ISBN: 978-975-06-4471-9.
Applied Regression Analysis A Research Tool, John O. Rawling, Satry G. Pantula, David A. Dickey, Springer (Translate in Turkish).
Conference Presentations
Fractional unit root tests for dependent heterogeneous panels. Paper Presented at Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University, 20th International Symposium on Econometrics, Operation Research and Statistics, February 12–14, 2020, Ankara, Turkey (with Nuri Ucar)
Time-varying causality between financial development, income and trade volume in Turkey.Paper Presented at Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University, 20th International Symposium on Econometrics, Operation Research and Statistics, February 12–14, 2020, Ankara, Turkey (with Gulcin Kendirkiran)
Nonlinear relationship between sectoral renewable energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from the U.S. 84th International Atlantic Economic Conference, October 5–8, 2017, Montreal, Canada (with Zulal S. Denaux)
Nonlinear error correction-based panel cointegration test. Paper Presented at Karadeniz Technical University, 18th International Symposium on Econometrics, Operation Research and Statistics, October 5–7, 2017, Trabzon, Turkey (with Tolga Omay & Zulal S. Denaux)
Parameter homogeneity test in cross section dependency panels: Sieve bootstrap method. Paper Presented at Cumhuriyet University, 17th International Symposium on Econometrics, Operation Research and Statistics, June 2–4, 2016, Sivas, Turkey (with Halil Ibrahim Gunduz)
Macroeconomic effects of oil prices in different country groups: Interactive panel VAR analysis. Paper Presented at Cumhuriyet University, 17th International Symposium on Econometrics, Operation Research and Statistics, June 2–4, 2016, Sivas, Turkey (with Yeliz Yalçın & Nezir Köse)
A bootstrap unit root test using fractional frequency flexible Fourier form. Paper Presented at Eskisehir Osmangazi University, 9th International Statistics Congress, October 28–November 1, 2015, Antalya, Turkey (with Tolga Omay)
Perceptions of customers about product placement applications in television serials according to their demographic characteristics. International Conference in Economics, September 3–5, 2014, Prag (with Metehan Tolon, Hatice Uc & Emel Sapmaz)
A nonlinear asymmetric heterogeneous panel unit root test” Paper Presented at Suleyman Demirel University. 15th International Symposium on Econometrics, Operation Research and Statistics, May 22–25, 2014, Isparta, Turkey (with Tolga Omay & Aysegül Eruygur)
How does the composition of capital flows affect economic perfomance? An evidence from Turkey. 39th Eastern Economic Association Meetings, May 9–11, 2013, Newyork, USA (with Hakan Berument & Zulal Denaux)
The determination of leading indicators of currency crises in the developing countries. Paper Presented at Sakarya University, 11th National Symposium on Econometrics, Operation Research and Statistics, 2010, Sakarya, Turkey (with Bedriye Saracoglu)
Interest rates-inflation relationship under the inflation targeting regime in Turkey. Paper Presented at Ataturk University, 10th National Symposium on Econometrics, Operation Research and Statistics, 2009, Erzurum, Turkey (with Nezir Kose & Sezgin Aksoy)
Granger causality test in heterogeneous panel data: Meta-analysis. Paper Presented at Samsun On Dokuz Mayıs University, 6th Statistics Days Symposium, 2008, Samsun, Turkey (with Nezir Köse)
Determination of structural change in Turkey's inflation rate. Paper Presented at Dokuz Eylul University, 9th National Symposium on Econometrics, Operation Research and Statistics, 2008, Izmir, Turkey (with Selin Güney & Bedriye Saraçoğlu)
Tourism demand analysis for Turkey. 5th Statistics Congress and Risk Measurement, May 24–27, 2007, Antalya, Turkey (with Yeliz Yalcin & Nezir Kose)
The problem of incorrect estimation of break point in unit root tests: The performance of alternative methods. 7th National Conference on Econometrics, Operation Research and Statistics, Istanbul University, May 26–27, 2005, Istanbul, Turkey (with Nezir Kose & Yeliz Yalcin)
Completed Projects
Ministry of Family and Social Services, “Technical Assistance for Strengthening the Impact of the Conditional Transfer Programme in Turkey for Increasing High School Attendance-II (CCT-II) (TREESP3.1.CCTII/P-01): Intervention 3.2: Projection Study to Estimate Future Demand for Social Assistance/CCT in Turkey”, Senior Non-Key Expert, European Union Project, October 2023 – February 2024.
Technical Assistance for Strengthening Training and Research Capacity of the Centre for Labour and Social Training and Research (ÇASGEM) (TREESP1.3.CASGEM/P-01): Intervention 12: Social Impact Analysis”, Senior Non-Key Expert, European Union Project, May 2023 – August 2023.
Social Security Institution, “Supporting Registered Women Employment Project (TREESP1.2.WOMENUP)”, Researcher, European Union Project, March 2023 – April 2023.
Social Security Institution, “Supporting Registered Employment of Women through Promoting Educated Child-Caregivers Project (TREESP1.1.EDU-CARE)”, Researcher, European Union Project, June 2022 – December 2022.
Social Security Institution, “Supporting Registered Women Employment Through Institutional Child Care Services (TREESP1.2.INST-CARE)”, Researcher, European Union Project, June 2022 – September 2022.
Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat), “Technical Assistance for Programme for New Era for Statistics (NES): 3.1.5 Flash Estimates”, Project No: DOGER/NEWST/TR2014/DG/02/RA-2/SER/008, Consultant, May 2022 – June 2022.
Ministry of Family, Labor and Social Services, Turkish Employment Agency (İŞKUR), “Consultancy Service for Econometric Modelling”, Project No: FRIT1-ISKUR-WB-DH-01B, Consultant, March 2021 - June 2021.
The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Türkiye, 2219-International Postdoctoral Research Fellowship Program for Turkish Citizens, “The Asymmetric Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: Nonlinear Panel Cointegration and Causality”, BIDEB ID# 871750, Executive, August 2016 – February 2017.
Theses Supervised
Selim Çelikten, "Optimization of Capacity Reservation Cost at Main Exit Points of BOTAŞ Natural Gas Transmission Lines by Applying Gradient Descent Algorithm", Ankara Haci Bayram Veli University the Institute of Graduate Studies, M.Sc. Thesis, November 2023 (In Turkish).
Oğuzhan Çepni, "Expectation Survey Based Prediction Model for Turkish Economic Growth", Gazi University Graduate School of Educational Sciences, Phd. Thesis, May 2023 (In Turkish).
Muhammed Mahmud Ertem, "Local Currency Bond Risk Premium Analysis with Macroeconomic and Financial Variables", CBRT Specialization Thesis, April 2022 (In Turkish).
Gülçin Kendirkıran, "The Relationship Between Economic Growth and Foreign Trade in Turkey: Time-Varying Causality Approaches", Ankara Haci Bayram Veli University the Institute of Graduate Studies, M.Sc. Thesis, January 2021 (In Turkish).
Nuriye Topyıldız, "The Testing of the Convergence Hypothesis of The Tourism Industry with Nonlinear Model In Turkey", Gazi University Graduate School of Educational Sciences, M.Sc. Thesis, September 2019 (In Turkish).
Münevver Özler, "Long-Term Relationship Between Stock Prices and Macroeconomic Variables: The BIST Case", Gazi University Graduate School of Educational Sciences, M.Sc. Thesis, September 2019 (In Turkish).
Merve Aytekin, "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices In Turkey By Structural VAR Modeling", Gazi University Graduate School of Educational Sciences, M.Sc. Thesis, July 2019 (In Turkish).
Safiye Ece Mola, "The Effect of Economic Freedom on Economic Growth: Developed and Developing Countries Panel Data Analysis", Gazi University Graduate School of Educational Sciences, M.Sc. Thesis, June 2019 (In Turkish).
Şaziye Sina Kılıç Gül, "Common Effects of Uncertainty in Oil Prices and Exchange Rate on Current Account in Turkey", Gazi University Graduate School of Educational Sciences, M.Sc. Thesis, January 2019 (In Turkish).
Skills
Programming Languages & Software
Advanced Level: Matlab, Stata, Eviews, R, IBM SPSS
Intermediate Level: Pyhton
Refereeing
Econometric Reviews, Central Bank of Working Papers, Journal of Applied Statistics, Economic Modelling, Applied Economics, Regional Studies, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, Cleaner Environmental Systems, Environmental Science & Technology Letters, Energy Policy, Finance Research Letters.
Memberships
Turkish Economic Association, 2019 -
Econometric Research Association, 2020 -
Personal Information
Birth: 1981, Kahramanmaraş, Türkiye
Citizenship: Republic of Türkiye
Languages: Turkish (native), English